India's Tripura minister says rooftop solar can shield low-income consumers as gas wanes – thecooldown.com

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“The Central Government is placing the highest priority on solar and hydro power.”
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Tripura is turning to rooftop solar as it faces two mounting pressures at once: rising electricity demand and a dwindling supply of natural gas that has long powered much of the state’s grid.
State officials said that shift could be especially meaningful for lower-income households, since it may help keep energy bills from becoming even more difficult to manage.
During a special council meeting in Agartala on Aug. 17, 2026, Tripura Power Minister Ratan Lal Nath said the state needs broader rooftop solar adoption to meet future electricity needs without leaving vulnerable residents behind, according to Northeast Today. The session at the Agartala Municipal Corporation Conference Hall centered on rooftop solar installations under the “ULA Model.”
According to Nath, Tripura’s electricity consumer base has grown to around 10.68 lakh (about 1.07 million), up from roughly 7 lakh before the current government took office. He added that more than four lakh consumers use no more than 50 units a month, which he said suggests many belong to economically weaker sections.
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“When the demand for something increases, its price goes up,” Nath said.
Nath said the challenge is not only rising demand, but also mounting pressure on the state’s conventional power system. He said a limited gas supply has reduced the Palatana plant’s output to about 500 MW, even though it was designed for around 700 MW, while Ramchandranagar is generating only 50 to 60 MW instead of roughly 100 MW.
As electricity demand rises, solar is one of the best ways to save money on home energy. Homeowners who want to explore rooftop systems can use EnergySage to get free solar installation estimates and compare quotes.
Reliable electricity is needed across the state, Nath said, including for industry, hospitals, schools, colleges, and waste-recycling facilities.
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He described solar, wind, and hydropower as greener options than gas- and coal-based generation, which he characterized as more polluting.
Tripura is also working to advance rooftop solar through coordination between the municipal corporation and power authorities. Nath said Agartala Mayor Dipak Majumder, Agartala Municipal Corporation Commissioner Saju Vaheed A, Deputy Mayor Manika Das Datta, and other officials took part in the discussion.
For households elsewhere, the economics of solar can be easier to understand with free comparison tools. With EnergySage’s help, the average person can save up to $10,000 on solar purchases and installations. EnergySage’s solar map shows the average cost of a home solar panel system on a state-by-state basis, along with solar panel incentives for each state. Together, these resources can help readers get the best price for rooftop solar panels and access available incentives.
Additionally, adding battery storage to a solar setup is one of the best ways to protect your home during outages. It can also save money on energy and make going off-grid more realistic, and readers can explore EnergySage for information about home battery storage options, including competitive installation estimates.
💡Go deep on the latest news and trends shaping the residential solar landscape
Nath said, “Gas reserves are depleting; the supply is dwindling,” and “The Central Government is placing the highest priority on solar and hydro power.”
Tripura’s rooftop solar push reflects a broader shift as households and governments look for cleaner, cheaper power while conventional fuel supplies come under strain. Across India and in nearby Pakistan, wider access to solar is already changing monthly bills, grid planning, and the pace of renewable investment.
• Across India, rooftop solar installations surged 125% as PM Surya Ghar accelerated household adoption.
• India saves billions by prioritizing solar, showing why states are leaning beyond gas.
• In Gujarat, a vast solar-wind project underscores how quickly India’s renewable buildout is scaling.
• In Pakistan, rooftop solar is shielding consumers from shocks and easing import costs.
• In Colorado, plug-in solar panels are widening home-energy access for residents shut out.
Rooftop solar is becoming a bigger piece of a much wider energy transition. These projects also show how much policy design matters when the goal is getting cleaner, lower-cost power to households that need relief most.
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300-megawatt solar farm will soon be proposed in Butte County – actionnewsnow.com

Action News Now reporter Bella Barbosa reports from Butte County on new details about a large solar project that is expected to be proposed in unincorporated Butte County between the Skyway and Neal Road.
A Southern California energy company is looking to build a 300-megawatt solar facility in Butte County between the Skyway and Neal Road. The company, Cenergy Power, is planning to submit a proposal for the solar farm on 1,700 acres in unincorporated Butte County.
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Bangladesh unveils rooftop solar incentive to ease shortages – solarbytes.info

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Bangladesh has launched an incentive programme for rooftop solar systems paired with battery storage. The programme aims to ease the country’s worst power shortages in years and reduce its dependence on imported fuels. Consumers installing eligible systems by February 28, 2027, will receive BDT 10.50 ($0.086) per kWh for surplus electricity fed into the national grid, for three years. The government has capped the generation cost of rooftop solar power, including battery storage, at BDT 8 ($0.065) per unit. The incentive payment includes a 20% profit margin and an additional premium, while consumers installing systems below the benchmark cost can retain the savings. Bangladesh currently has about 1,559 MW of renewable capacity, mostly solar, and aims to reach 20% renewable generation, roughly 5,500 MW, by 2030. 
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India proposes mandatory battery storage for new renewable projects from July 2027 – Reuters

India proposes mandatory battery storage for new renewable projects from July 2027  Reuters
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Investigation of single and multiple MPPT structures of solar PV-system under partial shading conditions considering direct duty-cycle controller – Nature

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Scientific Reports volume 13, Article number: 19051 (2023)
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Partial shading of solar panels diminishes their operating efficiency and energy synthesized as it disrupts the uniform absorption of sunlight. To tackle the issue of partial shading in photovoltaic (PV) systems, this article puts forward a comprehensive control strategy that takes into account a range of contributing factors. The proposed control approach is based on using multi-string PV system configuration in place of a central-type PV inverter for all PV modules with a single DC-DC converter. This adaptation enhances overall efficiency across varying radiation levels. Also, the proposed technique minimizes the overall system cost by reducing the required sensors number by utilizing a radiation estimation strategy. The converter switching strategy is synthesized considering direct duty-cycle control method to establish the maximum power point (MPP) location on the P–V curve. The direct duty-cycle tracking approach simplifies the control system and improves the system’s response during sudden partial shading restrictions. To validate the effectiveness of the suggested MPPT method, two system configurations were constructed using MATLAB/SIMULINK software and assessed under various partial shading scenarios. Additionally, a multi-string system was subjected to real irradiance conditions. The sensor-less MPPT algorithm proposed achieved an impressive system efficiency of 99.81% with a peak-to-peak ripple voltage of 1.3V. This solution offers clear advantages over alternative approaches by reducing tracking time and enhancing system efficiency. The system findings undoubtedly support the theoretical scrutiny of the intended technique.
Renewable energy sources (RESs) are gaining prominence worldwide as a response to urgent environmental challenges caused by fossil fuels. For instance, global warming, the nature destruction, and water contamination that lead to worst climate impacts1,2,3. Solar photovoltaic (PV) systems have emerged as a feasible answer to address the increasing global electricity demands. The combined installed capacity of the solar PV market stands at 892.6 GW and is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 15% from 2021 to 20304. The enhancement of solar energy efficiency has gained a significant alertness from scholars, owing to its environmentally friendly nature, consumer expenses reduction, and encourage economic expansion5. However, PV-based generation systems undergo numerous encounters, involving excessive installation expenditures, low efficiency, and climate reliance6,7. The stochastic nature of the solar PV system under continuous varying weather conditions leads to voltagefrequency fluctuation at the coupling point with the utility network, which leads to an intermittent and unstable consumer power service8. Many factors influence the operation of the solar PV system. One of the most familiar issues related to weather dependence is partial shading condition due to existence of clouds, dust on the surface of the panel, etc. The performance of the entire PV system is negatively impacted by even light shade that may leads to PV system destruction9,10. In such conditions, Shaded PV modules generate lower electrical current compared to the unshaded surroundings, and a larger passing current that would heat them up and causing a hot-spot problem that could harm those arrays11. This issue can be resolved by connecting a bypass diode in shunt, which will cause the current to go through a forward-biased diode12,13. In fact, the existence of partial shading condition (PSC) results in multiple local maximum power points (LMPPs) and a unique global maximum power point (GMPP). Therefore, many maximum power point tracking (MPPT) techniques have been recommended to track the GMPPT of the PV module to impose the system to operate at a specific unique GMPP, where the system can achieve its maximum power. In addition, power electronic circuits are applied with control circuits to attain GMPP operation14,15.
Many tracking approaches have been, recently, introduced to attain the optimal power of the PV system, which has drawn considerable interest from researchers16,17. Two MPPT categories are broadly classified; conventional and soft computing MPPT algorithms as depicted in Fig. 1. Owing to their low cost and ease of installation, numerous applications typically use the conventional MPPT algorithms, including; fractional open-circuit voltage (FOCV), fractional short-circuit current (FSCC), Hill climbing (HC) and perturb and observe (P&O). These techniques’ primary shortcomings include their poor tracking speed and significant steady-state oscillations, which lower system efficiency18,19,20. To overcome the previous common shortcomings, many computation-based MPPT algorithms have been suggested such as; fuzzy logic control (FLC), sliding mode control (SMC), artificial neural network (ANN), and meta heuristic-based algorithm. However, the main drawbacks of former algorithms, compared to conventional ones, are the long computation-burden and control-system-complexity21,22. To lessen the former shortcomings and the impact of partial shade, a number of static and dynamic reconfiguration approaches and control algorithms were suggested23,24. The dynamic reconfiguration technique (DRT) calls for a large number of hardware structures, a supervising reconfiguration algorithm to determine the ideal configuration, sensors, and switch matrices to connect PV modules, which increases control complexity and decreases system reliability25. In contrast to DRT, static reconfiguration technique (SRT) does not dynamically change the electrical interconnections26,27,28.
MPPT categories.
Following the completion of the connection, which remains unchanged, the placements of the PV arrays are selected using a certain puzzle. Moreover, switches and other auxiliary circuits are not required while using SRT, which lowers the cost and complexity of installation29. In general, there are some essential drawbacks to SRT that must be considered. Long connectivity wires and a considerable number of steps are needed to complete the final reconfiguration matrix. In ref.30,31, the Su Do Ku approach has a wide variety of physical PV array reconfigurations. However, it still has a slight drawback that the first column’s value is constant, thus submatrix formation and execution consume long time. Regarding the magic-square proposition in28, the mismatch losses are greatly reduced. However, as the array reconfiguration process moves toward its final iterations, this methodology becomes time-consuming and difficult. It also calls for several analyses and assumes a lack of the necessary reconfiguration abilities. Moreover, the reliability of dominance square topology (DS) has been proven for many PSC, but conducting it is more challenging32. Also, the competence square method (CS) is rarely used as they require complex implementations of switching and sensors33,34,35. In ref.36, a varying step size ANN-based MPPT technique is used to mitigate the effect of PSCs on PV systems. In ref.37,38, FLC-based on dynamic safety margin (DSM) as an MPPT method to overwhelmed the restrictions of conventional FLC in shading conditions. The limitations of the last two approaches lie in their reliance on human experience and the need for a high-performance controller. In ref.39, A novel optimization algorithm called the “θ-modified krill herd (θ-MKH) method” has been introduced to identify the parameters of the SMC. The primary handicap of this type is the discontinuity of the control signal along the sliding surface due to the presence of the sign function. To achieve duty cycle control, the switching frequency must be sufficiently high, leading to the occurrence of chattering40. The genetic algorithm presented in41 uses solutions to represent the chosen process routes for remanufacturing jobs. To assess the quality of a solution, Monte Carlo simulation is employed, generating a production schedule based on the specified process routes. However, it is difficult to implement and slow computation capability. In ref.42,43, A new MPPT technique, utilizing the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm, is introduced. This technique instantly evaluates the duty cycle, eliminating the necessity for PI control loops. It effectively addresses the limitations of conventional direct control methods, especially under partial shading conditions. However, the approach does have a drawback in that it requires significant time delays for the particles to gather towards the MPP, resulting in longer computation times44. References45,46 propose a MPPT technique which uses Gray Wolf Optimization (GWO). Drawing inspiration from grey wolves, this approach mimics the leadership hierarchy and hunting procedure observed in wildlife. It demonstrates remarkable accuracy in finding high-quality solutions. However, it suffers from its complexity and difficulty of implementation.
A global flexible power point tracking (GFPPT) approach is introduced, which includes the conventional search-skip-judge global MPP method and a vital strategic scheme47. Additionally, an adaptive P&O algorithm with enhanced skipping features is employed48. To mitigate the drawbacks of previous methodologies, the utilization of analog-to-digital converter (ADC) samples, shared between the MPPT algorithm and the PI controller in49. However, challenges associated with being stuck in a local maximum power point (LMPP) within partial shading conditions (PSC) are often encountered by these approaches, which make use of P&O and INC methods. Furthermore, over-scanning behavior is exhibited, with more than 70% of the parameter space being explored by many of them before finally converging to the Global Maximum Power Point (GMPP)50.
To mitigate the previous MPPT controller’s limitations, a direct duty-cycle control (DDCC) strategy is proposed. The DDCC technique boosts the overall system efficiency by the steady-state oscillations elimination, hardware simplification, and ease of implementation. Additionally, the DDCC has a fast-tracking speed for GMPPT extraction during PSCs51.
Motivated by the former literature survey, this paper’s contributions can be concluded as follows:
The solar PV tracking efficiency is investigated for using multiple and a single MPPT DC-DC converter under various PSC patterns with constant and realistic radiation data.
Implementation of a DDCC for MPPT and extraction the GMPP
Proposing a novel irradiance estimation strategy to reduce the required sensors number.
The residue of the paper is presented as follows; Section “Proposed system modelling” demonstrates the mathematical modeling of the system. Section “Partial shading causes and effects” presents partial shading causes and effects. The proposed methodology of the article is given in Sect. “Proposed methodology”. While Sect. “Efficiency and power compare” describes efficiency calculation and power compare. The proposed system results and discussion are represented in Sect. “Comparison with counterpart approaches”. Finally, Sect. “Proposed system results and discussion” gives a conclusion of the paper and summarizes the article’s outcomes.
In this paper, two systems are proposed. The first one consists of a PV station connected to a single DC-DC converter. While in another system, each string is connected to a separated DC-DC converter.
The main components of PV generation systems that convert sunlight to electrical energy for end users are photovoltaic cells. These cells are electrically connected in cascaded and shunt to achieve the desired voltage and current at STC52,53. Circuitry modelling of solar cells enables the seamless integration of larger PV systems, including power converters, grid connectivity, etc., using computer aided software54. Despite the numerous presented solar cell models, single-diode model (SDM) is widely used owing to its simplicity55. Figure 2 presents the single-diode model equivalent circuit56,57.
SDM of PV solar cell.
The correlation between voltage and current in solar PV is explained as follows:
where ipv is the solar PV-array generated-current (A), vpv is the solar PV array terminal voltage (V), Ns—Np are number of cascaded and shunt modules, Iph is the PV-cell light-generated current (A), Isat is the reverse saturation current (A), RsRsh are series and shunt resistances, respectively, K is Boltzmann constant (1.38×10–23 J/K), q is the electron charge (1.6022 × 10–19 C), A Is the p–n junction ideality factor, T Is the PV cell surface temperature.
The current caused by a photovoltaic module is influenced by several factors, including solar radiation, ambient temperature, cell temperature, and temperature-dependent current coefficient. This formula can be mathematically represented as follows:
where Isc is the actual short-circuit current (SCC) (A), G is the ambient solar emission (W/m2), ({G}_{0}) is the reference solar emission (1000 W/m2), Ti is the reference temperature (298 K), Ki is the temperature coefficient of SCC, T is the ambient temperature.
The ambient temperature can significantly affect the effectiveness of the solar PV system. Hence, accurate modeling of the temperature dependence of the solar cells is imperative for the optimal design and implementation of the PV system. The reverse-saturation-current of PV-cell is affected by the surrounding temperature, as shown in the following equation:
where Vo is the actual open circuit voltage (OCV) of solar PV cell (V), Kv is the OCV coefficient, Vth is the thermal voltage (({V}_{th}=K.frac{T}{q})).
Additionally, precise measurement and modelling of the (SCC) are essential for correctly forecasting how well the photovoltaic system would operate under various environmental conditions. The SCC is defined in terms of temperature and irradiation (T, G) as follows;
Also, the diode current of the SDM can be expressed as;
where, VD is diode voltage terminals.
This section analyses the anticipated OCV estimation approach considering the impact of temperature and irradiance on the MPP voltage. Hence, an appropriate mathematical formulation is required.
The OCV of PV modules can be formulated as a function of the array’s temperature58, as follows;
where Voc(STC) is the OCV at STC, T(STC) is the temperature of the PV module at STC (25°C), µVov is the thermal-coefficient for OCV for PV cell (V/oC).
According to (6), the OCV can be determined concerning the solar cell temperature, as develops:
where ({mu }_{{V}_{oc}}) is the OCV thermal-coefficient.
The effect of irradiance on the OCV can be determined as follows;
In the open-circuit test, VD and ID are counterpart to Voc and Iph, respectively. Consequently, the photo-produced current conveyed in (5) can be symbolized as develops;
For simplicity, the OCV can be determined as results;
As, Iph >  > Isat, then the OCV can be expressed as develops;
The OCV at STC may be determined as arises;
where Isat = Isat(STC).
According to Eqs. (10, 11);
Thus,
By recognizing the effect of Iph from (13) into (7);
Also, the PV current is directly proportional to the radiation intensity (G). Therefore, the OCV of PV modules can be formulated as a function of PV-array’s radiation. Hence, Eq. (13) can be expressed, based on system irradiation, as follows;
while ({mathrm{G}}_{0}) is the irradiance level at STC (1000 W/m2).
The MPP-voltage estimation forms a critical task in optimizing the performance of PV-systems, as it affects the MPP efficient extraction from the PV array.
According to Fig. 3, the distribution of MPPs spacing resembles that of open-circuit points. Hence, the MPP can be defined as follows1;
P–V characteristics at various radiation level.
Additionally, there is a linear relevance between the temperature and the OCVs1. Since the MPP voltages are seen similarly, hence, the MPP voltage can be expressed as follows;
where ({v}_{mppt}) is the voltage at MPP due to temperature variant.
Considering (16, 17) and for the complete influence of the environmental factors (radiation and temperature) on the values of MPP voltage, the following conclusion can be reached;
where ({v}_{mppn}) is the MPP voltage at any atmospheric condition. Since the PV array’s operating temperature is identical to the temperature at STC, the term referring to temperature variation may be ignored, leading to the equation;
where n is the diode’s ideality factor. For simplicity; Eq. (19) can be expressed as follows;
where (A= frac{{nN}_{s}{V}_{th}}{{v}_{mppleft(STCright)}}.)
In the PV-system design, a reduction in the system’s total number of sensors is necessary because the realistic budget cost is a critical factor. Hence, accurate solar-irradiation estimation is essential for MPP-voltage determination to enhance system reliability and reduce the required number of sensors. Many studies have proposed different strategies for solar irradiance estimation by using the PV-system existing voltage/current sensors1. In line with international standards such as IEC 60,891, a new technique has been proposed for irradiance estimation, which can be expressed as follows5.
where (Delta i,Delta v) are the variation due to climate change in the PV cell current and voltage, respectively.
The variation in current and voltage of the PV system can be represented as follows:
By substituting the value of the estimated irradiance to evaluate the voltage at MPP, Eq. (20) can be stated as follows;
DC-DC converters are electronic circuits designed to transform one DC voltage level into another DC voltage level with a specific voltage conversion ratio. A DC-DC boost converter (BC), represented in Fig. 4, controls the PV array’s low and erratic voltage and serves as an mediator between the grid-connected inverter and the PV module circuit54,59. With the help of the DC-DC boost converter, one can apply the MPPT controller to confirm the system operation at the MPP5. Also, the BC duty-cycle controls the converter’s output voltage. Thus, when the switch is opened, the chopper switching state (w) is defined as zero (0), and adjusted to one (1) when the switch is closed60, as clearly expressed in the following equation;
Boost converter model.
The BC dynamic model can be deduced using voltage and current Kirchhoff’s laws as follows61;
where ({V}_{out}) is the BC ‘s terminal-voltage, ({i}_{L}) is the inverter input current.
The DDCC is employed in PV systems to regulate the produced power of the system by adapting the duty-cycle of the DC-DC converter. It forms a simple and efficient way to handle the power output from the PV systems, which is often used in small-scale and low-cost PV systems62. In DDCC, the duty-cycle of the DC-DC converter is adjusted based on the difference between the required and actual output-powers of the PV system. By adjusting the duty cycle, the DC-DC converter can regulate the output voltage and current to accord the required output-power63. Using DDCC can help improving the system overall efficiency, which can result in greater energy production and reduced costs over time64. The BC voltage transfer-ratio can be expressed in terms of the duty-cycle (D), as follows;
where ({V}_{DC}) is the DC-link voltage at the front end of the utility side converter (GSC). Hence, the duty-cycle of the BC can be obtained directly as follows;
The GSC function is to regulate and control the flow of power between the PV generation system and utility grid. The grid-side converter works by transforming the DC-power produced by the PV generation system into AC-power that can be supplied into the utility grid. In addition, it ensures that the PV-system output is synchronized with the utility frequency and voltage to allow seamless integration. Moreover, the GSC regulates the power factor (PF) of the grid-integrated PV-system for unity PF operation of the proposed system. By maintaining an improved PF, the grid-side converter ensures that the PV system runs at optimal productivity and reduces the risk of system instability and voltage fluctuations49,65.
To control the DC-link voltage and maintain its functional status, the GSC employs a PI-based outer control loop, while the dual PI-based inner control loops are used to adjust the d-q axis currents to its reference ones. A control block diagram illustrating this process is presented in Fig. 5.
DC-AC converter control scheme.
Assuming a balanced grid-integrated system, hence, the voltages of three-phase grid can be expressed as develops;
where ({e}_{r}), ({e}_{s}) and ({e}_{t}) are the GSC line voltages, ({i}_{r}), ({i}_{s}) and ({i}_{t}) are the GSC line currents, ({V}_{gr}), ({V}_{gs}) and ({V}_{gt}) are the GSC phase voltages, ({R}_{f}) is the filter resistance, ({L}_{f}) is the filter inductance.
The GSC d-q axis voltages or the grid voltages’ rotating reference-frame can be stated as follows;
where vgd, vgq, ed, and eq are the inverter d and q axes voltage components of the utility voltages, respectively, ({omega }_{0}) is the angular frequency of the grid (rad/s).
The GSC exchanges no reactive power with the utility to achieve the unity PF. The two-power component can be expressed instantaneously in the d-q axis representation as follows;
When one or more panels in a series string are shaded, the output-current of the whole string decreases, which constraints the current flow in the entire string and reduces the overall output-power of the PV-system66,67. Utilizing bypass diodes, which enable current to pass through the unshaded cells in the string, is one method of addressing PS. Bypass diodes are connected in shunt with each solar cell or group of them, and are designed to activate when the voltage across the cells drops below a certain threshold. By redirecting the current around the shaded cells, bypass diodes reduce the harmful effects of PS on the performance of the PV system. This enables the rest of the module to operate at higher efficiency and avoid the PV-system overheating8,9. This article studies the performance of the PV-system under various PSCs. Figure 6 depicts PV module’s characteristic curve, which exhibits a unique MPP as it exposed to a uniform irradiance68.
P–V characteristic curve under PSC.
However, when the module is subjected to different levels of radiation, it exhibits multiple LMPPs based on the shading patterns. Among these LMPPs, there is a unique GMPP that offer optimal operating power of the shaded system69,70,71. Also, understanding the behaviour of PV modules under PS is quite important to enhance the system performance and operating efficiency. There are two types of partial shading that are possible to exists on the PV array: static shading, and dynamic shading. The static shading refers to a specific shadow that remains on the PV array for a period of time, where the dynamic shading is the varying shades on the surface of PV array that results from a moving cloud or swaying tree branches caused by the wind19,72,73,74.
In this study proposes a reconfiguration of the PV-system to suppress the negative impact of PS on the PV-system performance by dividing the PV-system into multiple parallel strings. In this work, the proposed system comprises four strings, with each string comprises three paralleled sub-strings. Each sub-string involves of five cascaded-connected modules. The PV-station studied in this work consists of 60 Canadian CS5P-220 M panels, with a total power of 13.2 kW. Table 1 lists the PV-module specifications at STC.
Figure 7 depicts the PV system’s single-MPPT (SMPPT) arrangement, in which a single DC-DC converter is connected to four parallel strings of solar panels. The usage of an SMPPT in PV systems has a number of drawbacks that may reduce the system’s overall performance and efficiency such as;
First off, an SMPPT can only track the MPP of a single PV module or string at a time. Hence, the system will only function at the MPP of the weakest module or string if numerous modules or strings are linked in parallel that diminish the system efficiency.
Second, the usage of a SMPPT makes the PV-system vulnerable to shading, as even a small shading area on single module/string causes the entire system to operate at a sub-optimal MPP, leading to a reduction in system output power.
Third, the configuration of SMPPT encounters difficulties in locating the system’s global MPP. Consequently, there is a need to identify a controller capable of rectifying this issue, which increases the system complexity and the required controller’s specifications. For instance, if a cloud passes over the PV system, the output voltage and current of each module or string may change, and a SMPPT may not be able to adjust to these changes quickly enough, leading to reduced power output22,25,75,76.
Single-MPPT system configuration.
To overcome the limitations of SMPPT configuration, Multi-MPPT (MMPPT) approach offers optimal MPPT under different levels of shading conditions, as shown in Fig. 8. Each string is tied to a DC-DC converter, which enables optimal power extraction of each individual string of PV solar panels.
Multi-MPPT system configuration.
Hence, results in increased energy conversion efficiency. In comparison to SMPPT, MMPPT offers more dependability by enabling sustained operation even in the case of a problem with one of the PV solar panel strings. Additionally, it provides more design flexibility for PV systems because it can support a variety of solar panel counts and configurations and is simple to adapt to changing power needs. Additionally, by maximizing the power output of each string of solar panels, MMPPT arrangement lowers the cost of the PV solar system and enables the use of smaller, more affordable power converters32,77. Table 2 lists the parameters of the DC-DC converters.
Figure 9 depicts the flow chart of the projected control approach. The first step is to measure the voltage and current of PV module, then calculate the difference between these values and voltage and current of MPP at any shading condition. We use this subtraction product to estimate the radiation. The estimated radiation is used to evaluate the estimated voltage, hence, the duty cycle of the converter.
Proposed control strategy.
This section provides comparison between SMPPT and MMPPT configurations under varying irradiance profiles. The primary factors considered in this comparison are the average output power and voltage ripples. The tracking efficiency of each system can be readily determined through the following formula:
where ({P}_{act.}) and ({P}_{th.}) are the actual and theoretical PV output power, respectively78.
This section compares the proposed MPPT method with some recent approaches. The comparative analysis is established considering the system capability to track the GMPP under the partial shading condition, the system tracking response, system efficiency, and the contained steady-state oscillations (SSO). Evidently, Table 3 presents a comparative analysis between the proposed MPPT method and recent approaches. This analysis highlights the efficiency of the proposed method in accurately tracking the GMPP during Partial Shading Conditions. Furthermore, it demonstrates the fast tracking speed of the proposed methodology. In addition, the proposed strategy diminishes the system high-frequency steady-state oscillations, which enhances the control system design and its reliability for practical use. Despite the parallel operation of Multi-MPPT that may enquires many calculations, the proposed system shows a simple MPPT control system compared to most of the recent topologies, which lowers the required specifications of the controller for real system implementation.
As previously illustrated, the dual-stage grid-connected PV-system has been studied considering two configurations. The two configurations are constructed using MATLAB/Simulink computer-aided software. In addition, three solar irradiance patterns, see Fig. 10, are applied to the former PV-system configurations, i.e. SMPPT and MMPPT, for a fair comparison between the selected configurations. The purpose of this study is to know which configuration has reliable functioning under various PSCs. The following results show the estimated solar radiation, PV output-voltage, PV output-power and the converter duty-cycle of the converter for MPPT.
Studied shading pattern on the proposed system.
In shading pattern-1, all the PV panels are subjected to a uniform irradiance of 1000 W/m2, which is considered as the STC. Under these conditions, the optimal output power at STC is 13.2 kW. First of all, the proposed dual-stage system is tested under STC conditions to illustrate the system performance characteristics and to ensure the control system robustness. Also, by conducting the STC tests, the results obtained can be used as a benchmark to evaluate the system’s performance under other operating conditions. Therefore, these findings are vital for the design and optimization of PV-systems, which provide valuable insights into the system’s efficiency and performance under ideal conditions.
Figure 11 shows the PV-side results of the proposed grid-tied system considering both SMPPT as well as MMPPT configurations. As shown in Fig. 11a, the SMPPT-based estimated radiation profile exhibits steady-state oscillations between 970 W/m2 and 1020 W/m2, while displays steady-state oscillations between 985 W/m2 and 998 W/m2 for the MMPPT PV-system configuration. Obviously, it confirms the accurate operation of the MMPPT-based DDC control-loop with low peak-to-peak (PTP) steady-state oscillations compared to SMPPT-structure. The irradiance is estimated in order to decrease the number of sensors used in the system installation, hence diminishing the cost of operation. Besides, the PV output voltages of the intended system, according to system specifications listed in Table 1, are depicted in Fig. 11b. According to the characteristics of the PV panels in Table 1, the voltage at which optimal power point is extracted at STC is 241.5 V. The SMPPT-based PV-system shows a PTP steady-state voltage oscillations of 5.3 V, where the system exhibits only 0.5 PTP steady-state voltage for the MMPPT system configuration. Hence, the reduced oscillations level of the proposed PV-system enhances the system power quality, elements voltage and current stresses, power loss, and improve its overall efficiency. Figure 11c shows the PV generated power of the two configurations. The average generated power of SMPPT is 13.15 kW, with an efficiency of 99.7%, while MMPPT’s average power is 13.18, with efficiency of 99.85%.
Results of pattern 1.
The shift from the optimal voltage and the oscillation levels plays a crucial role in contributing to difference in the output power values. Also, the duty-cycles are illustrated in Fig. 11d. The settling time and the oscillation level in MMPPT are smaller than that of SMPPT.
In this scenario, the PV-system is subdivided into two levels of irradiations: the first level forms a constant irradiation profile of 1000 W/m2 for first two strings (1st & 2nd strings). Second irradiance level is exposed to the remaining two strings (3rd & 4th strings), in which a uniform irradiance profile of 1000 W/m2 is applied for 0.5 s and then stepped down to 500 W/m2 at t = 0.5 s for another 0.5 s, as depicted in Fig. 12.
Results of pattern 2.
This pattern protests the performance of the two configurations and the anticipated control strategy. Figure 12a shows the estimated irradiance profiles of the SMPPT and MMPPT configurations. The SMPPT-based estimated irradiance does not correctly track the actual radiation profile, as the irradiance sensor is installed at the first string, which is always exposed to 1000 W/m2. However, the MMPPT-based estimated irradiance profile performs as an online tracking strategy for irradiance level variation at any location of the PV-system. Moreover, the effect of irradiance variation on the PV-system performance, power quality, and efficiency is less compared to the SMPPT configuration. Figure 12b shows the PV-system estimated-voltage for both configurations. In the SMPPT configuration, the PV-system estimated-voltage remains unchanged following the same behaviour of the wrong estimated radiation. Also, the average value of the estimated-voltage at the MPP is 242.7 V and the oscillation level is around 4 V PTP. In MMPPT configuration, the estimated output-voltage from the first two strings is depicted in Fig. 12b with the blue colour. The average output-voltage is 240.5 V, and the oscillation level is 0.5 V PTP. The estimated output voltage of the last two strings is shown in green colour. The average output voltage is 225.29 V with an oscillation level of 1.3 V, whereas the MPP-voltage is 230.7 V at 500 W/m2.
The PV generated-powers of the two PV-system configurations are depicted in Fig. 12c. At the time interval between (0–0.5 s), it shows a performance similar to pattern-1. At the second interval (0.5–1 s), the PV-system output-powers are decreased due to the effect of radiation. The theoretical optimal output-power is 9.62 kW under radiation of 500 w/m2. For the SMPPT structure, the average output-power is 9.51 kW with 98.85% system efficiency. In the other side, the average output-power of the MMPPT configuration is 9.6 kW with a tracking efficiency of 99.79%. In addition, the converter duty-cycles for both SMPPT and MMPPT configurations are portrayed in Fig. 12d. Obviously, the duty-cycles of both cases remain unchanged during the first 0.5 s due to the uniform applied irradiance profiles.
However, the duty-cycles of the SMPPT remain unchanged during the time interval (0.5–1 s) despite the irradiance change, which reveals the tracking system weakness under PCSs. On the other side, the duty-cycle of the 3rd and 4th strings of the MMPPT changed for voltage boosting, which is portrayed with green color in Fig. 12d. Moreover, Fig. 12 confirms the effectiveness of the MMPPT for shaded and unshaded PV-system, compared to the SMPPT configuration. These results show that the voltage stability in MMPPT configuration is better than that of SMPPT.
In this pattern, the radiation on the first two strings is a uniform irradiance profile of 1000 W/m2. On the other two strings, the radiation has two step-changes. First, the radiation starts with 1000 W/m2 at all strings for 0.3 s (0–0.3 s), changes to 500 W/m2 for 0.3 s (0.3–0.6 s) and decreased to 250 w/m2 for 0.4 s (0.6–1 s) as represented in Fig. 13. Figure 13a shows the estimated radiation of the SMPPT and MMPPT configurations. In SMPPT configuration, the results remain similar to the mistaken results of the previous pattern-2 as the irradiance sensor is installed at the first string. In the MMPPT, the estimated radiation always tracks the actual radiation as cleared in the green color of Fig. 13a. Similarly, the estimated output-voltage of two configurations is illustrated in Fig. 13b. The average estimated voltage of SMPPT is 242.7 V with an oscillation level of 5.3 V, as depicted with red color. Also, the estimated voltage of the first two strings is depicted in blue color, which has a uniform irradiance level of 1000 w/m2. This voltage has an average value of 240.6 V with an oscillation value of 1.3 V PTP. The other voltage tracks the changes in the radiation, exposed to the third and fourth strings, illustrated in green color. For 500 w/m2 radiation level, this voltage has an average value of 225.29 V with a PTP oscillation level of 1.3 V. For irradiation level of 250 w/m2, the estimated voltage is 210.13 V, while the optimal voltage at MPP is 217.7 V and the PTP oscillation level is 1.3 V. Figure 13c shows the output power of the two PV-system configurations. The optimal power in the case of 250 W/m2 is 7.92 kW. Obviously, the power obtained from the MMPPT is higher than the power generated from the SMPPT configuration. In the time interval from 0.7 to 1 s under 250 w/m2.
Results of pattern 3.
The average output-power in from SMPPT and MMPPT configurations are 7.65 and 7.9, respectively, and the percentage efficiencies of the two configurations are 96.92 and 99.7, respectively. Figure 13d shows the duty-cycle generated by the controller. Duty cycle does not change in case of SMPPT. In MMPPT configuration, the duty-cycle tracks the estimated-irradiance profile and achieves estimated voltages close to the VMPP at different radiation levels. However, it remains unchanged for the SMPPT configuration.
This section provides a comparative view between the two proposed systems. Tables 4 and 5 summarize all results of SMPPT and MMPPT, respectively. The first column shows the pattern number as explained previously. The second column declares the time of each period in the specified pattern. The next two columns illustrate the operating voltage and the duty cycle of each DC-DC converter, respectively. The following column shows the output power of the system under pattern, the last column exhibits the efficiency of the approach under any studied pattern to make a comparison between two approaches.
As the estimated radiation is provided for the first string, values of estimated voltages and duty cycle do not change with pattern variation. These values have an average value of 242.7 V and 0.676, respectively. The constancy of this value can be attributed to the fact that the SMMPT estimation is exclusively conducted for the first string within the system. In this initial pattern, the voltage closely approximates Vmpp. However, as we move to the subsequent two patterns, the voltage differential between them expands, resulting in decreased system efficiency, as evidenced by the power and efficiency columns. This configuration leads to misalliances and reduction in the generated power. The system with SMPPT configuration cannot withstand under severe weather condition change. By comparing the output power extracted from the system and the optimal power, more shading runs less efficiency. At radiation values of 1000, 500 and 250 W/m2, the PV out power is 13.15, 9.51 and 7.68 kW, respectively. Also, the system efficiency for the aforementioned radiation is 99.77, 9.85 and 96.92%, respectively. The system efficiency has distorted with alteration of radiation level, which is not appropriate operation under PSCs.
On the other hand, Table 5 clarifies the results of MMPPT configuration. The MMPPT strategy extracts the MPPs of each string individually under any weather condition. The values of voltages and duty cycle changed with radiation deviation, and be more nearer from the VMPP than that of SMPPT configuration. At radiation levels of 1000, the PV voltage is 240.6 V while the voltage at MPP is 241.5 V. In the second level of radiation, the PV output voltage is 225.29 V while VMPP is 230.7 V, compared this value with the unchanged value of the SMMPPT of 242.7 V. At the lowest radiation, the PV output voltage and VMPP are 210.13 V and 217.7 V, respectively. The PV generated power and efficiency from the MMPPT configuration at the three radiation levels are; 13.16 kW and 99.85%, 9.6 kW and 99.79% and 7.9 kW and 99.7%, respectively.
The efficiency of MMPPT configuration is almost constant over all shading patterns which demonstrates the effectiveness and validation of the proposed methodology. The assessment has been accomplished by observing the performance of the systems under different radiation patterns. The efficiency is computed across all time periods to assess the dynamic performance of the proposed scheme.
To ensure the validity of the intended dual-stage PV-system, the following study conducts the system investigation considering a real irradiance profile of Benban city, which located in the south of Egypt82, see Fig. 14. Two irradiance profiles are employed in this study; the first profile represents the normal radiation that is applied to the first three strings as detected in Fig. 14a. Figure 14b provides a visual representation of the estimated irradiance for the fourth string. The controller accurately tracks the actual radiation profile and provides the estimated radiation. Figure 14c illustrates the PV-output voltage, which includes fluctuations due to non-uniform irradiance. In addition, the DDCC is used to generate duty-cycle for the converters. Figure 14d shows each duty-cycle waveform that corresponds to its voltage value in Fig. 14c. Obviously, the DDCC successfully adapts the rapid changes in solar radiation profile. Also, the PV output-power from the PV-module, shown in Fig. 14e, closely follows the irradiance curve as expected. At zero radiation, the net output power is almost zero and gradually increases to a maximum value, and then decays again to zero at 2.1 s. In Fig. 14f, the PV output-currents of normal irradiance strings are identical as shown in the blue color, while the current generated by the fourth string is presented in the green color with the same pattern as the irradiance profile. In summary of PV side results, the presented results demonstrate the effectiveness of the controller to accurately track the actual radiation profile even under tough and real irradiance profiles with reduced contained error. Also, the PV output power closely follows the irradiance curve, and the system can adapt to non-uniform irradiance and changing weather conditions over time. Grid side results illustrate the DC-link voltage, grid active and reactive powers, grid d-q axes currents, and the grid-voltages and currents. Figure 14g displays the reference DC-link voltage, fixed to 750 V, and the actual voltage measured at the inverter’s front-end terminals. As seen in Fig. 14g, the system displays a reduced oscillation level, even under rapid irradiance variations. Figure 14h illustrates the d-q axes currents of the system. The d-axis current typically tracks the irradiance profile and power curve, while the q-axis remains at zero that confirms the unity PF operation of the grid-tied system. Also, Fig. 14i depicts the active and reactive power obtained by the system, in which the active power follows the irradiation patterns, and the reactive power is almost zero. Furthermore, Fig. 14j shows the grid phase-voltage and current, which are in-phase that approves the unity PF operation of the system.
Results of real data.
The results demonstrate the PV-system transient and steady-state stability, and reliability for grid-integrated applications. The presented findings provide precious insights into the performance and behavior of the dual-stage PV-system considering both SMPPT and MMPPT configurations. These results are of significant importance for selecting PV-system configuration and design of grid-connected systems in the future.
In this paper, an investigation into the use of a MMPPT configuration as an alternative to SMPPT configuration to address the issue of partial shading in photovoltaic systems. The contributions are twofold: firstly, implementation of radiation estimation technique to reduce system costs by minimizing the required number of sensors. Secondly, using a direct duty cycle method to determine the converters’ duty cycles, simplifying the control system. This paper proposes and simulates two systems using MATLAB-Simulink, comparing the SMPPT and MMPPT systems under varying radiation profiles. Under these conditions, the average efficiency of the SMPPT system is found to be 98.98%, while the MMPPT system achieves an efficiency of 99.81%. These findings validate the proposed approach. A real radiation dataset from Benban, a location in southern Egypt, is used in MMPPT configuration. The results demonstrate that the proposed control system enhances overall system effectiveness while reducing installation costs. These findings hold significant importance as they offer a practical solution to mitigate the challenges of partial shading and enhance the efficiency of photovoltaic systems. The proposed methodology can be readily applied to future PV system designs, offering improved performance and cost savings. Additionally, the approach enables the system to operate at higher efficiency levels. It is worth noting that the proposed control system is characterized by its simplicity, adaptability to rapid climate changes, and robust performance during operation.
The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Electrical Engineering Department, South Valley University, Qena, 83523, Egypt
Abdel-Raheem Youssef, Mostafa M. Hefny & Ahmed Ismail M. Ali
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A.-R.Y. and A.I.M.A. revised the language and contributions and verified the simulation. M.M.H. wrote the main manuscript text. All authors reviewed the manuscript.
Correspondence to Mostafa M. Hefny.
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A 10-m national-scale map of ground-mounted photovoltaic power stations in China of 2020 – Nature

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Scientific Data volume 11, Article number: 198 (2024)
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We provide a remote sensing derived dataset for large-scale ground-mounted photovoltaic (PV) power stations in China of 2020, which has high spatial resolution of 10 meters. The dataset is based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud computing platform via random forest classifier and active learning strategy. Specifically, ground samples are carefully collected across China via both field survey and visual interpretation. Afterwards, spectral and texture features are calculated from publicly available Sentinel-2 imagery. Meanwhile, topographic features consisting of slope and aspect that are sensitive to PV locations are also included, aiming to construct a multi-dimensional and discriminative feature space. Finally, the trained random forest model is adopted to predict PV power stations of China parallelly on GEE. Technical validation has been carefully performed across China which achieved a satisfactory accuracy over 89%. Above all, as the first publicly released 10-m national-scale distribution dataset of China’s ground-mounted PV power stations, it can provide data references for relevant researchers in fields such as energy, land, remote sensing and environmental sciences.
As an indispensable part of renewable energy sources, photovoltaic (PV) power has drawn increasingly more attention around the globe nowadays1,2. The total global capacity of PV power has been reached 115 GW in 20192, justifying the significance of PV power in energy industries, especially in the context of fossil fuel shortage and overexploitation. Meanwhile, PV power belongs to an environmentally friendly way for energy utilization with few carbon emissions3,4, which shows a positive effect against global warming.
Due to the above advantages, PV power stations were firstly welcomed in developed countries such as the United Kingdom5 and the United States6. Both large-scale ground-mounted PV power stations and distributed roof-mounted PV panels emerged with great speed. Meanwhile, PV power has gradually raised huge concerns in China. According to statistics7, the installed capacity of PV power in China was only 100 MW in 2007, but grew rapidly to 205,000 MW in 2019, with an average growth of 17,075 MW per year. It should be noted that China’s central government released the Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality strategy in 2020, which committed that China’s carbon emissions would reach the peak by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 20608. Therefore, it is predictable that PV power would play an increasingly essential role in the near future. The monitoring of PV power stations would be meaningful for both researchers and government officials.
As mentioned above, the last decade has witnessed the widespread of PV power stations in China, where much previous gobi, grassland, water bodies and mountain land have now been covered by newly-built PV power stations (Fig. 1). When looking into the publicly released scientific data of China’s PV power stations, only the statistical data of PV’s installed capacity for each province could be achieved, lacking the spatial distribution data that could provide more details of China’s PV power industry. Although some researchers released several PV power station maps, most only met a medium resolution of 30 meters9,10. There thus still lacks a national map of China’s PV power stations with a higher spatial resolution (i.e., 10 meters) that could provide a global understanding of PV’s spatial deployment patterns. Considering that the large-scale grounded-mounted PV power stations almost cover more than 90% of the total PV capacity in China, we attempt to provide the first publicly available 10-m national map of ground-mounted PV power stations in this dataset.
Examples of PV power stations in China. The land used for PV power stations includes gobi (left), grassland (top), water bodies (right), mountain land (bottom), etc.
As for PV power station mapping, previous methods mainly focused on field survey and visual inspection, where manual annotation was performed to delineate the locations or boundaries based on the remote sensing imagery. However, this approach is time-consuming with low efficiency, especially when facing the task of national-scale or continental-scale mapping. To tackle this issue, several researchers resorted to automatic mapping methods such as machine learning11,12,13 or deep learning14,15,16,17,18. A general pipeline includes sample selection, feature extraction, model training and validation, accuracy assessment, etc. For instance, Plakman et al.11 designed an object-based random forest classification method for solar park detection in Netherlands and achieved a user accuracy of 92.39%. Costa et al.15 utilized several deep semantic segmentation models to map the PV solar plants in Brazil with an IoU (intersection of union) of 91%.
Although deep learning has been popular nowadays, the training of a deep neural network needs a huge number of labelled samples19. Otherwise, the deep learning model would be easily overfitted on limited training samples and show poor performance when predicting the new unseen datasets. Under this context, classic machine learning methods such as random forest (RF)20 together with powerful cloud computing platforms like Google Earth Engine (GEE, https://code.earthengine.google.com/)21 would be a better choice for the task of large-scale mapping from remote sensing data.
The objective of this study is to provide the first publicly released 10-m national map of ground-mounted PV power stations of China in 2020. Specifically, Sentinel-2 multi-spectral imagery22 was used as data sources, from which random forest classifier was utilized to predict these PV power stations via GEE cloud computing platform. Both partition modelling and active learning strategy were adopted to tackle the data unbalance problem in large-scale mapping. In addition, the fine-scale classification data of PV power stations could also provide a huge amount of labelled samples, making it possible to train a sophisticated deep learning model in the near future.
Above all, we provide a 10-m national-scale map for PV power stations in China of 2020, which would be of particular interest to the following research areas.
Based on the fine-scaled national map of PV power stations, it would be possible to estimate and predict the accurate generating capacity, when considering both solar radiation and weather conditions above these PV power stations23.
It would be much easier for the site selection of future PV power stations in China24,25 according to the dataset provided in this study.
According to previous land use land cover (LULC) data and the PV power station map26, it would be interesting to study where, how, and why the other LULC changes into PV power stations.
The detailed map of PV power stations would provide more clues to test the effect of China’s newly established energy policies8.
This dataset could also provide a large number of PV power station samples within China with high quality, which makes it possible to train a robust deep learning model17.
The overall workflow is depicted in Fig. 2, including study area partition, feature extraction, PV power station classification based on random forest and active learning, post-processing and statistical analysis.
Overall workflow of this study. Both GEE cloud platform and local processing (QGIS) are used. The methods consist of data partition, feature extraction, random forest classification & active learning and zonal analysis.
Specifically, when performing national-scale PV power station mapping, if only one classification model was built, it would be difficult to yield high accuracy due to the samples’ distribution variation across large regions. To tackle this issue, we adopt the partition methodology, where a series of RF classifiers have been built for each province of China to increase the model’s sensitivity to local samples. Afterwards, a multi-dimensional feature space could be constructed, which consists of spectral features, texture features and topographical features, aiming to increase the inter-class separability. Next, active learning is synthesized with RF classifier to perform a coarse-to-fine procedure for PV power station mapping. Finally, post-processing is adopted to remove the isolated noises while spatial statistics (i.e., zonal analysis) are performed for subsequent analysis.
As an important part of European Space Agency’s (ESA) Copernicus mission, Sentinel-2 satellite provides a high resolution (10-m) multi-spectral remote sensing data with a global coverage22. Compared with NASA’s Landsat data, Sentinel-2 shows two major advantages, making it a better choice for national-scale PV power station mapping. Firstly, Sentinel-2 has a finer spatial resolution (10-m) than that of Landsat (30-m), which could show more details of PV power stations. Besides, the mixed pixel would also be relieved for Sentinel-2 data due to the high resolution, which could increase the quality of classification results, especially at the boundaries. Secondly, Sentinel-2 has a shorter revisit period (5 days) than Landsat (15 days), which makes it easier for GEE to prepare the cloud-free data for subsequent PV power station classification. Since Sentinel-2 consists of two satellites, Sentinel-2A and Sentinel-2B, it could be operated in a collaborative way to shorten the revisit time to provide denser sequential observation data than Landsat. When performing the national-scale or continental-scale classification, the cloud-free remote sensing data is of great significance. These two reasons stated above make Sentinel-2 a better choice for PV power station mapping across China.
Meanwhile, as for the period of Sentinel-2 images, the spring of 2020 was selected from March to May. The reason is as follows. Firstly, winter time was not select because there is a high probability that the snow would cover PV panels, which would lead to classification errors between snow and PV power stations. Summer and autumn were not considered because these two seasons witness a flourishing vegetation. As there are also some vegetation (mostly grass) inside the PV power stations, there would be a high possibility to confuse PV stations and other vegetations. When in spring, most vegetation just turns green, PV power stations and the surroundings show a great difference, making it easier to separate them from each other hence to achieve a high classification accuracy. Besides, due to the existence of clouds, multi-temporal images were used rather than mono-temporal image. The reason is that it is impossible to obtain national-scale cloudless remote sensing images within a single time phase. To tackle this issue, the period from March to May was selected and the image composition method from GEE was used to get the cloudless data.
Moreover, GEE offers an official code for data pre-processing and data composition over large-scale regions. Users just set a starting date and an end date, GEE will automatically stitch the satellite images within the time interval to avoid both data missing and cloud coverage. This official code proves to be effective in large-scale mapping and has been widely used by previous researchers21. In this study, we selected the satellite images from March to May of 2020 to shorten the time interval to reduce the possibility of witnessing the inconsistency of satellite images.
Considering that the locations of PV power stations are closely related to terrains, therefore, we also considered the topographic features as input variables for PV power station classification. The reason is simple, as the PV panel should be placed tilted where its normal is coincided with the solar incident angle to get as much solar radiation as possible, most PV power stations would be built on flat ground or sunny side rather than the shady side of the mountain. Therefore, through the inclusion of topographic features such as aspect and slope, it would increase the inter-class separability between PV power stations and other land objects to further improve the mapping performance.
Specifically, the digital terrain data used is ALOS World 3D-30m (AW3D30)27 provided by GEE. According to previous study28, AW3D30 is the most accurate DEM to date among all the free DEMs with a horizontal resolution of 30-m. In this study, to co-register with Sentinel-2 data, AW3D30 data was resampled to 10-m resolution using a bilinear interpolation method, after which both the slope and aspect were derived.
Feature extraction is of great significance for remote sensing based classification. In this study, a series of spectral and textual features are calculated based on Sentinel-2 multi-spectral data to construct a multi-dimensional feature space, aiming to increase the inter-class differences.
Specifically, the following spectral features are utilized, including normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), modified normalized difference water index (MNDWI), and normalized difference building index (NDBI). NDVI is used to enhance the differences between vegetation and PV power stations, while SAVI could further correct the NDVI value influenced by soil brightness in areas where the vegetation coverage is rather low. MNDWI is a widely used water index, which could increase the separability of PV power stations and water bodies. NDBI is for the separation of PV power stations and buildings. In addition, a newly proposed spectral index for PV power station recognition, normalized difference PV index (NDPI)29, has also been introduced as follows.
where ρ(SWIR1) and ρ(SWIR2) refer to the two short wave infrared bands of Sentinel-2, i.e., Band-11 and Band-12, respectively, while ρ(NIR) represents Sentinel-2’s near infrared band (B8). Since the PV panels show an obvious reflectance peak in Band-11 (SWIR1) and an absorption bottom in both Band-8 (NIR) and Band-12 (SWIR2), the design of NDPI would highlight the PV panels against other land objects.
Meanwhile, compared with other natural land covers such as grassland and bare soil, PV power stations have regular boundaries with clear textures observed from satellite. The rectangle shape of PV power stations would result in different texture features with other land covers, therefore, the inclusion of texture features could improve the classification performance. In this study, the popular gray level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) was used for texture feature calculation, including mean, variance, homogeneity, dissimilarity, entropy, correlation, inverse difference moment and angular second moment. Besides, the GLCM texture window size is 3 × 3, according to our previous studies30. To make the manuscript more readable, a table that contains all the necessary terminologies and their definitions could be found in the Supplementary file (Table S1).
As stated above, during the site selection of large-scale ground-mounted PV power stations, there is an inclination to choose the flat ground or sunny side of the mountains to receive more solar radiation. Therefore, the inclusion of PV location sensitive features such as slope and aspect would help in differentiating PV power stations from other land covers.
To further justify the above hypothesis, we randomly selected a total of 100, 000 PV samples directly from the final released national PV power station maps to calculate the distribution of both aspect and slope.
Figure 3 shows that in terms of slope, most of the PV power stations (about 90%) lie on flat ground and gentle slope that with an aspect of less than 6°. There are only very few PV power stations (about 1.9%) lie in regions with a slope of more than 15°. This is understandable since the construction workload would be greatly decreased in those flattened areas. Furthermore, the maintenance of PV power stations would also be easier. However, Fig. 3 indicates that even in slopes that are larger than 15 degrees, PV panels could still be placed successfully through the fixed or automatic rotated support.
Histogram of slope for PV power stations. Most PV power stations lie in slope under 6°.
Figure 4a indicates that China’s PV power stations witness a rather flattened distribution across all the aspects. It should be noted that the aspect here means the orientation of land where PV power station lies, not the orientation of PV panels installation. In fact, the PV panels installation orientation should be close to south to get more solar radiation. However, the aspect of land where PV lies on has little effect on the PV panels installation orientation, since the latter could be adjusted accordingly.
(a) spider chart of aspect for PV power stations; (b) histogram of slope for PV power stations under each aspect interval.
To further investigate this issue, we also calculated the histogram of land slope in each direction (Fig. 4b). It depicts that most of the PV power stations in the northern parts (i.e., north, northeast, and northwest) have a slope of below 5°, i.e., most lying on the flatten ground instead of the nightside of the mountain. Figure 4b also shows that flattened land with small slope is the ideal location to place PV panels, since the installation and maintenance of PV power stations would be easier in such regions.
Besides, after the extraction of both spectral features, textural features, and topographical features, a multi-dimensional feature space has been constructed by feature concatenation. All the PV power stations would be classified in this feature space based on random forest and active learning strategy, which would be elaborated in the next section.
In this study, a random forest classifier was adopted as the machine learning method to predict PV power stations from multi-dimensional feature space as stated above. The reason why RF was used is according to its effectiveness in modelling multi-linear features20. Up to now, RF has been widely used in various remote sensing applications, such as vegetation mapping, water body extraction, etc30,31.
Random forest could be viewed as an ensemble classifier that consists of a large number of decision trees20, where the classification results would be determined by the vote of each decision tree. Besides, two random sampling processes are performed in RF. The first one is bootstrap sampling, which belongs to an inherent step of RF method. In specific, all the initial training samples now are re-sampled using bootstrap strategy to train each base classifier (i.e., decision tree) of RF. The other is the randomly selection of features used to train each decision tree. Therefore, the above random process makes RF robust to noises and outliers20. Meanwhile, the parameterization of RF is rather simple than that of other classifiers such as support vector machine. Only a few parameters are to be tuned including the number of decision trees, the max split number of each tree, and the number of features used to train each tree20. All the above parameters have been determined through grid search in this study, where the number of the above three parameters were 200, 10, and 6, respectively.
RF classifier was constructed with the API of GEE, i.e., Classifier.randomForest(). The advantages of using GEE for large-scale mapping are as follows. Firstly, GEE provides the well pre-processed Sentinel-2 data that have been radiometric calibrated, atmospheric corrected, and mosaiced to avoid cloud coverage, which could greatly reduce the burden of remote sensing data downloading and pre-processing32. Secondly, GEE also provides the high performance computing service that makes large-scale classification an easy task. According to the above merits, GEE has been popular in various remote sensing applications, such as aquaculture ponds mapping32,33,34, crop mapping35,36,37, etc.
Besides, because the study area is the entire China, the intuitive approach for PV power station mapping is to train a single RF classifier for the entire China instead of partition modelling. However, since the PV power stations (i.e., positive samples) and the surroundings (i.e., negative samples) have high variations in appearance among different provinces of China, which would lead to a high intra-class difference, making it impossible to train one single RF classifier with high accuracy. Therefore, we trained a series of separate RF classifiers for each province of China to make each RF more sensitive to local training samples. By reducing the intra-class variations through partition modelling, it would yield a more accurate local map hence to increase the entire classification performance. Meanwhile, considering that the model’s spatial generalization ability is also very important, therefore, province is selected as the unit of partition modelling rather than city or county. The importance of model’s generalization ability is that model can learn the common and representative features of PV power stations within a large area, making it possible to train a single classifier to achieve a satisfactory accuracy. So how to define the right and reasonable spatial scale to train a single classifier is a key issue. In this study, the PV power stations in the same province of China may share very similar appearances. Besides, in our previous work of mapping China’s agricultural greenhouses38, we also selected province as the basic unit and trained a series of RF classifiers. Although city or county could be used as the unit of partition modelling, the workload for training models would increase dramatically. Therefore, training a single RF for each province of China is a trade-off between model’s accuracy, generalization ability and also workload for model training.
Besides, as for some provinces that are too big (including Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Tibet), partition modelling was also performed to split these provinces into several subregions. The reason behind is that the intra-class differences might still be huge for a large province, which would increase the learning difficulty of RF classifier and degrade the classification accuracy. Therefore, subdivision is used to further reduce the intra-class variations and increase the fitting capability of RF to local samples. The practice of subdivision may lower model’s generalization capability, however, for classic machine learning method such as RF, it is difficult to take into account both generalization capability and local sensitivity. Under this circumstance, subdivision of provinces that are too big is also a trade-off between model’s accuracy and generalization ability.
As for the selection of training samples, a stratified sampling method20 was used to collect both PV and non-PV samples independently in every provincial unit of China. In specific, before visual inspection from remote sensing images, we performed a detailed search for as many as possible the sites of China’s PV power stations from both relevant research reports, academic papers and news reports. We have also added the PV power station sites derived from our previous field surveys. Afterwards, based on these PV power station sites, we have selected training samples using visual inspection from both Sentinel-2 data and very high resolution Google Earth images. Although we have tried our best to obtain the sites of all the PV power stations of China, it should be noted the above sites still could not cover every PV site of China. To compensate for this, we have also spent lots of time in visual inspection of remote sensing images to collect as many PV samples as possible. Even in those provinces that witness very few PV power stations such as Sichuan, Chongqing, Beijing and Shanghai, we still performed the above process to select both PV and non-PV samples. Another issue is that the selection of non-PV samples is also very important since it would assist in the reduction of false positives (i.e., non-PV predicted as PV) in the classification map. After the labelling process, a total of 320,000 PV samples and 320,000 non-PV samples were collected. Meanwhile, considering that non-PV samples consist of several land covers, therefore, we collect these negative samples from finer categories including forest, grassland, farmland, water, bare land, and impervious surface.
During the mapping process, it would be difficult to produce an accurate map with automatic classification once and only once. In this situation, we resorted to active learning39 with a coarse-to-fine strategy to improve the mapping performance iteratively. Actually, active learning originated from machine learning field39, which has been a better choice in remote sensing classification under limited labelled samples. The core idea of active learning is described as follows. Firstly, train a classifier with initial labelled data, then use the trained classifier to predict the entire dataset. Afterwards, the wrongly predicted unlabelled data would be sent to experts for further annotation. Then, the classifier would be re-trained with both the initial and the newly labelled data to avoid potential prediction mistakes. The above process would be run in an iterative way until a satisfactory classification result would be achieved (Fig. 5).
Active learning for re-selecting unlabelled data.
In this study, we combined the active learning strategy with RF classifier to refine the PV power station mapping results (Fig. 5). The wrongly predicted pixels were carefully selected and then re-labelled to re-train the RF model. We mainly focused the following two kinds of prediction errors, including the missed PV pixels and these false positive ones to increase the robustness of RF on these typical errors. The above procedure would perform iteratively until the accuracy of PV classification could be satisfied.
Indeed, active learning strategy is a trade-off between automatic machine learning and expert interpretation, aiming to achieve a satisfactory classification accuracy with as less expert interpretation as possible39. Meanwhile, the limiting case of expert interpretation is the total or overall vectorization or delineation of each PV power station, however, this would bring in a huge workload for annotators or experts. And the limiting case of automatic machine learning is to train the classifier only once with the initial training samples. Nonetheless, this would not always obtain a good classification map since the initial samples may have a low representativeness. On the other hand, active learning is just a trade-off to increase the accuracy of automatic machine learning at the expense of extra work of human interpretation. With the help of newly added samples, the machine learning classification results would be improved in a coarse-to-fine manner. Besides, according to the experiments (Figs. S1, S2 in the Supplementary file) and our previous study38, the number of iterations would be about three times to generate a satisfactory classification result. Therefore, the adoption of active learning and experts’ opinions could increase the classification accuracy with only a small cost of extra annotation work, which could be a good option for large-scale mapping applications.
Note that, since pixel-based classification method has been utilized for satellite remote sensing image, the isolated speckle noises are unavoidable30, leading to the so-called salt-and-pepper effect30 in the classified PV power station map that would degrade the mapping accuracy. After carefully visual inspection of these noises, most of them have a small size with a total of only several pixels, which is far smaller than that of PV power stations. To eliminate these noises, a post-processing method was adopted, where all the connected regions that are less than 9 pixels (3 × 3) would be removed from the classification map. We also used close operation from mathematical morphology to fill the tiny holes of classification results. To better show the performance of the post-processing method, in the Supplementary file (Figs. S3, S4) we show several cases that and justifies that after the post-progressing step, most of the speckle noises (about 90%) are eradicated while the signal to noise ratio (SNR) improves about 2 db.
The national-scale PV power station map40 in this study is provided for entire China in 2020 with a fine spatial resolution of 10 meters, which is the highest resolution recorded among all the publicly released PV datasets. The data format is GeoTIFF while the spatial reference is WGS-84. Meanwhile, only two kinds of values are in the PV power station map, where 0 stands for the non-PV regions while 1 represents the PV power stations. In addition, the provided PV dataset could be loaded into GIS software such as ArcGIS and QIS for data visualization and spatial analysis. Besides, we will continue producing China’s PV power station map in other years, and will release these maps in the future. The dataset40 of this study is freely available for all users at Science Data Bank (https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.o00121.00001).
In this section, we will describe the method for technical and accuracy validation of the PV power station map. Firstly, a national-scale testing dataset has been carefully constructed to perform the accuracy assessment of the mapping results. Afterwards, we will show several detailed PV classification maps to qualitatively evaluate the given dataset.
Specifically, to maintain the repressiveness of the testing dataset spatially, we have selected a total of 10,000 testing samples around China (Fig. 6), including both 5,000 positive samples (i.e., PV) and 5,000 negative samples (non-PV). It should be noted that all these testing samples and the training samples are independent from each other without any spatial intersection. As for the sampling process of testing samples, to maintain spatial uniformity, we divided the entire China into grids with a size of 50 km × 50 km, resulting in a total of 6069 grids nationally, where a stratified sampling strategy was used in all over all the grids to maintain a spatially-balanced sampling process. Since not every grid contain PV stations, we only selected PV samples in certain grids that witness PV panels. Meanwhile, as for negative samples, there are sampled based on all the grids to maintain the spatial representativeness in around China (i.e., about one negative sample per grid).
Spatial distribution of testing samples across China.
Both confusion matrix and several accuracy metrics41,42 (including recall, precision, F1-score and mIoU) are calculated for both testing samples (Table 1) and training samples (Table S2 in the Supplementary file). It indicates that the training set has shown a very high accuracy with an OA of 98.09%, recall of 0.9777, precision of 0.9851, F1-score of 0.9814 and mIoU of 0.9635. Although the testing set shows a lower accuracy than training set, whose OA, recall, precision, F1-score and mIoU is 89.13%, 0.9014, 0.8836, 0.8057, 0.8924, respectively. Considering that the testing datasets are distributed around the entire China, the classification performance is good enough to understand the spatial patterns of China’s PV stations.
To better illustrate the PV classification results, we collect several detailed PV maps shown as follows.
Figure 7 depicts that PV power stations could be precisely extracted from various backgrounds such as gobi, water bodies, grassland and mountainous regions. Since the 10-m Sentinel-2 imagery was utilized, a detailed boundary of PV power stations could be obtained, which is a merit over Landsat-derived 30-m PV maps. In addition, based on the provided national-scale PV map and the associated Sentinel-2 imagery, it would be easy to obtain numerous image and mask patches to train a deep learning based semantic segmentation model for PV classification in the near future. Therefore, the PV dataset in this study could also be viewed as a benchmark for deep learning based studies.
Details of PV power stations map across China.
Figure 7 also shows that some roads and related facilities inside the PV power stations are classified into non-PV, this is mainly because we did not select theses regions as PV samples. On the contrary, if we selected roads and related facilities (mainly power transformation equipment) within PV power stations as positive samples, this would lead to the appearance of more false positives in the final classification map. Other land cover types especially the roads and industrial roof tops may be misclassified into PV power stations. The drawback of this study is that roads and other facilities have not been classified, leading to a risk of underestimating the areas of PV power stations. In fact, the discard of roads and other facilities is actually a trade-off to reduce false positives, which is an inevitable issue in large-scale mapping applications. Besides, although roads and other facilities are not recognized, most of the PV panels are classified correctly, which would also reflect the spatial pattern of China’s PV power stations.
In addition, one merit of random forest is that it could yield the importance of input features. To further validate this merit, we have calculated the variable importance of each province and then obtained the top-10 variables based on the average importance values. Meanwhile, we have also trained a single RF classifier for the entire China using the combination of training samples from each province and then calculated the variable importance (Fig. S5 in the Supplementary file). It indicates that the top-10 important variables are the same for both entire modelling and partition modelling, including NDBI, NDPI, Band-8, Band-2, slope, Band-12, elevation, SAVI, NDVI and Band-4 of Sentinel-2. More specifically, among these ten variables, several variables show very high importance in both partition modelling and entire modelling, including NDBI, NDPI Band-2, slope and Band-12. The reason is that both NDBI and NDPI could increase the separability between PV power stations and buildings. Band-2 is blue band and most of PV panels show the colour of dark blue from the satellite image. Slope is an important parameter that determines the suitable positions of PV power stations. While Band-12 is the key parameter in NDPI, which has also a high importance. Above all, these variables have more impact on the classification of PV power stations, which could be paid more attention in future relevant studies. The only exception is elevation, which has a high average importance and high deviation in partition modelling but has a low value in entire modelling. The reason may be that in partition modelling, the variations of elevation in each province is not that high when compared with the entire China, therefore, the correlation between elevation and PV power stations is higher locally (i.e., at provincial scale) than globally (i.e., at national scale).
Besides, we have taken a series of steps during the remote sensing classification to maintain the data’s accuracy and reliability as follows.
A strict training course has been taken for all the annotators for visual interpretation, which could help them recognize PV power stations under various backgrounds. Both variability and correctness of PV samples are required for each annotator. After the initial labelling procedure, annotators are asked to perform a cross-check step to further refine the sample’s quality.
Firstly, the high-resolution Sentinel-2 data are selected to reduce the mixed pixels hence to reserve as much as the details of PV power stations. Secondly, due to the short revisit time of Sentinel-2, it is easier to generate cloud-free images on GEE, which is of great significance to large-scale remote sensing classification.
To increase the inter-class difference between PV power stations and other LULC categories, both spectral features, texture features and topographical features have been extracted.
A difficulty for large-scale remote sensing classification is the huge intra-class variations. To tackle this issue, a partition modelling strategy is utilized to increase the fitting ability of classifiers for the local samples.
Active learning is used to select the typical wrongly predicted pixels to be re-labelled. Afterwards, the RF classifier would be re-trained with the refined labelled data to reduce the classification errors iteratively.
To further refine the classification results, post-processing step is taken to improve the salt-and-pepper effect.
We have released the distribution map of China’s PV power stations in the unit of province. The PV map is in the standard format of GeoTIFF, which could be easily further processed by both GIS software and coding language such as R and Python. The GEE code for generating PV map has also been released for the purpose of reproduction, including the calculation of each feature, random forest classification, etc. Besides, the released code could also provide a useful reference for other large-scale mapping applications such as cropland mapping, flood mapping, etc.
Each pixel in the released PV maps has the area of 100 m2 (10 m × 10 m). Meanwhile, because we have used post-processing method to filter the speckle noises that are less than 3 × 3 pixels (i.e., 900 m2), therefore, the smallest PV station that can be mapped is 900 m2. Since we are mainly focused on the ground mounted PV stations, whose areas are much more than 900 m2 while even the small PV stations in China are about 30,000 m2. Therefore, the post-processing step would not lead to the possibility of missing out these small ground-mounted PV stations.
Based on the provided PV dataset, it would be easy to illustrate where these PV power stations lie across entire China. Considering that the classified PV power stations only account for a very small ratio of China, if we directly put these PV pixels on a national-scale map, it would be difficult to show their spatial distribution patterns. To tackle this issue, we first split entire China into a series of grids with a size of 5 km × 5 km, then calculated the percentage of PV pixels and finally put these PV area ratios on a national-scale map (Fig. 8a).
(a) PV power stations density map across China; (b) PV power stations area map for each county of China.
Figure 8a illustrates that most of PV power stations lie in the northern part of China, especially in northwest and northeast China. Interestingly, a large number of PV power stations lie along the Great Wall (including the northern parts of Hebei, Shanxi, Shaanxi, Ningxia and Gansu Province) and the Silk Road (mainly refers to Gansu and Xinjiang Province). Meanwhile, in eastern China, PV power stations mainly locate in Anhui, Jiangsu, Shandong, Henan, Hubei and Jiangxi Province, while in southwestern China, Guizhou, Yunnan and Sichuan witnessed the most PV power stations.
Apart from the grid map, we also calculated the areas of PV power stations in each county of China and put these data on map (Fig. 8b). Compared with the grid map, county-level PV map could provide the panel data of PV power stations of each county, which could facilitate in-depth analysis with socio-economic data, since most socio-economic data in China are in the units of county. In this context, Fig. 8b could also provide policy implications for decision makers.
Finally, based on the provided national-scale PV map, we also calculated the area ratio of each province (Fig. 9). According to our dataset, China has a total of 2467.7 km2 ground-mounted PV power stations in 2020. The top three largest provinces refer to Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia and Qinghai, whose PV area ratio are 14.92%, 12.49% and 11.26%, respectively, with a total of nearly 40% of all the PV power stations of China. Among the rest provinces, both Gansu, Ningxia, Hebei and Shaanxi witness a PV area ratio above 5%, which contributes to another 20% of China’s PV power stations in total. It should also be noted that with the rapid development of China’s PV industry, increasingly more eastern provinces built large-scale PV power stations, including Jiangsu, Anhui and Shandong Province.
Areas of PV power stations for each province of China.
The above analysis indicates that China’s PV power stations mainly locate in three regions, including the northern, eastern and southwestern parts of China. The driving forces behind are analysed as follows. First, as for Northern China (especially Xinjiang, Qinghai, Gansu, Ningxia and western part of Inner Mongolia), it has a typical arid and semi-arid climate with very few cloudy and rainy weathers, leading to a long effective sunshine duration. Besides, these regions have large-scale gobi and desert with a rather flat terrain, which is suitable for placing PV power stations. Second, as for Eastern China (especially Shandong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang), it has developed industries which contribute to more carbon emissions than Western China. Therefore, to response to China’s Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality strategy, provinces in Eastern China have also constructed PV power stations, aiming to produce more clean energy and reduce the consumption of fossil fuel. Finally, As for Southwestern China (especially the border regions for Sichuan, Guizhou and Yunnan), the placement of PV power stations is for the purpose of reducing poverty. Local residents could be benefited from the land subsidy, making it possible to maintain both clean solar energy production and poverty alleviation, both of which are highly valued by China’s central government.
Besides, the released dataset is mainly focused on ground-mounted PV power stations of China and not yet consider distributed PV stations such as rooftop PV systems. Two reasons may account for this. Firstly, rooftop PVs are more scattered and in small size. Considering that the spatial resolution of Sentinel-2 data is 10 meters, and rooftop PVs do not manifest themselves obviously under this resolution, which will increase the difficulty of extracting the rooftop PVs. Secondly, the grounded-mounted PV power stations almost cover more than 90% of the total PV capacity in China, therefore, even without distributed PV systems, the released dataset could also locate most of the PV industries in China. Moreover, in future studies, we will consider utilizing very high resolution data (i.e., WorldView-3/4) and deep learning models to produce rooftop PV data.
To sum up, we provide a 10-m map for China’s PV power stations to provide reference data to understand the spatial pattern of China’s PV industry. The dataset could also be used for other applications such as prediction of PV’s generating capacity and site selection for newly built PV power stations. Besides, the detailed PV map could also support for policy making of China’s clean energy and provide useful data for studies such as land use and land cover change.
The GEE code for PV power stations classification based on Sentinel-2 imagery and DEM data is available at https://github.com/MrSuperNiu/PV_ScientificData_Classification_Code. The code is written in JavaScript, including all the mentioned steps in this paper, including feature calculation, random forest training, etc.
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This study is funded by National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFE0197300), National Natural Science Foundation of China (42001367), the Programme of Kezhen-Bingwei Excellent Young Talents of IGSNRR, CAS (2023RC002).
College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing, 100193, China
Quanlong Feng, Bowen Niu, Yan Ren, Shuai Su, Jiudong Wang, Hongda Shi & Jianyu Yang
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
Mengyao Han
Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance (C-EENRG), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, United Kingdom
Mengyao Han
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Q.F. designed the study, wrote the code and generated the data and contributed to manuscript writing and revision. B.N. wrote the code and generated the data and contributed to manuscript writing and revision. Y.R. contributed to coding, data generation, technical validation and manuscript revision. S.S. contributed to sampling and manuscript revision. J.W. contributed to sampling and manuscript revision. H.S. contributed to sampling and manuscript revision. J.Y. contributed to manuscript revision. M.H. contributed to study design, manuscript writing and revision.
Correspondence to Mengyao Han.
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Solar eclipses coal as China's top power source – China Daily Global Edition

By ZHENG XIN | China Daily | Updated: 2026-09-02 09:23
China’s installed solar power capacity has surpassed coal for the first time to become the country’s largest single power source, a historic milestone that fundamentally reshapes the nation’s energy supply landscape and accelerates its ongoing green, carbon-cutting transition.
As of the end of July, China’s total installed solar capacity reached 1.286 billion kilowatts, narrowly edging past the 1.285 billion kW of coal-fired capacity, said the National Energy Administration.
This massive footprint firmly secures China’s position as the world’s largest photovoltaic energy market. The country’s solar power capacity now far exceeds that of the United States, India and Germany, and is significantly higher than the total installed photovoltaic capacity of the entire European Union, said the China Electricity Council.
Liu Zhiqiang, deputy director of the CEC’s planning and development department, said this eclipsing achievement is a landmark event that lays a solid supply-side foundation for the nation’s dual-carbon goals.
“With China rapidly building a new power system dominated by renewable energy, this structural adjustment on the generation side will drastically reduce the power sector’s overall carbon emissions. The vast domestic market has fortified the resilience of China’s photovoltaic supply chain, unleashing economies of scale that drive rapid technological iterations. This, in turn, consolidates the nation’s global leadership in solar manufacturing, technical standards and engineering construction,” Liu said.
Consequently, the role of coal-fired power is undergoing a profound structural shift. Rather than pursuing continuous output growth, coal is accelerating its transition from a foundational baseload provider to a flexible, more auxiliary supportive power source.
During midday peaks in frequent sunshine intensity, coal units now actively throttle down their output to make room for renewable energy absorption, Liu added.
Conversely, at night or during cloudy weather when solar generation plummets, coal plants rely on their rapid adjustability to swiftly ramp up and fill in grid gaps.
“While the average annual utilization hours of coal plants are trending downward to accommodate more renewables, their value in ensuring system security — such as providing rotational inertia and frequency support — has become even more prominent. Coal remains the ‘ballast stone’ of our power system’s safe operation.”
Despite surpassing the historic capacity threshold, experts caution that installed capacity does not necessarily directly translate into actual power generation. Because solar is inherently intermittent and its utilization hours remain much lower than fossil fuels, coal will temporarily remain the primary backbone for grid reliability.
To successfully convert this massive renewable capacity into steady, reliable electricity supplies, Liu suggests that China should scale up flexible grid resources, including pumped hydro, novel long-duration energy storage and next-generation upgrades for coal plants. Smart grid platforms — integrating main grids, distribution networks and micro-grids — are necessary to boost cross-regional and cross-seasonal power-sharing capabilities, he said, adding that through technical innovation, the nation should push solar power from being “weather-dependent” to being highly executable and predictable.
The CEC official also highlighted the critical need to refine and enhance electricity market mechanisms.
Hao Yingjie, secretary-general of the CEC, said this capacity milestone cements the foundation for China’s dual-carbon goals of peaking carbon emissions before 2030 and achieving carbon neutrality before 2060.
“The continued expansion of solar power is steadily lowering the carbon intensity of the power sector, expanding the supply of green electricity and providing robust clean energy support for the electrification of industries and transportation,” Hao said.

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NFL Hall of Famer Smith, partner sued over solar project loan – Delaware Business Now

File photo from state court system of courtroom..

File photo from state court system of courtroom..
Hall of Fame running back Emmitt Smith faces a lawsuit in Delaware Chancery Court over claims that his company misused a loan intended to advance a solar farm.
Courthouse News Service reported that a Cherokee tribal group filed a civil action against a company co-owned by Smith, 4 13 Solutions. The company invests in energy and real estate.
The suit claims that 4 13 Solutions used proceeds from a $2.5 billion loan from Kituwah LLC to pay off another loan. The solar farm project has not advanced, according to the suit.
Smith is the NFL’s all-time leading rusher and spent most of his long career with the Dallas Cowboys.
The loan was based on a quick payback once the solar farm began operating. Kituwah LLC also claimed that the company was shut out of management of the venture.
The venture never received private or federal loans, with 4 13 Solutions coming up with multiple excuses on not paying back the loan, according to the suit.
While best known for handling complex corporate disputes, Chancery Court also hears cases over payments and other transactions.
Cases are typically heard by a judge rather than a jury. Should the lawsuit advance, Smith could testify either in person or remotely.
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India proposes mandatory battery storage for new renewable projects from July 2027 – reuters.com

India proposes mandatory battery storage for new renewable projects from July 2027  reuters.com
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New Clivet lineup links solar to heat pumps without relying on a conventional inverter – thecooldown.com

© 2025 THE COOL DOWN COMPANY. All Rights Reserved. Do not sell or share my personal information. Reach us at hello@thecooldown.com.
Clivet’s range starts with five single-module models offering 25.2 kilowatts to 45 kilowatts of cooling capacity.
Photo Credit: Clivet
Italian heat pump manufacturer Clivet has unveiled a new variable refrigerant flow, or VRF, lineup for homes and businesses that can connect with photovoltaics without relying on a conventional solar inverter, a move that could simplify how buildings use on-site solar electricity for heating and cooling.
For buildings that generate their own solar electricity, Clivet says its latest VRF heat pumps can use that power more directly.
The Italy-based manufacturer, part of Midea, introduced the residential and commercial series with photovoltaic compatibility, eliminating the need for a traditional solar inverter and potentially simplifying on-site solar use for heating and cooling.
According to pv magazine, the new CVT9 outdoor units expand Clivet’s variable refrigerant flow offerings for homes and commercial buildings. Clivet is an Italian manufacturer and a subsidiary of Chinese appliance company Midea.
Rather than depending on a standard PV inverter, the units are meant to pair with a PV Box that delivers a steady 400- to 600-volt DC supply. That is what enables the direct photovoltaic connection.
Clivet’s range starts with five single-module models offering 25.2-45 kilowatts of cooling capacity. Installers can combine two modules for systems rated from 50 kilowatts to 90 kilowatts, and the biggest setup reaches 100 kilowatts at maximum heating output.
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According to Clivet, the new series will work with indoor units and control systems from the earlier V8 generation.
Clivet expects its integrated PV control system to become available in 2027.
The technical specifications suggest Clivet is aiming for year-round performance in demanding conditions.
The CVT9 units use R32 refrigerant and DC inverter compressors with enhanced vapor injection and a secondary microchannel heat exchanger. Clivet says that combination allows the systems to operate in outdoor temperatures down to -22 degrees Fahrenheit (-30 C) while still maintaining nominal heating capacity at 23 F (-5 C).
A compressor that can modulate down to 7% of capacity could improve efficiency when full output is not needed, helping reduce wasted electricity while keeping indoor temperatures more stable.
Single-module units are listed with seasonal energy efficiency ratios of 8.00 to 8.58 and seasonal coefficients of performance of 4.78 to 4.89, with similar figures for dual-module systems.
The units come with an integrated digital ammeter for real-time consumption monitoring, Modbus RTU connectivity for building management systems, and a Bluetooth module with a USB Type-C port for diagnostics.
For buildings with limited electrical capacity, the systems are adjustable from 40% to 100% in 1% increments.
Two-module systems can automatically shift the load if one outdoor unit triggers an alarm, and they can alternate operating hours between modules to balance wear.
The units also use the company’s SafeBox2 protection system for electronic components.
Clivet’s inverter-free PV heat pumps land at the intersection of two fast-changing technologies: HVAC and solar.
The articles here show how better air-conditioning systems and more advanced panels could make on-site solar power more useful inside buildings.
• Researchers have unveiled a complete rethinking of air conditioning that could slash building energy use.
• Oxford PV has established its first-ever beachhead in the US for perovskite solar.
• Solar developers are racing to make solar electricity even cheaper as advanced silicon technologies improve.
That progress helps explain why direct solar-powered heating and cooling may become more practical as both parts of the system continue to improve.
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GREW Solar Bags Solar Module Order – Chemical Industry Digest

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GREW Solar bagged a repeat order worth Rs. 430 crore from an independent power producer (IPP) in India for the supply of high-efficiency solar photovoltaic (PV) modules. The latest order further strengthens the company’s position in India’s rapidly expanding solar energy market. However, GREW Solar has not disclosed the name of the IPP.
G12R Modules to Power Solar Projects
Under the agreement, GREW Solar will supply its G12R solar modules, which use advanced n-type TOPCon (Tunnel Oxide Passivated Contact) cell technology. This technology enables higher module efficiency and supports the growing demand for high-performance solar solutions as India accelerates its renewable energy transition.
GREW Solar Expands Manufacturing Capacity
GREW Solar, a venture of the Chiripal Group, currently operates a 6.5 GW solar PV module manufacturing facility in Dudu, Rajasthan. Meanwhile, the company is scaling up its manufacturing footprint. It plans to increase its total PV module production capacity to 11 GW by the end of 2026.
In addition, GREW Solar is investing in solar cell manufacturing and backward integration. These investments are expected to strengthen its supply chain, improve manufacturing capabilities and support the company’s long-term growth in India’s renewable energy sector.
Supporting India’s Solar Energy Growth
With the latest Rs. 430 crore order and ongoing capacity expansion, GREW Solar is positioning itself to meet the rising demand for high-efficiency solar PV modules. As reported by pv-magazine-india.com, GREW’s investments across the solar manufacturing value chain align with India’s broader push towards renewable energy and greater domestic manufacturing capacity.




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Perovskite solar cell based on seed crystals achieves 23.51% efficiency – pv magazine India

Aresearch group led by scientists in Saudi Arabia and Greece has developed a stabilizer-free, seed-assisted growth strategy to produce the pure α-phase of formamidinium lead iodide (α-FAPbI₃) perovskite.
FAPbI₃ is one of the leading absorber candidates for single-junction perovskite solar cells. However, it is unstable under ambient conditions, typically requiring chemical stabilizers that can widen the bandgap and limit its photovoltaic potential.
“This research presents an exciting approach to one of the biggest challenges facing FAPbI₃ perovskite solar cells: stabilizing the highly efficient α-phase without relying on compositional additives that compromise the material’s ideal bandgap,” corresponding author Essa A. Alharbi told pv magazine. “Rather than using conventional α-phase stabilizers such as cesium (Cs), rubidium (Rb), or methylammonium (MA), we introduce a seeded-growth strategy in which α-FAPbI₃ seed crystals are incorporated directly into the precursor solution to guide crystallization.”
Alharbi added that “the work combines experimental characterization with multiscale simulations to reveal the underlying mechanism of seeded growth. This provides a scientific explanation for the exceptional efficiency and long-term stability achieved.”
The study consisted of two parts – experimental work and simulations. In the first, the researchers fabricated control and seed-assisted perovskite solar cells with an n-i-p architecture. For the seed-assisted devices, instead of using conventional chemical stabilizers, they incorporated preformed α-FAPbI₃ seeds directly into the PbI₂ precursor to guide crystallization toward the desired α-phase.
The target devices were then produced through a second deposition step using formamidinium iodide (FAI) and methylammonium chloride (MACl), followed by annealing at 150 C for 20 minutes. The control devices were fabricated under the same conditions but without the seeds.
“The pre-existing α-FAPbI₃ seeds lower the nucleation barrier and direct the growth of the desired photoactive α-phase while suppressing the formation of the photoinactive δ-phase. This results in highly crystalline, compact films with larger grains, fewer defects, lower surface roughness, and significantly reduced non-radiative recombination,” Alharbi said.
“As a result, the devices achieve a power conversion efficiency of 23.51%, compared with 15.5% for conventionally processed control devices, while maintaining 99% of their initial performance after 3,000 hours of continuous operation under ambient conditions and one-sun illumination without encapsulation.”
In the second part of the study, the researchers used multiscale simulations to investigate how the seeds influence crystallization and device performance. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations compared the energetics of α- and δ-phase growth on an existing α-FAPbI₃ seed, while molecular dynamics simulations tracked the dissolution of a 10 nm α-FAPbI₃ seed in the precursor solution and compared it with a seed-free solution.
The researchers also used metadynamics to examine nucleation pathways, while separate optical-electrical simulations assessed the effects of carrier mobility, lifetime, and non-radiative recombination on solar cell performance.
“The multiscale simulations showed that dissolving α-FAPbI₃ seeds retain structural motifs that preferentially promote α-phase nucleation while suppressing the competing δ-phase. This reveals that seeded growth not only improves film morphology but fundamentally alters the crystallization pathway, resulting in fewer defects, reduced non-radiative recombination, negligible hysteresis, and more balanced charge transport,” the academics explained.
The research team now plans to extend the seeded-growth strategy from laboratory-scale devices to large-area perovskite solar modules using scalable sequential deposition processes.
“We will optimize seed concentration, size, and processing conditions to ensure uniform crystallization over large substrates while maintaining high efficiency and long-term operational stability,” Alharbi said.
“The seeded-growth strategy is fully compatible with sequential deposition, making it well suited for large-area manufacturing and commercial-scale perovskite photovoltaics,” he concluded. “The approach also has potential to improve other perovskite optoelectronic devices, including light-emitting diodes, where suppressing defect-assisted recombination is essential for high performance.”
The research, “Stabilizer-free pure α-phase FAPbI3 perovskite through seed-assisted growth yields efficient photovoltaics,” was published in Materials Horizons.
Researchers from Saudi Arabia’s King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST)Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University and Taibah University; Greece’s Foundation for Research and Technology – Hellas (FORTH)Hellenic Mediterranean University (HMU) and University of Ioannina; and the UK’s University College London (UCL) contributed to the study.
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Texas off-grid owner says solar output falls 12%-20% when panels hit 140 degrees – The Cool Down

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“You’re going to see lower panel output right when the demand is the highest.”
Photo Credit: YouTube
Very hot weather can cut into a home’s solar production, leaving systems less efficient during the same summer stretches when electricity use tends to surge.
That dynamic was highlighted in a YouTube video from Two Steps from Off-Grid (@terrahillfarm), where a homesteader in Central Texas said his off-grid panels reached about 140 degrees Fahrenheit and saw output fall by 12%-20%.
In the video’s caption, he said the drop could amount to “almost 2,500 watts” versus what the panels might produce under cooler conditions. He reported air temperatures of 100-105 degrees in the area, with the panel surfaces running far hotter than the surrounding air.
He further said that the timing is especially problematic because “You’re going to see lower panel output right when the demand is the highest.” For homes that rely on solar, including off-grid setups, that mismatch can put more pressure on power needs during air-conditioning season and increase reliance on batteries or other backup sources.
Want to go solar but not sure who to trust? EnergySage has your back with free and transparent quotes from fully vetted providers in your area.
To get started, just answer a few questions about your home — no phone number required. Within a day or two, EnergySage will email you the best options for your needs, and their expert advisers can help you compare quotes and pick a winner.
Commenters echoed the concern with their own real-world experiences. “Learned this for the first time on record hot days with my extra dark panels,” one wrote. “They derated by half.”
Going solar is one of the best ways to save money on home energy costs, but system design matters if you want significant savings during extreme weather. Homeowners who are considering panels can explore EnergySage to get free solar installation estimates and compare quotes.
The poster said high temperatures can also affect equipment beyond the panels themselves. Batteries and inverters kept in hot garages or sheds may wear out more quickly, and excessive heat can cause those components to perform worse or shut down to protect themselves.
Because batteries and inverters are among the priciest parts of a residential solar setup, any heat-driven loss of lifespan could translate into replacement costs sooner than expected, in addition to the energy lost when overheated panels produce less power.
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To help protect that equipment, he said he added a solar-hybrid mini-split to the room, along with his battery bank and inverters, and has kept the area under 80 degrees even during peak heat. He said, “That one change has made a real difference” by reducing wear and thermal stress.
Among the steps he recommended were maintaining airflow around panels, checking for weeds or tree growth that might cast shade, and keeping battery and inverter spaces well-ventilated. He also said extra system capacity can provide a cushion against summertime efficiency losses during periods of heavy demand.
Adding battery storage to a solar setup is one of the best ways to protect your home during outages, save money on energy, and go off grid. It can also help households store daytime solar generation for use later, which is especially useful when hot weather reduces panel efficiency. You can explore EnergySage for information about home battery storage options, including competitive installation estimates.
EnergySage’s free tools can also make the shopping process easier. With EnergySage’s help, most people can save up to $10,000 on solar purchases and installations. EnergySage’s solar map shows the average cost of a home solar panel system on a state-by-state basis, along with details on solar panel incentives in each state. Together, these resources can help you get the best price for rooftop solar panels and access available incentives.
💡Go deep on the latest news and trends shaping the residential solar landscape
As the OP put it, “don’t overlook summer heat. It’s not just an inconvenience, it’s a real performance factor.”
These stories add more context to the summer solar picture. They also touch on the incentives and financing options that can shape what people install and how much they end up paying over time.
• In Pennsylvania, a homeowner logged 144 kWh in one day, output fellow solar owners praised.
• Homeowners doing the math found solar panel leases can trim upfront costs without guaranteeing savings.
• In California, rooftop solar incentives plunged, and sales slumped in a once-booming market.
The broader point is that solar performance depends on more than one factor. Panel output in extreme heat, battery backup, incentives, and financing can all affect how well a system delivers when power demand climbs.
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Global Solar PV O&M Market Reaches 348 GWdc As Vendor Consolidation Accelerates—Wood Mackenzie Report – solarquarter.com

Global Solar PV O&M Market Reaches 348 GWdc As Vendor Consolidation Accelerates—Wood Mackenzie Report  solarquarter.com
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How NASA Uses and Improves Solar Power – NASA Science (.gov)

Humans have been finding creative ways to harness the Sun’s heat and light for thousands of years. But the practice of converting the Sun’s energy into electricity — what we now call solar power — is less than 200 years old. Yet in that short time, solar power has revealed the Sun’s limitless potential to power an increasingly technological society. Since the 1950s, NASA has harnessed the energy of the Sun to power spacecraft and drive scientific discovery across our solar system. Today, NASA continues to advance solar panel technology and test new innovations.

Video credit: NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center/Lacey Young
In 1839, French scientist Alexandre Edmond Becquerel (who was 19 at the time) was working in his father’s laboratory, experimenting with two metal sheets placed in an electricity-conducting liquid. As he shined light on the device, he detected a weak electric current — what we now know to be a flow of electrons through the material. This phenomenon was the first demonstration that light could generate electricity, known today as the photovoltaic effect.
By 1884 selenium had been incorporated in the world’s first solar array, which was installed on a New York City rooftop. Scientists continued to develop and experiment with selenium and other photovoltaic materials for the next 70 years, but practical applications were limited by their low efficiency – only about 1% of light energy could be converted to electricity.
That’s when scientists at Bell Labs used an abundant material called silicon to create the first solar cell that achieved 6% efficiency. Solar panels today use this same basic design, with adjustments that have allowed industrial and commercial solar panels to achieve between 15% and 23% efficiency.
Silicon is an abundant material used in many technological applications because it is a very good “semiconductor,” or material whose ability to carry electric current can be easily manipulated by adding energy. In typical solar cells, silicon is layered in three thin sheets. A middle layer is made of pure silicon. The outer two silicon layers are injected with other elements (typically phosphorous on one side, and boron on the other) that differ in their capacity to “donate” or “accept” electrons. As light strikes the pure silicon layer, it energizes the silicon’s electrons, which then begin to move within the material. Those electrons are attracted to the silicon layer designed to “accept” electrons, leading to a buildup of negative and positive charges in the outer layers. These two sides are then connected with wires to form a circuit that facilitates the flow of electrons from one side to the other, generating usable power.
Silicon-based solar cells power many of NASA’s spacecraft, including the James Webb Space Telescope. Learn more about why this abundant material is used in solar panels in this excerpt from NASA’s Elements of Webb video series.
The Soviet Union kicked off the space race with the launch of Sputnik on Oct. 4, 1957, quickly followed by the United States’ Explorer 1 on Jan. 31, 1958. But as both satellites ran exclusively on battery power, they were dead within a few weeks. In March 1958, the United States launched the first solar-powered spacecraft, Vanguard 1 (pictured at right), which transmitted data for the next six years.
Some missions, such as NASA’s Parker Solar Probe, require specialized solar panels that can operate in extreme environments. Flying on an elliptical orbit into the Sun’s hot outer atmosphere, Parker Solar Probe uses solar panels angled away and partially shaded from the Sun. It also uses a special cooling system to ensure the system isn’t overwhelmed by heat and was designed to be extra robust to deal with the intense ultraviolet rays it receives when close to the Sun, which can degrade materials rapidly. The spacecraft’s elliptical orbit also takes it far from the Sun, even beyond Venus. Engineers designed the solar array to compensate for how the light changes at different distances to the Sun, which alters the color and intensity of the sunlight it receives.
At Jupiter, which receives 25 times less light than Earth, the Juno spacecraft (pictured at right) needs three 30-foot-long panels to generate 500 watts of energy — about how much a typical refrigerator uses. Its orbit around Jupiter also helps keep the solar panels almost constantly exposed to sunlight to maximize power generation.
Solar power becomes less viable for missions that venture even farther, where there’s not even enough light to charge a battery. Deep space missions like NASA’s Voyager 1 and 2 rely instead on energy from the radioactive decay of plutonium-238 to keep them running well into interstellar space.
NASA scientists and other researchers around the world are working to improve the efficiency and durability of solar panels. In addition to using silicon, scientists have discovered that adding a layer of minerals known as perovskites can dramatically improve panel efficiency. Perovskites help capture bluer visible wavelengths, complimenting silicon’s redder wavelength coverage and allowing a solar cell to capture more light. In 2023, several independent research teams created small perovskite-silicon solar cells that exceeded 30% efficiency, and the best experimental cells today are approaching 50% efficiency.
NASA is also developing technology for flexible and rollable solar panels that can improve their use in constrained spaces. Using different materials for the base layer of a solar panel can make a panel lighter and more flexible — essential attributes for space missions that need to be packed into a small space in a rocket. The first two sets of solar arrays used by NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope in the 1990s and 2000s were designed with solar cells mounted to a flexible blanket-like material so they could be rolled up and stowed to fit inside the space shuttle cargo bay for launch.

In 2009, NASA and its partners started working on the next iteration of flexible solar panels called roll-out solar arrays (ROSAs). These arrays, which unfurl like a roll of paper towels, are even lighter and more affordable than previous arrays. They have been used on NASA’s DART (Double Asteroid Redirection Test) mission, on commercial geostationary satellites, and on the International Space Station to augment its traditional solar array. NASA plans to include ROSAs on Gateway, an orbiting outpost crucial to NASA’s Artemis campaign.

NASA is also involved with envisioning the next generation of solar power usage in space. To advance the Artemis campaign, NASA tasked three companies with developing and building prototypes of vertical deployable solar array systems to power human and robotic exploration of the Moon. Most space solar array structures are designed to be used horizontally, but on the Moon, vertically oriented structures atop tall masts will be needed to maximize sunlight collection at the lunar poles, where the Sun stays close to the horizon. Scientists are also investigating the feasibility of space-based solar power, which would collect sunlight from space and beam the energy back to Earth, potentially serving remote locations across the planet to supplement power transmission infrastructure on the ground.
Along with working to improve the efficiency of solar panels, NASA is also looking beyond photovoltaics to an old technology: sails. Humans have crossed open waters by sail for thousands of years. And now, NASA is working on a system to traverse space using solar sails. Unlike photovoltaics, which work by capturing the energy of light, solar sails use the pressure of light. When a photon, or individual particle of light, bounces off a reflective solar sail, it imparts a small push. With enough photons, these tiny nudges can move an entire spacecraft, much like how traditional sails harness the multitude of tiny air molecules that make up the wind. In the future, solar sails could replace heavy propulsion systems and enable longer-duration and lower-cost missions.
In 2024, the Advanced Composite Solar Sail System, a microwave-sized spacecraft, launched to test a new composite boom — a sail’s framework — made from materials that are stiffer and lighter than previous boom designs. The spacecraft has a solar sail measuring about 860 square feet — about the size of six parking spots. The seven-meter-long boom that holds out the solar sail can collapse into a bundle that would fit in your hand, which allowed it to fit compactly inside the spacecraft. The mission demonstrated the boom’s deployment and is now testing the sail’s performance using a series of maneuvers to adjust the spacecraft orbit using the sail angle. The technology could eventually allow for future sails up to half the size of a soccer field, enabling travel to the Moon, Mars, and beyond.
Explore NASA's Sun-related stories and download high-resolution images of the solar system, agency missions, and more.
Just as a sailboat is powered by wind in a sail, solar sails employ the pressure of sunlight for propulsion, eliminating the need for conventional rocket propellant.
On Oct. 2, 2024, the Moon will pass in front of the Sun, casting its shadow across parts of Earth. 
Our closest star is so much more than meets the eye.
NASA explores the unknown in air and space, innovates for the benefit of humanity, and inspires the world through discovery.

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Design, modeling and cost analysis of 8.79 MW solar photovoltaic power plant at National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan – Nature

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Scientific Reports volume 14, Article number: 25351 (2024)
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Climate change, as a critical global concern, has fueled our efforts to address it through different strategies. In response to the critical worldwide issue of climate change, we suggested a Photovoltaic (PV) system at the National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) in Islamabad, Pakistan (latitude: 33.724530 N, longitude: 73.046869, terrain elevation: 552 m). Islamabad is located in a region blessed with enormous solar resources, boasting a daily horizontal solar irradiance of 1503.45 kWh/m2 and an average daily solar irradiance of 5.89 kWh/m2, with an exceptional solar fraction of 98.99%. The ambient air temperature, averaging 23.21 °C, reaches its maximum in June and its minimum in December. Our research thoroughly evaluates the system’s performance, accounting for various losses and utilizing modern PVsyst software. Over the course of 18 years, our PV system is expected to save 75,478.60 tons of CO2, the equivalent of planting 348,754 teak trees. Furthermore, the cost of energy generation is an affordable 0.0141 US $/kWh, much lower than traditional rates, including the Sherif cost of 0.028$/kWh. Along with the performance research, we conducted a detailed cost analysis, projecting the starting cost and cash flow, and discovered that the plant would be in surplus within 12 years of installation. Our system is positioned to generate 11,270,771 kWh/year with a respectable performance ratio (PR) of 76.2% and a Capacity Utilization Factor (CUF) of 16%. Our findings not only highlight the potential of renewable energy but also provide important insights for future sustainable energy programs.
Energy is a major driver of modern economies, essential for education, healthcare, agriculture, and employment, and serves as a pillar of a country’s economic viability. Pakistan, a growing country covering 803,950 km2 and ranking sixth in the world in terms of population, faces a severe energy crisis1. Only 62% of the population has grid access, resulting in a per capita electricity supply of only 520 kWh2. Notably, around 58% of the country’s people live in distant rural areas that are largely disconnected from the grid. This energy shortage, reaching 9–15 GW, has a significant impact on the nation’s businesses and causes severe blackouts and load shedding, with an annual economic cost of $3.8 billion3,4. Pakistan has a varied spectrum of renewable energy resources, including hydro, solar, wind, and biomass, to address these difficulties5. Importantly, Pakistan is rated as one of the top 20 most appealing countries in the world for renewable investment but in recent years, Pakistan has seen an increasing imbalance between electricity demand and supply, which is most noticeable during the hot summer months. This imbalance has resulted in widespread power outages, with cities seeing up to 10–12 h of blackout and rural areas facing even longer outages of 16–18 h6. Pakistan relies substantially on thermal power, accounting for 68% of its total electricity generation capacity of 183,540 Gigawatt hours (GWh)7. Notably, the country lacks proven oil, coal, and natural gas deposits, as well as domestic power production capacity. This critical energy imbalance is highlighted by an average daily electricity gap of 4.7 million kWh, which can reach 7.5 million kWh on hot summer days8. In response, the Pakistan government is actively advocating for a transition to sustainable and renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power, in order to address acute electricity shortages. Currently, renewable energy accounts for a small portion of Pakistan’s overall energy mix, with the country relying heavily on fossil fuels to cover its energy needs. This reliance on fossil fuels not only puts a tremendous strain on the national economy, but also creates a number of environmental issues, such as the greenhouse effect, CO2 emissions, global warming, and unpredictable weather patterns. Furthermore, the continued use of fossil fuels depletes natural resources at an alarming rate. As a result, there is an urgent need to develop a new energy economy in which renewable sources such as wind, solar, and biomass take center stage. This transformation not only offers to minimize the import expense linked with fossil fuels, but it also promises to address the current climate-related concerns. Pakistan’s energy problem is mostly caused by the country’s dependency on thermal resources such as coal, oil, and natural gas, all of which are not only expensive but also in limited supply9. Furthermore, hydroelectricity, which was formerly a considerable source, has recently declined in importance. Renewable energy sources, on the other hand, currently account for only 0.3% of the country’s energy needs, a fraction too small to relieve the situation10. Solar energy emerges as a powerful solution to these difficulties among the diversity of renewable energy options11. Globally, it has positioned itself as the most cost-effective technology, with the ability to transform Pakistan’s energy landscape. Large-scale solar photovoltaic and wind turbine projects have assumed precedence in Pakistan’s Sustainable Action Plan 200912, which was amended in 2013, owing to falling technology costs. These semiconductors incorporated within solar modules provide a dependable, maintenance-free, and environmentally beneficial source of energy that is adaptable to changing climatic circumstances. In the following parts, we will go deeper into the literature, investigating the history and possibilities of solar energy in Pakistan, and charting a course toward a more sustainable and energy-rich future. Figure 1 depicts a combined line graph illustrating key solar parameters for various locations in Pakistan (Direct Normal Irradiation—DNI, Specific Photovoltaic Power Output—PVOUT, Global Horizontal Irradiation—GHI, Diffuse Horizontal Irradiation—DIF, and Global Tilted Irradiation at Optimum Angle—GTI opta). The data was sorted in ascending order based on DNI values, allowing for a clear comparison of solar resource potential across different locations. Kharan has the greatest GTI opta rating among these places, while simultaneously having the best DNI, GHI, and PVOUT value, indicating ideal conditions for solar energy generation. Nawabshah has the greatest DIF. This graph depicts how these factors vary among places, highlighting the specific regions in Pakistan with the greatest solar resource potential. Figure 2(a)) depicts an aerial map of Islamabad’s National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST). Meanwhile, Fig. 2(b) depicts the solar PV potential map for this specific area. These maps demonstrate Islamabad’s enormous solar energy potential, making it a desirable place for electricity production via solar PV installations.
Solar resource variability in different regions of Pakistan.
(a) Aerial map of NUST. (b) Solar PV power potential. (Source: Google Maps, 2024. Used under principles of fair use for educational and non-commercial purposes. Available from: https://www.google.com/maps).
Pakistan’s electricity generation is mostly based on oil, gas, hydropower, and nuclear energy, which contribute 35.3%, 29.1%, 30%, and 5.5%, respectively, to total power production13. Despite considerable domestic coal deposits, the usage of coal is modest, accounting for barely 0.1% of the energy mix but since Pakistan has a large potential for solar energy, getting an annual average of 1900–2200 kWh/m2 of global solar radiation14. Pakistan’s steady solar radiation dispersion favors solar energy uses15. Various photovoltaic modules and system schemes have been investigated, making renewable energy system planning easier16. Techno-economic feasibility studies have been critical in examining the performance of low-cost renewable energy systems in Pakistan, particularly off-grid solutions for small loads17. Pakistan has an estimated solar energy reserve of up to 100,000 MW due to its ample sunshine7. Recognizing the potential of solar energy, the government prioritized the Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park project in Bahawalpur, Punjab. Pakistan updated its grid code and standard project documentation in March 2013 to encourage the development of solar power plants, offering incentives such as tax breaks and an 18.5% return on investment to entice investors18. These activities are in line with the country’s aim of reducing carbon emissions and managing electricity supply issues. Pakistan adopted legislation favoring hydropower, wind power, and photovoltaic energy to hasten the shift to renewable energy sources19. Collaboration with the US government and the World Bank has resulted in geographical solar energy and wind resource mapping studies that highlight Pakistan’s tremendous solar power potential, estimated at around 1600 GW, with certain places rivalling the world’s highest MENA region20. The need of well-maintained weather stations of accuracy was underlined in these investigations. Furthermore, talks on grid-connected PV power systems in rural communities, as well as the necessity for a realistic energy strategy, underscore Pakistan’s commitment to a sustainable energy future. Despite an increase in private thermal-based independent power plants, Pakistan’s power generation capacity was challenged by a financial crisis, resulting in a peak power shortfall of 4743 MW during the summer season2,21. This scene emphasizes the importance of continuing efforts to expand renewable energy and construct robust power infrastructure for long-term growth. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global solar PV capacity reached 402 gigatonnes (GW) at the end of 2017, with projections showing an additional development of nearly 580 GW, cementing its position as a frontrunner in renewable power capacity growth22. Akram et al.23 investigated the complexities of institutional and technical impediments to solar energy adoption in a separate study. Over the last two decades, the European Commission has invested heavily in solar energy research in order to reduce pollution, reduce carbon emissions, improve energy security, and diversify European nations’ energy portfolios. The difference-in-differences (DID) methodology was used by24 to examine the impact of emission trading systems (ETS) on economic growth and carbon emissions. Their research advocated carbon trading policies based on renewable energy projects. Akhtar et al.25 did a cost-saving comparison before and after the deployment of cost-saving certified emission reduction (CCER) systems. Over the last two decades, the European Commission has invested heavily in solar energy research in order to reduce pollution, reduce carbon emissions, improve energy security, and diversify European nations’ energy portfolios. Queseda et al.26 used the Sigma Plot optimization tool to estimate parameters in the logistic model, which performed better than linear models. Khatri et al.27 demonstrated that logistic modeling is a reliable tool for estimating and projecting data over long periods of time and has been applied in various domains. References28,29,30,31 used machine learning algorithms to measure global solar radiation and forecast diffuse solar radiation for the humid-subtropical climatic zone. Ur Rehman et al.32 designed an off-grid PV system for household users, demonstrating the diverse application of solar energy modeling and research. Raza et al.33 used Pakistan’s Logarithmic Mean Division Index to conduct a comprehensive analysis of CO2 emissions from electricity generation from 1978 to 2017. According to projections, the electricity industry alone will produce around 277.9 million metric tons of CO2 emissions by 2035.Grainger et al.34 calculated the baseline emission factor for the power production sector by considering characteristics such as annual fossil fuel consumption net efficiencies, annual energy outputs, and carbon emissions. Their findings provided a weighted average baseline emissions factor of 0.606 tons of CO2/MWh for wind and solar power projects in Pakistan, underlining the potential for carbon emissions reductions through renewable-based power projects. A 5 MW SPV power plant was designed using PVsyst software for 50 Iranian cities, with Bushier having the highest capacity factor and Anzali having the lowest, for a mean capacity factor of 22.27%35. In Serbia36, studies were conducted to estimate the potential for producing electricity using 1 MW solar power plants employing the various types of solar PV modules available, and it was discovered that CdTe solar modules produce more electricity. Elhodeiby et al.37 provided a performance analysis of a 3.6 kW rooftop grid-connected solar photovoltaic system in Egypt. All the electricity generated by the system was routed into the 220 V, 50 Hz low voltage grid and monitored for a year. Veerendra Kumar et al.38 in 2018 and 2019, the United States (USA) produced 10.6 GW and 13.3 GW of solar photovoltaic (PV) panels, respectively. The cumulative operating photovoltaic capacity in the United States topped 76 GWDC by the end of 2019, up from just 1 GW at the end of 2009. Under the framework of research and development, the International Energy Agency (IEA) Photovoltaic Power Systems Programme (PVPS) has specified a set of 13 aims for the expansion of operation, performance, and monitoring of solar photovoltaic plants. Recently, large-scale photovoltaic power plant studies have been done39. References40,41 did a study on solar power plants (1523 kW and multi-MW) located in the Canaries (Spain), they discovered that the measured specific yields were within 3% of the simulated findings, these solar power plants were meticulously managed and located in the best possible places. Researchers utilized PVsyst to examine the potential of 44 Saudi Arabian locations for grid-connected solar power plants with a 10 MW installed capacity. The tool assisted them in forecasting energy output, greenhouse gas GHG) emissions, and financial aspects of the proposed solar power plants42. According to Satsangi et al.43 Indian 40 kWp GIPV system had photovoltaic array efficiency of 9.36%, inverter efficiency of 90.9%, and overall system efficiency of 8.51%. In another study44, Antonanzas et al. assessed a 12-kW solar power plant using the International Solar Project Model. They discovered that the best-case scenario for this plant was to meet power demand using 27% solar energy and 73% grid electricity. They were able to achieve a minimum reduction in greenhouse gas emissions of 23 t of CO2 per year by using this strategy. A structured methodology was utilized to examine the integration of solar plants into weak distribution systems in grid connection studies45. The performance ratios, yield energies, reference energies, capacity utilization factors, and energy efficiency of various solar photovoltaic systems were also examined46. Various research projects throughout the world have conducted detailed studies of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems, revealing light on their performance in a variety of climates and situations for instance in Pakistan, operating in a similar semi-arid environment, studies found that TF-Si technology outperformed OPV, CIGS, and TF-Si systems inside a 100 MW installation, particularly in humid conditions47. In a 13 MW configuration using bifacial and CIGS technologies, energy generation in South Korea’s semi-arid region was slightly lower than expected48. In Iran’s arid desert, a 10 MW installation using Poly-Si, A-Si, and OPV technologies revealed that the highest maximum power output occurred in July, with OPV having a significant advantage49. In Sweden, the study investigated hybrid systems integrating CIGS, Mono-Si, and Poly-Si technologies, finding promise for improvement but recognizing the problem of competing with traditional PV modules and flat plate collectors50. Meanwhile, in Spain’s sun-drenched expanse, the inquiry spans six power facilities outfitted with a variety of PV technologies and tracking systems, including fixed tilt, single-axis, and dual-axis setups51. Singapore, known for its tropical climate, used modeling findings to determine the best placements and inclinations for solar panels, focusing on east-facing façades and panel slopes of 30 and 40 degrees52. Maritime Germany’s exploration of power plants, on the other hand, found that panels with 95% bifaciality outperformed those with 50%, boasting an amazing 7% gain in yield53. Utility-scale comparison studies of photovoltaic (PV) systems have been done to discover the most efficient module technology54. In Kuwait, for example, an 11.15 MW solar PV plant was examined, with two PV technologies pitted against each other: a 5.5 MW thin-film installation and a 5.6 MW polycrystalline silicon installation. This comparison investigation revealed no major differences between the two methods55. Individual modules were also subjected to rigorous testing, with the module performance ratio (PR) for 23 different solar module technologies assessed across four different sites over the course of a year56. Burssens et al.57 conducted a comprehensive assessment of eight PV technologies in Belgium under difficult climate circumstances. Their findings revealed that monocrystalline silicon (mono-Si), polycrystalline silicon (poly-Si), and heterojunction (HIT) modules performed best in high irradiance environments, while CIGS modules performed well in low irradiance areas. Building-integrated photovoltaics, bifacial modules with different orientations, microgrids, car park shelters, and rooftop systems were also investigated, these studies contribute to a better knowledge of PV technology performance in various circumstances, assisting in the development of more efficient solar energy systems58,59.
Climate change is an obvious truth, and Pakistan is one of the countries hardest hit by its impacts. The country has the formidable task of combating climate change, with climate-related calamities taking countless lives and causing significant economic losses each year60. Pakistan’s energy and power industries have long been substantial contributors to Greenhouse Gas emissions, owing to the country’s strong reliance on fossil fuels for electricity generation. The answer to reducing these emissions is to switch to cleaner and renewable energy sources61. It should be noted that the economic rewards from such activities frequently do not fully pay the expenditures of emission reduction. Climate finance instruments, such as the Clean Development Mechanism, can help to promote the adoption of renewable energy technologies (RET) that reduce emissions. The overuse of fossil fuels is a major driver of this transformation. Carbon-based fossil fuel combustion not only generates CO2 but also a variety of pollutants, including particulate matter, worsening climate change62. Notably, the energy sector bears a disproportionate share of the burden, accounting for nearly three-quarters of carbon dioxide emissions, one-fifth of methane emissions, and a significant amount of nitrous oxide. According to World Bank data63, Pakistan’s carbon emissions have increased dramatically during the 1980s, with an annual growth rate of roughly 6.4%. While the pace of growth slowed after 2004, it remained above the global average, with emissions totaling 432.50 million tons (Mt) of CO2 equivalent in 2019 and 679.34 million tons (Mt) in 2022. Photovoltaic power plants, an important component of renewable energy, have enormous potential for lowering carbon emissions and improving the environment. Their impact on the environment is fairly minor. This study adopts the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)64 technique for computing marginal carbon emissions to analyze the carbon emission reductions resulting from investments in photovoltaic power. Given Pakistan’s high electricity demand, cumulative electricity generation from prioritized photovoltaic power projects over their operational lives might reach a mind-boggling 50.15 billion kWh, enough to power over 250,000 local houses65. When the power generation data for each solar power project is combined with the marginal carbon emission factors, the average yearly carbon emission reduction ascribed to these priority projects is predicted to be 28.23 million tons (Mt) of CO2-equivalent. This overall carbon emission decrease totals an astonishing 27.45 million tons (Mt) of CO2-equivalent throughout the 25-year service span66. This illustrates the significant environmental advantages and carbon emission reductions feasible through investments in photovoltaic power installations, underlining their critical role in Pakistan’s fight against climate change.
The International Energy Agency developed the performance measures to assess the efficiency of grid-connected solar PV installations67,68. These characteristics include energy output, solar resource usage, and total system losses, allowing for a full assessment of the system’s performance. The performance ratio, final PV system yield, and reference yield are among the essential criteria examined. These indicators add up to a full assessment of the solar PV system’s ability to harness solar energy and its overall efficiency in turning sunshine into electricity. Within the scope of our analysis, the most relevant parameters include energy output, array yield, final yield, reference yield, module efficiency, inverter efficiency, system efficiency, energy loss (comprising array capture loss and system loss), performance ratio, and capacity factor. These standardized indicators, recognized as essential benchmarks, form the basis for evaluating the performance of our large-scale photovoltaic power plant allowing for an effective and comparative assessment of its efficiency and productivity. The “Array Yield” is the time it takes the PV plant to produce array DC energy (Ea) at its nominal solar generator power (Po). The values are kilowatt-hours per day per kilowatt peak (kWp). This statistic is used to assess the efficiency and productivity of a PV plant, taking into account variations in solar resource availability and system performance (1), (2)69,
The “Reference Yield” is determined by dividing the total in-plane irradiance by the reference irradiance. It quantifies the peak sun hours or insolation in units of kWh/m2 and characterizes the solar radiation resource accessible to the system (3), (4)69. It represents the obtainable energy under ideal conditions. The reference yield describes the solar radiation resource for the PV. system and is affected by the PV array’s position, orientation, and month-to-month and year-to-year weather fluctuation. The reference yield is influenced by factors such as the geographical location and orientation of the photovoltaic array, as well as the variability in weather conditions both on a monthly and annual basis70,71,
where, Ht = Total Horizontal irradiance on array plane (W h/m2) and Go = Global irradiance at STC (W/m2).
The term ‘Final Yield’ (YF) refers to the total alternating current (AC) energy produced by the PV system over a specified time period. It represents the number of hours the PV array would have to run at maximum capacity to generate the same quantity of electricity. This parameter is crucial in determining the efficiency and performance of a solar PV system (5)72,
The capacity factor is an important parameter in assessing the overall performance and productivity of a power generation system, showing its ability to produce energy consistently through time. The inverter efficiency, also known as conversion efficiency, is determined by the ratio of AC power generated by the inverter to DC power produced by the PV array system, and the system efficiency is calculated as PV module efficiency multiplied by inverter efficiency, (6)–(9)72,
Natural energy losses occur in different components of a grid-connected Solar Photovoltaic (SPV) power plant operating under real-world conditions. The monitored data generated from the system’s performance is used to analyze these inherent losses. Energy losses in solar photovoltaic (SPV) power plants are unavoidable due to a variety of variables. Understanding and correcting these inefficiencies is critical for improving plant efficiency and energy generation. Monitoring effectively delivers vital insights for improved performance (10)72,
These losses are attributed to cell temperatures surpassing 25 °C, leading to thermal inefficiencies. The thermal capture loss (LCT) is quantified as the difference between the reference field and the corrected reference field (11), (12)72,
Losses generated by energy conduction within the photovoltaic modules contribute to miscellaneous capture loss (LCM). Addressing these diverse factors plays a crucial role in minimizing losses and optimizing the SPV power plant’s overall performance.
To estimate the carbon footprint reduction achieved by the solar power plant, we used PVsyst software to simulate the system’s performance and calculate the avoided CO2 emissions. The software uses the following equations to compute the CO2 reduction (13)-(15)73,74,
Where AEP represents the annual energy production in kWh/year, the installed capacity is in kWp, and the specific yield is in kWh/kWp/year. The CO2 emission reduction is measured in tons per year, the emission factor is in kg CO2 per kWh, the total CO2 savings are in tons, and the plant lifetime is measured in years.
The carbon footprint reduction per installed kWp is measured in tons of CO2 per kWp, and the annual CO2 reduction per kWp is measured in tons/kWp/year (16) and (17)73,74,
We started with 13 possibilities in our search for the best PV panels for our solar plant (Longi Solar, Mitsubishi, Panasonic, Samsung, Solar Frontier, Solimpeks, Kyocera, KDG Energy, JP Solar, JinkoSolar, Hulk Energy Technology (HET), Helios USA, Ferrania Solis). These options were thoroughly evaluated based on the following major criteria (efficiency, cost, warranty, compatibility, monitoring, cost-effectiveness, safety, and environmental impact) mentioned in Fig. 3a as C1, C2, C3…., C8. Our data-driven methodology gave each criterion an equal weight of 8 points. Longi Solar emerged as the best option after this evaluation. While Solimpeks and Kyocera were less expensive, they had restrictions. Mitsubishi Electric excelled in capacity but had to make sacrifices. Solar Frontier outperformed in terms of environmental performance but suffered efficiency and compatibility issues. This thorough methodology offers a data-backed selection customized to your long-term energy objectives.
Decision matrix for the selection of (a) solar PV, (b) inverter.
We started with 17 possibilities in our search for the best inverter for our solar plant. These inverters, which included respectable names like Huawei Technologies, Azzurro ZCS, BYD, Cefem Solar System, Delta Energy, GE Solar, Hyundai, Mitsubishi Electric, Satcon, Sepsa, SofarSolar, Tabuchi Electric, and Turbo Energy, were meticulously scrutinized across a matrix of critical criteria. These criteria included Inverter Efficiency, Capacity and Sizing, Reliability and Warranty, Compatibility, Monitoring and Communication, Cost and Budget, Safety and Grid Compliance, and Environmental Impact mentioned in the Fig. 3 (b) as C1, C2, C3…., C8. Using an equal weight of 8 points for each criterion, our data-driven review highlighted the advantages and disadvantages of each inverter option. While Huawei Technologies emerged as the clear winner, with superior performance in all areas, it’s important to note that alternatives such as Sepsa, SofarSolar, Tabuchi Electric, and Turbo Energy held their own, demonstrating unique capabilities that may correspond with specific project requirements. This rigorous procedure ensures that your selection aligns with your solar energy requirements and environmental goals.
We conducted a thorough analysis utilizing a decision matrix that included different crucial factors required for solar plant installation to pick the optimal site. The evaluation procedure entailed examining three separate sites, namely S1, S2, and S3, based on important characteristics that greatly determine each location’s potential. Solar Irradiance, Space Availability, Proximity to Electrical Infrastructure, Environmental Impact, Cost of Installation, Ground Security, Community Impact, and Maintenance Accessibility were among the criteria considered. The combined line graph (Fig. 4) provide a clear and instructive visual picture of how each site performed in relation to these critical criteria. Site S2 consistently outperformed, receiving the top marks across the bulk of the tested categories. Notably, it outperformed in Solar Irradiance, Space Availability, Proximity to Electrical Infrastructure, and Environmental Impact. Because of this aggregate strength, Site S2 is a particularly advantageous location for solar plant development, providing excellent conditions for efficient energy generation. Site S1, while not outperforming S2, performed admirably in numerous areas, particularly Solar Irradiance, Proximity to Electrical Infrastructure, and Community Impact. Site S3, on the other hand, while showing potential in terms of Solar Irradiance and Community Impact, confronts problems in terms of Space Availability, Installation Cost, and Environmental Impact. In conclusion, this comprehensive analysis and the resulting graphical representation enable decision-makers to make well-informed choices when selecting the most suitable site for solar plant installation, Site S2 emerges as the preferred choice, presenting a harmonious balance of favorable criteria that aligns with the project’s objectives and environmental considerations.
Comparison of criteria for given 3 sites for the SPV at NUST.
The schematic diagram in Fig. 5 outlines the layout of an advanced 8.79 MW solar power facility at the National Sciences and Technology Park (NSTP) within the National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) in Islamabad, Pakistan. PV modules efficiently gather solar energy and convert it from direct current (DC) to alternating current (AC) power utilizing modern inverters and transformers. High-tension switchgear guarantees that energy is transferred seamlessly to the 33 kV input/output (I/O) switchyard, where it is metered before being integrated into the utility grid. The lower half focuses on the generator-grid link, which is regulated by a control system that includes power conditioning for quality assurance. This design maximizes energy generating efficiency while avoiding the need for substantial storage. The geographical location of small, isolated power systems has a considerable impact on performance, with local climate influencing module temperature and energy generation. Precise modeling, including regression analysis, allows for production forecasting, grid integration, and system health prediction, all of which improve overall sustainability.
Layout of 8.79 MW gid-connected solar power plant at NUST.
The National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) in Islamabad, which is located at 33.647279° latitude and 72.99987° longitude, provides a strategic advantage due to its copious year-round sun radiation. Islamabad has consistently high insolation levels, with approximately 2945 h of annual sunshine, which equates to over 6400 trillion kWh of solar energy potential. The detailed yearly climate data is illustrated in Table 1. Furthermore, the region’s high temperatures, which can reach 45.5 °C, contribute to its aptitude for solar power generation. For solar panels in Pakistan, the ideal direction is generally south facing, which corresponds to an azimuth angle of approximately 180°. There is no land rent since the site location is the property and falls under the premises of the National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST). Global horizontal radiation, horizontal diffuse irradiation and global horizontal irradiation, clear sky is shown in Fig. 6(a), while the sun path and solar azimuths in Fig. 6(b). The proposed plant is located at the Northeast of the National Sciences and Technology Park (NSTP) (Fig. 7) and the map data of the selected site is shown in Table 2.
(a) Global horizontal, and horizontal diffuse irradiation. (b) Sun path and solar angles.
Aerial view of the proposed site location for the SPV (Source: Google Maps, 2024. Used under principles of fair use for educational and non-commercial purposes. Available from: https://www.google.com/maps).
The 11.5 MW solar power facility at NUST, Islamabad, covers 9.36 acres of land and is divided into six strategic blocks, which are further subdivided into twelve sub-blocks totaling 8.79 MW capacity. The system efficiently integrates AC power into the 33 kV grid via a double fed primary winding transformer with 96 × 8 strings in Block A and 40 × 9 strings in Block B, which are coupled to inverters via string combiner boxes. This plant is extremely adaptable, collecting power from the grid during low solar radiation periods to ensure uninterrupted power supply. Its substantial battery storage improves energy stability, cementing its position as a dependable and versatile energy source.
The tilt angle of the PV array is kept equal to the latitude of the corresponding location to get maximum solar radiation75. Figure 8 provides an interesting analysis of tilt angle selection and its impact on solar irradiance levels throughout the year in the context of our study on solar energy optimization. This image is made up of numerous crucial aspects, each of which helps us grasp this critical aspect of solar energy generation. The blue line depicts the baseline irradiance levels without any tilt angle modifications. This line graphically depicts the natural change in solar exposure that occurs throughout the year. The green line then shows the impact of using a fixed tilt angle of 29.5°. This consistent tilt angle modifies the solar irradiance pattern, resulting in a consistent but altered level of solar energy throughout the year. Finally, the orange line emphasizes the system’s adaptability through varied tilt changes, it shows how the sun irradiance levels adapt to shifting angles, providing important insights into the system’s adaptability. This chart shows the variable tilt angles in degrees, and it serves as a visual reference for the modifications we performed in our analysis. The combined depiction in Fig. 8 is a valuable tool for determining the sort of tilt system to be utilized, whether it is fixed or seasonal tilt, and the best tilt angle to optimize solar energy output across all seasons. Furthermore, our research found that using seasonal tilt angles resulted in a 36.31% increase in solar irradiation when compared to no tilt scenarios. Furthermore, the average percentage change in irradiance between seasonal tilt and fixed tilt was discovered to be 16.59%, highlighting the advantages of an adaptive tilt strategy for increased solar energy efficiency.
Comparative analysis of solar irradiance levels and tilt angle adjustments over months.
The monthly electrical consumption data for the National Sciences and Technology Park (NSTP) at the National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) solar power plant in Islamabad, Pakistan, shows significant seasonal changes. These swings in consumption are directly related to seasonal and environmental change (Fig. 9). Lower demand is seen during the winter months, gradually increasing when spring arrives, and peaking during the hot summer months. As the year passes and temperatures fall, so does the power demand, which reaches its lowest point in the fall and early winter. These fluctuations in monthly electrical consumption are critical in optimizing the performance of the solar power plant and providing a continuous energy supply in response to seasonal variations.
Monthly electricity consumption at the National Sciences and Technology Park (NSTP), NUST in MWh.
The solar panels used in this system are Longi_LR5-72_HTH_600M by Longi Solar 14,664 modules, boasting 600 Wp power output detailed specifications in (Table 3) measured at the standard testing conditions which are irradiance of 1000/m2, air mass 1.5 g, and cell temperature of 25 °C. These monocrystalline silicon panels were chosen because they are more efficient than other cell types, such as polycrystalline and amorphous silicon. Aluminum frame, Tempered AR glass structures with glass foil, Jbox IP 68, MC4 EVO2 or mateable HPBC Half-Cut connections. With a 3.5-meter structure-to-structure and leg center-to-center distance, as well as small 35-mm gaps between neighboring panels, the work stresses precision. The ground and the bottom module edge are separated by 450 mm. Regular bi-monthly cleaning and high-density encapsulation technologies improve performance by 0.019–0.230%. Figure 10 depicts the critical model parameters for our investigation. In (a), (b), and (c), we detail the shunt resistance (Rsh) at 280 ohms, the series resistance model (Rs) at 0.231 ohms (with a maximum of 0.235 ohms), the apparent dV/dI at 0.37 ohms, the diode saturation current (IoRef) at 0.019 nA, and the diode quality factor (Gamma) at 1.003. In Fig. 11, (a) shows the exponential behavior of Rsh as a function of incident irradiance, with Rshunt set to 1400 ohms and an exponential value of 5.5. (b) shows the temperature coefficients muPMax and muVoc, emphasizing their gamma dependence and serving as critical output parameters for the classic one-diode model, and (c) shows the incidence angle modifier’s behavior on the effective profile. Similarly, Fig. 12 shows the current vs. voltage behavior of (a) Incident irradiation (b) cell temperature, and (c) series resistance and Pmpp. Figure 13 shows power vs. voltage behavior of (a) incident irradiation (b) cell temperature, and (c) series resistance and Pmpp. Figure 14 illustrates the efficiency at power behavior of (a) incident irradiation and cell temperature (b) cell temperature and incident global irradiation, and (c) shunt resistance and incident global irradiation. These factors are essential for comprehending our system’s behavior. This all-encompassing approach provides maximum energy generation and system efficiency.
(a) I/V curve. (b) P/V curve, and (c) relative efficiency.
(a) Rshunt exponential as irradiance. (b) Voltage and power with module temperature, and (c) Incidence angle modifier.
Current vs. voltage behavior of (a) Incident irradiation. (b) Cell temperature, and (c) Series resistance and Pmpp.
Power vs. voltage behavior of (a) Incident irradiation. (b) Cell temperature, and (c) Series resistance and Pmpp.
Efficiency at power behavior of (a) incident irradiation and cell temperature, (b) cell temperature and incident global irradiation, and (c). shunt resistance and incident global irradiation.
In this grid-tied solar photovoltaic (PV) system, the inverters play a crucial role in converting DC power into AC power. The Huawei Technologies SUN2000-50KTL-M3-380 V, H inverter was chosen. It has a 380 V operating voltage and a dual stage, detailed specifications in Table 4 measured at the standard testing conditions which are irradiance of 1000/m2, air mass of 1.5 g, and cell temperature of 25 °C. LED indicators, integrated WLAN compatibility, and the FusionSolar APP for monitoring are among the control features. This inverter works with SUN2000 1100/1300 W optimizers. The system in Fig. 15 operates at a medium voltage of 611 V and has an amazing inverter efficiency of 98.26%. The configuration is intended for an average temperature of 23.1 °C. It has a high-power factor (cos) of 1.00 and tan values that ensure optimal performance. At about 35 °C, the inverter handles an apparent power of KVA and generates a nominal AC power of 50 KVA, with a maximum AC power output of 55 KVA. For safety reasons, the power limiter is set at 45.5 kWac at 50 °C and 38.2 kWac at 60 °C. Four MPPT inputs, 5.5 W night consumption, Isol monitoring, a DC switch, and adjustable ENS and AC disconnect options are also included. This all-encompassing approach provides maximum energy generation and system efficiency for this solar plant.
Power in DC comparison with (a) Top left—efficiency power in (b) top right—efficiency power out (c) bottom left—power out in AC, and (d) bottom right—maximum power with temperature.
This 8.78 MW solar power plant’s transformer is rated at 1.5 MVA and has the Vector group designation DY5Y5 four-winding transformer (double story transformer). It has a 390 V primary voltage and is directly connected to the 33 kV switchyard on the secondary side. The primary current rating is 2.24 A, and the secondary current rating is 980 A, proving its capacity to handle power needs efficiently. The transformer has an excellent efficiency of around 96.45%, which ensures low energy losses during conversion. It works at a nominal power of 9.65 MVA under standard test conditions (STC), with an iron loss of 1158 kVA, or around 12% of the nominal power. The copper loss is 113.33 kVA, which is equal to 100% of the nominal power, and the coils have an equivalent resistance of 3 × 0.27 m s.
A weather monitoring station situated adjacent to the power plant in the (Southwestern Edge) records data on wind speed, ambient temperature, and solar radiation (Fig. 9). The control room of the solar power plant is outfitted with cutting-edge equipment for real-time monitoring and optimization. A SCADA system provides precise control, while data analytics software analyzes sensor data for trend analysis and maintenance forecasting. Data transfer is ensured by communication infrastructure, and the facility is protected by security mechanisms. An Energy Management System (EMS) manages energy distribution, while predictive maintenance technologies maintain component health and an easy-to-use Human-Machine Interface (HMI) assists operators. Backup power systems ensure continuous operation, allowing for efficient and dependable energy generation.
The amount of solar energy received per unit area, known as solar irradiance, has a considerable impact on the peak power production of solar modules. Higher irradiance levels result in enhanced power generation, while lower levels result in decreased output. The link between temperature and power output, on the other hand, is more complicated. Even with enough solar exposure, rising temperatures cause a decrease in power output above a particular threshold. This temperature-related effect must be taken into account for improving solar system performance. Furthermore, even with constant solar irradiation, power generation drops significantly as the ambient temperature rises due to thermal characteristics. Understanding the relationship between sun irradiance, temperature, and power production is critical for increasing energy efficiency in the design and operation of solar power systems.
The annual global horizontal irradiation is 802.04 kWh/m2, and the global incident energy incident on the collector plane annually is 1580 kWh/m2. The total energy obtained from the output of the PV array is 12,343,298 kWh, the effective grid value comes out to be 11,539,692 kWh, the effective solar value is 559,187 kWh and the effective energy to the grid is 6,715 kWh (Table 5). The annual efficiency (Eout) of the PV array concerning the rough area is 21.42%. Figure 16 depicts a thorough overview of major solar PV system performance parameters. The particular Eout array for the rough region is estimated at 0.1815, stressing its potential for energy generation, whereas the specific Eout array for the cell area is observed at 0.0001. The inverter efficiency, which averages 0.9786, demonstrates the system’s efficiency in converting generated energy. The worldwide incident on the collector plane, which averaged 1681 kWh/m2, demonstrates the abundance of solar radiation accessible for energy production. Throughout the year, the sky diffuse incident in the collection plane averaged 459.7, emphasizing diffuse radiation contributions. The Incident Angle Modifier (IAM) value for global radiation is 0.9810, indicating that the system is adaptable to different sun angles, but the IAM factor for circumsolar radiation is 1, indicating that optimal collection from direct sunlight is achieved. With a soiling factor of 0.9000, the system’s cleanliness is critical to its functioning. During operation, the average module temperature is 35.57 degrees Celsius, which has an impact on total efficiency. Finally, the array runs for an average of 3910 h every year, evenly spreading energy output across the months. The dynamic behavior of the average module temperature during system operation is depicted in (f analysis takes a multidimensional approach, taking into account many elements and trends. The impact of an effective global correction factor on module temperature is shown in Figure (a), emphasizing the relevance of this parameter in system performance. We investigate how the number of occurrences affects temperature patterns in subfigure (b), revealing light on the temporal aspects of system operation. (c) and (d) shed light on the relationship between useful system energy and global incident energy, as well as the proportion of useful system energy in the overall context. These visualizations, when combined, provide a full view of module temperature dynamics and lead to a better understanding of system behavior during operation. These insights provide a comprehensive picture of the system’s performance and efficiency. Figure 17 shows the behavior of average module temperature during operation with (a) effective global correction factor, (b) number of occurrences, (c) useful system energy vs. global incident energy, and (d) percentage of useful system energy.
Behavior of major performance parameters of solar power plant.
Behavior of average module temperature during running with (a) Top left—effective global correction factor (b) top right—number of occurrences (c) bottom left—Useful system energy vs. global incident energy, and (d) bottom right—percentage of useful system energy.
The information shown here indicates the monthly performance coefficients for a solar power system over a range of factors. When the trends are examined (Fig. 18), it is clear that the solar irradiance, denoted by Yr (kWh/m2/day), normally rises from February to June, indicating greater solar energy availability during the spring and early summer months. In contrast, it falls from July to December, with the lowest values recorded in December, which corresponds to the winter season. The Lc (kWh/kWp/day) numbers, which measure energy yield per unit installed capacity, follow a similar pattern, with the highest values occurring in May and June and the lowest in December. Similarly, the Ya (kWh/kWp/day) numbers, which indicate the actual energy production efficiency of the solar panels, show a seasonal tendency. Ls (kWh/kWp/day), on the other hand, represents the losses caused by shade or other causes. With minor deviations, these values remain largely stable throughout the year. Yf (kWh/kWp/day) represents energy delivered to the grid and has a similar trend to Ya, with the highest values in May and June. The variables Lcr (ratio), Lsr (ratio), and PR (ratio) represent various system performance ratios. Throughout the year, they remain rather steady. Overall, the data indicates that the solar power system is most efficient throughout the spring and early summer months, with efficiency decreasing over the winter season due to reduced solar irradiation and shorter daylight hours. Daily irradiance (Yr) averages 4.88 kWh/m2, with an energy yield (Lc) of 1.01 kWh/kWp. The average energy available for capture (Ya) is 3.77 kWh/kWp, and shading losses (Ls) are 0.10 kWh/kWp. The total energy production (Yf) is 3.88 kWh/kWp. Loss ratios (Lcr and Lsr) remain low at 0.211 and 0.019, assuring dependability. The average performance ratio (‘PR’) is 0.767 or 76.7%, indicating efficient energy conversion.
Trends of important performance coefficients for our solar power plant at NUST.
The LC value (Loss of Collector) for the PV array is 1.1 kWh/kWp/day, whereas the LS value (Loss of System) for the entire system, including inverters and other components, is 0.08 kWh/kWp/day. In addition to these data, the YF value (Yield Factor), which includes inverter output, is 3.85 kWh/kWp/day. These data are important in evaluating the overall performance and efficiency of the solar PV system, as shown in (Fig. 19). It’s worth mentioning that the system’s average reference incident energy is 5.033 kWh/m2/day, which serves as a baseline for assessing its energy generation capabilities and system losses. These insights aid in optimizing the system’s performance and energy production.
Comprehensive assessment of solar PV system performance, losses, and efficiency metrics.
The global horizontal irradiance measures 1503 kW h/m2, while the effective irradiation on the collector plane is 1484 kW h/m2, as a result, there is an 11.8% loss in energy. The solar energy incident on the solar panels is converted into electrical energy. After the PV conversion process, the nominal array energy amounts to 13,367,557 kWh. The PV array achieves an efficiency of 21.42% under standard test conditions (STC). The array’s virtual energy obtained is 11,561,564 kWh with 4.85% module degradation loss, 0.78% PV loss due to irradiance level, 4.86% PV loss due to temperature, 0.75% module quality loss, 3.57% mismatch loss including the degradation dispersion, and 0.89% ohmic wiring loss. Factoring in inverter losses, the final available energy at the inverter output is 11,312,423 kWh and 10,756,458 kWh ready for the grid (Fig. 20).
Detailed loss diagram for complete system.
Some of the power generated by the solar plant is used for internal purposes. The power output varies daily depending on radiation levels, but the consumption for the plant’s load remains constant, day or night. The goal is to have a large gap between energy export and consumption. The solar plant utilizes 140 kWh during the day and 230 kWh at night. The notion of net metering is used to calculate the electricity utilized by internal utilities as well as the power exported to the grid. Furthermore, power usage is controlled by solar radiation, and the facility records daily and nocturnal use. Power generation may be halted due to poor weather circumstances such as heavy rainfall or low radiation.
The “Performance Ratio” is calculated by dividing the final yield by the reference yield. It serves as a comparison metric, indicating the plant’s actual output relative to its potential output, considering various factors such as irradiation, panel temperature, grid availability, aperture area size, nominal power output, and temperature correction values. The performance ratio provides valuable insights into the efficiency and effectiveness of the solar PV plant, reflecting how well it utilizes available solar resources and performs under real-world conditions76. The annual average value of the Performance Ratio (PR) is approximately 76.18%. The highest PR value recorded was 79.10% in December, while the lowest PR value was 74.6% in June. By analyzing the PR values, system malfunctions can be identified and deducted. The data displays a solar power system’s monthly performance ratio (PR) and capacity utilization factors (CUF) over the course of a year. In terms of PR, the system’s performance is reasonably consistent, with PR values ranging from 74.6% in June to 79.0% in November, with an average PR of around 76.6%. This demonstrates that solar irradiance is converted into electricity with consistent efficiency throughout the year. CUF readings, on the other hand, show a seasonal tendency, with the maximum CUF of 21.78% in July and the lowest of 8.90% in December, reflecting fluctuations in energy generation caused by weather and solar angles. The CUF is roughly 15.09% on an annual basis, illustrating the system’s ability to make effective use of its installed capacity, with higher usage during peak solar months (Fig. 21). These PR and CUF insights aid in evaluating the overall performance and energy production efficiency of the solar power system.
Average performance ratio (PR) and capacity utilization factor (CUF).
In a comprehensive global study, solar PV systems were tested across varied climate conditions, with Pakistan’s semi-arid climate standing out as a good choice (Table 6). The 11.5 MW solar power plant in Pakistan has an excellent Performance Ratio (PR) of 76.18% and a Capacity Factor (CF) of 15.09%. This exceptional combination produces a Reference Yield of around 2,155,442 kWh, proving Pakistan’s proficiency in solar energy usage. Pakistan’s success has been mirrored in other countries, including as Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Chile, each of which has its unique climate and PV technology. Kuwait’s subtropical climate benefits from Poly-Si technology, resulting in a Reference Yield of 3,256,122 kWh. Saudi Arabia obtains an 88.29% PR using Mono-Si technology in its arid desert circumstances, giving in a Reference Yield of 2,648,800 kWh. Meanwhile, Mono-Si technology thrives in Chile’s arid climate, producing an incredible Reference Yield of 2,107,040 kWh. These findings demonstrate PV technologies’ adaptability to a variety of climates, as well as the global significance of solar energy as a sustainable power source. While each area has its own set of challenges and opportunities, these studies demonstrate solar energy’s ability to meet the world’s energy needs while also supporting environmental sustainability. Pakistan’s outstanding success serves as an example for other countries seeking to fully exploit the potential of solar energy.
The completion of an 8.78 MW solar power plant at the National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) is not only a big step toward clean energy, but it is also a significant contributor to reducing carbon footprint. The carbon balancing is predicted to save 75,478.60 tons of CO2 emissions over the course of 18 years, based on calculations performed using PVsyst software, which estimates the environmental impact of solar power installations. This equates to an astounding 4,193.259 tons of CO2 reduction each year, underlining its environmental sustainability even further. Furthermore, the carbon footprint reduction rate per installed kWp is 8.579 tons of CO2 and the annual reduction rate is 0.477 tons of CO2 per kWp.
Our 18-year cost analysis of the NUST power plant project provides useful insights into the project’s financial dynamics. Maintenance expenditures have risen steadily throughout the years, as shown in Fig. 22. According to statistical data, maintenance expenses climb at an annual pace of around 12.2% on average. This graph represents the usual operational costs associated with the operation of a large-scale solar power plant. A cash flow and payback period can be calculated using the known cost of the entire solar system retrofit and is illustrated that within 12 years of the installation, the cash flow will be positive in net profit (Fig. 23). The following assumptions were considered:
No Financial Loans: It is important to highlight that no financial loans were taken to cover the initial investment in the solar system retrofit. As a result, no connected interest rates affect the financial analysis.
Exclusion of Depreciation: For the sake of this analysis, the depreciation of the investment has been ignored, focusing simply on the project’s initial and ongoing financial considerations.
Considerations for Inflation: A yearly inflation rate of 8.26% has been considered in the calculations. This compensates for anticipated buying power depreciation over time, resulting in a more realistic projection of future cash flows.
We stressed financial resiliency considering unplanned maintenance expenditures, system downtime, and changing energy pricing or regulations.
Environmental and social impact: We evaluated environmental and social benefits, such as lower carbon emissions and community impact, in our analysis.
Scalability: We investigated the possibility of future growth for higher energy generation and revenue.
Alternative Investments: We assessed the risk-return profiles of our project and compared them to traditional investments.
Power Price Escalation: To account for the changing energy landscape, the estimates include a 1.6% yearly increase in power prices.
Maintenance Expenses: To sustain operating efficiency, the system’s maintenance expenses have been projected to be 12.2% of the entire initial CAPEX (Capital Expenditure) cost.
Power Tariff Benchmark: The home power tariff in Pakistan is $0.09 per kWh as of 2023.
Sensitivity Analysis: We looked at how changes in variables, such as electricity prices or maintenance expenses, affected project outcomes.
Long-Term Sustainability: We looked beyond repayment to assess the project’s long-term viability.Conclusion.
Financial analysis of solar PV system over 18 years.
Cash flow analysis for solar PV system over 18 years.
An 8.75 MW grid-connected Photovoltaic (PV) system has been proposed for The National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) in Islamabad, Pakistan, in response to the important worldwide issue of climate change. This strategic location, rich in solar resources, makes a compelling case for harnessing clean and sustainable energy. The following are the important themes and findings from our extensive research:
Abundant Solar Resources: Islamabad has a daily solar irradiation of 5.89 kWh/m2 and a solar percentage of 98.99%. This makes it an excellent position for capturing solar energy.
Environmental Impact: Our PV system is expected to avoid 20,000 tons of CO2 emissions over a five-year period, which is equivalent to planting 348,754 teak trees. This emphasizes the system’s enormous environmental advantages.
Electricity Generation at a Low Cost: Our PV system generates electricity at a low cost of 0.0141 US $/kWh, making it a financially feasible and sustainable alternative to traditional energy sources.
Inverter Efficiency: For the project, the Huawei Technologies SUN2000-50KTL-M3-380 V, H inverter with an efficiency of 98.26% was chosen, ensuring optimal energy conversion.
Adaptive Tilt Strategy: Our research found that using seasonal tilt angles increased solar irradiation by 36.31%, improving overall energy efficiency.
High-Efficiency Panels: For their efficiency and longevity, monocrystalline silicon Longi_LR5-72_HTH_600M panels with a power output of 600 Wp were chosen.
Performance Indicators: PR values have regularly ranged from 74.6 to 79.0%, with an average of around 76.6%. The annual average of Capacity Utilization Factor (CUF) values is 15.09%.
Net Metering: A net metering system has been deployed to calculate electricity utilization for internal utilities and power export to the grid, ensuring optimal energy management.
Our findings not only illustrate the enormous potential of grid-connected renewable energy, but also provide useful insights for future sustainable energy programs.
In conclusion, our PV system at NUST, Islamabad, is a promising solution for combating climate change and promoting sustainability. It serves as a paradigm for clean energy adoption by using copious solar resources, innovative technology, and cost-efficiency. This project lays the groundwork for a more environmentally friendly and sustainable future.
The datasets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are not publicly available due to concerns about potential cloning or misuse but are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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The project was carried out in collaboration with the Net Zero Industry Innovation Centre at Teesside University and the U.S.-PAKISTAN Center For Advanced Studies in Energy (USPCASE) at NUST, Islamabad. The authors would like to extend their sincere gratitude to Dr. Philipp Späth from the Institute of Environmental Social Sciences and Geography, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Germany, for his invaluable assistance and insightful discussions during the project. Additionally, special thanks go to Mr. Hasnain Zia from the Department of Mechatronics Engineering, NUST, for his valuable contributions to clerical tasks.
Open access funding provided by University of Gävle.
Department of Mechanical Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan
Shabahat Hasnain Qamar & Khalid Zia Khan
Net Zero Industry Innovation Centre, Teesside University, Ferrous Road, Middlesbrough, TS2 1DJ, UK
Dawid Piotr Hanak
U.S.-PAKISTAN Center for Advanced Studies in Energy (USPCASE), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan
Majid Ali
University of Gävle, Gävle, Sweden
Joao Gomes
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S.Q: Formal analysis, Data Curation, Writing—Original Draft. D.H: Resources, Writing—Review & Editing. M.A: Conceptualization, Supervision. J.G: Validation, Funding acquisition. K.K: Visualization.
Correspondence to Shabahat Hasnain Qamar or Joao Gomes.
The authors declare no competing interests.
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Concern grows over ‘stealthy’ solar farm expansion – farmersweekly.co.nz

Almost 4000 hectares of New Zealand farmland have been leased or sold to foreign-owned solar companies over the past four years without first being offered to New Zealand interests, under exemptions granted by the Overseas Investment Office.
OIO records reveal multiple solar projects over the past four years have included largely leasehold deals with the companies, extending from the Far North to Otago. The total area acquired is 3917ha.
Normally, under overseas investment regulations when overseas interests wish to acquire farmland that is classed as sensitive under the Overseas Investment Act, it must be offered for acquisition on the open market to New Zealanders first. 
The prescriptive rules require at least 30 working days both online and in print.
The scale of the exempted projects leased to overseas interests varies between a 53ha project near Auckland, to a 460ha project this year in Taranaki, leased to Stratford Solar, a joint project between Contact and Lightsource, a global solar energy developer. The  approval of 1536ha to NZ Clean Energy Ltd  does not appear in the latest OIO exemption updates (see accompanying article).
Acquisition of land for solar projects was particularly intense in 2023 when 1750ha was obtained for leasing. 
Solar projects dominate the OIO’s exemptions list, and the office is required to state the reasons for exempting companies from seeking local interest. 
Typically, on most of the exemptions the office states that publicising the property increases risks around alerting the foreign company’s competitors to the location of the project, increasing likelihood of those competitors acquiring it.
In the case of leasehold land it usually also notes the use is temporary, some of it will also still be used for grazing, and it is not a permanent loss of New Zealanders’ opportunity to buy the land given the leasehold arrangement. 
Farmland leases for solar projects  typically run for a lengthy 35 years.
The creep of unadvertised, exempted solar leases across farmland has rung alarm bells with Federated Farmers.
Feds energy spokesperson Greg Anderson said the stealthy nature of the solar conversions will be of huge concern to a lot of farmers and Federated Farmers is watching closely.
“There are a lot of similarities with the carbon farming situation, where there could be a lot of unintended consequences further down the line. When there’s no public consultation, you don’t know these solar farms are going in until they’re already up – but by then it’s too late.”
He called for greater transparency around the projects to ensure communities are aware of what is going on, and to give greater opportunity for scrutiny.
“Land Information NZ’s own guidance says a solar farm may stop being a farm once it’s built. That means a later sale to an overseas buyer may not face the farmland rules that a normal farm sale would.”
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Trees vs. Solar Panels: Getting the Carbon Math Right – ecoRI News

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By Stephen Porder / Professor
September 4, 2026
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The seemingly endless debate in Rhode Island about clearing trees to put up solar panels reared its head again in a recent column in ecoRI News by Frank Carini, who wrote that “Bulldozing trees to build utility-scale renewable energy facilities — 4 megawatts, in this case — essentially eliminates any of the project’s climate benefits.” The article goes on to discuss very real concerns associated with clearing trees: loss of habitat, fragmentation of continuous forest, and water quality impacts.
I’ve studied forests all over the world for the past 20 years, and I share these concerns. I completely agree with Mr. Carini that “Rhode Island needs to get serious about protecting the environment.” But let’s get the math right before we start the harder discussion about the tradeoffs that we have to make to address the climate crisis.

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Let’s start with the benefits a forest provides from a carbon perspective (these are not the only benefits — I’m just starting there). According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Forests of Rhode Island, Rhode Island forests cover about 400,000 acres, and contain about 26 million “short” tons of wood above ground.
(Carbon math is complicated by a number of unit conversions. The United States uses “short tons,” which is 2,000 pounds. The rest of the world, and scientists, use “metric tons,” which is 1,000 kilograms or 2,220 pounds. Also, some studies report the “biomass” of wood, which is literally how much it weighs, while others report the mass of carbon in that wood, which is about 50% of the total biomass. Either way, if wood is burned the carbon stored in it is converted to carbon dioxide. Carbon dioxide is a molecule that has one carbon atom and two oxygen atoms, and thus has a mass that is 3.67 times greater than carbon alone. Thus, a forest that has 60 short tons of biomass stores 60 x 0.91 = 55 metric tons of biomass, and 55 divided by 2 = 27.5 metric tons of carbon. If this forest is burned and converted to CO2, it releases 27.5 x 3.67, about 100 tons of carbon dioxide. For this article, when I say “tons” I mean “short tons.”)
Of course, trees have roots in the soil, and roots typically add about 20%-25% to the mass, so let’s call it 32 million tons of wood. Spread over roughly 400,000 acres, that’s 80 tons of wood per acre, or 40 tons of carbon stored per acre, which if burned, would release about 150 tons of carbon dioxide. The numbers will be higher in older, more intact forests, and lower in younger, degraded forests.
So, does clearing that forest for solar panels “essentially eliminate the project’s climate benefit” by turning all that carbon stored in trees into carbon dioxide in the air?
To answer this question, we have to ask how long it would it take for solar panels, producing clean electricity and thus avoiding fossil fuel combustion at power plants, to make up for the carbon dioxide released during the initial tree clearing? Here’s the math: an acre of ground-mounted solar panels in Rhode Island produces about 260 megawatt-hours of electricity a year (more recent production data suggests this is a conservative estimate). Our utility grid relies heavily on burning gas to produce electricity, and thus releases about 0.27 tons of carbon dioxide for each megawatt-hour produced.
Since solar displaces that gas, each megawatt-hour of solar-produced electricity reduces greenhouse gas emissions. In this example, multiply the 0.27 tons of carbon dioxide per megawatt-hour by 260 megawatt-hours per acre, and we see each acre of solar panels keeps about 70 tons of carbon dioxide out of the air each year (I’m rounding off my numbers because both the emissions from the grid and the amount of electricity the panels produce varies from year to year and with technology). Thus, in about two years, an acre of solar panels will make up for the release of carbon dioxide associated with land clearing.
But wait, you might say, a forest isn’t static. It’s actively taking carbon dioxide out of the air. We also need to think about the carbon dioxide they would take up if we hadn’t cleared them. That’s true, but the number is small. An acre of average forest in Rhode Island takes a few tons of carbon dioxide out of the air each year. That’s far, far less than the 70 tons of carbon dioxide that solar panels keep out of the air every year. And solar panels last a long time, at least 20 years and typically more. Over that time period, an acre of solar panels will have kept 70 tons x 20 years = 1,400 tons of greenhouse gas pollution out of the air — the forest those panels replaced would have stored about 200. (Assuming the grid remains as dirty as it is today, which hopefully it won’t because we’ll agree to deploy massive wind and solar resources.)
Thus, from a simple carbon perspective, cutting down trees to put up solar panels makes sense, at least right now, when our electricity production depends so heavily on fossil fuel combustion. But before we all sharpen up our chainsaws, let’s think more carefully about the context of climate change and the need for our energy transition off fossil fuels and onto renewables.
For the first time since the Industrial Revolution, Rhode Island has the chance to generate its own clean, renewable, affordable power. We can free ourselves from fossil dependence and price spikes driven by geopolitical events by building our supply of affordable power, all while doing our part to fight the global challenge of climate change. Climate change is THE biggest threat to the environment in Rhode Island and across the world — full stop. And human energy use from burning fossil fuels is responsible for the lion’s share of the threat. While Rhode Island’s energy transition will not stop climate change, neither will climate change be stopped unless everyone participates.
In my opinion, these facts make it clear we should devote a non-trivial amount of land for the deployment of renewables — there is no free lunch. If we are going to make the transition off fossil fuels, we will need tens of thousands of acres of solar panels across the state (plus hundreds of windmills offshore). There is no way to phase out fossil fuels without this scale of renewable deployments. Where should it go?
A report prepared for The Office of Energy Resources suggested covering most of our parking lots, commercial and industrial sites, and brownfields could produce a substantial fraction of Rhode Island’s current electricity demand. Putting solar on these sites are is typically be more expensive than on undeveloped land, so for a given dollar spent we will get fewer renewables. In addition, putting solar on these sites will require assessments by thousands of property owners, review by the utility of each interconnection, and myriad other hurdles that will bring deployment to a crawl. Meanwhile our emissions continue unabated. And of course, if we are successful in reducing our emissions, our current electricity demand is much lower than it will have to be in the future as we electrify our cars, home heating, and industry. These sites alone will not suffice, even if we covered every one of them.
Where else could we look? Rhode Island has about 60,000 acres of farmland, which has already been cleared (and thus the carbon from trees already lost). But opposition to putting solar on local farms appears even stronger than opposition to clearing trees. We also have over 5,000 acres of golf courses which only benefit the few who play golf, but I’m guessing covering them with solar wouldn’t go over well either.
Of course, we also have 400,000 acres of forests. Is cutting 1% of them for solar panels acceptable? One-tenth of one percent? Ten percent? And who gets to decide which forest is too valuable to cut, and what is OK to sacrifice? Value is a human concept, and humans disagree about what is valuable.
There is no scientific answer to these values-based questions. What is beyond debate is that our rapidly warming climate, caused by burning fossil fuels, is an existential threat for every ecosystem and habitat on the planet, and that only the widespread deployment of renewables can stop climate change. In Rhode Island it will take tens of thousands of acres of panels to kick our fossil fuel addiction. Where to put them is a debate we need to have immediately.
There is no perfect solution; we are faced with a series of “less bad” choices. We are going to need to compromise with each other, and understand that one person’s forest sanctuary, or golf course, or business-critical parking lot, is another person’s ideal solar site. We’re going to need to weigh the speed of renewable deployment against the benefit of putting them in the “ideal” site.
But let’s get the facts straight. Clearing trees for solar panels does not “eliminate the project’s climate benefits.”
Stephen Porder is the Acacia Professor of Ecology, Evolutionary and Organismal Biology and Environment and Society at Brown University. He is also the co-founder of Possibly, a sustainability science podcast heard weekly on Ocean State Media, and the author of Elemental: Five elements that changed Earth’s past and will shape our future. All views expressed in this editorial are his alone, and do not represent those of Brown University.”  

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Inox Solar Americas signs deal to supply 767MW of PV modules – power-technology.com

Deliveries will begin in 2027 for three utility-scale projects in North Carolina and Texas, US.
Inox Solar Americas has signed an agreement to supply 767MW of photovoltaic (PV) modules to a US renewable energy developer and independent power producer (IPP).
The customer, which was not named, develops, finances, owns and operates utility-scale solar and energy storage projects.
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The modules will be used for three utility-scale solar developments in North Carolina and Texas. The individual capacities are approximately 71MW, 102MW and 594MW, with deliveries due to start in 2027.
Inox Solar Americas, which manufactures solar PV modules and cells in the US, said the projects would use its Vega Series bifacial modules. These are offered in single-glass and dual-glass configurations and use Galaxion N-Type PV cells.
The company said the modules are designed for utility-scale use and support high levels of US domestic content.
Inox Solar Americas president and CEO Ashok Nair said: “Our customers are looking beyond module performance to domestic content, supply-chain transparency, regulatory compliance, product reliability and long-term bankability.
“This agreement demonstrates our ability to meet these priorities with reliable, high-performance PV modules manufactured in the US.”
Inox Solar’s US manufacturing and sourcing plans are being built to comply with Prohibited Foreign Entity and Foreign Entity of Concern rules, along with domestic content, supply chain traceability and applicable US trade and energy policy requirements.
Measures cited by the manufacturer include tighter supplier qualification, more domestic sourcing, and greater visibility over components and their origin. It said the aim is to help projects meet compliance obligations and to lower supply-chain risk.
Inox Solar Americas stated that the award reflected the technical, commercial, supply chain and risk factors that developers, IPPs, investors and lenders weigh when choosing module suppliers for long-term solar assets.
The contract will serve large project pipelines through domestic manufacturing and long-term customer support.
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Molecular 'raincoat' helps tin solar cells reach 16.2% efficiency rate – Interesting Engineering

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Clean energy can finally afford to be fully clean.
Clean energy can finally afford to be fully clean. Scientists have created a tin-based perovskite material equipped with a built-in defense against air and moisture, functioning much like a molecular raincoat for solar cells.
The advance is the result of a joint effort led by the University of Wisconsin–Madison, the National Laboratory of the Rockies, and partner institutions. 
Interestingly, this tin perovskites could become a promising eco-friendly alternative to hazardous lead-based cells. However, the previous iterations of tin-based materials typically degrade rapidly when exposed to air and water. This new “raincoat” solves this issue.
The collaborative team revealed a molecular redesign that gives tin-based solar cells built-in protection against these elements. It tackles the single largest obstacle preventing non-toxic perovskite photovoltaics from hitting the commercial market: durability.
“We wanted to find a way to protect these materials while preserving the properties that make them attractive for solar cells,” said Song Jin, a UW–Madison professor of Chemistry. 
With solar panels covering millions of acres, the risk of toxic leaks from damaged or discarded panels remains the biggest roadblock keeping lead-based cells off the market.
Tin perovskites possess superior light-absorbing and electronic properties, but degrade in a short time when exposed to air and moisture. 
Rather than adding a bulky physical layer over the solar cells, the team designed protection straight into the material’s microscopic structure. It all came down to atomic fine-tuning.
Song Jin and his team experimented with different halogen atoms (fluorine, chlorine, and bromine) to alter the material’s organic components. This study engineered a mixed-dimensional (2D/3D) heterostructure.
Interestingly, when the chlorinated version was introduced, something remarkable happened: the perovskite crystals packed together far more tightly than before.
That tight atomic packing acts as a molecular shield. Water and oxygen can’t squeeze inside, creating a protective barrier that keeps them out of the cells.
This structural shift improved both performance and durability. Compared to conventional materials, the new chlorinated tin perovskite maintained its integrity for months in open air. It even survived days fully submerged in water without dissolving.
Further, theoretical models confirmed the mechanism: the tight molecular structure physically blocks oxygen and water from seeping into the vulnerable tin core.
To test its practical viability, the team built working solar cells in partnership with researchers Lei Chen and Kai Zhu at the National Laboratory of the Rockies.
The devices achieved a 16.2 percent power-conversion efficiency, which makes them among the most efficient tin-based cells ever created.
After 1,600 hours sitting in dry air, the cells retained over 95 percent of their initial output. Under severe operational stress with continuous simulated sunlight at a blistering 55°C (131°F), the cells held onto 80 percent of their power after 1,000 hours.
Mostly, solar design meant choosing efficiency or durability. This material shows that companies don’t have to compromise.
“What is exciting is that a relatively small change in the material’s design produces such a large improvement in stability,” said Christopher T. Triggs, who recently received his doctorate in materials chemistry at UW–Madison. 
“It shows how designing the organic components and controlling the way perovskite structures pack together can provide powerful protection of the resulting perovskite materials from the surrounding environment,” the first author added. 
Recognizing the commercial potential of a lead-free, long-lasting solar cell, the Wisconsin Alumni Research Foundation and the National Laboratory of the Rockies have jointly filed a patent for the technology. 
The study was published in the journal Nature Materials. 
Mrigakshi is a science journalist who enjoys writing about space exploration, biology, and technological innovations. Her work has been featured in well-known publications including Nature India, Supercluster, The Weather Channel and Astronomy magazine. If you have pitches in mind, please do not hesitate to email her.
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India plans 2-hour battery storage mandate for new solar, wind projects – Firstpost

India plans 2-hour battery storage mandate for new solar, wind projects  Firstpost
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MTerra Solar Phase 1 Begins Commercial Operations With 600 MW Solar-Storage Capacity In Philippines – solarquarter.com

MTerra Solar Phase 1 Begins Commercial Operations With 600 MW Solar-Storage Capacity In Philippines  solarquarter.com
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WeWork India to build 10 MWp solar plant in Karnataka, eyes 100% renewable power – bioenergytimes.com

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WeWork India Management Limited announced plans to develop a 10 MWp (DC) ground-mounted captive solar power plant in Karnataka, a move the company said marks a significant milestone in its goal to transition to 100 per cent renewable electricity by March 2028, according to a media release issued by the company on September 3, 2026. The Board of Directors of WeWork India accorded in-principle approval for the project at a meeting held the same day, the company said in a regulatory filing under Regulation 30 of the SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015.
Targeted for commissioning in FY27, the plant is expected to generate approximately 15 to 16 million units of clean electricity annually, the company said. Once operational, it is expected to raise the share of renewable electricity across WeWork India’s portfolio from close to 40 per cent currently to approximately 50 per cent. Nearly 80 per cent of the plant’s output will support the company’s operations, including 10 centres in Bengaluru, while the remaining 20 per cent will be reserved for future growth, according to the release.
The company said Karnataka was chosen as a strategic location for the investment, with Bengaluru representing its largest market at 30 operational centres and the state accounting for approximately 30 per cent of its total electricity consumption across its portfolio. Karan Virwani, Managing Director and CEO of WeWork India, said Bengaluru’s scale made it the natural starting point for an investment of this size, adding that building owned renewable generation capacity would help reduce the carbon footprint of operations while providing greater certainty over energy costs over the next 25 years. He said the company wanted sustainability to make strong business sense rather than function as an initiative separate from its core operations.
With a design life of 25 years, the solar plant is expected to offer greater long-term visibility over electricity costs for a significant part of WeWork India’s Bengaluru operations, helping insulate the portfolio from fluctuations in grid tariffs, the company said. By combining owned renewable generation, captive consumption and open access, WeWork India said it was building a more diversified energy sourcing model aimed at delivering both lower-carbon operations and greater cost certainty.
Implementation of the project remains subject to satisfactory completion of due diligence and receipt of requisite consents and approvals, the company said in its filing. Expected to be commissioned by the first quarter of 2027, the solar plant marks WeWork India’s shift from renewable electricity procurement toward direct investment in renewable generation capacity, a step the company said was intended to ensure that its growth is accompanied by a more resilient, efficient and lower-carbon energy model as it scales its portfolio.
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Mozambique: Chinese manufacturer of solar panels starts construction at MozParks Beluluane Industrial Park – clubofmozambique.com


[gtranslate]
Developed by Lumira Moz Energy, a Chinese company investing in Mozambique, the project is designed to establish a vertically integrated industrial base for the production of photovoltaic cells, precision cutting of silicon wafers and manufacturing of high-efficiency solar modules.
The facility will occupy approximately 1.6 hectares within Beluluane Industrial Park and will be developed in two phases. Investment in the first phase alone exceeds USD 10 million.
Rather than importing only finished solar equipment, the project creates the potential for more of the manufacturing process to take place in Mozambique, supporting industrial diversification, specialised skills development and the growth of a domestic clean-energy supply chain.
Speaking at the groundbreaking ceremony, Minister of Economy Basílio Muhate highlighted: “The Lumira Moz Energy project is completely aligned with the Government’s vision for economic diversification and for strengthening Mozambique’s position as an industrial hub for energy products and technologies. Lumira has also chosen the best location in the country for this investment: MozParks Beluluane Industrial Park, with the infrastructure and regulatory framework needed to support industrial development.”
Photo: MozParks
For Maputo Province, the investment adds a new technology-driven industry to an already established manufacturing base.
Governor of Maputo Province Manuel Tule said: “Beluluane Industrial Park is very important for Maputo Province. It has created an industrial base that brings investment, jobs and economic activity to the province. Even in a period of significant market changes, including those affecting Mozal and the aluminium sector, Beluluane continues to grow, attract new industries and create new opportunities. The arrival of Lumira is another example of that continued development.”
Operated by MozParks, Beluluane Industrial Park has developed over more than 26 years into Mozambique’s largest industrial hub. Today, the 700-hectare park hosts more than 70 companies and supports over 10,000 direct jobs across manufacturing, agro-processing, technology, logistics and industrial services.
Its location gives companies access to the N4 regional transport corridor, the ports of Maputo and Matola and neighbouring South African and Eswatini markets, while industrial infrastructure and reliable power have supported the park’s expansion into increasingly diverse sectors. The arrival of Lumira MozEnergy represents another step in that diversification.
Onório Manuel, CEO of MozParks, said the investment is particularly important because of the industrial capability it brings to Mozambique.
“Lumira brings a new manufacturing activity to Beluluane and adds solar technology to the Park’s industrial base. Our role is to make it easier for investors to establish and operate in Mozambique. In this case, through close coordination with the Municipality of Matola-Rio, the necessary administrative procedures and documentation for the start of the project were completed within 48 hours. This is the kind of practical support MozParks provides to its partners so that investments can move from decision to implementation as efficiently as possible.”
Photo: MozParks
Deng Junfeng, General Director of Lumira Moz Energy, highlighted the company’s experience working with MozParks during the establishment of the project.
“We are very impressed by the way MozParks works and by the support we have received throughout this process. This is exactly the kind of efficient and practical environment Chinese investors are looking for when considering opportunities in Africa. Based on our experience, we would confidently recommend MozParks to other Chinese companies interested in investing and establishing operations in Mozambique.”
About MozParks
MozParks is a developer and operator of Sustainable Economic Zones, established as a public-private partnership between the Mozambican Government Agency for Investment and Export Promotion (APIEX) and the African Sustainable Economic Zones Alliance (ASEZA). MozParks manages parks in Maputo and Nampula provinces, and is expanding into Cabo Delgado province. To date, MozParks has attracted over 70 companies from 18 countries, contributing to income generation for more than 120,000 people in Mozambique and securing over USD 4 billion in investments.
For more information about MozParks and its initiatives, please visit MozParks Website or contact us at [email protected].
Source: MozParks / Press Release
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Mass Megawatts Announces New Salt Rejection Innovation Reducing Solar Desalination Cost to Be the Same as Tap Water in the $26 Billion Desalination Market – TradingView

Worcester, Massachusetts–(Newsfile Corp. – September 4, 2026) – Mass Megawatts (OTCID: MMMW) announces innovative salt rejection with the goal toward reducing the cost of the Solar Desalination to the same cost as tap water. The salt rejection innovation uses a method to energized boundary layers based upon the knowledge of laminar flow in wind energy and aerodynamic principles. The global Desalination market, currently valued at $26 billion a year, is expected to grow to more than $40 billion before 2033.
Several devices have been introduced to efficiently desalinate salt water and attempt to eliminate the clogging of the desalination process with the accumulation of salt on parts of the system during the process using a substantial amount of electricity and expensive materials. Recent advances avoiding the cost of electricity and expensive material hold significant promise for low-cost seawater desalination. However, salt accumulation is key obstacle for reliable adoption.
Our new technology demonstrates a more efficient method of salt transport enabled with localized solar concentration and salt rejection. It also offers a strategy for high performance solar evaporation.
The primary goal is removing the "salt foul" caused by the salt accumulation which is largely caused by slow moving water with an increasing salt density due to the ongoing evaporation in the solar desalination process. At the same time, the new technology uses low-cost materials to reduce the capital cost of the solar desalination units. With the objective of reducing each square meter of the solar desalination unit to a cost of less than four dollars, desalinated water can be delivered at a cost less than tap water.
This particular innovation uses wind energy related aerodynamic principles for creating an optimal shape for the microchannel diffusers improved with the use of rotating tubes toward enhancing aquadynamic (water related aerodynamic behavior). The new technology reduces turbulence for more salt efficient salt rejection. It is an important step toward avoiding salt accumulation on the solar desalination process.
Specifically, using an aerodynamically optimal shaped microchannels and moving salt rejection tubes , the salt can be pulled rather than pushed through the microchannels like a wind diffuser pulling air through a small tunnel area since the pressure is lower with less salt particles on the cold side of the barrier with microchannels. The aerodynamic enhancing shape of both the input area (upper hot area) and the diffuser (lower cold bulk water area) allows a swift and steady salt rejection without the turbulence of previous methods that would slow down the salt rejection process and cause salt accumulation.
Using the Mass Megawatts solar tracker shown on our company's web site www.massmegawatts.com, there can be further improvement of the solar desalination performance for a small additional cost. The company's Solar Tracking System (STS) is a new patent pending product that significantly reduces the payback period for solar power investments. It is designed to automatically adjust the position of solar panels to directly face the sun as it travels from East to West throughout the day. Unlike other solar tracking technologies, the Mass Megawatts Solar Tracker utilizes a low-cost framework that adds stability to the overall system, while improving energy production levels.
This press release contains forward-looking statements that could be affected by risks and uncertainties. Among the factors that could cause actual events to differ materially from those indicated herein are: the failure of Mass Megawatts Wind Power (MMMW), also known as Mass Megawatts Windpower, to achieve or maintain necessary zoning approvals with respect to the location of its power developments; the ability to remain competitive; to finance the marketing and sales of its electricity; general economic conditions; and other risk factors detailed in periodic reports filed by Mass Megawatts Wind Power (MMMW).
Contact:
info@massmegawatts.com
www.massmegawatts.com
Select market data provided by ICE Data Services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2026 FactSet Research Systems Inc.Copyright © 2026, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. SEC filings and other documents provided by Quartr.© 2026 TradingView, Inc.

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Rooftop solar meets 99.9% of South Australia electricity demand – pv-magazine.com

The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) said rooftop solar met 99.9% of South Australia’s total electricity demand at 1.30pm on 31 August, reducing electricity demand from grid-scale generation to just 2 MW – a new winter record.
The market operator said the high rooftop solar generation and negative wholesale prices also saw batteries charging at above-average rates, absorbing excess renewable electricity for use during the evening peak period.
The South Australia result coincided with a new winter minimum operational demand record across the broader National Electricity Market (NEM).
AEMO said mild temperatures and clear skies across the southeast of the country reduced minimum operational demand to a record 11,992 MW at 1.30pm on Monday, surpassing the previous winter low of 12,144 MW set in August 2024.
At the time of the NEM minimum demand low, rooftop solar was contributing close to 54% of underlying demand while renewables, including rooftop solar, and grid-scale solar and wind, accounted for 71% of generation.
Battery charging accounted for about10.5% of total generation, while just over 2% was being used for hydro pumping.
“These records demonstrate how rapidly the electricity system is changing, with high renewable generation increasingly being balanced in real time by batteries, hydro and gas, supported by the transmission network,” AEMO said, adding that the conditions “reinforce the need to plan for a power system that is increasingly dynamic – with the flexibility, storage, transmission and operational capability needed to maintain a secure and reliable supply as the energy transition accelerates.”
Australia leads the world in rooftop PV penetration, with 41% of the nation’s residential, commercial and industrial premises hosting systems that deliver a combined 28.3 GW generation capacity.
In South Australia, 57% of the state’s rooftops are home to solar arrays, equivalent to 2.92 GW of generation capacity.

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Inside Risk: Mitigating the risks of roof mounted photovoltaic systems – Lockton

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The use of photovoltaic (PV) systems to generate clean sustainable energy is well established within the built environment, with installations becoming more of a ‘norm’, rather than an exception. However, the installation of PV systems to a building can introduce new hazards which may increase the likelihood or severity of a loss. Data obtained by The Independent in 2023 indicates a rise in the number of fires (opens a new window) involving solar panels, with six times the number in 2022 compared with 10 years earlier.  
Such losses are not restricted to residential buildings and can also impact commercial properties.  An example being a fire in a 45,000 m (opens a new window) in Peterborough, UK, in Feb 2024, requiring over fifty firefighters to bring the blaze under control.  
It is important, therefore, to ensure robust property protection principles are adequately considered throughout the full project lifecycle of a PV system to ensure any hazards are identified, assessed, and controlled. 
PV Systems 
PV systems consist of semiconductor materials encapsulated by glass and a polymer/glass backing, which generate direct current (DC) when exposed to sunlight. An inverter is used to convert this power to alternating current (AC) current for practical use by the facility or transferred to the grid when power exceeds use. Systems are typically ground mounted (generally preferred by property insurers) or roof mounted secured with mechanical fixings or ballast.  
Common property hazards to be assessed when considering the installation of roof mounted PV systems include: 
Fire 
PV systems introduce new electrical components such as wiring, invertors, control equipment as well as the PV panels themselves. These components can be subject to failure, damage, or heating, increasing the risk of fire. Systems can also be damaged from external fire exposure. 
Windstorm 
PV systems can be damaged from wind or other debris if not adequately designed/installed. 
Hail 
PV systems can be damaged from hail exposure if sufficient resistance is not provided. 
Snow / rain 
Roof damage can result from excessive load of snow/rainwater combined with the weight of the PV system. 
Earthquake 
PV systems can move in the event of seismic activity resulting in damage and the potential for fire. 
 The installation of a PV system can introduce new components which may increase the likelihood or severity of a loss. Examples influencing the likelihood include: 
Electrical wiring faults (loose, damaged, or inappropriate connectors). Connectors are reported to be a common source of PV system fires. A 2017 study (opens a new window) identified PV DC connectors, inverter and DC isolators accounted for 84% of PV system related fires.  
Overheating or failure of PV modules or inverters 
Examples influencing the severity include: 
The PV system altering the fire behaviour of the roof, increasing the spread of fire and/or restricting firefighting efforts. 
A PV system fire damaging the roof cover resulting in firefighting water entering the building damaging equipment and stock below. 
PV system design approach 
A range of property protection guidance for the design, installation and management of roof mounted PV systems is readily available. Such guidance may sometimes exceed requirements of local building regulations. However, the implementation of robust property protection principles reduces the likelihood of a large loss, improves business resilience, and should be considered more favourably by property insurers.  
Example guidance includes: 
NFPA Codes including NFPA 70, National Electrical Code, NFPA 70B, Standard for Electrical Equipment Maintenance, NFPA 1, Fire Code (opens a new window)
FM Property Loss Prevention Data Sheet 1-15: Roof-Mounted Solar Photovoltaic Panels (opens a new window)
RISCAuthority. RC 62:  Recommendations for fire safety with PV panel installations (opens a new window)
Zurich Resilience Solutions — Photovoltaic (PV) systems on buildings (opens a new window)
Consult your broker and insurer at an early stage to agree on an acceptable solution for all stakeholders. 
A key consideration is the planned location of any roof mounted PV system. Carefully consider existing or proposed roof construction materials, penetrations, and equipment, avoiding installation on combustible roof systems.  Thermal barriers can help mitigate the influence of an existing combustible roof structure in some circumstances. Other considerations include the age and condition of the existing roof (it is harder to repair or recover a roof once a PV system has been installed) and avoiding installation of PV systems on roof areas over high value or business critical operations which may be susceptible to water damage. 
The development of a corporate policy on the design, installation and management of PV systems helps guide implementation of best practice throughout the lifecycle of the installation, including: 
Concept:  Identify and agree best practice principles to guide the suitable location of PV systems (including roof upgrades where needed), suitable structural analysis of roof areas, identification and mitigation of hazards (both fire and natural hazards), review and suitability of electrical infrastructure and selection of suitable contractors.  For example, those accredited to a national trade body and working to suitable standards. In the UK this might include the MCSCertification Scheme Requirements or UK BS 7671 IET Wiring Regulations 18th edition or later. 
Design:  Apply local building, electrical and fire codes in addition to the property protection principles agreed with your broker/insurer. Select suitable PV components and protection systems such as fire detection, surge protection, plus fire control/suppression and lightning protection where needed. 
Installation:  Ensure installation work is conducted in accordance with suitable requirements such as the MCS and IET PV Code of Practice in the UK. Ensure the installation is conducted in accordance with the design, utilising an appropriate quality assurance process and representative.  
Operation:  Ensure inspection, testing and maintenance of the PV system is conducted in accordance with local requirements and manufacturers guidelines. Ensure any changes are controlled through a management of change process. 
Planning for emergencies:  Update the site emergency plan to include events involving the PV system and associated components. Ensure drawings are updated with key information including location of PV systems, isolation points, access, and fire water supplies. Collaborate with the local fire brigade, sharing information and developing pre-fire plans.  
The documents referenced above provide additional guidance.  
With the ongoing focus on clean energy, the installation of PV systems will continue to grow. There are positive aspects to such systems, but the potential risks need to be considered and managed. For further information, please visit the Lockton Risk Control page (opens a new window), or contact your broker or insurer.  
by  Mark Middleton
Risk Management Executive
+44 207 933 1632 (opens a new window)
mark.middleton@lockton.com (opens a new window)
For more info
Orlando Gonzalez
Risk Engineering Practice Leader
+1 786 761 6078 (opens a new window)
orlando.gonzalez@lockton.com (opens a new window)
Patrick Lo
Loss Control Consultant
patrick.lo@lockton.com (opens a new window)
Lucas Pfannenstiel
Property Engineering Leader
+1 816 960 9251 (opens a new window)
lpfannestiel@lockton.com (opens a new window)
Lynnda Segura
Vice President, Risk Engineering
+52 7100 2709 (opens a new window)
lynnda.segura@lockton.com (opens a new window)
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Chinese solar panel maker breaks ground at MozParks Beluluane Industrial Park in Mozambique – Green Building Africa

Construction of a new integrated solar manufacturing facility officially began on 4 September 2026 at MozParks Beluluane Industrial Park near Maputo.
Developed by Lumira Moz Energy, a Chinese company investing in Mozambique, the project is designed to establish a vertically integrated industrial base for the production of photovoltaic cells, precision cutting of silicon wafers and manufacturing of high efficiency solar modules. The production capacity in each case is not stated. The facility will occupy approximately 1.6 hectares within Beluluane Industrial Park and will be developed in two phases, with investment in the first phase alone exceeding US$ 10 million.
Rather than importing only finished solar equipment, the project creates the potential for more of the manufacturing process to take place in Mozambique, supporting industrial diversification, specialised skills development and the growth of a domestic clean energy supply chain. It is unknown what brand the products will be marketed under.

Image credit: MozParks
Speaking at the groundbreaking ceremony, Minister of Economy Basílio Muhate said the Lumira Moz Energy project aligns with the government’s vision for economic diversification and for strengthening Mozambique’s position as an industrial hub for energy products and technologies. He added that Lumira had chosen what he described as the best location in the country for this investment, citing MozParks Beluluane Industrial Park’s infrastructure and regulatory framework to support industrial development.
Author: Bryan Groenendaal






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New geographic information system based sustainability metric for isolated photovoltaic systems – Nature

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Scientific Reports volume 15, Article number: 2023 (2025)
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A Publisher Correction to this article was published on 18 March 2025
This article has been updated
The integration of photovoltaic (PV) technologies is vital for achieving sustainable energy solutions in isolated systems. However, A critical challenge that remains is maintaining the sustainability of these systems under the fluctuating conditions of solar irradiance, which is key for isolated energy systems. This study hypothesizes that the sustainability of PV systems can be accurately assessed through a new metric that incorporates performance consistency, variability, and resilience, using real-time energy production data alongside GIS-based solar radiation models. By analyzing fixed PV, concentrated PV (CPV), and dual axis tracking PV (DATPV) systems over a three-year period (2017–2019), The analysis indicates that DATPV systems achieved the highest energy output, with energy ratios exceeding 300% in 2019, though this was accompanied by substantial variability in performance. Fixed PV systems demonstrated the most stable performance, with a consistency term reaching 0.93 and a sustainability score of 0.87 in 2019. CPV systems performed moderately, with a sustainability score of 0.66 in 2017. These results highlight the trade-off between energy capture and operational stability, which is critical for sustainable energy management in isolated systems.
The concept of sustainability has evolved significantly, particularly in the context of energy systems1. According to2, sustainable development is defined as meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet theirs. However, over time, the definition of sustainable energy has often been oversimplified, focusing primarily on environmental protection using renewable sources such as solar and wind, while ignoring critical social and economic dimensions, especially for low-income communities1. Traditional sustainability frameworks frequently fail to address energy affordability and accessibility for vulnerable populations, leading to an imbalance between environmental goals and immediate energy survivability for these communities3,4.
Recent studies highlight the limitations of this global perspective, calling for a more localized approach to sustainability. As3,5 argue, energy availability plays a crucial role in poverty eradication and improving living standards, particularly in regions with limited access to modern energy services. This indicates a need for sustainability assessments that better consider the immediate energy needs of low-income communities, rather than solely focusing on future environmental benefits.
Recent advancements in PV systems have underscored the need for enhanced sustainability metrics, particularly in diverse environmental and operational contexts6,7. For instance, Chandel et al. (2024) analyzed the integration of PV-powered thermoelectric cooling systems for transitioning towards net-zero energy buildings under variable solar loading conditions, emphasizing the interplay between solar irradiance variability and system reliability8. Similarly, Tajjour et al. (2023) demonstrated how energy management systems could optimize the performance of PV microgrids, offering solutions for maximizing power generation under varying conditions9. These findings highlight the critical role of dynamic solar conditions and energy management in improving the sustainability of PV systems.
Studies have also explored geographical challenges, such as Tajjour et al. (2023), who investigated power generation enhancements in a grid-connected PV system in hilly terrains, where irradiance variability posed unique challenges10. Furthermore, the optimization of hybrid PV systems combining solar and wind resources in remote locations, as reviewed by Rawat and Chandel (2013), shows the importance of adaptability and efficient energy management11. These studies illustrate the need for sustainability metrics that account for irradiance variability for different PV systems.
Numerous studies have investigated the viability of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems, concentrating on sustainability dimensions such as technical, economic, and environmental aspects12. For instance13, explored the feasibility of using PV and Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) in copper mining in Chile, employing financial tools like benefit-to-cost ratio and internal rate of return (IRR). Similarly, studies on rooftop PV systems in industrial and commercial sectors in India showed strong economic feasibility, with payback periods as short as 3.72 years14. Additionally, research in the Middle East, such as Gaza and Qatar, has explored solar energy’s potential in addressing electricity shortages and integrating hybrid PV-SOFC systems in industrial applications15,16. In South Africa and Turkey, analyses demonstrated the economic and environmental benefits of large-scale PV systems, despite challenges like high initial costs17,18.
In Egypt19, highlighted the significant potential of solar PV, particularly in the educational sector, while studies in Saudi Arabia and China underscored the financial and energy-saving advantages of PV systems in industrial processes, particularly when integrated with dual-axis tracking systems20,21. Similarly, research in Pakistan revealed that grid-connected PV systems offered greater energy sustainability and economic benefits than off-grid systems, reducing energy demand by up to 35%22. In Morocco’s Souss-Massa Basin, PV systems were identified as a critical solution for water-energy-food (WEF) nexus challenges, especially in transitioning from fossil-fuel-based groundwater pumping23.
Although economic feasibility and environmental impacts of PV systems are well-documented, current sustainability metrics remain focused on these dimensions, often neglecting operational challenges associated with isolated PV systems. Most studies primarily assess grid-connected systems, which are inherently more reliable and efficient. However, the operational complexity of isolated systems—such as energy storage, reliability, and real-time energy management—remains underexplored, particularly for regions where grid connectivity is limited24,25. The deployment of isolated PV systems in such areas presents unique challenges that require new sustainability metrics, particularly those that assess the social impact, energy resilience, and operational adaptability of these systems. The variability in solar irradiance due to climate change further complicates system performance, yet this factor is often inadequately considered in traditional sustainability assessments26.
On the other hand, the Photovoltaic Geographical Information System (PVGIS) is a sophisticated, GIS-based tool that provides precise solar radiation estimates and PV energy production simulations. PVGIS calculates key irradiance values such as Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI), Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), and diffuse radiation, which are essential for a wide range of solar energy applications, including fixed PV, Concentrated Photovoltaic (CPV), and Dual-Axis Tracking PV (DATPV) systems. By integrating satellite-derived data with advanced meteorological models, PVGIS accounts for atmospheric variables like cloud cover, aerosol content, and elevation, ensuring highly accurate solar resource assessments for both fixed-axis and dual-axis tracking systems.
Several studies have utilized PVGIS models to improve the reliability of PV power generation27, short-term PV power forecasts28, and enhance PV system designs29. The versatility of PVGIS makes it a critical tool for researchers, policymakers, and system designers, enabling data-driven decision-making for renewable energy planning and system optimization. In this research, PVGIS is employed to generate daily solar irradiation data for each month under clear and cloudy sky conditions, offering a critical understanding of the solar energy potential and performance for PV, CPV, and DATPV systems30.
This study introduces a novel sustainability metric that quantifies the impact of climate change by comparing Geographic Information System (GIS)-based solar radiation models with real-world solar radiation data across three distinct years. This comparison helps capture how well the system can adapt to climate variability over time.
Solar irradiance variability, driven by changing weather patterns and long-term climate change, can influence the performance and reliability of PV systems. By analyzing discrepancies between modeled and actual solar radiation, this metric aims to capture the system’s ability to adapt to climate variability and ensure consistent energy output, as shown in Fig. 1.
The conceptual framework of the proposed metric.
The main contributions can be summarized as follows:
This study introduces a new sustainability metric that combines performance consistency, and variability into a single comprehensive score.
Unlike previous approaches that analyze these factors separately, the proposed metric offers an integrated assessment of PV system sustainability.
The metric focuses on the comparison between real energy production and GIS-modeled energy production, providing a more accurate understanding of system performance.
This approach introduces a new dimension to sustainability evaluations by assessing how closely real-world performance aligns with modeled expectations over time.
The proposed metric enhances the ability to make informed decisions regarding the planning and management of isolated renewable energy systems under varying solar conditions.
This paper is structured as follows: Sect. 2 introduces the methodology used for developing the new sustainability metric, including the integration of GIS models with historical solar irradiance data. Section 3 presents a detailed case study of PV, CPV, and DATPV systems in Cairo, Egypt, across three years, highlighting the performance variability under different solar conditions. Section 4 discusses the results of the sustainability analysis, comparing the consistency, variability, and overall sustainability metrics of the three PV systems. Finally, Sect. 5 concludes the paper by summarizing the key contributions and outlining potential future work aimed at improving the sustainability of isolated PV systems under varying climatic conditions.
A climate change sustainability criterion for isolated systems should prioritize two key factors: consistency, and resilience. Consistency refers to the ability of the system to maintain energy production close to the expected daily energy output. Resilience involves the system’s capacity to handle variability beyond the modeled energy during the year, particularly in response to unpredictable climatic shifts. The proposed sustainability metric can be formulated as a weighted combination of the system’s long-term performance consistency, the deviation from expected performance based on GIS-based models, and a resilience factor that accounts for energy output variability. This metric offers a comprehensive assessment of a system’s sustainability by integrating both modeled expectations and real-world performance under varying conditions.
The Sustainability Metric (SM) is a weighted score that combines the long-term consistency of system performance, the deviation from GIS-modeled energy outputs, and a variability factor that captures daily fluctuations in energy production. The formula is expressed as
Where: N: Total number of days in the dataset (365 for a full year), Ri: Ratio of real energy production to GIS-modeled energy production on day i, expressed as a percentage, and V: Variability factor of daily ratios Riover the year.
The performance consistency term is designed to evaluate how closely the system’s actual energy production aligns with the ideal performance, which is represented as 100% of the expected output based on GIS models. This term is calculated by averaging the absolute deviations between the real energy production and the modeled value over a period of N days. The smaller the deviation from the ideal 100%, the higher the performance consistency. A lower deviation reflects a system that consistently produces energy in line with the modeled expectations, which is crucial for ensuring consistent performance in isolated PV systems.
The variability factor (V) quantifies the degree of fluctuation in daily energy production by calculating the ratio of the standard deviation (σ) to the mean (µ) of the daily production ratios. This factor captures the day-to-day variability in the system’s performance, with higher variability indicating greater instability in energy output. A system with high variability will exhibit significant deviations from its average energy production, which is undesirable in isolated PV systems that require stable, predictable energy generation.
As such, higher variability results in a lower sustainability score, emphasizing the importance of minimizing fluctuations for long-term system resilience. The closer the SM value is to 1, the more sustainable the system is, meaning it consistently produces energy close to the expected amount, with minimal variability. Systems with high fluctuations (high ) and large deviations from expected performance will have a lower SM.
Cairo, Egypt (30.0444°N, 31.2357°E), is examined. Cairo is characterized by high solar irradiance levels, making it an ideal location for solar energy harvesting. This location’s semi-arid climate provides a mixture of clear skies and intermittent cloud cover, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of solar radiation variability throughout the year. Historical data for different solar irradiances spanning 12 months was compiled for the selected study locations for three different years, i.e. 2017–2019, as referenced31. Figure 2 shows the studied historical daily energy behaviours for different PV systems.
Measured daily energy : a PV, b DATPV, c CPV.
Historical data show large variations from year to year, driven by unpredictable climate events or anomalies, which complicates accurate forecasting of future performance. Moreover, the increasing effects of climate change make it harder to predict future irradiance patterns based solely on past trends. therefore, relying only on historical data can be enormously confusing. Figure 3 illustrates the average energy (kWh/m²) output for the PV, CPV, and DATPV systems on a monthly basis across the year.
GIS based average daily energy for different PV systems.
DATPV systems show the highest energy output throughout the year, with especially strong performance in the summer months (June to September). This aligns with Fig. 2 showing a higher daily real energy relative to other systems. The system’s tracking mechanism clearly maximizes solar energy capture, particularly when solar irradiance is at its peak during the summer. CPV systems are lower than DATPV but consistently outperform the fixed PV system across the year. This is expected, given the concentrated photovoltaic system’s ability to focus sunlight onto a smaller area, increasing its energy production. While fixed PV systems show the lowest monthly energy output, reflecting the absence of any tracking or concentrating technology. The system performs more consistently across the year but lacks the ability to significantly increase energy production during peak solar months.
On the other hand, while radiation models like GIS-based solar radiation models and average daily energy models provide valuable estimates, they often fail to capture the full variability of solar irradiance due to factors such as weather patterns, seasonal changes, and localized environmental conditions. This limitation can lead to significant discrepancies between modeled performance and actual system behavior. As a result, relying solely on these models can be equally misleading, especially when comparing the sustainability of different PV systems, as they may not fully reflect the operational challenges and real-world performance of these systems over time.
These challenges highlight the need for a new criterion to assess the sustainability of PV systems. A more consistent metric would integrate both historical data and radiation models, analyzing irradiance patterns to ensure a realistic and sustainable evaluation. Given that solar irradiance is the primary driver of PV power generation, such a criterion would better account for radiation variability and offer a clearer picture of the long-term sustainability of PV systems, especially for isolated applications where consistent energy output is critical.
A comprehensive analysis is presented of the ratios between actual daily solar energy production and the modeled values Ri, which serve as key indicators of the systems’ performance under varying solar irradiance conditions. These ratios, illustrated in Fig. 4, provide insights into the efficiency and variability of different PV technologies, such as fixed PV, CPV, and DATPV, over multiple years. By examining these ratios, the section highlights how each system responds to real-world fluctuations in solar irradiance and evaluates their sustainability, reliability, and suitability for isolated energy systems.
Daily Ri ratios : a PV, b DATPV, c CPV.
Figure 4 demonstrates that the DATPV system in 2019 exhibited the highest variability in daily energy ratios, surpassing 300%, compared to lower variability in 2017 and 2018. This indicates that DATPV’s ability to track the sun throughout the day significantly enhanced energy capture, particularly in 2019. In contrast, the energy ratios for both fixed PV and CPV systems were lower, with CPV showing fluctuations between 0% and 180%, while fixed PV remained more stable, generally close to 100%.
Throughout the three years, DATPV consistently produced more energy compared to CPV and fixed PV systems. However, its higher variability, particularly in 2019, underscores a trade-off between maximizing energy capture and maintaining consistent output, especially critical for isolated systems. In contrast, the more stable performance of PV and CPV systems offers better predictability for energy storage and battery management, crucial for ensuring reliability in isolated PV systems.
The higher energy output DATPV systems, as shown in Fig. 4, results from their ability to dynamically adjust to the sun’s position across both azimuth and elevation angles. This feature allows DATPV systems to maximize energy capture, especially in regions like Egypt, which are characterized by high solar irradiance and minimal cloud cover. However, the sustainability of DATPV systems is not uniform across all geographical areas. In regions with frequent cloud cover, lower solar angles, or significant seasonal variation, the variability in daily energy production may outweigh the benefits of increased energy capture. For example, the Egyptian case demonstrates a clear advantage for DATPV systems in energy output but also highlights increased variability, with sustainability metrics for DATPV scoring lower than those of fixed PV systems due to higher fluctuations. These findings underscore the importance of region-specific analysis when determining the most sustainable PV technology, as local climatic and operational factors significantly influence system performance and reliability.
The results provide a detailed comparison of the performance of PV, DATPV, and CPV systems across three years (2017, 2018, and 2019), using three key metrics: consistency term, variability term, and the overall sustainability metric, as shown in Table 1.
The consistency term highlights how closely each system’s real energy production aligns with the modeled energy output. Fixed PV demonstrates the highest consistency across all years, particularly in 2019 (0.93), indicating a stable and predictable performance. DATPV shows lower consistency, reflecting greater fluctuations due to its dependence on dynamic solar tracking, with 2019 scoring slightly higher (0.75) than previous years. CPV remains moderately consistent across all years, with values around 0.84.
The variability term measures day-to-day fluctuations in energy output. Here, fixed PV once again outperforms DATPV and CPV, particularly in 2019 (0.94), underscoring its stability. DATPV exhibits the highest variability, particularly in 2018 and 2019, which can be attributed to its more sensitive tracking mechanisms. CPV’s variability remains between that of fixed PV and DATPV, indicating it has better control over fluctuations than DATPV but is less stable than fixed PV.
The overall sustainability metric combines these factors, and the results show that fixed PV systems consistently rank the highest in sustainability, with 2019 reaching 0.87, reflecting its stable performance and low variability. DATPV, while capable of higher energy capture, struggles with variability and consistency, resulting in the lowest sustainability scores, particularly in 2018 (0.46). CPV systems, with moderate consistency and variability, score mid-range in sustainability, peaking at 0.66 in 2017.
In conclusion, while DATPV offers potential for higher energy output, its variability reduces its overall sustainability, especially in isolated systems. Fixed PV demonstrates the best balance between performance stability and reliability, making it the most sustainable option based on these metrics. CPV provides a middle ground, offering a mix of energy capture potential and moderate stability.
This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the sustainability of different PV technologies for isolated energy systems, using a newly developed metric that integrates performance consistency and variability. The findings show that while DATPV systems capture the highest energy output, their sustainability is compromised by significant fluctuations, with variability terms as low as 0.63 in 2018. In contrast, fixed PV systems offer the most reliable performance, achieving a consistency term of 0.93 and a sustainability score of 0.87 in 2019, making them the most suitable for isolated systems requiring steady energy output. CPV systems demonstrate moderate performance, with a balance between energy production and stability, peaking with a sustainability score of 0.66 in 2017. These results underline the importance of evaluating not just energy output but also the consistency and adaptability of PV systems to variable solar conditions. The proposed sustainability metric provides a more comprehensive understanding of system performance, allowing for more informed decision-making in the planning and management of isolated renewable energy systems. Future work will explore the integration of battery sustainability and advanced energy management systems to further enhance the sustainability of isolated PV systems, ensuring optimized energy storage and distribution under variable solar conditions.
Future research should focus on refining the proposed sustainability metric to incorporate the impact of energy storage technologies. Investigating the integration of hybrid renewable energy systems, such as PV-wind or PV-biomass combinations, could provide a more holistic perspective on sustainability, particularly for isolated systems. Moreover, applying the metric to a broader range of geographical locations and climatic conditions would validate its adaptability and robustness.
The datasets used and generated during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-92483-x
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Open access funding provided by The Science, Technology & Innovation Funding Authority (STDF) in cooperation with The Egyptian Knowledge Bank (EKB).
Faculty of Engineering, Helwan University, Cairo, Egypt
Rasha Elazab & Mohamed Daowd
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R.E. and M.D. share all activities equally in this research.
Correspondence to Rasha Elazab or Mohamed Daowd.
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GREW Solar Secures INR 430 Crore Order for G12R Solar Modules – Energetica India Magazine

GREW Solar secures INR 430 crore repeat order from leading IPP for high efficiency G12R TOPCon modules across India.
September 04, 2026. By EI News Network
GREW Solar has secured a repeat order worth INR 430 crore from a leading independent power producer (IPP) for the supply of high efficiency G12R solar photovoltaic modules for utility scale projects across multiple locations in India.
The order strengthens the existing relationship between GREW Solar and the IPP, with the company citing continued confidence in its module technology, product quality and execution capabilities.
GREW Solar will supply G12R modules based on N type TOPCon cell technology. The modules are designed for utility scale applications, with a focus on higher efficiency, energy generation and long term performance.
Vinay Thadani, CEO and Director, GREW Solar, said that the repeat order reflects the customer’s confidence in the company’s product quality, technology and ability to deliver consistently. He added that GREW Solar plans to continue investing in advanced technology, manufacturing capacity and quality systems as India’s renewable energy sector expands.
The company said that growing power demand and India’s transition towards a cleaner energy mix are supporting demand for high efficiency solar PV modules. Developers are increasingly seeking modules that can improve energy generation and project economics.
GREW Solar, a venture of the Chiripal Group, operates a 6.5 GW solar PV module manufacturing facility in Dudu, Rajasthan, and plans to expand its module manufacturing capacity to 11 GW. It is also establishing an 8 GW solar PV cell manufacturing facility in Narmadapuram, Madhya Pradesh.
The company manufactures N type TOPCon G12R solar PV modules for utility scale and other solar applications and is expanding its presence in domestic and international markets.

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Optimal parameter identification of photovoltaic systems based on enhanced differential evolution optimization technique – Nature

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Scientific Reports volume 15, Article number: 2124 (2025)
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Identifying the parameters of a solar photovoltaic (PV) model optimally, is necessary for simulation, performance assessment, and design verification. However, precise PV cell modelling is critical for design due to many critical factors, such as inherent nonlinearity, existing complexity, and a wide range of model parameters. Although different researchers have recently proposed several effective techniques for solar PV system parameter identification, it is still an interesting challenge for researchers to enhance the accuracy of the PV system modelling. With the above motivation, this article suggests a stage-specific mutation strategy for the proposed enhanced differential evolution (EDE) that adopts a better search process to arrive at optimal solutions by adaptively varying the mutation factor and crossover rate at different search stages. The optimal identification of PV systems is formulated as a single objective function. It appears in the form of the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) between the PV model current from the experimental data and the current calculated using the identified parameters considering the parameter constraints (limits). The I-V (current-voltage) characteristics/data with identified parameters are validated with the experimental data to justify the proposed approach’s accuracy and efficacy for different cells and modules. Extensive simulation has been demonstrated considering two different PV cells (RTC France & PVM-752-GaAs) and three different PV modules (ND-R250A5, STM6 40/36 & STP6 120/36). The results obtained from the proposed EDE technique show Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) of 7.730062e-4, 7.419648e-4, and 7.33228e-4 respectively, in parameter identification of RTC France PV cell models based on single, double, and triple diodes. Also, the RMSE involved in parameter identification of PVM-752-GaAs PV cell models based on single, double, and triple diodes are 1.59256e-4, 1.408989e-4, and 1.30181e-4, respectively. The parameters identification of ND-R250A5, STM6 40/36 and STP6 120/36 PV modules involve RMSE values of 7.697716e-3, 1.772095e-3, and 1.224258e-2, respectively. All these RMSE values obtained with proposed EDE are the least as compared to other well-accepted algorithms, thereby justifying its higher accuracy.
To ensure the proper functioning of a photovoltaic (PV) system, precise implementation of its model is the primary requirement. To design, simulate and evaluate the performance of a solar PV system, some essential parameters should be identified precisely. The required parameters for the complete modelling of the solar PV cells are the photon-generated current, the diode ideality factors, the shunt resistance, the series resistance and the diode saturation current1. Generally, for a given solar PV cell/module, these intrinsic parameters can be identified either by referring to the datasheet available with the manufacturers or by utilizing the experimental I-V data. However, both of them may not be available. Several procedures for extracting these parameters have been proposed previously. Analytical, numerical and meta-heuristic techniques are the three popular techniques substantially attempted recently2. Initially, an appropriate model is selected for identification. However, the precision of the parameters obtained from identification is an important aspect for the overall modelling, adequate sizing and performance assessment of solar PV systems. Apart from that, the primary data from the manufacturers are restricted very often. The data relating to Voc (open-circuit voltage), Isc (short circuit current), Impp and Vmpp (the maximum power point current and voltage respectively) considering standard test conditions, etc., are mainly provided. The exact parameters are not readily available, so the issue is prominent in developing appropriate modelling. In addition to this, in reality, the PV model parameters do get affected owing to variations in environmental conditions. So, the present model parameters may not replicate the real ones. To model the PV cells and modules accurately, it is still an open forum and urges for further research. This motivates the present study to formulate an adequate approach that can provide an optimal solution to the parameter identification problem applied in PV systems.
In the formulation of the identification of system parameters for the PV model, the analytical technique comprises solving a set of associated transcendental equations at important points of the I-V characteristics3. The main advantages in this case are a simpler approach, calculation time reduction, relatively accurate results, faster computation, etc. A fast and accurate analytical technique was suggested in4. It utilized the information from datasheet available from the manufacturers. Later, the authors in5 suggested an approach based on Lambert’s W-function, which is an improvised and exact analytical technique. Also, another analytical method utilizing Co-content function was suggested in6. Lately, analytical equations were solved by a method that was graphical7. It is found that, under normal weather conditions, the analytical methods perform reasonably better. However, the accuracy and consistency of the results are affected by the variations in the weather conditions. Apart from that, they are computationally less effective, and complexity increases as larger number of system parameters are required to be identified when applied to larger and more complex solar PV systems.
The numerical techniques in comparison to analytical methods, are more accurate in optimally computing the parameters. This is due to the consideration of all the points in the characteristic curve in the analysis. Initially, the numerical techniques based on Newton’s method and non-linear least squares was suggested in8 for estimating the five parameters of a PV cell. Subsequently a resistive-companion strategy9 was recommended and it yielded comparatively better results than the analytical ones. Later on, Newton-Raphson-based improvisation in identifying parameters was suggested for solar PV modules10,11. The major limitation of all the numerical-based techniques is the large computational time. In addition to the above, it is found that these techniques may lead to reduced accuracy in results, particularly in identifying a large number of solar PV parameters and presenting mere close approximations of the initial conditions. These techniques also depend on the prior system’s conditions and there is a higher probability that the solution may get caught at local minima.
In subsequent developments, evolutionary and stochastic-based techniques are extensively applied to handle the major cons in identifying the solar PV model parameters by applying numerical and analytical techniques. The following reasons made these techniques more popular: (1) they do not involve differentiation; (2) they do not have strict requirements of continuity; (3) they present simplicity of approach; (4) they do not involve the complex mathematical formulation of system objectives; (5) the flexibility to enhance the searching ability either by control factor variation or by a hybrid approach. This inspires to do further research to formulate a right approach based on evolutionary optimization techniques in comparison to the numerical and analytical methods.
In current scenario, parameter estimation techniques based on different meta-heuristics like Genetic algorithm (GA)12, Artificial bee swarm optimization(ABSO)13, Pattern search (PS)14, Particle swarm optimization (PSO)15, Bird mating optimizer (BMO)16, Mutative-scale parallel chaos optimization algorithm (MPCOA)17, Orthogonally-adapted gradient-based optimization (OLGBO)18, Genetic algorithm based on non-uniform mutation (GAMNU)19, Symmetric chaotic gradient-based optimizer (SC-GBO)20, Guaranteed convergence particle swarm optimization (GCPSO)21, Enhanced vibrating particles system (EVPS)22, Improved Grey wolf optimizer (IGWO)23, were developed and implemented for identifying the PV parameters. A General algebraic modelling system (GAMS) tool was suggested for PV parameter extraction in24. Subsequently, other improved techniques such as Chaotic-driven Tuna swarm optimizer (CTSO)25, Supply-demand-based optimization algorithm (SDOA)26, Tree growth algorithm (TGA)27, Supply-demand-based optimization (SDO)28, Hybrid successive discretisation algorithm (HSDA)29, Improved adaptive differential evolution (IADE)30, Marine-predator algorithm (MPA)31, Slime mould algorithm integrated Nelder-Mead simplex strategy and chaotic map (CNMSMA)32, New Hybrid33, Chaotic improved artificial bee colony (CIABC)34, Improved cuckoo search algorithm (IMCSA)35 etc., were also suggested. Moreover, Rao-2 and Rao-336 algorithms, Stochastic slime mould algorithm(SMA)37, Electric eel foraging optimizer (EEFO)38, Enhanced prairie dog optimizer(En-PDO)39, mountain gazelle optimizer (MGO)40, Arithmetic optimization algorithm (AOA)41 and Forensic-based investigation algorithm (FBIA)42 with improved performances were proposed for parameter identification. However, the major inferences that can be made are: Firstly, all the approaches are not free from the algorithm control factors, secondly, it is difficult to indicate one of them as the Universal best approach for all problems/applications43,44.
Hybrid techniques based on meta-heuristic techniques are very effective due to coordinated searching and reducing the limitations of one approach by the other45. Few hybrid approaches are successfully applied for solar PV parameters’ identification, such as Hybrid Firefly and Pattern Search Algorithms (HFAPS)46, Hybrid bee pollinator Flower pollination algorithm (BPFPA)47, Collaborative intelligence of different swarms48, Hybrid gazelle-Nelder–Mead (GOANM) algorithm49 and Hybrid mountain gazelle pattern search(MGPS) optimizer50. These techniques are recommended to deal with the inherent demerits of individual techniques, permit different combinations of individual techniques, and then appear as a competent technique to the identify the parameters of solar PV models. Nevertheless, these techniques’ performances are problem-dependent. Secondly, their accuracy, robustness, and convergence speed are regulated by the judicious selection of algorithm’s control factors. Out of these two possibilities, an enhanced meta-heuristic technique with adaptively adjusting control factors is chosen in this study.
Even though extensive research has been done recently, formulating a better PV parameter identification is still a difficult problem to resolve. Finding an enhanced process with better accuracy and robustness in the computation of parameter estimation of various PV models is indispensable. A meta-heuristic method based on Differential evolution(DE) optimization is adopted due to its many pros as follows: (1) it is a derivative-free algorithm; (2) flexibility in enhancing the performance by adjusting algorithm control factors; (3) capable of handling a variety of objective functions having different forms of convexity and continuity; (4) not many factors need to be adaptively varied for enhancing the performance at different stages of searching; (5) comparatively less probability of facing confinement to the local minima; (6) the approach is simple, and easy to implement, program, modify and hybridize with other methods without much complexity in design and formulation; (7) the final result and search strategy is independent of initial random solutions chosen indicating the consistency in arriving at the optimal result. However, the performance of DE can be enhanced by adaptively varying its control factors and this can also overcome its shortcomings like getting caught at local minima due to misleading effects of certain problem landscapes, less ability to drag the population over long-distances for searching in case the crowded population is contained within a smaller region of the search space, increased computational time when applied to complex multi-objective and higher dimensional problems and oscillation around optimum result due to wrong adjustment of step size etc51. These research gaps motivate the present study to formulate a better technique for solar PV parameter identification and testing under a wide variety of cases most desirable for real-time application.
In recent times it has been seen that by adaptively varying the control factors not only in case of DE but also in the case of other stochastic approaches, the efficacy of searching during the exploration and exploitation stages is substantially improved. Looking at the DE algorithm, it is evident that two primary factors mutation and crossover and two secondary factors initialization and selection along with the population size affect the performance mainly. In this study, EDE is suggested by considering a stage-specific mutation procedure of the conventional DE algorithm. To augment the overall performance and circumvent the confinement issues at local minima, the EDE is proposed with stage-based control factors (mutation factor, cross-over rate) to attain improved precision with quicker convergence, resulting in optimum parameter values. Secondly, this approach is applied extensively for solar PV system parameter identification considering different PV model configurations.
The key contributions made in this work are the following:
A modified technique of DE mentioned as EDE is articulated for identifying the parameters of various PV cells and modules.
Adaptive adjustment of the mutation factors and crossover rates is suggested for augmenting the explore and exploit abilities of the EDE during the search.
Several cases of simulation, statistical results are showcased and discussed to assess the performance of the proposed EDE technique.
Based on the values of root mean square error (RMSE), extensive results are presented to compare and validate that the proposed EDE technique has better accuracy and robust searching capability in comparison to other reported techniques.
The overall structure of the article is as follows: Section “Introduction” presents the background, motivation, and research gap and also highlights the study’s contribution. Following the brief introduction, Section “Description of different PV models and objective function formulation” presents a detailed description of the modelling of solar PV and the single objective formulation of the problem considering all the system parameters and related constraints. The conventional DE algorithm, the proposed EDE technique are briefly described, highlighting all the major modifications suggested along with the statistical performance in Section “Differential evolution technique for parameter identification”. The results of identification and simulation are illustrated and analysed in Section “Results and analysis”, followed by discussion in Section “Discussion” and concluding remarks in Section “Conclusion”.
The electrical equivalent circuits along with their parameters are referred to as the PV cell and modules to be modelled. For accurate design, simulation and analysis, several reduced and complex models must be proposed. This section presents a brief description of different PV models with related parameters and the objective function formulation for the models.
The single diode-based electrical equivalent circuit of the PV cell model is comprised of a photon-generated current source, an antiparallel diode, a series and a shunt resistor. Figure 1 demonstrates the above model10,21.
Electrical equivalent circuit of the PVCMSD.
The following equation is derived by application of Kirchoff’s current law(KCL) to Fig. 1:
where Icpg, Icd, and Icp. denote photon-generated current, the current flowing in the diode, and the current flowing in the shunt resistance Rp respectively. At the same time, I, V and Rse signify the PV cell current, the PV cell voltage, and the series resistance respectively.
The current through Rp is expressed as:
where Is, α, and Vt denote the saturation current of the diode, the diode ideality factor and the thermal voltage respectively. The existing relation can be expressed as follows:
where, T, q and kbm symbolize the cell/module temperature in K, the electron charge (1.60217 × 10−19) in C, and Boltzmann constant (1.38065 × 10−23) in J/K respectively.
Using Eqs. (1), (2) and (3) the PV cell current is calculated using Eq. (5) as:
The electric equivalent circuit of a PV cell model based on double diode comprises a photon-generated source of current, two diodes antiparallel to the current source, a series and a shunt resistor14,21. Figure 2 demonstrates the PVCMDD.
Electrical Equivalent circuit of the PVCMDD.
Application of KCL to the Fig. 2 results in the following equation:
where Icpg denotes photon generated current, Icd1 denotes the current flowing in diode D1, Icd2 denotes the current flowing in diode D2, Icp. denotes the current through shunt resistance Rp and I denotes the cell output current. Here, the current in diode D1 can be expressed as shown next in Eq. (7):
where, Is1 signifies the saturation current of diode D1, α1 signifies the ideality factor of diode D1. In the same manner, the current in diode D2 can be expressed as shown next in Eq. (8):
where Is2 signifies the saturation current of diode D2 and α2 signifies the ideality factor of diode D2. Therefore, the PV cell output current is given as:
The equivalent electric circuit of the PV cell model based on triple diode is comprised of a photon-generated current source, three antiparallel type diodes, a series and a shunt resistor23,26,27 as demonstrated in Fig. 3.
Electrical Equivalent circuit of the PVCMTD.
Application of KCL to Fig. 3, gives the following equation:
where Icpg denotes photon generated current, Icd1 denotes the current flowing in diode D1, Icd2 denotes the current flowing in diode D2, Icd3 denotes the current flowing in diode D3, Icp. denotes the current through shunt resistance Rp and I denote the cell output current. The expressions for currents Icd1 and Icd2 are given by Eqs. (7) and (8) respectively in the Sect. 2.2.
In the same manner, the current in diode D3 can be expressed as shown below in Eq. (11):
where, Is3 signifies the saturation current of diode D3 and α3 signifies the ideality factor of diode D3 in Fig. 3.
The final PV cell output current is expressed by Eq. (12) as follows:
Solar cells are connected in series or series-parallel combinations to form a PV module. The PV modules in this study are comprised of series combinations of Ns number of solar cells. If the PV module comprises single diode-based PV cells, then the output current of the module is given by Eq. (13) as:
where, V signifies voltage across the PV module. The Icpm implies the equivalent photon-generated current of the module while Ism signifies the equivalent saturation current of the diodes in the module, Rsem signifies the equivalent series resistance of the module and Rpm signifies the equivalent shunt resistance of the module. In addition, αm implies the ideality factor of the module and Vtm implies the thermal voltage of the module. The existing relation can be related between these factors as follows.
The module output current can be finally expressed as
The PV model parameter identification task is transformed into a single-objective optimization problem. This work’s single objective function (OF) is taken as the root mean square error (RMSE) between experimental and calculated (estimated) currents of the PV models under consideration. Therefore, the optimization problem can be formulated as follows:
Minimize
where, M denotes the number of experimental current-voltage data points of the PV model under inspection, k denotes the index of experimental data, ϑ denotes the parameter set of the PV model to be identified and (:{h}_{k}left(vartheta:,V,Iright)) signifies the current error function of the PV model. If the RMSE value is very small, it means that a better set of PV model parameters(ϑ) is identified. The aim is to minimize RMSE by using EDE in order to attain optimal parameters.
From each PV model, the current error function (:{h}_{k}left(vartheta:,V,Iright)) is obtained as follows:
For PVCMSD, ϑ = { Icpg, Is, α, Rp, Rse }.
For the PVCMDD, ϑ ={Icpg, Is1, Is2, α1, α2, Rp, Rse}.
For PVCMTD, ϑ ={Icpg, Is1, Is2, Is3, α1, α2, α3,Rp ,Rse},
For PVMM, ϑ = {Icpm, Ism, αm, Rpm, Rsem},
To obtain the estimated (calculated) current I for a PV model, the respective current error function (:{h}_{k}left(vartheta:,V,Iright)=0) is solved using Newton-Raphson’s method. In this method, the new value of the estimated current for a PV model is evaluated iteratively from its older estimate and its derivative, as shown in Eq. (21), until the condition |(:{h}_{k}left(vartheta:,V,Iright))| <10−10 is fulfilled.
Here, Fig. 4 summarises the entire parameter identification process as adopted in the study.
The block-diagram of the parameter identification procedure using EDE.
Here, R.T.C. France silicon solar cells8 operating at 1000 W/m2 and 33° C and PVM-752-GaAs thin film cell28 operating at 1000 W/m2 and 39° C are taken into consideration for the parameter identification. For module parameter identification, polycrystalline modules of Sharp ND-R250A521 and STP6 120/3652 and monocrystalline module of STM6 40/3652 are considered. The I-V data points of the respective cells and modules retrieved from the experiment are considered for their parameter identification.
In comparison to many other evolutionary-based approaches, the DE algorithm has proven its performance to arrive at optimal results in a wide variety of engineering applications53,54,55,56. The major factors that attract the DE for its extensive application are it can be applied successfully for multi-modal functions and single/multiple objectives-based problems preventing being trapped at a local minimum.
The overview of the elementary operations of the DE algorithm is segregated into four phases and presented as follows.
The initial population is randomly generated with dimension P X D. Each element xi, j in the initial population is randomly generated and initially subjected to the restrictions within the respective variable lower and upper limits i.e., (x_{j}^{{lo}} leqslant {x_{ij leqslant }}x_{j}^{{up}}). The population matrix with the predefined dimension is generated as follows:
where, i = 1,2,3,…., P referring to the population size and j = 1,2,3,, D referring to the total number of variables to be optimized. After the initialization phase as discussed, the other three preliminary phases are followed sequentially as mutation, crossover and selection for the DE algorithm.
During each generation ‘g’ and in this phase, a mutant vector (V_{{ij}}^{g}) is generated as presented in Eq. (23) by applying a mutation strategy to the current parent population (X_{{ij}}^{g}).
where (X_{{best}}^{g}) refers to the best vector solution selected according to the fitness value and objective during the generation ‘g’. The indices n1 and n2 are mutually exclusive integers in nature. These are selected from the set {1,2,3,4,…., P} subjected to the condition that n1≠ i, n2≠ i. (F_{i}^{g}) refers to the mutation factor that regulates the mutation process. It is selected within interval [0,1]. In the basic DE algorithm, (F_{i}^{g}=F) and it is considered to be a constant value.
The trial vectors (U_{{ij}}^{g}) are generated during the crossover phase considering the mutant vector (V_{{ij}}^{g}) generated in the mutation phase as presented by Eq. (24).
where rand [0,1) refers to any number randomly chosen within the interval [0,1]. It is uniformly generated every time for i and j. The jrand refers to the randomly chosen integer within the boundary [1, D] for each i. The (CR_{i}^{g}) refers to the crossover rate. It regulates the crossover operation by doing an average fraction of vector components. In this stage according to the crossover factor value, proportionally the mutant vectors are inherited further. (CR_{i}^{g}) is generally chosen from the interval [0,1]. In the basic DE algorithm, (CR_{i}^{g}) = CR and it is taken to be a
constant value.
The selection process is conducted to select the better solution vectors according to the respective fitness value comparison between the (:{X}_{i,j}^{g}) and (:{U}_{i,j}^{g}) vectors. The selection is done according to the comparative fitness values computed from the objective function (:OF) stated in Eq. (16). This operation can be presented as follows in Eq. (25).
where, (:{X}_{i}^{g+1}:)refers to the recently generated population vector and these vectors will be carried for the next generation following similar steps of the process from mutation to crossover to selection phase. Here, (:OFleft({U}_{i,j}^{g}right)) and (:OFleft({X}_{i,j}^{g}right)) refer to the target vector’s and the trial vectors’ objective function values respectively.
But these processes stop when the generation no ‘g’=gen_max. Herein, gen_max implies maximum generation count.
The improper setting of the dominant algorithm factors those having a critical role in the searching performance, may make the DE sensitive to the loss of diversity. This may lead to poor exploration and exploitation abilities57. In addition to this inappropriate mutation and crossover strategy may cause saturation in optimal searching due to either over exploration or may cause premature convergence due to overexploitation. Not regulating the control factors according to the existing position, may lead to oscillations near the optimal solution. In this, the various stages are determined and segregated accordingly. The stage-specific strategies of the mutation operation along with the adaptively changing/varying mutation factor and crossover rate are used to fetch the best output from the exploration and exploitation stages. Multiple mutation and crossover strategies can fetch better exploration and exploitation abilities58. The overall movement towards the optimum and best position in the generation ‘g’ and is given by
The value of (:{M}_{g}) can be normalized according to the maximum (:{M}_{gleft(maxright)}) and minimum (:{M}_{gleft(minright)}) values in the last five generations with respect to the present generation ‘g’ as follows:
The search stages are determined according to the following strategy:
The reason for the above strategy formulation is due to the large initial solution space and step size, which initially (:stackrel{-}{{M}_{g}}) will be larger than the average value of (:{M}_{g}) in the last five consecutive generations. After a few generations pass, due to short step size and narrow solution space, (:stackrel{-}{{M}_{g}}) there will have lesser value or it will keep constant due to saturation. Secondly, it is justified to segregate different stages of solution space to formulate the search strategy. As the solution is nearer to the optimal position, there will be no transfer possibility at that stage. This avoids the possibility of oscillation near the optimal value and leads to rapid convergence58,59. The mutant individual (:{V}_{i,j}^{g}) is computed by adopting different strategies for both the exploration and exploitation stages separately as follows:
The reason behind such a formulation is to adopt a larger step size to bring more diversity in the search that leads to a better exploration.
The mutation factor (:{F}_{i}^{g}) and the crossover rate (:{CR}_{i}^{g}) are adaptively computed during various stages of search in generation ‘g’ according to the strategy presented in59,60.
The idea behind such a formulation is that the mutation factor (:{F}_{i}^{g}) values are high initially as larger step size is required during the exploration stage of search while lower values of crossover rate (:{CR}_{i}^{g}) are needed initially to avoid confinement at local best values. But a smaller step size is required during the exploitation stage of the search, hence lesser values of (:{F}_{i}^{g}) are needed, while higher crossover rates (:{CR}_{i}^{g}) are needed to speed-up the convergence process. The flow-chart of suggested EDE technique is illustrated next in Fig. 5.
The flow-chart of EDE.
Here, gen_max = 1000, P = 10*D. The phases in basic DE also take place sequentially in EDE considering the stage-based modifications as stated in Eqs. (29)–(31). The termination criterion is the same as in basic DE. The ranges for the identification of PV cell and module parameters are presented in Tables 1 and 2 respectively.
In order to justify the effectiveness of the proposed EDE, some benchmark test functions are considered for testing it and comparing its performance with the EEFO, MGO, AOA, FBIA and DE techniques. Here, Table 3 presents the description of the Benchmark test functions taken for the analysis.
The statistical performance analysis of the EDE technique from benchmark function tests over 30 independent runs is compared to those with EEFO, MGO, AOA, FBIA and DE techniques for a population size P = 60 and 100 generations. The minimum, maximum, mean and standard deviations for each function and each algorithm are provided in Table 4. From these values it is clear that EDE presents better performance.
From the results in Table 4, it is quite obvious that the proposed EDE performs much better in the Benchmark tests as compared to the recently proposed EEFO, MGO, AOA, FBIA and the original DE algorithms.
Also, the non-parametric method of Wilcoxon signed rank test is applied to (EDE, EEFO), (EDE, MGO), (EDE, AOA), (EDE, FBIA) and (EDE, DE) pairs for comparison and resulting p-values and h-values are determined. The comparative results from this test are presented in Table 5.
In Table 5, it is observed from the p-values and h-values obtained by pairwise comparisons of the algorithms in the Wilcoxon signed rank test that there is a significant difference in the performance of the EDE when compared to other techniques, including EEFO, MGO, AOA, FBIA, and original DE. As, the p-values are less than 0.05, it reflects that EDE is clearly the winner amongst the six.
Moreover, the updated convergence graphs of EDE, EEFO, MGO, FBIA and DE for the benchmark functions F1, F2, F3 and F4 are illustrated in the Fig. 6(a), (b), (c) and (d) respectively. It can be observed from Fig. 6 that EDE converges to optimal values at a faster rate as compared to EEFO, MGO, AOA, FBIA and original DE.
The convergence graphs of EDE, EEFO, MGO, FBIA and DE for different benchmark functions.
The identified parameters and RMSE computed by the EDE proposed technique are compared with the respective values obtained by other techniques to justify the efficiency of the proposed EDE approach. All the simulation studies are carried out in MATLAB R2018b software.
This section presents the parameter identification results for RTC France PVCMSD, PVCMDD and PVCMTD from its experimental I-V data8.
Here, the five parameters of the PVCMSD are identified. Around 60 independent runs are conducted and the optimal parameters for the solar PV model under consideration are identified. The parameters obtained by the EDE approach are compared to other techniques. The comparative results are tabulated in Table 6. It can be concluded that the parameters identified by the EDE technique result in an RMSE of 7.730062e-4, which is much lesser than the RMSE observed in other techniques such as ABSO, BMO, MPCOA and OLGBO.
The obtained I-V characteristic of the PVCMSD using the identified parameters is shown in Fig. 7, along with the I-V characteristic monitored by using the experimental data. It is observed that both characteristics match each other closely, reflecting the proposed technique’s accuracy.
The experimental I-V characteristics and the I-V characteristics with identified parameters for PVCMSD.
In Fig. 8, the comparison between the graph of Individual absolute errors (IAE) in current using EDE technique and other techniques is reflected for each experimental data. The computed IAE values with EDE technique are lesser than the IAE values with other techniques at all indices of experimental data. Hence, the result reveals that the proposed technique’s accuracy is better than other techniques.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for PVCMSD.
The section enumerates all the seven identified parameters of the PVCMDD. The optimal set of identified parameters is chosen from the results obtained by 60 independent runs. The parameters identified by the EDE technique and other techniques considered for comparison are summarised in Table 7.
The obtained RMSE in the identification of parameters through the application of the EDE approach is 7.419648e-4. It is lesser than the RMSE values in comparison to the obtained values by the application of ABSO, BMO, OLGBO and MPCOA. The I-V curves with identified parameters match exactly with the I-V curves obtained experimentally to each other very closely, as demonstrated in Fig. 9. This indicates that the EDE proposed procedure is capable of identifying the optimal parameters for the solar PV cell accurately. In addition to this, it can reproduce exactly the real I-V characteristics of the solar PV cell similar to experimental results, as depicted in Fig. 9.
The experimental I-V characteristics and the I-V characteristics with identified parameters for PVCMDD.
The IAE values acquired with the proposed technique are evaluated in comparison with the IAE values obtained by applying the other techniques based on the experimental data obtained. These are illustrated in Fig. 10. The IAE values at the 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 6th, 8th, 9th, 10th and 15th experimental data indices with EDE technique are slightly higher than the IAE with other techniques based on the 26 experiment data points undertaken in this study. On the other hand, the IAE values with the EDE technique are considerably lesser for the remaining data indices in comparison to other techniques considered in this study. The overall performance is enhanced in the case of the proposed EDE approach.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for PVCMDD.
The nine parameters pertaining to the PVCMTD are identified in the present case. The optimal set of final identified parameters is attained from 60 independent runs. Table 8 enumerates the parameters identified by the EDE proposed technique and other techniques to present a comparative view.
It is noticed that the RMSE involved in the EDE technique is 7.33228e-4. It is lesser than the RMSE value observed in IGWO, OLGBO, SC-GBO and CTSO. Figure 11 illustrates the experimental I-V and I-V curves using identified parameters that almost match closely. From Fig. 11, it is noticeable that the EDE proposed algorithm can precisely identify the parameters of the solar PV cell accurately and replicate the real I-V characteristics.
The experimental I-V characteristics and the I-V characteristics with identified parameters for PVCMTD.
In Fig. 12, the IAE values computed using the proposed technique are evaluated by comparison with the IAE values found from the other techniques for each experimental data. The proposed technique results in slightly higher IAE values in the 1st, 14th and 19th experimental data compared to the IAE values with the other techniques. However, the IAE values with the proposed technique at the remaining data points are significantly lesser in comparison to those with other techniques considered in this study. From this, it can be inferred that the identification performance is enhanced substantially by applying the proposed EDE technique.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for PVCMTD.
This section presents the results of identifying parameters for PVM-752-GaAs thin film PVCMSD, PVCMDD and PVCMTD from its experimental I-V data28.
Here, the five parameters of the PVCMSD are identified. The optimal parameters for the solar PV model under consideration are chosen from conducting the 60 independent runs. Table 9 illustrates the comparison of the parameters identified by the EDE optimization technique and other techniques. It is detected that the parameters identified by the EDE technique result in an RMSE of 1.59256e-4. It is the least compared to the RMSE, resulting from the other identification techniques such as SDOA, TGA, SDO and HSDA.
The I-V characteristic of the PVCMSD using the identified parameters is showcased in Fig. 13, in addition to the I-V characteristic based on the experimental data. It is noticed that both characteristics match each other very closely. It shows the accuracy of the EDE technique.
The experimental I-V characteristics and the I-V characteristics with identified parameters for PVCMSD.
The IAE values acquired with the EDE technique are analysed in comparison to the IAE values using other techniques based on each experimental current data in Fig. 14. The IAE in current values at all the experimental data indices with the EDE technique are much lower than those IAE values with other techniques.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for PVCMSD.
The seven parameters of the PVCMDD are identified here. The optimal set of identified parameters is selected from 60 independent runs. The PVCMDD parameters identified using the EDE technique and other techniques are presented in Table 10. The RMSE in identifying parameters by the EDE optimization technique is 1.408989e-4. This value is relatively lesser than the RMSE values obtained in SDOA, TGA, SDO and HSDA.
The I-V curve from the experimental data and the I-V curve with identified parameters match each other closely, as shown in Fig. 15. The proposed EDE can identify the optimal parameters of the solar PV cell accurately. Moreover, the real I-V characteristics can also be reproduced by the EDE optimization technique.
The experimental I-V characteristics and the I-V characteristics with identified parameters for PVCMDD.
In Fig. 16, the computed IAE values by the proposed EDE technique are evaluated by comparing them with the obtained IAE values from other techniques considered in each experimental data point. The IAE values in the case of all the experimental data indices in comparison to the proposed EDE technique are much lesser than those IAE with other techniques. Hence, the proposed EDE technique can enhance solar PV parameter identification performance.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for PVCMDD.
The nine parameters pertaining to the PVCMTD are identified by utilizing the I-V experimental data of the PVM-752-GaAs PV cell. The optimal set of identified parameters is selected from the 60 independent runs. Table 11 summarises the parameters identified by the proposed technique and other techniques considered for comparison.
The RMSE in the estimation of parameters by the EDE approach is 1.30181e-4. It is smaller than the RMSE value estimated by the CNSMA, SDOA, TGA and MPA. The experiment and identification-based I-V curves obtained are very similar and substantially close. This is evident from Fig. 17. It can be concluded that the EDE algorithm can identify the optimal system parameters for the solar PV cell precisely. This method can be used to accurately reproduce the real-time I-V characteristics.
The I-V characteristics based on experimental data and the I-V characteristics with identified parameters for PVCMTD.
In Fig. 18, the comparison between the IAE values based on the EDE technique with the IAE values computed using other techniques considered in this study are illustrated for each experimental data. The IAE values with the EDE approach are observed to be substantially lesser than the IAE values computed using the other techniques. Hence, the proposed technique showcases improved accuracy and overall performance.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for PVCMTD.
The five parameters of the above polycrystalline PVMM are identified in the present section using its experimental I-V data21. Here, 60 independent runs are conducted to identify the optimal set of parameters for the module considered in this study. The comparison of the parameters extracted by the EDE technique and other techniques is made in Table 12. It is noticed that, the parameters identified by the EDE technique result in an RMSE of 7.697716e-3. It is the least compared to the RMSE resulting from other identification techniques such as EDE, GAMS, HSDA and GCPSO.
The experimental I-V and I-V curves with identified parameters are similar and close enough, as shown in Fig. 19. This indicates that the EDE algorithm can accurately identify the optimal PV cell parameters of the ND-R250A5 PVMM. This technique may be used to reproduce the real-time I-V characteristics for other applications and modelling purposes.
The experimental I-V and I-V characteristics with identified parameters for polycrystalline PVMM.
In Fig. 20, the IAE values acquired using the EDE technique are evaluated by comparing them to the IAE values computed using other recent techniques for each experimental data. The IAE values at the 20th and 21st indices with the EDE technique are a little higher than the IAE values with the other techniques out of the 36 experimental data indices. Nevertheless, at the remaining indices of the experimental data points, the IAE values resulting from the EDE approach are significantly lesser in comparison to those with other techniques. So, EDE can improve PV parameter identification performance with accuracy and robustness.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for polycrystalline PVMM.
This section identifies five parameters of the above monocrystalline PVMM from its experimental I-V data52. The optimal parameters set for the above module are selected from 60 independent runs. The comparison of the PV cell parameters identified by the EDE optimization approach and other techniques is tabulated in Table 13. The related system parameters identified using the EDE technique result in an RMSE of 1.772095e-3. It is the least as compared to the RMSE resulting from other identification techniques such as IMCSA, New Hybrid, Graphical and the technique implemented by Tong and Pora52.
The I-V characteristic of the STM6 40/36 PVMM using the identified parameters and the experimental I-V characteristic is shown in Fig. 21. It is noticed that both characteristics match each other very closely. It shows the accuracy of the proposed EDE technique.
The experimental I-V characteristics and the I-V characteristics with identified parameters for polycrystalline PVMM.
The IAE values attained with the EDE technique are evaluated by comparing the IAE values with the other techniques for each experimental current data and is illustrated in Fig. 22. It is found that the IAE values with the proposed EDE technique at the 3rd ,4th ,5th ,13th and 14th experimental data indices are slightly higher than those with the other techniques. However, for the remaining experimental data indices, the IAE values with the EDE technique are much lesser than the IAE with the other techniques. So, the proposed technique presents a better accuracy than the other mentioned techniques.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for monocrystalline PVMM.
The five parameters of the above polycrystalline PVMM are identified in the present section using its experimental I-V data52. The optimal parameters set for the above module are selected out of 60 independent runs. The comparison has been done between the parameters extracted by the EDE technique and other techniques considered and is tabulated in Table 14. It is noticed that the parameters identified by the proposed technique result in an RMSE of 1.224258e-2. This value is the lowest compared to the RMSE, resulting from other identification techniques such as IMCSA, CIABC, New Hybrid and the technique developed by Tong and Pora52.
The experimental I-V curve and I-V curve with identified parameters substantially close and almost overlap each other, as revealed by Fig. 23. Therefore, the EDE algorithm can find the optimal internal parameters of the STP6 120/36 PVMM accurately. Also, it may be used to regenerate the real-time I-V characteristics for other applications and modelling.
The I-V characteristic from the experiment and the I-V characteristic with identified parameters for polycrystalline PVMM.
In Fig. 24, the IAE values computed using the EDE technique are compared with the IAE values acquired from other techniques for each experimental data. With the proposed EDE technique, the IAE values at the 1st and 22nd experimental data indices are slightly higher than those IAE values with other techniques. Nevertheless, at the remaining data indices, the IAE values with EDE technique are substantially lesser in comparison to those in the other mentioned techniques. Hence, the overall performance is improved by the EDE technique.
Comparison of IAE result with proposed and other techniques for polycrystalline PVMM.
The following critical analysis can be presented from the research work carried out in this article:
PV parameter identification has been done extensively by various methods in recent times. However, still it is an open forum for research due to the environmental factor impacts, system parameter variation due to internal operational factors and the degradation of parameter due to long-time operation/ageing. This makes PV parameter estimation more complex to solve for accurate results.
Hybrid techniques have recently been applied for PV parameter identification due to their mutually supporting ability and nullifying individual limitation features.
In this study, a single objective formulation is done. The PV parameter identification can be also formulated as a multi-objective optimization problem by considering various errors such as squared power errors at open circuit, short -circuit and at MPP etc.
With adaptively varying control factors or applying new strategy to compute the control factors of an optimization technique generally improves the searching ability both during exploration and exploitation stages. This research is one of the attempts in this direction to propose a novel algorithm by adaptively varying the mutation factor and crossover rates of basic DE technique. These modifications, improve the quality of the optimal solution, which can be inferred from the least RMSE values obtained in parameter identification; thereby presenting higher accuracy as compared to other well-established techniques.
The article proposes an EDE algorithm for the parameter identification of the equivalent circuits of the PVCMSD, PVCMDD, and PVCMTD of RTC France and PVM-752-Ga-As, two different types of solar cells. Also, the parameters for the equivalent circuits of PVMM for three different modules are identified, i.e., ND-R250A5, STM6 40/36 and STP6 120/36, by applying the proposed EDE technique. The critical inferences that can be pointed out from the obtained results are (1) The proposed approach EDE results in better searching during exploration and exploitation stages. The major reason is due to dynamically varying mutation and crossover factors that regulate the searching strategy in a better way; (2) The IAE graphs and RMSE values validate the proposed technique comparatively concerning other techniques. The results reflect that the proposed approach outperforms many other techniques in terms of accuracy and efficiency when applied to the cells and modules; (3) Considering the identified parameters, the simulated I-V characteristics closely match the experimental I-V characteristics of tested PV cells and modules. Graphical demonstrations and tabular results justify the proposed technique’s superior performance. The proposed technique can be accepted as a promising method for the identification of different PV cells and module parameters efficiently and accurately.
In real-time establishment and operation, many environmental factors particularly temperature and irradiance variations, dust, snowfall and shading act adversely on the power produced by the PV arrays. These factors need to be focussed in the study as they affect the performance of the identification algorithms. Future research could be directed towards developing an improved and hybrid technique for parameter identification with better exploration ability, lesser complexity and faster convergence. Finally, the objective functions’ nature and formulation significantly impact the technique’s performance to efficiently and accurately identify the parameters. The formulated objective function may be designed as a function of the difference between the experimental power and the power with identified parameters, i.e., root means square error in power. Therefore, this issue needs further research for the optimal solution.
The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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This article has been produced with the financial support of the European Union under the REFRESH – Research Excellence For Region Sustainability and High-tech Industries project number CZ.10.03.01/00/22_003/0000048 via the Operational Programme Just Transition and paper was supported by the following project TN02000025 National Centre for Energy II. The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to Stanislav Misak for his exceptional supervision, project administration, and overall guidance throughout the course of this project. His expertise and support were instrumental to its success.
Department of Electrical Engineering, Siksha ‘O’ Anusandhan University, Bhubaneswar, Odisha, India
Shubhranshu Mohan Parida, Vivekananda Pattanaik, Subhasis Panda & Binod Kumar Sahu
Department of Electrical Engineering, Synergy Institute of Technology, Bhubaneswar, India
Vivekananda Pattanaik
Department of Electrical Engineering, Srinix College of Engineering, Balasore, India
Subhasis Panda
Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Siksha ‘O’ Anusandhan University, Bhubaneswar, Odisha, India
Pravat Kumar Rout
Department of Electrical Engineering, Graphic Era (Deemed to be University), Dehradun, 248002, India
Mohit Bajaj
Hourani Center for Applied Scientific Research, Al-Ahliyya Amman University, Amman, Jordan
Mohit Bajaj
College of Engineering, University of Business and Technology, Jeddah, 21448, Saudi Arabia
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ENET Centre, VSB—Technical University of Ostrava, Ostrava, 708 00, Czech Republic
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Shubhranshu Mohan Parida, Vivekananda Pattanaik, Subhasis Panda: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Visualization, Investigation, Writing- Original draft preparation. Pravat Kumar Rout, Binod Kumar Sahu: Data curation, Validation, Supervision, Resources, Writing – Review & Editing. Mohit Bajaj, Lukas Prokop, Vojtech Blazek: Project administration, Supervision, Resources, Writing – Review & Editing.
Correspondence to Mohit Bajaj.
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India's MNRE pushes for separate DSM rules for PV and wind projects, warns of financial risks – pv-tech.org

India’s Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) has asked the country’s power regulator, the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC), to retain separate ‘Deviation Settlement Mechanism’ (DSM) rules for solar PV and wind projects, warning that a single framework could expose renewable generators to increased financial risks.
In comments submitted on the draft Deviation Settlement Mechanism and Related Matters (Third Amendment) Regulations, 2026, the ministry argued that renewable energy generation depends on weather conditions and should not be treated on par with thermal or hydro power plants.

It warned that imposing conventional DSM obligations on renewable generators would expose developers to higher financial uncertainty, weaken project bankability and force companies to price additional risk into future tariffs.
The draft amendments, issued by the CERC in June, propose bringing future wind and solar generators under the same DSM framework as conventional electricity sellers. The proposed changes would also alter the benchmark used to calculate certain contract-rate deviations.
DSM is a set of rules that requires power generators to compensate for differences between the amount of electricity they are scheduled to supply and what they actually deliver. The system is designed to help keep the electricity grid stable and balanced.
India introduced DSM rules in 2014 and later created separate rules for solar and wind projects because their electricity output depends on weather conditions. As more renewable energy has been added to the grid, regulators have gradually tightened forecasting and scheduling requirements to improve grid reliability and encourage the use of battery energy storage systems to manage fluctuations in power generation.
“Uniform DSM norms can improve grid discipline and create a level playing field. However, treating renewable energy like conventional power may increase project risks and investment costs unless the rules account for the natural variability of wind and solar,” Gaurav Upadhyay, energy finance specialist for India sustainable finance in South Asia at IEEFA told PV Tech.
Instead, the ministry has recommended retaining a technology-specific DSM regime that reflects the operational characteristics of renewable energy. It proposed a graded framework in which deviation limits are linked to available generation capacity and the maturity of supporting infrastructure, including forecasting systems, Renewable Energy Management Centres (REMCs), scheduling platforms, ancillary service markets and energy storage.
The ministry has also called for exemptions or a longer transition period for smaller renewable energy projects, weather-adjusted DSM calculations and greater flexibility for developers to offset deviations through self-purchase arrangements or third-party mechanisms.
The proposed intervention comes as India continues tightening scheduling and forecasting requirements to accommodate rapidly growing renewable energy capacity while maintaining grid reliability.
Under the draft amendments, wind and solar projects awarded through bids from 1 January 2027 and commissioned from 1 January 2029 would be treated similarly to conventional generators under DSM regulations.
The draft rules would also change how deviations are measured. Instead of comparing a project’s actual output with its available generating capacity, deviations would be measured against the amount of electricity it had scheduled to deliver. The proposed changes would also gradually reduce the margin for forecasting errors over time.
Other proposed amendments include changing how deviation charges are calculated, introducing separate DSM rules for standalone energy storage systems, and updating the timeline for settling deviation payments.
The story has been updated to include comments from Gaurav Upadhyay.

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Solar farm fires are rare, but carry volatile chemical hazards, AZ fire officials warn – AZ Family

YUMA (AZFamily) — Arizona is currently home to about 100 solar farms, with several of those massive facilities operating right here in Yuma. While clean energy continues to expand across the region, fire safety experts warn that though solar-related fires are rare, they present intense, highly volatile hazards that can take days to control when they do ignite.
Just across the Arizona-California state line, firefighters battled a massive blaze Wednesday at the Mount Signal One Solar Plant. Local crews say fighting these unique electrical and chemical fires requires entirely different tactics compared to traditional structure blazes.
“Fires when they involve hazardous materials basically force us to slow down our stride,” said Cedric Cesena of the Imperial County Fire Department. “We have to ensure we are talking and looking with the technical experts who have the technical references that we can use.”
Many solar installations utilize lithium-ion batteries to store vast amounts of electricity. While highly efficient, that concentrated energy can become unstable. According to firefighters, these thermal runaway events can reach temperatures of up to 3,600 degrees Fahrenheit.
Lithium-ion battery failures have been blamed for a growing list of emergencies nationally, including golf cart, garage, car, airplane, and commercial building fires. When these chemical liquids are involved in a blaze, conventional firefighting methods do not work.
“We are not going to apply high amounts of water,” Cesena explained regarding their tactics. “We are going to actually apply large amounts of foam. That is going to help us create a layer over it and remove the oxygen from the equation, therefore putting the fire out.”
The danger of solar-related fires isn’t confined to multi-acre utility plants. It can hit close to home.
In June, a 76-year-old woman was killed in a Glendale, Arizona, house fire. The Glendale Fire Department confirmed the backyard blaze was caused by an electrical malfunction. Cameras at the scene captured the entire property caked in black soot and ash, with solar panels and dozens of wires strewn across the yard.
A source with knowledge of the investigation said the fatal fire was tied to a homeowner assembling a do-it-yourself (DIY) solar panel installation, which included a lithium battery system.
Because of these chemical complexities, fire officials emphasize that preparation is key to saving lives and protecting property.
Cesena noted that handling these specific hazards requires having a comprehensive response plan in place long before a fire ever sparks. He added that extreme desert heat plays a significant role in fueling the flames, making rapid containment even more critical.
Despite the high stakes, local first responders say they are in a much better position to safely respond to emergencies at these clean energy facilities today than they were just a few years ago due to advanced training and specialized equipment.
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TÜV Rheinland validates 4 kWh generation in Aptera’s solar electric vehicle – pv-magazine-usa.com

Third-party testing from TÜV Rheinland confirmed that Aptera Motors Corp.’s solar electric vehicle generated more than 4 kWh of usable solar energy daily across three test days in Southern California. The data provides a look at real-world vehicle-integrated photovoltaics (VIPV) under actual field conditions. 
Vehicle solar has historically faced skepticism due to low panel tilt, shading, and limited surface area. However, the test results show how cell layouts and power electronics perform in the field. Testing logged energy delivered directly to the battery pack rather than estimating output at the module surface level. 
Dr. Giorgio Bardizza of TÜV Rheinland conducted the on-site evaluation at Aptera’s Carlsbad facility. He used calibrated data logging equipment to track continuous generation from sunrise to sunset. Across three test setups, the vehicle’s 815.9 W peak photovoltaic system beat Aptera’s daily baseline target of 4.0 kWh.  
A stationary test with the vehicle parked logged 4.23 kWh delivered to the battery. Turning the vehicle once at solar noon yielded 4.40 kWh. Opening the rear hatch toward the sun pushed delivery to 4.75 kWh. That translates to roughly 47 miles of daily range based on Aptera’s target efficiency rating of 100 Wh/mi.  
The vehicle embeds 205 custom solar cells across seven distinct strings. These cells sit across four body zones: the hood, dashboard, roof, and rear hatch. Power logging across each string showed combined conversion losses between 9.2% and 9.6%. This indicates that sub-array efficiency remains steady under outdoor conditions.  
As VIPV expands into commercial fleet and passenger markets, independent testing helps establish real performance metrics outside traditional solar arrays. Find the full test report here.
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Enhancing energy autonomy of greenhouses with semi-transparent photovoltaic systems through a comparative study of battery storage systems – Nature

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Scientific Reports volume 15, Article number: 2213 (2025)
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Effective energy management is crucial in greenhouse farming to ensure efficient operations and optimal crop growth. This study investigates the energy autonomy—defined as the ratio of on-site energy generation to the total energy demand—of greenhouses equipped with semi-transparent photovoltaic (STPV) systems under two scenarios: with and without a Battery Energy Storage System (BESS). STPV systems are beneficial because they generate energy while still allowing enough light to pass through for healthy plant development. Seasonal variations in energy autonomy during summer and winter were analyzed. Results show that incorporating BESS significantly reduces reliance on grid electricity, with energy autonomy improving from 43.43% to 24.17% in summer and 81.36% to 69.45% in winter. The system’s performance was highly sensitive to the transmittance rate of STPV panels and the minimum Daily Light Integral (DLI) required for crops. These findings highlight the potential of BESS to enhance energy independence and promote sustainable agricultural practices. The study provides insights into optimizing renewable energy systems in greenhouses, emphasizing practical implications for scalability and economic feasibility.
Greenhouse technology plays an essential role in modern agriculture by enabling the controlled environment cultivation of a wide variety of crops. This controlled environment ensures optimal growing conditions, independent of external weather patterns, which leads to higher yields and improved crop quality. The importance of greenhouses is underscored by their significant contribution to food security, particularly in regions with less favorable growing conditions. The Food and Agriculture Organization emphasizes the critical role of greenhouse technology in meeting the projected 70% increase in global food production demand1. Currently, greenhouse agriculture spans over millions of hectares of lands worldwide, with a substantial presence in eastern Asia and the Mediterranean regions2. While the adoption of greenhouse technology significantly enhances food production capabilities, it also leads to increased energy consumption3. As a result, this contributes to higher greenhouse gas emissions and a greater carbon footprint4. In this context, integrating renewable energy sources (RES) into greenhouse operations is not only going to be beneficial but necessary. Photovoltaic (PV) technology, with its decreasing costs, stands out as a promising solution. European union, for instance, is planning a significant increase in PV capacity, aiming to exceed 200 GW over the next decade5.
Agricultural photovoltaic, which combine PV power generation with traditional farming practices, presents a synergistic approach6. This approach addresses the challenges of energy demand in agriculture. Additionally, it contributes to sustainable farming practices by reducing dependence on non-renewable energy sources7. By installing PV systems on croplands, which are rich in solar resources, greenhouses are able to lower their dependency on fossil fuels. Integrating Semi-transparent photovoltaic (STPV) systems into greenhouses further enhances this synergy by allowing sufficient light for plant growth while simultaneously generating electricity (Fig. 1). STPV systems represent an innovative approach for integrating solar energy generation with light transmission, making them particularly suitable for applications such as greenhouses8. This dual functionality not only helps in maximizing land use efficiency but also aligns with sustainable agricultural practices. Unlike traditional opaque PV panels, STPV systems are designed to allow a portion of sunlight to pass through while converting the rest into electricity9. This selective light transmission is crucial for maintaining optimal photosynthesis conditions. Additionally, this dual functionality is achieved through various technologies10. Furthermore, STPV technology can contribute to enhanced climate resilience in agricultural practices. The ability to produce energy on-site reduces the carbon footprint associated with energy transportation and infrastructure. Compared to traditional PV systems, STPV offers the unique advantage of simultaneous energy generation and light transmittance, which is crucial for maintaining the Daily Light Integral (DLI) required for crops. Wind energy, while effective in some regions, is less reliable and difficult to integrate within the structural design of greenhouses. The dual functionality of STPV systems, combined with the flexibility of BESS, positions this approach as a superior solution for achieving energy autonomy in greenhouse farming.
Dual application of STPV in a greenhouse.
Table 1, presents information on various types of semi-transparent photovoltaic technologies, their materials, efficiencies, transparency levels, and additional relevant notes. STPV systems can employ different methods to balance light transmission and energy conversion, such as using different types of materials or designing varying layers within the panel.
While photovoltaic STPV systems offer significant advantages in renewable energy generation, they are not without their shortcomings. A notable issue is the trade-off between transparency and efficiency, where increasing transparency often results in decreased energy conversion efficiency. STPV systems typically exhibit lower efficiency compared to traditional PV panels, which can lead to intermittent energy production11. Since solar panels generate electricity only during daylight hours, their output varies based on weather conditions, time of day, and seasonal changes. This intermittency can pose particular challenges for energy-intensive operations like greenhouses, where a stable energy supply is crucial for maintaining consistent environmental conditions. Periods of low or no power generation, especially during cloudy days or at night, can lead to reliability issues. Additionally, while the efficiency of STPV systems is improving, it remains lower compared to traditional opaque PV panels, meaning they generate less electricity overall8. This reduced efficiency can affect the viability of STPV systems as a sole energy source for high-demand applications. Despite these challenges, the lower energy yield of STPV systems might necessitate the use of supplementary energy sources or storage solutions to ensure a reliable power supply. To address these issues, ongoing research and development are focused on enhancing the efficiency and durability of STPV technologies. Future advancements could make STPV systems more viable for widespread use in agricultural settings. As STPV technologies evolve, their integration into greenhouse systems could lead to significant improvements in sustainable agriculture and energy management.
Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) offer a practical solution to the mentioned shortcomings by storing excess power produced at peak sunlight hours and use it during hours when solar power generation is insufficient12. By providing a buffer against the variability of solar power, BESS ensures a reliable and continuous energy supply, which is crucial for greenhouse operations that depend on stable environmental conditions for crop production. In greenhouses, maintaining optimal temperature, humidity, and lighting conditions is vital for plant growth, and any disruptions in power supply can jeopardize these conditions. BESS also helps in load balancing, smoothing out the fluctuations in energy availability and demand11. This reduces the greenhouse’s dependency on the grid and can significantly decrease energy costs13. By mitigating demand spikes and supplying energy during off-peak periods, BESS can also play a role in reducing the need for expensive grid upgrades, which would otherwise be necessary to handle increased loads. Moreover, by enabling the use of stored renewable energy instead of fossil fuel-based backup generators, BESS contributes to reducing the carbon footprint of greenhouse operations, promoting more sustainable agricultural practices14.
The integration of BESS into microgrids energy systems not only supports sustainability goals but also enhances energy security15. In the context of agricultural operations, especially those in remote or off-grid locations, BESS provides a critical backup power source, ensuring that vital systems remain operational during power outages or in the absence of sufficient sunlight. This capability is particularly important as climate change leads to more frequent and severe weather events, which can disrupt both solar power generation and grid reliability. In addition, the use of BESS can improve the economic viability of greenhouses by providing a more predictable energy cost structure and reducing the financial risks associated with energy price volatility. Properly sizing BESS is crucial for maximizing their effectiveness in supporting renewable energy systems like STPV in greenhouse operations. The size of BESS determines its capacity to store and discharge energy, directly influencing the system’s ability to meet energy demands during periods of low solar input or high consumption16. An undersized BESS may not provide sufficient backup power during extended periods of low solar energy generation, while an oversized system can lead to unnecessary capital expenditure and underutilization. Various methods, including mathematical modeling and optimization techniques, are employed to determine the optimal BESS size and configuration17. In18, six different optimization algorithms are employed to find the optimum performance of a hybrid battery-supercapacitor energy system. These methods consider factors such as the greenhouse’s energy demand profile, the solar generation potential, weather patterns, and the cost of energy storage technologies19. Metaheuristic algorithms have proven effective in handling the complex, nonlinear nature of optimization problems associated with BESS sizing20,21. Different heuristic and evolutionary algorithms are investigated in handling the microgrids optimization based problems in22,23.
Harmony Search (HS), a metaheuristic algorithm inspired by musicians’ improvisation process, has gained attention for its ability to find near-optimal solutions by iteratively adjusting solutions based on harmony memory and pitch adjustment24. The HS algorithm is particularly suited for optimizing energy storage systems because it can efficiently navigate large, multidimensional solution spaces to identify configurations that balance cost, performance, and reliability. In our study, we utilized the Harmony Search algorithm to optimize the size and the spatial distribution of BESS within the greenhouse system25. This optimization strategy ensures that energy storage is strategically located to minimize transmission losses and enhance overall system efficiency. By placing storage units closer to high-demand areas, we can reduce energy transmission distances and improve the overall responsiveness of the energy supply system.
The results from our optimization model demonstrate that strategic placement and sizing of BESS can lead to significant improvements in energy efficiency and cost savings. This approach not only enhances the sustainability of greenhouse operations by minimizing energy waste but also contributes to better economic outcomes through reduced operational costs and improved crop yields due to stable environmental conditions. Future research could explore integrating advanced predictive models that incorporate real-time weather data and machine learning algorithms to further enhance the accuracy and effectiveness of BESS optimization in greenhouse environments. As the cost of BESS technology continues to decline and its performance improves, its application in agriculture and other energy-intensive sectors is likely to expand, driving further advancements in renewable energy integration and sustainability.
The Daily Light Integral (DLI) serves as a critical parameter in greenhouse agriculture, representing the total amount of photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) received by crops over a 24-h period. DLI directly influences plant growth, development, and overall productivity, making it essential to maintain optimal light levels within greenhouses26. The amount of PAR a plant receives affects various physiological processes, such as photosynthesis, transpiration, and nutrient uptake, which are all crucial for healthy plant growth. Managing DLI constraints effectively is pivotal in achieving a balanced integration of renewable energy technologies in greenhouse environments, aligning energy efficiency goals with agricultural productivity27. Ensuring that the DLI requirements are met allows for maximum plant health and yield, even as renewable energy systems like STPV panels and BESS are integrated into the greenhouse design. Different crops have varying DLI requirements depending on their growth stages and light sensitivity. For instance, high-light crops like tomatoes and peppers require a significantly higher DLI compared to shade-tolerant crops such as leafy greens. Understanding these specific light requirements is essential for tailoring greenhouse conditions to optimize plant health and yield. In our study, we integrated DLI as a primary constraint in our optimization framework for energy management. By considering DLI requirements specific to different crop types, we ensured that energy solutions, including the deployment and operation of STPV systems and BESS, complemented rather than compromised plant growth. This approach enables greenhouse operators to balance energy savings with the provision of adequate light for photosynthesis, thereby supporting sustainable agricultural practices.
In this study, we assume that the crop-specific DLI thresholds are fixed based on existing agricultural guidelines. The DLI values used in the optimization model are based on average lighting needs for high, medium, and low light-demanding crops. While actual DLI requirements may vary due to factors like plant age and health, using established thresholds ensures the results are applicable to a wide range of greenhouse operations.
Moreover, integrating DLI into the energy management strategy helps in reducing the overall energy footprint of greenhouse operations. When DLI is properly managed, it allows for strategic use of supplemental lighting only when natural sunlight is insufficient, thereby minimizing energy consumption. This targeted approach not only optimizes energy use but also enhances crop yield and quality by providing consistent, optimal light conditions. By aligning the DLI management with renewable energy generation patterns, greenhouses can achieve a more sustainable balance between energy consumption and production. Table 2 provides the minimum DLI values for different types of crops. These values are integral to our analysis as they ensure that the integration of STPV panels does not compromise the necessary light conditions for crop cultivation. Incorporating these values into our optimization model allows for a more precise and effective deployment of renewable energy technologies. For example, STPV panels can be strategically placed or designed to ensure they provide sufficient light transmission while also generating energy. This consideration is crucial for high-light crops, where any reduction in PAR due to PV shading could adversely affect growth and yield.
While the DLI concept plays a critical role in optimizing STPV-BESS systems, several challenges need to be considered. Firstly, accurately determining the required DLI for different crops across varying environmental conditions can be complex. Additionally, ensuring that DLI constraints are effectively integrated into the optimization model requires careful balancing of energy production with crop-specific light needs. Seasonal variations further exacerbate this challenge, as fluctuating weather conditions can impact the accuracy of DLI predictions and necessitate dynamic adjustments to the system. This study addresses these challenges by incorporating a flexible optimization approach that adapts to seasonal changes and ensures optimal crop growth alongside energy management.
While several renewable energy technologies have been proposed for greenhouses, including wind turbines and traditional PV systems, these solutions often lack the dual functionality required for greenhouse environments. Traditional PV systems, for instance, block a substantial portion of sunlight, which can adversely affect crop growth. Additionally, these technologies do not account for the critical agricultural parameters, such as the DLI and specific crop requirements, which directly influence both energy demand and plant productivity. This study aims to investigate how STPV systems, which enable simultaneous energy generation and optimal light transmittance, can be effectively integrated with BESS to improve energy autonomy in greenhouses. By considering the interplay between energy management and agricultural needs—including DLI thresholds and crop types—this research offers a comprehensive approach to optimizing renewable energy systems for sustainable and efficient greenhouse operations.
Previous researches focused on utilizing STPV in a greenhouse. Ref28 explores the potential of STPV cladding on greenhouse roofs to generate solar electricity while supporting crop production. The study uses energy and life cycle cost analysis, considering current and future efficiency projections for PV and horticultural lighting technologies. Results indicate that while STPV cladding currently increases lighting electricity use, it could potentially supply the greenhouse’s demand. The internal shading caused by STPV necessitates increased supplemental lighting but reduces heating energy use. Despite its current economic unattractiveness, STPV is expected to become a viable and promising cladding alternative, enhancing energy efficiency and economic performance as technology advances. However, they did not consider the different aspect of using STPV such as decreasing the energy autonomy or increasing the resiliency. Also, they did not consider the effect of energy storage system in their analysis. Ref29 investigates the implementation of a new STPV module prototype in a real greenhouse setting. Their proposed technology mitigates shadow effects on crops by ensuring that the cells’ shadows do not completely eclipse the sunlight, promoting a better distribution of solar radiation within the greenhouse. Despite a slight increase in yield ratio due to ground-reflected radiation utilization, the energy produced is still insufficient to meet the greenhouse’s electrical needs. Ref26 highlights the significant energy production potential of PV and STPV systems, demonstrating their capability to meet up to 30% of the annual electricity demand. The findings emphasize the importance of the proportion of the projected PV area to the total greenhouse area. In their study, they formulated the average daily radiation inside and outside of the greenhouse considering both PV and STPV panels. Also, they provided comprehensive information about DLI and transparency of STPV.
Above studies did not sufficiently consider the integration of energy storage systems, which is crucial for optimizing energy management in greenhouse environments. Without incorporating energy storage systems such as BESS, the ability to efficiently manage and balance energy supply and demand in real-time is limited. These systems play a vital role in mitigating the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources, particularly in a dynamic environment like greenhouses where energy demand fluctuates with crop growth cycles and seasonal changes. Additionally, while many studies explore the STPV systems to meet greenhouse energy demands, they often fail to provide a clear framework or specific factors that quantify the percentage of total energy demand that can be met with and without energy storage systems. This is essential for assessing the true value of energy autonomy and for understanding how much of the energy demand can be sustainably covered by renewable sources in conjunction with storage solutions. Moreover, seasonal energy dependency is largely overlooked in most existing studies. Greenhouses experience significant variations in energy demand throughout different seasons—during summer with higher sunlight and crop growth rates, and in winter when energy demands rise due to factors like lighting and heating needs. Understanding and optimizing these seasonal variations is critical for the design and management of energy systems to ensure long-term sustainability and efficiency. This study makes significant contributions to the field of sustainable agriculture and renewable energy integration.
1. This research focuses on enhancing energy autonomy in greenhouses equipped with STPV systems operating as microgrids, especially when integrated with BESS. By examining seasonal variations in energy autonomy and quantifying the impact of BESS on reducing reliance on the main grid, our study offers valuable insights into improving both energy efficiency and sustainability in greenhouse operations. Unlike prior works, which often lack a detailed exploration of seasonal dependency, this study provides a nuanced understanding of how BESS can be optimized to handle varying energy demands throughout the year.
2. The study introduces the use of the Harmony Search (HS) metaheuristic algorithm for optimizing the capacity and spatial distribution of BESS-STPV systems within the greenhouse environment. This novel approach enhances the ability to efficiently manage energy resources by considering dynamic system configurations that adapt to changing demand and seasonal factors. While existing research explores STPV and BESS independently, this study bridges the gap by integrating advanced optimization techniques that improve system performance and scalability.
3. Maintaining optimal conditions for crop growth is essential in greenhouse environments. By incorporating DLI constraints into the optimization model, the study ensures that energy solutions not only meet the greenhouse’s energy demands but also support healthy plant development. Unlike previous studies that prioritize energy efficiency alone, this approach highlights the importance of balancing energy production with agronomic needs, providing a holistic solution that addresses both energy and agricultural requirements.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows: section “Methodology” describes the study’s methodology in depth, providing a comprehensive overview of the approach used to investigate energy management strategies in greenhouse operations. Section “Mathematical formulation” outlines the objective functions, constraints, and the application of the HS algorithm for optimizing the integration of BESS with STPV systems. Section “Results” presents the findings, illustrating the outcomes of applying the optimized BESS-STPV configurations to a case study scenario during both winter and summer seasons, with comparisons made between scenarios with and without BESS. The Discussion in section “Results” interprets these findings. Section “Discussion: achievements and limitations” concludes the discussion and offers potential directions for further study in the area.
In this section, we detail the approach used to investigate and optimize the integration of BESS with STPV systems in greenhouse operations. The proposed method’s flowchart is given in Fig. 2. First, input data pertinent to the study were collected and analyzed. This included greenhouse specifications, such as dimensions and structural characteristics, as well as load demand profiles for both summer and winter seasons. Additionally, data on solar irradiance and PV output specific to the location and orientation of the greenhouse were gathered to simulate energy generation scenarios under varying seasonal conditions. The characteristics of BESS, including storage capacity, efficiency, and associated costs, were also considered in the input data. To establish a baseline, the first stage is to compute the greenhouse’s energy autonomy without the integration of BESS. The ratio of imported electricity to the overall load demand is described as energy autonomy. Subsequently, HS is employed to find the optimum spatial distribution and capacity of BESS within the greenhouse. The Harmony Search (HS) algorithm was selected due to its unique advantages in optimizing the BESS-STPV system. Compared to other metaheuristic algorithms such as Genetic Algorithms (GA) or Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), HS offers simplicity in implementation with fewer control parameters, making it easier to apply in practical scenarios. Additionally, HS excels in handling complex and nonlinear problems, which is essential for managing the interactions between renewable energy generation, energy storage, and crop growth. Unlike algorithms like GA, which may require extensive fine-tuning, HS effectively balances fast convergence with a lower likelihood of falling into local optima, ensuring robust and reliable results. This flexibility allows HS to adapt to the dynamic changes in seasonal energy availability and system requirements in greenhouse environments, providing a more efficient and tailored solution.
Flowchart of the proposed methodology.
The objective was to minimize energy autonomy while ensuring that the DLI requirements for crop growth were met. DLI, a critical parameter influencing plant photosynthesis and growth, was integrated into the optimization framework as a constraint to maintain optimal growing conditions. Following the optimization process, energy autonomy calculations were repeated for scenarios incorporating the optimized BESS configurations during both summer and winter seasons. These calculations allowed for a comparative analysis, evaluating the effectiveness of BESS in reducing energy autonomy and enhancing energy autonomy in greenhouse operations under varying seasonal conditions.
The following is an explanation of the steps in the approach:
Step1: Input Data Collection:
Gathered greenhouse specifications including dimensions, orientation, and structural details.
Collected historical load demand data for both summer and winter seasons to characterize energy consumption patterns.
Obtained solar irradiance data specific to the location and orientation of the greenhouse to simulate PV system output under varying seasonal conditions.
Compiled characteristics of the BESS, including storage capacity, efficiency, and cost parameters.
Step2: Calculation of Initial Energy Autonomy:
Defined and calculated the baseline energy autonomy of the greenhouse without the integration of BESS.
ED is quantified, providing a benchmark for comparison.
Step3: Harmony Search (HS) Optimization:
Applied the Harmony Search algorithm.
Formulated objective functions to minimize energy autonomy while adhering to constraints, particularly the DLI requirements critical for crop growth.
Iteratively adjusted BESS configurations based on harmony memory and pitch adjustment mechanisms to converge on near-optimal solutions.
Integration of DLI Constraint: Incorporated DLI constraints into the optimization model to ensure that energy solutions maintained adequate light levels necessary for optimal plant photosynthesis and growth.
Adjusted BESS operation schedules and configurations to balance energy storage and discharge with fluctuating solar availability and crop lighting requirements.
Step4: Calculation of Optimized Energy Autonomy:
Reassessed energy autonomy calculations for scenarios incorporating the optimized BESS configurations during both summer and winter seasons.
Compared and analyzed the reduction in energy autonomy achieved through BESS integration, evaluating its effectiveness in enhancing energy autonomy and sustainability in greenhouse operations. Furthermore, Fig. 3 provides the problem’s pseudo code.
The pseudo code of the problem.
This section details the mathematical formulation and optimization framework employed in the study. The formulation begins with defining an objective function aimed at minimizing the total cost associated with BESS, encompassing initial investment, operational expenses, and penalties for inadequate energy storage. Subsequently, the behavior of BESS is mathematically modeled, incorporating equations governing energy efficiency, charge–discharge cycles, and capacity constraints. To ensure optimal plant growth conditions, constraints based on the DLI are formulated, quantifying the minimum light intensity required by crops throughout the day. Energy autonomy, quantifying reliance on external power sources, is then calculated as a baseline metric. Finally, the HS algorithm is introduced to minimize energy autonomy by optimizing BESS operation, while meeting DLI constraints.
The aim of the study is to minimize the total expenditure linked with the BESS. The study focuses on a greenhouse integrated with STPV panels and a BESS, operating as a microgrid for sustainable energy management. To simulate and optimize this system, a detailed modeling approach was implemented in MATLAB. This simulation environment enables a comprehensive analysis of energy generation, storage, and utilization within the greenhouse. In the simulation, key input parameters are considered, including STPV area, crop type, minimum DLI requirements, STPV system transmittance rates, and BESS capacity. Also, related cost parameters are fed into the problem. These factors are essential for accurately simulating the energy flow, allowing the assessment of STPV’s performance and the BESS’s role in optimizing energy autonomy and cost-effectiveness. The output of the simulation provides critical insights into the system’s energy performance, including energy autonomy, BESS utilization, and the effects of seasonal variations on energy management. By considering these factors, the simulation ensures that both energy efficiency and crop growth are maximized, offering a practical approach for managing renewable energy resources in greenhouse environments.
The objective function generally encompasses factors such as the initial capital outlay for BESS components, ongoing operational expenses (including maintenance and replacements), the cost of installation of the STPV, and expenses incurred from importing energy from the main grid (Eq. 1)30:
Here, TC represents the total cost, (C_STPV) denotes the STPV installation cost, (C_BESS) refers to the cost associated with BESS, (C_OM) stands for the STPV-BESS system operational costs, and (C_GRID) represents the price of importing energy.
The price of BESS is determined using Eq. 2, represented by (Capacity_{BESS}) and (Energy_{BESS}):
Here, (P_rated) and (E_rated) denote the rated values of the BESS power and energy, respectively.
The operation ((OC_{STPV – BESS})) and maintenance costs ((MC_{STPV – BESS})) of STPV-BESS system is formulated by Eqs. 3 and 4:
where (CC(t)) represents the charging cost of the system and (RC_{STPV – BESS}) and (LT_{STPV – BESS}) denote the substitute price and lifetime of the STPV-BESS, respectively. Additionally, (k_{cm}) represents the maintenance cost coefficient per energy of the system. Also, NT, Is the total hours of the period.
The study assumes a three-tier time-of-use (ToU) pricing structure, with distinct rates for peak, intermediate, and off-peak hours. This pricing is determined based on the rates (rho_{i,t}) for peak, intermediate, and off-peak hours and related imported energy (IE_{t}) (Eq. 5). This approach is consistent with existing energy policies and reflects realistic scenarios for agricultural energy consumers. ToU pricing captures the dynamic nature of electricity costs, making it a practical and widely recognized parameter for evaluating energy management strategies in microgrid systems.
Moreover, the energy autonomy factor (EAF) is a vital indicator that’s utilized to assess the reliance of the greenhouse on external power sources. This factor serves as an indicator of how much the greenhouse depends on external energy supplies, which has implications for both cost and sustainability.
The BESS itself is modeled using Eqs. 7 to 11. The energy which can be stored in the BESS (E_{ESS,T}), calculated based on the BESS power in charging/discharging process ((P_{ESS}^{c}) and (P_{ESS}^{d})), given in Eq. 716,31.
Here, respective efficiencies of charge and discharge are presented by (eta_{c}) and (eta_{d}).
In the modeling of the BESS, we assume that the battery does not experience degradation during the analysis period. Battery degradation can be highly variable depending on factors like usage patterns, temperature, and charge–discharge cycles, making it challenging to generalize in initial analyses. Instead, only the cost of replacement is considered in the event of a battery’s operational lifespan ending. This simplification aligns with the common approach in preliminary feasibility studies, where degradation modeling is often excluded to focus on broader system performance metrics. By focusing solely on replacement costs, the model simplifies the calculation while still reflecting the financial impact of battery lifespan limitations.
Another important factor influencing the BESS’s performance is its state of charge, (SoC(t),) which shows the amount of stored charge. The SoC factor is modeled by Eqs. 8 and 9, where stands for the maximum charge rate and for the minimum charge rate, respectively.
here, (DC_{b}) and (CC_{b}) are the discharge and charge consumed by battery respectively.
In addition, Eqs. 10 and 11 constrain the power (P_{ESS,t}) and energy (E_{ESS,t}) of the BESS within their rated values, determined by the BESS type32.
The load balance in the greenhouse is the primary constraint on the issue as a microgrid, minimum DLI based on the crop type, and the area of the STPV installed at the roof of the greenhouse, which are described below. First, as given in Eq. 12, the load demand at each hour should be met by STPV and BESS and imported power by the main grid.
It should be noticed that (P_{BESS}) is considered a negative value when charging (considered as a load) in this formula.
Regarding the DLI, Photosynthetically Active Radiation (PAR) is an important factor necessary for the process of photosynthesis26. DLI is calculated based on the average sum of PAR for each crop in a day. Crops are categorized based on their light needs into high light-demanding (e.g., tomato, cucumber, sweet pepper), medium light-demanding (e.g., asparagus), and low light-demanding (e.g., certain floricultural crops) groups, requiring optimal DLIs of over 30, 10–20, and 5–10 mol/m2 d, respectively27.
The DLI is calculated using Eqs. 13 and 14 based on the average sum of outside and inside PAR received by the crop26;
In these equations, SP and SPc represent the outside and inside PAR, respectively, both measured in the same units as DLI (mol/m2 d). The average daily irradiation is presented by (I_{O}) in unit of (Wh/m2/d), and f, which is fixed at 0.48, is the ratio of PAR radiation to total solar radiation. A conversion factor of 0.0036 is used to change units from Wh/m2 to MJ/m2, and (alpha) is a coefficient set at 4.57 to change the unit of (MJ/m2) to the unit (mol/m2). Inside a greenhouse, the DLI, or daily light integral, is affected by the material used for the greenhouse roof. Typically, greenhouse roofs have high transmittance values,(tau_{G}), averaging around 0.9, though this can vary with different materials. In our study, we propose using STPV. The transmittance of these panels is lower than that of traditional greenhouse materials, which impacts our optimization analysis. The transmittance of panels is considered uniform across the panels, and their installation is limited to the greenhouse roof area. Uniform transmittance simplifies the model while focusing on system-level energy generation and crop lighting impacts. Area constraints reflect practical limitations in greenhouse design. By considering this factor, our study aims to optimize the use of STPV panels while ensuring that crops receive adequate light for growth. In this study, the minimum required DLI is another important constraint applied to make sure that the (SP_{C}) inside the greenhouse should be more than the minimum lighting threshold required for the crop (LDI_{min ,crop}) (Eq. 15). This ensures that crops receive adequate light for photosynthesis and growth.
Finally, the total area used to install the STPV should not be more than the roof of the greenhouse (Eq. 16):
Moreover, Temperature plays a pivotal role in the efficiency of STPV panels, particularly in climates with extreme heat, such as Qatar. High temperatures can reduce the electrical efficiency of photovoltaic systems, thereby impacting energy autonomy. The efficiency of the STPV system at a given operating temperature can be expressed as:
where (eta_{t}) is the efficiency of the STPV system at temperature t. (eta_{ref}) is the efficiency at the reference temperature (T_{ref}) (typically 25 °C). Also, (beta) (typically −0.35%) represents the temperature coefficient of efficiency, which quantifies the efficiency reduction per degree increase in temperature, and the operating temperature is shown by T. The values for (T_{ref}) and (beta) are sourced from manufacturer specifications to ensure practical relevance. In the case of high-temperature regions like Qatar, the operating temperature often exceeds the reference, leading to reduced efficiency. By incorporating this formulation, we can more accurately assess the system’s performance and devise strategies, such as improved cooling or hybrid energy systems, to mitigate temperature-related losses and ensure stable energy outputs.
Determining the optimize value of BESS and its distribution during a day to minimize the total cost of a greenhouse; is an NP-Hard type problem. One prominent method shown in previous researches is utilizing the metaheuristic algorithms. In this study we employed the HS algorithm. The improvisation process in music served as the inspiration for the HS algorithm24. Just as musicians seek a harmonious state in which all musical instruments are in tune, the HS algorithm seeks an optimal solution by iteratively improving a population of potential solutions25. HS algorithm offers significant advantages over other optimization techniques, making it particularly suitable for optimizing the size and distribution of BESS in greenhouses. One of the primary benefits is its simplicity and ease of implementation. Unlike traditional optimization methods that often require complex mathematical formulations or gradient information, HS is straightforward to set up and execute33. This characteristic is especially valuable in practical applications where the problem at hand involves multiple variables and constraints, such as energy management in greenhouses. Additionally, the HS algorithm excels in flexibility and global search capability34. This flexibility and its global search mechanism reduces the likelihood of falling in regional optima, a common challenge faced by algorithms like hill climbing. These features make HS particularly adept at addressing the complexities of optimizing BESS configurations, where balancing multiple factors is essential. Finally, the HS algorithm’s convergence efficiency and versatility are noteworthy. It often converges faster to an optimal solution compared to other metaheuristic methods. This efficiency is due to HS’s effective exploration and exploitation mechanisms.
The HS algorithm works by generateing new harmonies using two primary control parameters: the pitch adjustment rate (PAR) and the harmony memory size (HMS). The process is described here:
– Initialization:
Initialize a population of N harmonies at random, where N > HMS.
Apply an objective function to each harmony’s fitness evaluation.
– Improvisation:
Continue until the predetermined end point is reached: a. Choose one of the three randomly selected processes below to create a new harmony:
Randomly select a harmony from the existing population.
Pitch-correct one or more components of an existing harmony.
Pitch should be adjusted with a probability of 1—PAR while taking into account memory of the best harmonies discovered.
where, (r_{i}) is selected randomly in the interval [−1, 1] and BW represents the bandwidth of the pitch.
– Evaluation and Update:
As it mentioned before, the fitness function employed here is to optimize the TC (Eq. 18).
– Completion:
Repeat the procedure until the maximum number of iterations is achieved or the result converges to the ideal value.
This section presents the outcomes of our study on optimizing the energy autonomy of a greenhouse equipped with STPV systems, with and without the integration of a BESS. We first detail the input data used for our simulations, including greenhouse specifications, load demands for both summer and winter, PV output for different seasons, BESS characteristics, and relevant cost parameters. Following this, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the results, considering the effect of BESS on energy autonomy during summer and winter. Additionally, the effectiveness of the HS algorithm in finding the optimum of BESS operation, while considering the DLI as a critical constraint, is evaluated and discussed. The greenhouse under study, as described in reference35, is a 24-acres building situated in the frigid environment of Essex County, Canada. Bell peppers are grown in this greenhouse, which has a 25-degree roof slope and a gutter height of 5.5 m. Figure 4a and b, respectively, depict the load demand profile and STPV output for a typical summer and winter day. In the referenced study, normal PV panels were utilized with a careful consideration of spacing , resulting in a ground surface to solar collector area ratio of 335. In our study, we replace these normal PV panels with STPV panels. STPV panels, while having a lower efficiency compared to traditional PV panels, eliminate the need for spacing as they are integrated directly into the greenhouse structure. This allows us to use the entire greenhouse roof surface area for solar energy collection. To accurately adjust the PV output data from the reference study to reflect the characteristics of STPV panels, we applied an efficiency adjustment factor. This factor is based on the ratio of the efficiencies of STPV panels ((eta_{STPV})) to that of normal PV panels ((eta_{PV})). Additionally, we accounted for the full utilization of the greenhouse roof area, enhancing the total effective area available for solar energy harvesting. This adjustment ensures that the energy generation data used in our optimization process accurately represents the performance of STPV panels, considering both their lower efficiency and the increased area utilization afforded by their integration into the greenhouse structure.
Load demand profile of the greenhouse and STPV output.
The input data for our optimization problem includes various parameters related to electricity prices, BESS characteristics, and the HS algorithm. Table 3 summarizes these key data points. The electricity price is considered under a Time-of-Use policy. BESS characteristics include capacity, efficiency, and cost factors. Additionally, details about the HS algorithm, including its control parameters and settings, are provided.
Also, the transparency factor of the STPV panels significantly influences the amount of light transmitted into the greenhouse. We considered the transparency of the STPV panels, (tau_{G},) to be 0.671 and 0.597 as referenced from26,28. This value ensures that a substantial portion of sunlight can penetrate the panels, providing sufficient light for crop growth while simultaneously generating electricity. This transparency factor is incorporated into our optimization analysis to accurately reflect the dual functionality of the STPV panels. Using the HS algorithm, Figs. 5 and 6 depict the allocation of power within the greenhouse (LDI = 30, (tau_{G}) = 0.671), encompassing optimized distribution of the BESS, STPV, imported power from the grid, and load demand for summer and winter, respectively. As shown in the figures, the imported power during summer is less than in winter, and the utilization and impact of the BESS are greater in summer. In summer, the BESS charges between 10:00 and 14:00 when the STPV output is high, and discharges throughout the day to minimize energy imports. In winter, the BESS charges from 10:00 to 15:00 and discharges afterwards. However, during the morning and evening (after 20:00), the load must be supplied by the main grid due to the lower output of the STPV and insufficient excess power to charge the BESS.
Energy distribution in the greenhouse in summer (LDI = 30, (tau_{G}) = 0.671).
Energy distribution in the greenhouse in winter (LDI = 30, (tau_{G}) = 0.671).
Additionally, Table 4 illustrates the energy autonomy with and without BESS for both summer and winter.
The results of Table 4 indicate a significant reduction in energy autonomy when BESS is utilized. During summer, the energy autonomy decreases from 43.43% to 24.17%, showcasing the substantial impact of the BESS in managing energy needs efficiently. In winter, although the reduction is less pronounced, the energy autonomy still decreases from 81.36% to 69.45%. The higher reduction in energy autonomy during the summer can be attributed to the greater availability of STPV power, allowing the BESS to charge more effectively and thereby supply more power during periods of high demand. In contrast, the lower solar output during winter limits the effectiveness of the BESS, resulting in higher reliance on imported power from the grid. Nonetheless, the integration of BESS still provides a notable reduction in energy autonomy, demonstrating its importance in enhancing the energy resilience of greenhouses throughout the year.
Figures 5 and 6 illustrate the hourly energy distribution in the greenhouse during summer and winter, respectively, under the conditions of a minimum DLI requirement of 30 mol/m2/day and a transmittance value of 0.671. These figures show the contributions of STPV generation, BESS utilization, imported grid energy, and load demand over a 24-h period. In summer (Fig. 5), the optimization strategy suggests a more active role for BESS. During the early morning hours, stored energy from BESS is utilized to meet the load demand, eliminating the need for grid imports. This behavior highlights the importance of leveraging BESS to enhance energy autonomy during times of low solar generation. Additionally, during peak load hours later in the day, BESS is employed to reduce dependency on expensive imported energy, aligning with the time-of-use pricing policy. The increased utilization of BESS in summer is attributed to higher STPV generation during this season, which allows for greater energy storage and strategic discharge to minimize costs and reliance on external sources.
In contrast, Fig. 6 demonstrates a different energy distribution pattern in winter. Due to lower solar generation during this season, the optimization model often suggests that BESS remain inactive, with no significant charging or discharging occurring in the morning. Instead, energy is directly imported from the grid during this time to meet load demands. However, similar to summer, BESS is strategically utilized during peak load hours to reduce reliance on high-cost grid energy. This seasonal difference in BESS utilization reflects the impact of reduced solar availability in winter and the priority of minimizing operational costs through efficient energy management. Overall, the results highlight the seasonal dynamics of energy distribution in greenhouses. The higher STPV generation in summer allows for greater reliance on BESS, while the reduced generation in winter necessitates more direct grid imports. In both seasons, the optimization strategy prioritizes the use of BESS during peak load hours, aligning with economic considerations under ToU pricing. These findings underscore the importance of seasonal adjustments in energy management strategies to maximize efficiency and sustainability in greenhouse operations.
Furthermore, as previously noted, the minimum required DLI influences the selection of STPV and BESS, thereby affecting the energy autonomy in this study. Tables 5 and 6 illustrates the optimized BESS capacity and energy dependencies for various crop types and transmittance values for summer and winter respectively.
Tables 5 and 6 present the EAF for greenhouses during summer and winter, respectively, considering variations in the DLI, transmittance values, and BESS configurations. These tables highlight the impact of these factors on achieving energy autonomy and demonstrate the interplay between greenhouse energy demands, STPV areas, and BESS capacities under seasonal variations. In Table 5, the results for summer show that the DLI requirement significantly influences the allowed STPV area. For high DLI requirements, such as 30 mol/m2/day, the allowed STPV area decreases, especially at lower transmittance levels (e.g., 0.597). This reduction constrains energy generation and leads to higher EAF values both with and without BESS. Conversely, when DLI requirements are reduced to 20 or 10 mol/m2/day, the STPV area is maximized, enabling greater energy capture while adhering to the DLI constraints. Additionally, the role of BESS is pronounced in summer, where its integration significantly lowers the EAF. For instance, at a DLI of 30 mol/m2/day and a transmittance of 0.671, the EAF decreases from 43.43% to 24.17% with BESS, illustrating its critical role in reducing reliance on external power sources. Furthermore, higher transmittance values (0.671) enable larger STPV areas at high DLI requirements, thus improving energy generation and autonomy, whereas lower transmittance values (0.597) lead to stricter constraints and reduced autonomy.
Table 6 focuses on the winter scenario, where energy dependencies are generally higher due to reduced solar radiation. This seasonality is reflected in the higher EAF values compared to summer, even with the inclusion of BESS. For example, with a DLI of 20 mol/m2/day and a transmittance of 0.671, the EAF with BESS is 64.51%, indicating the increased challenge of achieving energy autonomy during winter. While BESS still contributes to lowering EAF in winter, the reduction is less significant compared to summer, emphasizing the need for robust storage and energy management solutions during low-irradiance seasons. Similar to summer, higher DLI requirements in winter constrain the STPV area and reduce energy autonomy. However, the effect of transmittance is more pronounced in winter, where lower transmittance values further exacerbate energy dependency. These findings underscore the importance of seasonal planning in greenhouse energy management. Achieving year-round energy autonomy requires dynamic adjustments to BESS and STPV configurations to accommodate varying DLI constraints and seasonal energy availability. Furthermore, the results highlight the need for tailored greenhouse designs that account for crop-specific DLI requirements, the transmittance properties of STPV panels, and the local energy dynamics across seasons.
Finally, Table 7 presents a detailed financial analysis of integrating a STPV system with a focus on cost components during summer and winter. The findings illustrate the economic benefits of such integration and its implications for energy management in greenhouse operations.
In summer, the total operational cost of the greenhouse without a BESS is $241,277.7, with contributions from the STPV system ($90,000), fixed costs for the BESS infrastructure ($75,000), and energy imported from the grid ($76,277.7). However, when a BESS is integrated, the total cost reduces to $208,740, resulting in a cost saving of approximately $32,537.7 (13.5%). This reduction stems from the optimized utilization of the BESS. During off-peak hours, surplus energy from the STPV system is stored in the BESS, which is later discharged during peak demand hours. This strategic energy usage minimizes reliance on grid imports during high-cost periods. The lower BESS-related fixed cost ($43,740) further contributes to the overall cost reduction.
In winter, the total cost of operating the greenhouse without a BESS is $290,251.92, with the cost components being the STPV system ($90,000), BESS fixed costs ($75,000), and energy imported from the grid ($125,251.92). Integrating the BESS reduces the total cost to $272,460, yielding a cost saving of approximately $17,791.92 (6.1%). While the savings in winter are less pronounced compared to summer, the integration of the BESS remains beneficial. With lower solar energy generation during winter, the BESS is less utilized for storing surplus energy but is still employed effectively to reduce grid imports during high-cost periods. The ability to optimize energy consumption based on grid pricing demonstrates the versatility of the BESS in managing energy costs across varying seasonal conditions.
To evaluate the long-term economic feasibility of the proposed system, we calculated the Net Present Value (NPV) over 20 years, as presented in Table 7. The NPV calculations assume a 5% annual discount rate to account for the time value of money and a 3% annual increase in grid energy costs to reflect rising energy prices. A 20-year lifespan is assumed for the STPV system, with no significant replacement costs during this period. For the BESS, a 10-year lifespan is considered, requiring a single replacement cost at the 10-year mark. The analysis reveals that integrating BESS significantly enhances NPV in both summer and winter scenarios, with the greatest benefit observed in summer due to higher solar energy availability. Specifically, the NPV with BESS integration in summer is $946,730 compared to $712,392 without BESS, demonstrating its cost-effectiveness. In winter, the results show a modest improvement, with NPV increasing from $373,980 without BESS to $415,813 with BESS. This highlights the need for complementary renewable energy solutions, such as wind or biomass systems, to further reduce grid dependency during periods of lower solar output. Additionally, to further enhance system performance and economic feasibility, hybrid energy storage solutions such as hydrogen energy storage could be integrated. Hydrogen storage systems have the advantage of long-term energy retention and can address the seasonal variability of solar energy availability, particularly during winter months. By converting surplus solar energy into hydrogen through electrolysis and storing it for later use, greenhouses could significantly reduce grid dependency and improve the overall sustainability of the project.
Furthermore, Table 8 illustrates the EAF of the STPV-BESS system with and without considering the impact of temperature, highlighting the efficiency adjustments under various DLI levels and seasonal conditions.
When accounting for temperature effects ((T_{ref}) = 25C, (beta) =  − 0.35%, and (tau_{G}) = 0.671), the results show a consistent improvement in EAF across all scenarios. For summer conditions with a DLI of 30 (mol/m2 d), EAF increased by 5.8%, from 24.17% to 25.57%. Similarly, winter conditions at the same DLI saw a 1.7% increment in EAF, rising from 69.45% to 70.63%. As the DLI requirement decreased to 20 and 10 mol/m2 d, the improvements were even more pronounced in summer, with increments of 6.1% and 6.7%, respectively. In winter, EAF rose by 2.5% and 2.6% for the same scenarios. These findings underscore the significance of incorporating temperature effects into energy management models, particularly in climates with high ambient temperatures.
Finally, the performance of the HS algorithm was benchmarked against Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for the STPV-BESS system under specific conditions (DLI 30 mol/m2 d, transmittance 0.671). The results, summarized in Table 9, highlight the key differences in EAF, convergence speed, and ease of implementation among these methods.
In terms of EAF, HS outperformed GA and PSO slightly. However, the differences in EAF were relatively minor, indicating that all three methods provide comparable performance in optimizing energy autonomy. Regarding convergence speed, HS exhibited a significant advantage over GA, with a runtime of 1200 s compared to 1500 s for GA, demonstrating its efficiency in reaching optimal solutions. While PSO showed the fastest convergence (1100 s), it presented higher variability in EAF across multiple runs, indicating potential instability in certain scenarios. Lastly, the ease of implementation was rated highest for HS, owing to its straightforward structure and fewer parameters to tune, making it a practical choice for this study. Both GA and PSO were rated as moderate due to their more complex configurations and parameter dependencies. These findings underscore the balance HS offers better computational efficiency and practical implementation, justifying its selection as the primary optimization method for this research.
In this section, the key findings of the study are explained. We examine the effectiveness of integrating STPV panels and BESS in greenhouses, specifically focusing on the reduction of energy autonomy and carbon footprint. Additionally, the impact of various factors such as the minimum DLI and STPV transmittance on system performance is explored. Finally, the limitations encountered during the study to improve the integration of renewable energy solutions in agricultural practices are discussed. The findings of this study contribute to broader goals such as achieving carbon neutrality and enhancing energy security within the agricultural sector. By optimizing BESS and STPV systems, the research supports the transition towards more sustainable and self-sufficient agricultural practices. Carbon neutrality is increasingly emphasized in agricultural policies, where reducing dependence on fossil fuels and integrating renewable energy sources are key strategies. Through the efficient use of BESS-STPV systems, this study demonstrates how agricultural operations can move towards achieving net-zero carbon emissions, aligning with global efforts to combat climate change. Additionally, the study addresses energy security by ensuring that agricultural operations have a resilient and reliable energy supply, minimizing vulnerability to disruptions in grid electricity. These advancements contribute directly to fostering a more sustainable, secure, and environmentally responsible agricultural sector.
To enhance the practical relevance of the proposed STPV-BESS system, we compared our findings with two real-world studies that utilized similar approaches. The first study conducted in Greece (latitude 39.07°N) evaluated the energy generation capacity of greenhouses with STPV panels covering 50% and 100% of the roof area39. Case 1, with 500 m2 of coverage, achieved 63,750 kWh annually, meeting 80% of the greenhouse’s energy needs. Case 2, with 1,000 m2 coverage, generated 234,000 kWh annually, covering 100% of energy needs and enabling surplus energy to be exported to the grid. The second study conducted in Arizona, USA (latitude 32.25°N) reported that 49% coverage of the greenhouse roof with STPV was sufficient to meet the energy demands, highlighting the system’s viability even in different climatic conditions40. These comparisons illustrate the versatility and scalability of STPV systems for greenhouse energy autonomy, aligning well with our findings. Our study complements these findings by presenting a detailed analysis of energy autonomy improvements achieved through the integration of BESS with STPV systems. As shown in Table 4, in summer, the energy dependency without BESS was 43.43%. Similarly, in winter, the ED reduced from 81.36% without BESS to 69.45% with BESS. These results align with the aforementioned studies and highlight the ability of STPV-BESS systems to adapt to seasonal variations in energy demand while reducing reliance on grid electricity.
The findings underscore several achievements in optimizing the energy autonomy of greenhouses using STPV systems combined with BESS. These achievements are illustrated with numerical examples drawn from our data tables:
Reduction in energy autonomy using BESS:
In summer, the implementation of BESS reduced energy autonomy from 43.43% to 24.17%, a substantial decrease of approximately 44%. Also, in winter, although the reduction was less pronounced, energy autonomy still decreased from 81.36% to 69.45%, indicating a 15% improvement.
Effectiveness of BESS in different seasons:
The results highlight the variability in BESS effectiveness across seasons. In summer, the high output of STPV systems allowed for more effective BESS usage, resulting in a more significant reduction in energy autonomy. In winter, despite the lower STPV output and reduced charging opportunities for BESS, the system still contributed to a notable reduction in energy autonomy.
Impact of STPV transmittance and minimum DLI on system performance:
The transmittance rate of STPV panels and the minimum required DLI for crops significantly influenced the system’s performance. For instance, with a minimum DLI of 30 mol/m2 d and a transmittance rate of 0.671, the energy autonomy in summer with BESS was 24.17%. However, with a reduced transmittance rate of 0.597, the energy autonomy increased to 27.12%. Similarly, in winter, with a DLI of 30 mol/m2 d and a transmittance rate of 0.671, the energy autonomy with BESS was 69.45%. This increased slightly to 70.13% with a transmittance rate of 0.597.
DLI’s Role in optimizing STPV and BESS:
Lowering the DLI requirement had a noteworthy effect on system optimization. For the DLI 20 mol/m2 d, the energy autonomy in summer with BESS was 21.03%, irrespective of the transmittance rate, indicating that reducing DLI can facilitate better optimization of STPV and BESS capacity. In winter, the same DLI reduction led to a dependency of 64.51% with BESS, showing a consistent pattern of reduced energy autonomy with lower DLI requirements. These achievements demonstrate the potential of combining STPV systems with BESS to significantly reduce energy autonomy in greenhouses. However, they also highlight the critical roles that seasonal variations, transmittance rates, and minimum DLI requirements play in optimizing these systems. Despite the notable improvements, the energy autonomy in winter remains relatively high, indicating areas where further technologies and solutions are needed.
The discussion in the manuscript touches upon various aspects of integrating a Semi-Transparent Photovoltaic (STPV) system and Battery Energy Storage System (BESS), but there is a need to explore the practical limitations more comprehensively.
High Initial Costs: One of the significant limitations is the high initial investment required for the implementation of STPV and BESS systems. While the cost-saving benefits are evident in the long term, the upfront expenses associated with the installation, maintenance, and infrastructure development can deter some greenhouse operators. These costs include the procurement of STPV panels, BESS infrastructure, and the necessary technological components for integration. Addressing this challenge requires a robust financial model and potential subsidies or incentives for sustainable energy solutions.
Weather Condition Effects on Panel Efficiency and Output: Another critical limitation is the impact of weather conditions on STPV panel efficiency and energy output. Solar panels, including STPV systems, are highly sensitive to changes in weather, particularly cloud cover, temperature variations, and seasonal shifts. In regions with fluctuating weather patterns, the efficiency of STPV systems may decline, affecting energy generation and consequently, the effectiveness of the integrated BESS. This necessitates the development of adaptive solutions to optimize performance, such as dynamic control strategies or hybrid energy sources to complement solar power during low-yield periods.
Technical Challenges in Implementing HS Optimization: The implementation of the Harmony Search (HS) algorithm for optimizing BESS performance also presents technical challenges. Despite its efficiency, HS may face difficulties in handling complex optimization problems with a high number of variables and constraints. Moreover, ensuring convergence to optimal solutions in a timely manner can be challenging, especially in dynamic operational environments like greenhouses where energy demand and environmental factors continuously change. Further research into refining HS or integrating it with other optimization methods can help mitigate these limitations.
Furthermore, future advancements in STPV and BESS have the potential to significantly address the observed challenges. Emerging technologies, such as more efficient solar cell designs for STPV systems, could improve energy conversion rates and increase the area’s power generation capacity. Advances in energy storage, such as the development of solid-state batteries or flow batteries, could enhance BESS performance by providing higher energy density, faster charge/discharge cycles, and longer lifespans. Additionally, the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning into optimization frameworks could optimize BESS operations more dynamically, allowing for real-time adjustments based on weather patterns, energy demand fluctuations, and grid interactions. These technological advancements would further improve the efficiency, sustainability, and reliability of the overall system, addressing key challenges related to energy management, cost-effectiveness, and resilience in agricultural microgrids.
This paper underscores the critical importance of integrating renewable energy solutions into greenhouse operations to enhance sustainability and reduce energy autonomy. The integration of STPV systems and BESS presented a promising approach to achieving these goals. The methodology involved a detailed examination of a greenhouse in Essex County, Ontario, Canada, producing bell peppers. By using the HS algorithm, we optimized the size and distribution of the BESS while considering the DLI requirements for different crops as a primary constraint. The study aimed to minimize the total cost associated with the BESS and STPV system while ensuring adequate light levels for crop growth.
To implement the proposed system in real-world settings, it is essential to consider practical challenges such as cost, technical feasibility, and seasonal variability. Future research directions could explore alternative STPV materials that enhance efficiency in low-light conditions and develop dynamic DLI management strategies that adapt to changing environmental factors. Additionally, integration of hybrid systems combining multiple renewable energy sources, such as wind, biomass, or geothermal energy, could further optimize energy storage and usage in greenhouses.
The following highlights this study’s major outcomes: Firstly, the implementation of BESS significantly reduced EAF. For instance, in summer, the EAF decreased from 43.43% without BESS to 24.17% with BESS. Similarly, in winter, the EAF decreased from 81.36% without BESS to 69.45% with BESS, showcasing the effectiveness of BESS in lowering reliance on grid power. Secondly, the study demonstrated that the transmittance rate of STPV panels and the minimum required DLI are crucial factors in optimizing the energy system. By optimizing these factors, the system effectively balances energy generation and crop lighting needs, ensuring more efficient use of renewable energy resources. For instance, in summer, reducing the transmittance rate from 0.671 to 0.597 improved energy autonomy from 24.17% to 27.12%, while in winter, lowering DLI from 30 mol/m2 d to 20 mol/m2 d maintained energy autonomy at 64.51% with BESS. These findings emphasize the importance of tailoring STPV and BESS systems to crop-specific lighting demands, enhancing both sustainability and energy resilience. Furthermore, incorporating strategies for dynamic DLI management and the integration of complementary renewable energy sources, such as wind or biomass, will further optimize system performance across varying seasonal conditions. Thirdly, seasonal variations significantly impacted energy autonomy. In summer, the STPV output was sufficient to charge the BESS effectively, resulting in lower energy autonomy. However, in winter, due to lower solar radiation, the effectiveness of BESS was diminished, highlighting the need for additional optimization or supplemental renewable sources during the winter months.
To enhance the applicability of these findings, actionable insights are provided for researchers, policymakers, and practitioners. Researchers are encouraged to further explore the integration of STPV and BESS systems in diverse agricultural contexts, focusing on optimizing the balance between energy generation and crop lighting needs. Policymakers can support this integration by creating supportive policies and financial incentives to promote sustainable agricultural practices. Practitioners, such as greenhouse operators, can utilize these insights to enhance energy management, reduce operational costs, and improve the sustainability of their operations. Also, to address seasonal challenges, future work should focus on exploring advanced energy storage solutions and integration of supplementary renewable energy sources such as wind or biogas systems to improve BESS performance in winter months. Additionally, dynamic DLI management strategies can be developed to adapt to seasonal variations, ensuring that crops receive optimal light for growth throughout the year. By addressing these achievements, this research provides insightful information about the optimization of renewable energy systems in greenhouses. The integration of STPV and BESS not only enhances energy sustainability but also supports the operational needs of greenhouses, ensuring reliable and efficient energy usage throughout the year. Future research should further explore the variability of STPV technologies, regional differences, and detailed economic analyses to strengthen the applicability and robustness of these renewable energy solutions.
All required data are included in the manuscript. Additional data can be made available upon request by contacting Dr. S M Muyeen at (sm.muyeen@qu.edu.qa) or Mohammadreza Gholami at (mohammadreza.gholami@final.edu.tr).
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This publication was made possible by the 4th cycle of MME Grant No. MME04-0607-230060, from the Qatar Research, Development and Innovation (QRDI) Council, in collaboration with the Ministry of Municipality, Qatar. The findings herein reflect the work, and are solely the responsibility, of the authors. The authors also gratefully acknowledge support from Qatar University. Open Access funding provided by the Qatar National Library.
Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Final International University, Kyrenia, 99320, Turkey
Mohammadreza Gholami
School of Engineering and Energy, Murdoch University, Perth, Australia
Ali Arefi
Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Qatar University, 2713, Doha, Qatar
Anwarul Hasan
Western Crop Genetics Alliance, Food Futures Institute, School of Agriculture, Murdoch University, Perth, WA, Australia
Chengdao Li
Department of Electrical Engineering, Qatar University, 2713, Doha, Qatar
S. M. Muyeen
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M.G. and S.M.M. conceptualized and designed the study. M.G. conducted the primary analysis, developed the energy autonomy models, and performed the optimization using the harmony search (HS) algorithm. M.G., S.M.M., and A.A. contributed to the methodology and integration of the Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) and Semi-Transparent Photovoltaic (STPV) system into the greenhouse model. A.H. analyzed the seasonal variations and their impact on energy autonomy and grid dependency. C.L. handled the crop growth models and ensured that Daily Light Integral (DLI) requirements were integrated into the optimization process. M.G. and S.M.M. wrote the initial draft of the manuscript and prepared the figures. A.A., A.H., and C.L. reviewed and revised the manuscript. S.M.M. supervised the project. All authors contributed to the discussion and interpretation of the results and reviewed and approved the final manuscript.
Correspondence to S. M. Muyeen.
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Towards precision in bifacial photovoltaic system simulation: a model selection approach with validation – Frontiers

Front. Energy Res., 04 March 2025
Sec. Solar Energy
Volume 13 – 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2025.1527681
Frontiers in Energy Research
Edited by
Atul A. Sagade
Reviewed by
Yongli Lu
Ahmed ALAMI MERROUNI
Outline
Abstract
1 Introduction
2 Methodology
3 Simulation
4 Validation and model selection
5 Discussion
6 Conclusion
Data availability statement
Author contributions
Funding
Conflict of interest
Generative AI statement
Publisher’s note
Supplementary material
References
FIGURE 1
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 3
FIGURE 4
FIGURE 5
FIGURE 6
TABLE 1
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Heggelbach 2022.
TABLE 2
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Florianópolis 2022.
TABLE 3
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Golden 2021.
TABLE 4
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Florianópolis 2022.
Front. Energy Res., 04 March 2025
Sec. Solar Energy
Volume 13 – 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2025.1527681
Eva-Maria Grommes 1*
Maximilian Koch 1
Jean-Régis Hadji-Minaglou 2
Holger Voos 3
Ulf Blieske 1
1. Cologne Institute for Renewable Energy, University of Applied Sciences Cologne, Cologne, Germany
2. Department of Engineering, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg
3. Interdisciplinary Centre for Security, Reliability and Trust, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Article metrics
As global reliance on sustainable energy solutions intensifies, there is a growing need to optimise and accurately predict renewable energy outputs. Bifacial photovoltaic systems, which are capable of capturing irradiance on both their front and rear sides, represent a significant advancement over traditional monofacial systems, yielding higher energy per area. The accuracy of simulation models for these systems has a direct impact on their financial viability, necessitating the use of comprehensive and reliable simulation frameworks. This research validates BifacialSimu, an open-source simulation tool designed to enhance the prediction of bifacial PV system energy outputs by incorporating multiple simulation models. The practical validation of BifacialSimu is based on empirical data from three diverse geographic locations. The locations of Golden, United States; Heggelbach, Germany; and Florianópolis, Brazil, provide insights into the performance of bifacial PV systems across a range of environmental conditions and installation configurations. These findings underscore the practical applicability of BifacialSimu, with recommendations for simulation model selection and methodological advancements, paving the way for more precise and efficient bifacial PV system simulations across diverse scenarios. This study employs a number of validation metrics, including relative error, coefficient of determination and Normalized Root Mean Square Error, to assess the accuracy of the simulations. The findings indicate that the Ray tracing method is the most accurate of the irradiance simulation modes for most scenarios. The validation results highlight that the Ray Tracing method achieves superior accuracy in irradiance simulations, particularly under varied environmental conditions, while Variable Albedo models further enhance predictive precision by accounting for dynamic factors such as snow cover.
As the world increasingly turns towards sustainable energy solutions, the optimisation and accurate prediction of renewable energy outputs have become of paramount importance. Among the various technologies currently under investigation, bifacial photovoltaic (PV) systems stand out for their potential to harness solar energy in a more efficient manner than traditional monofacial systems. By capturing sunlight on both the front and rear sides, bifacial PV systems offer higher energy yields per area. It is imperative that simulation models achieve the highest possible level of accuracy, as their credibility directly impacts the financial viability of bifacial PV projects. The complexity of these systems, with a multitude of variables ranging from incident light angles, row spacing, table height to ground reflectivity, demands a comprehensive and reliable simulation framework. In this context, our research introduces and validates BifacialSimu, an open-source simulation tool designed to refine the prediction of energy outputs by accounting for a variety of factors influencing bifacial PV performance by incorporating several simulation models for the user to choose from.
The practical validation of BifacialSimu is central to our approach, which is based on the comprehensive analysis of empirical data from three geographic locations: Golden, United States; Heggelbach, Germany; and Florianòpolis, Brazil. Each site provides unique insights into the behaviour of bifacial PV installations, reflecting a broad spectrum of environmental conditions and installation configurations. This comparison examines the accuracy of the software across a range of operational scenarios. It forms the basis for a simulation model recommendation for the simulation of large-scale bifacial PV systems.
The adaptation of monofacial PV performance models to simulate bifacial modules by introducing irradiance bifacial gain has yielded favourable outcomes, with analytical models demonstrating superior performance compared to empirical models in considering bifaciality (Bouchakour et al., 2020). Furthermore, the combination of ray tracing and view factor models for irradiance calculation, along with electrical yield calculation, has been demonstrated to be an effective approach for long-term simulations (Grommes et al., 2023). However, it should be noted that the various simulation models require different inputs, have varying simulation times, and produce disparate exact results. The presented tool, BifacialSimu, offers the flexibility to select between different models, thereby enabling its use in a range of scenarios.
The methodology used for validation utilises several metrics, including relative error for annual energy yield, the coefficient of determination for hourly outputs, and the Normalized Root Mean Square Error as well as the Relative Error for average deviations. These quantitative measures provide a solid foundation for assessing the reliability of simulation results, offering insights for further refining bifacial PV simulation.
The paper begins with an explanation of the simulation algorithm and its implementation in BifacialSimu, before progressing to a validation process that leverages data from three diverse installations. The objective of this approach is to make a significant contribution to the advancement of bifacial PV technology, with the ultimate goal of achieving greater accuracy and reliability in solar energy prediction. Furthermore, recommendations are provided to select the most suitable model combination for different simulation scenarios.
The validation approach for BifacialSimu meticulously encompasses a comprehensive period during which all irradiance simulation modes are applied and rigorously compared to ascertain their accuracy and suitability for different application scenarios. This phase of validation integrates the Parameter Variation Analysis, where the impact of various simulation parameters is explored to determine their influence on model precision. Key variables such as albedo data (captured hourly or averaged), different electrical configurations, weather data inputs (auto-downloaded versus measured), and distinct methods within the ray tracing module are systematically varied. That not only offers insights into the software’s flexibility and robustness under diverse operational conditions but also assists in identifying which irradiance simulation mode is optimally tailored for specific application cases, thereby facilitating a targeted approach in photovoltaic simulation practices.
The utilised validation metrics are essential for quantifying the software’s precision and dependability. These include the relative error for annual energy yield predictions, the coefficient of determination for consistency of hourly outputs, and the NRMSE for assessing average deviations in hourly simulations. Each metric contributes to a holistic evaluation of the simulation’s accuracy, providing a robust framework for ongoing development and refinement of BifacialSimu.
The validation is based on empirical data from three sites. Golden, United States; Heggelbach, Germany; and Florianopolis, Brazil. In the Golden, United States installation, the Bifacial Experimental Single-Axis Tracking Field (BEST Field), operated by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), is designed to assess the performance of five bifacial PV module technologies relative to their monofacial counterparts. Initiated in 2019, the facility features 10 rows with 20 modules, each and a total capacity of 75 kWp. These modules are mounted on single-axis trackers that incorporate a backtracking algorithm to optimize solar absorption and reduce shading between rows.
Instrumentation at the BEST Field is extensive and strategically placed to monitor both incident and reflected solar radiation on the front and rear of the modules across different array positions. Key parameters recorded include module temperature, ground albedo, and net energy production. Regular ground maintenance is performed to ensure consistent site conditions, which may influence module reflectivity and performance.
Approximately 100 m from the array, the Solar Radiation Research Laboratory (SRRL) station provides vital meteorological data, such as Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Direct Normal Irradiance (DNIr), and Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (DHIr). The albedo is measured at the SRRL and at the module site.
Data collection is handled with a temporal resolution of 1 min, focusing primarily on the second row of the installation. This row includes 19 modules (due to one being used exclusively for data recording at the cell-string level), cumulatively generating 6.84 kWp. Data processing scripts aggregate energy yields hourly from minute-level measurements, with adjustments made for albedo, irradiance, and temperature inconsistencies using data from the SRRL station when necessary. For in-depth analysis, the 2021 data was selected as it provides the most complete dataset.
At the Heggelbach installation in Germany, the Agricultural Photovoltaic (Agri-PV) system uniquely combines photovoltaic technology with agricultural production. Commissioned in 2016, this pioneering project involves the collaboration of various stakeholders, including Fraunhofer ISE and BayWa r.e., and utilises an installed capacity of approximately 194.4 kWp on solar modules that are elevated 6 m above the ground to optimise the dual use of land for both energy production and crop cultivation.
The facility’s geographical positioning on a southwest-facing slope introduces unique challenges in replicating topographical nuances within the simulation framework, potentially impacting the accuracy of simulation outcomes. Data for this analysis, sourced from the project partners, spans from 2017 to 2022 and is processed with a temporal resolution of 5 min. In the absence of specific albedo data, a standard value representative of the installation’s ground surface—predominantly grass and crops—is assumed for accurate simulation reflections (24% Betts and Ball, 1997).
The 2022 data, offering the most complete dataset, was chosen for in-depth analysis. Anomalies, such as the unexpected decrease in bifacial yield observed in December, are noted and factored into the validation process, underscoring potential measurement inaccuracies and assumptions.
Located in Florianópolis, Brazil, the Solar Systems Laboratory at the Federal University of Santa Catarina (UFSC), in collaboration with CTG-Brazil, focuses on evaluating the performance of bifacial photovoltaic modules across various ground surfaces. Since its initiation on 1 August 2022, the facility has been instrumental in studying the operational dynamics of both fixed and single-axis tracking photovoltaic systems.
The installation includes several key configurations: four rows of bifacial silicon modules each set on different surfaces—white gravel, kaolin, sand, and grey gravel—all equipped with single-axis trackers to optimize sun exposure throughout the day. The peak power output of each row is 16.8 kWp. Additionally, there is a row of cadmium telluride modules on grey gravel, also with tracking capability, and two rows of fixed tilt silicon modules on grey gravel, serving as a comparative baseline.
The albedo data is recorded at a distance of approximately 20 m from the system setup by a dedicated albedo station. This station has a grey gravel ground, which is why the single-axis tracking and fixed tilt setups with grey gravel are selected for analysis.
For this study, the period from 2 November 2022, to 31 December 2022, was specifically chosen due to its consistency in data quality, avoiding any interruptions caused by maintenance or severe weather conditions that occurred earlier in the year. During this time, data were collected at 1-s intervals and then averaged into 1-min increments for storage. A dedicated script further aggregated this data hourly to align with simulation requirements.
The datasets for all sites provide records for GHI, DHI, DNI, front side radiation, back side radiation, albedo (except Germany), ambient temperature, module temperature and bifacial power. In order to facilitate the comparison with the simulation, bifacial power per square meter is calculated from bifacial power and module area. In order to ensure the integrity of the data set, any instances of inconsistent data points, such as negative values or anomalies, are excluded from all simulation-relevant data.
The simulation program
calculates the energy yield of a bifacial PV system. It is written in the python programming language and was published in 2022 in the Journal of Open Source Software (
). A Graphical User Interface (GUI) allows users to enter all the necessary input parameters and make settings (see
). The input parameters consist of weather data, module parameters, and simulation parameters. The weather data is read from a text file and must be available in hourly resolution for the desired simulation period, such as 1 year. Alternatively, a Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) can be generated and downloaded by entering the latitude and longitude of the simulation location. The weather data comprises of the date and time, Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Direct Normal Irradiance (DNIr), Diffuse Horinzonal irradiance (DHIr), temperature, pressure, and preferably albedo. In addition to the input parameters, settings can also be made via the GUI. The PV system can be designed with or without single-axis tracking and backtracking. The simulation algorithm comprises three main parts: irradiance simulation, albedo simulation, and electrical yield simulation. The irradiance model offers three different calculation modes for front and back radiation. The python library
is used for the View Factor (VF) method and the
library
for the Ray Tracing (RT) method (
):
– Mode 1: Calculation of front side radiation with VF and rear side with RT.
– Mode 2: Calculation of front and rear side radiation with VF.
– Mode 3: Calculation of front and rear side radiation with RT.
FIGURE 1
Graphical user interface of BifacialSimu.
Albedo can be integrated in three different ways. One way is to select a constant albedo value from a database that is dependent on the material. The program currently stores 31 different materials and their corresponding empirical albedo values. Another way is to assume that the albedo is a time-varying value. In this case, the program uses hourly measurements stored in the weather file. If no measurements are present, the albedo can be calculated as variable albedo, which changes with the position of the sun, based on the albedo under direct and diffuse illumination (Ziar et al., 2020). The electrical model offers two variations of the one diode model. The first one relies on the electrical values from the module datasheet and the bifaciality of the module is considered with an irradiance ratio (Ortiz-Rivera and Peng, 2005). The second energy yield model requires electrical values for both the front and rear sides of the module, which may not be available for every module, but provides higher accuracy. The simulation results are saved in an output folder and include the calculated front and rear radiance and energy yields. Additionally, the weather file and the data frame containing the sun position calculation parameters, radiation data, temperature, air pressure, and albedo values are also output.
This subchapter outlines the essential models utilised in the simulation of bifacial PV systems in BifacialSimu, elucidating the rationale behind their selection. The accurate replication of the sky’s condition plays a critical role in simulating the solar irradiance incident on both the front and rear sides of bifacial modules. For longer-term simulations that require the aggregation of solar irradiance over extended periods (seasonal or annual), a cummulative sky model is applied (Robinson and Stone, 2004). The provision of cumulative sky conditions simplifies the simulation process for scenarios where detailed hourly changes are less critical, prioritising efficiency.
The variable albedo model Chiodetti et al. (2016) is a further example of a model that has been selected for its dynamic adjustment of albedo based on real-time solar positions and weather conditions, offering a detailed hour-by-hour account of ground reflectivity.
A simplified one-diode model? is utilized to simulate the electrical characteristics and performance of the bifacial modules. This model is selected for its efficacy in balancing comprehensive coverage of the key electrical parameters (including temperature and irradiance effects) with relative simplicity, obviating the need for complex or often unavailable bifacial-specific module data. By utilising datasheet specifications and adapting them through a simplified approach, this model facilitates broad applications under varying environmental conditions.
The simulation of irradiance received by bifacial modules, and the subsequent calculation of energy yield, utilises a combination of RT and VF methodologies, as described in chapter 3.1. That dual approach is chosen to optimise accuracy and computational efficiency. The VF methods provide a rapid estimation of direct and diffuse irradiance on the more uniformly exposed front side NREL (2023), while the RT Deline and Ayala (2017) methods are applied to the rear side to intricately model the effects of variable ground reflectivity and shading.
This section presents the empirical validation of the simulation results generated by BifacialSimu, utilising data from four systems across three different locations. Figure 2 presents the simulation outcomes for the fixed tilt configurations on a monthly basis, evaluated using three validation metrics: NRMSE, , and RE. These metrics for the whole period are shown in Table 1 for the plant in Germany and in Table 2 for the fixed tilt system in Brazil.
FIGURE 2
NRMSE and coefficient of determination for the fixed-tilt systems in Heggelbach, Germany and Florianopolis, Brazil.
TABLE 1
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Heggelbach 2022.
TABLE 2
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Florianópolis 2022.
The results indicate that RT emerges as the most accurate method across all considered metrics. The hourly performance of the bifacial systems is well captured by the RT method, as evidenced by a NRMSE and a high . Additionally, the annual yield predicted by the RT method aligns closely with the actual measurements, with an average RE approaching zero. This indicates a high fidelity in the replication of real-world conditions and system behaviour.
In contrast, the two VF methods exhibit less precise results compared to RT, particularly in terms of hourly performance and relative error. The hybrid approach, which combines VF and RT methodologies, achieves results that are very similar to those of the pure VF method. However, the hybrid method does show a slight improvement over the VF approach alone, specifically demonstrated by a reduction in NRMSE.
The validation metrics underscore the superiority of the RT method in accurately simulating bifacial PV system performance. The capacity of RT to capture both the dynamic hourly variations and the overall annual energy yield is of critical importance for the reliable long-term prediction and optimisation of bifacial PV systems. Despite the enhancements provided by the hybrid approach, the marginal improvements indicate that RT remains the benchmark for high-precision bifacial PV system simulations.
Figure 3 illustrates the three validation metrics for the single-axis tracking simulations on a monthly basis. Similar to the Fixed Tilt configurations, RT achieves the most accurate representation of the hourly performance, with an average NRMSE of 8% and an of 98%. This demonstrates RT’s capability in accurately capturing the dynamic variations in bifacial PV system performance. The NRMSE, R2 and RE for the whole period are shown in Table 3 for the plant in the United States and in Table 4 for the tracked system in Brazil.
FIGURE 3
NRMSE and coefficient of determination for the single-axis-tracking systems in Golden, United States and Florianopolis, Brazil.
TABLE 3
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Golden 2021.
TABLE 4
Simulation results – bifacial energy yield – Florianópolis 2022.
In contrast, the results from the VF methods show a wide range of errors. For the simulations conducted for the system in Brazil, VF methods exhibit a high degree of accuracy and an NRMSE comparable to RT. However, for the system in the United States, VF simulations result in significant deviations, with NRMSE values reaching up to 50%. Despite these discrepancies, when considering the cumulative yield reflected by the RE, the VF methods appear to balance out their errors on average, resulting in an RE that is closer to the real results compared to RT.
The pure VF and the hybrid (VF + RT) methods produce very similar outcomes. The hybrid method shows a slight improvement over the pure VF method, primarily in RE. However, this improvement is modest, indicating that the hybrid approach does not significantly outperform the pure VF method in most scenarios.
Figure 4 illustrates the monthly variation of rear-side irradiance for VF and RT using different albedo models for the system in the United States. Generally, there is a noticeable overestimation of rear-side irradiance by the VF model across all albedo variations. Another notable feature is the increased yield from February to April, attributed to higher albedo during snowy days in these months. This seasonal variation is not captured by a fixed albedo. However, with the variable albedo model, which accounts for snow cover on the ground, these seasonal patterns are accurately represented, showing a very similar trend to the measured data.
FIGURE 4
Rear side irradiance for different albedo and irradiance models for the single axis tracking system in Golden, United States.
Figure 5 illustrates the bifacial power output per square meter per hour for the Florianópolis location in Brazil. The 4-day example, comprising hourly data points, demonstrates the overestimation of the VF model and the proximity of the RT model to the measured field test data.
FIGURE 5
Hourly bifacial power output for Florianópolis, Brazil.
The validation results highlight the necessity of using RT for precise hourly performance simulations, while also considering the averaging effects in cumulative yield calculations where VF methods may still provide reasonably accurate estimates. This dual approach ensures a balanced understanding of both detailed performance metrics and long-term energy yield predictions. In cases where a fast estimation of energy yield is sufficient, a combination of simulation models with a relatively short run-time but a reasonable simulation time should be used. The authors propose the simulation path outlined in red on Figure 6, which they consider the optimal approach for that scenario. In the absence of a local weather file, a TMY can be generated. For the module irradiance, the VF model should be used in conjunction with the hourly variable albedo model, in the absence of on-site albedo measurements. Soiling should be calculated according to the location. For a rapid estimation of the energy yield, the adapted one-diode model can be utilised. In general, local measurement data represents the most accurate basis for energy yield simulation. However, if such data are unavailable, alternative methods must be used. Figure 6 illustrates a simulation recommendation.
FIGURE 6
Model simulation recommendation for bifacial photovoltaic systems.
Focusing on fixed-tilt photovoltaic systems at the sites in Germany and Brazil, the RT method exhibits superior accuracy in calculating bifacial performance, with low NRMSE, high values, and a RE approaching zero on average. The unique topography of the Agri-PV System in Germany, characterized by terraced elevations, poses challenges for accurate modeling, introducing systematic errors due to physical modeling limitations, which were partly compensated by adding an additional inclination to the solar field. In single-axis tracking simulations, RT again yields more precise results in terms of hourly irradiance profiles, as demonstrated by lower NRMSE and higher values. Furthermore, in addition to the RT or VF model, future models could be enhanced by the incorporation of empirical irradiance models (Betcke et al., 2010) or models that utilise linear interpolation (Tsutsui et al., 2006). The seasonal trends captured by the variable albedo model highlight the importance of incorporating dynamic albedo changes in simulations to improve accuracy. That is especially critical in regions with significant seasonal variations, such as snow cover, which can substantially impact the reflective properties of the ground and, consequently, the rear-side irradiance of bifacial PV systems.
In a previous study (Grommes, 2024), the bifacial energy yield of BifacialSimu and the commercial software PVSyst was compared. At the Heggelbach site, a relative error of −13.7% was observed in the PVSyst simulations, with a coefficient of determination of 0.73, indicating a lower level of precision compared to BifacialSimu. At the Golden site in the United States, PVSyst demonstrated a relative error of 13.2% and a coefficient of determination of 0.90, which is more accurate than the VF methods but slightly less precise than the RT simulations from BifacialSimu. At the Florianópolis site, PVSyst demonstrated a considerable cumulative relative error of −11.6%, indicative of a notable underestimation of the bifacial yields. However, it also exhibited a remarkably high coefficient of determination of 0.99, suggesting a strong correlation with the actual measured data.
Supplementary Figure A1 in the Appendix presents the absolute error of simulated bifacial performance across the entire simulation period, shown in hourly resolution for all tested models in the fixed tilt configuration in Brazil. Notably, RT simulations exhibit a lower and more consistent error margin. In contrast, the pure VF simulation shows increased errors during the morning and evening hours, when the geometric calculation of irradiance is more complex compared to midday conditions with a high solar altitude. The hybrid simulation mode demonstrates trends similar to the pure VF approach and is marginally improved overall due to the more accurate backside computation. However, the improvement remains limited, as the front-side irradiance calculated via the VF method is significantly higher than the backside irradiance determined by RT.
Summarising the results, RT demonstrated superior accuracy in reproducing hourly irradiance profiles at all locations examined, in contrast to the VF method, which consistently produced higher levels of irradiance on both bifacial surfaces. A challenge in comparing this result to previous estimation is that such analysis are infrequent. Nevertheless, several trends can be confirmed, such as the overestimation of VF on sunny days (refer to table 3 in Liang et al. (2019)). A significant discrepancy between RT and VF techniques was observed at the Florianópolis facility in Brazil. This discrepancy could be attributed to the precision of meteorological data used in each method. Notably, RT utilises DNI, while VF relies on GHI. At the Heggelbach installation in Germany, there was an unexpected underestimation in the simulation results, which deviated from the forecasted slight overestimation. That was due to the omission of certain loss variables in the BifacialSimu algorithm. The constant albedo assumption cannot readily explain this phenomenon since the simulated rear-side irradiance surpassed the empirical data. Potential contributing factors to this anomaly may include the physical terracing of the site, which is not accounted for in the simulation framework, or potential inaccuracies in the measurement protocols. The lack of a consistent pattern in the under- or overestimation of irradiance on bifacial surfaces across different locations further complicates the analysis. That implies that the accuracy of simulation methods may vary depending on various factors, such as geographical positioning, altitude differences, and data quality of the measurement and meteorological datasets.
To the best of the authors’ knowledge, there are no published studies that assess the accuracy of the cumulative sky model for photovoltaic applications. A study on the NRMSE of the solar contribution, comparing hourly simulations and the cumulative sky function, found a deviation of up to 2.2% ? This indicates that the RT cumulative sky function can serve as a reliable means of approximating the bifacial energy output over a given duration, particularly in instances where intricate hourly projections are deemed unnecessary.
In conclusion, the article presents a comprehensive validation of BifacialSimu, an open-source simulation platform specifically tailored to optimize the performance prediction and enhance the efficiency of bifacial PV systems under a wide range of environmental conditions. By integrating diverse datasets from multiple locations in the United States, Brazil, and Germany, the study demonstrates the superior accuracy of RT methods in comparison to VF methods. While VF provides a quicker simulation process, its tendency to overestimate energy yield limits its reliability, particularly across dynamic environmental scenarios. The validation findings emphasize that RT methods excel in capturing the nuanced hourly irradiance patterns, delivering exceptional precision and aligning more closely with empirical observations.
Moreover, the research highlights the pivotal of variable albedo models in surpassing the limitations posed by fixed albedo values. These models significantly enrich the simulation’s fidelity by accounting for temporal fluctuations, such as snow cover, thereby enhancing the bifacial energy yield predictions. Such considerations of variable albedo are crucial in environments where ground reflectivity changes seasonally, impacting the PV system’s overall performance. This advancement signals a methodological leap forward in accurately modeling the interaction between ambient conditions and bifacial modules.
The study further advocates for informed model selection based on specific operational conditions, ensuring a well-balanced approach between computational efficiency and simulation precision. For instance, in regions like Florianópolis, Brazil, the RT method achieved an impressive of 99% with an NRMSE of 7.8% for fixed-tilt systems, reflecting a remarkable agreement with measured data. Similarly, in Golden, United States, the RT approach sustained its reliability with an of 96% and an NRMSE of 14.3% for single-axis tracking systems. These results reiterate the necessity of utilizing RT for high-fidelity simulations, particularly when assessing systems under varying environmental influences.
In contrast, the VF methods exhibited notable discrepancies, such as an NRMSE of up to 33.7% in the United States, underscoring their limitations in accurately capturing system performance. Although the hybrid VF and RT approach provided marginal improvements in certain metrics, such as RE, it did not achieve the same degree of precision as RT alone. These insights reinforce the recommendation for using RT in conditions demanding high precision, while acknowledging the potential contributions of VF in less dynamic environments where computational resources may be constrained.
Looking to future enhancements, the open-source platform BifacialSimu stands to benefit significantly from additional developments. Enhancing input data flexibility and supporting a broader range of temporal resolutions would enable the simulations to better match the specificities of available datasets and research goals. Furthermore, the integration of cost analysis functionalities could provide valuable user-centric insights into the economic feasibility of bifacial PV projects, thereby expanding the tool’s practicality in real-world applications. An expanded albedo database, incorporating models that predict short-term variations based on specific climates or dominant surface types, would further improve simulation accuracy. Additionally, optimizing the computational efficiency of the software, especially within the RT process, could substantially decrease the time required for simulations, making BifacialSimu more accessible for extensive studies.
Overall, these enhancements not only promise to bolster the utility of BifacialSimu but also contribute substantively to the broader discourse on optimal strategies for modeling bifacial PV systems with various simulation tools. By refining both the technical and practical aspects of the platform, users can achieve more accurate and efficient simulations that meet the diverse demands of modern PV system deployment and research.
The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/Supplementary Material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
E-MG: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Validation, Writing–original draft, Writing–review and editing. MK: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Validation, Writing–original draft, Writing–review and editing. J-RH-M: Supervision, Writing–review and editing. HV: Supervision, Writing–review and editing. UB: Conceptualization, Data curation, Supervision, Writing–review and editing.
The author(s) declare that no financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
The authors declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2025.1527681/full#supplementary-material
1
AnomaM. A.JacobD.BourneB. C.SchollJ. A.RileyD. M.HansenC. W. (2017). “View factor model and validation for bifacial pv and diffuse shade on single-axis trackers,” in 2017 IEEE 44th Photovoltaic Specialist Conference (PVSC) (IEEE), 15491554. 10.1109/PVSC.2017.8366704
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BetckeJ.BehrendtT.KühnertJ.HammerA.LorenzE.HeinemannD. (2010). Spectrally resolved solar irradiance derived from meteosat cloud information-methods and validation.
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BettsA. K.BallJ. H. (1997). Albedo over the boreal forest. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.102, 2890128909. 10.1029/96JD03876
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BouchakourS.CaballeroD. V.LunaA.MedinaE. R.El AminK. B.CortesP. R. (2020). “Monitoring, modelling and simulation of bifacial PV modules over normal and high albedos,” in 2020 9th International Conference on Renewable Energy Research and Application (ICRERA) (IEEE), 252256. 10.1109/ICRERA49962.2020.9242869
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ChiodettiM.LindsayA.DupeyratP.BinestiD.LutunE.RadouaneK.et al (2016). “Pv bifacial yield simulation with a variable albedo model,” in 2016 IEEE 43rd Photovoltaic Specialists Conference (PVSC) (IEEE).
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DelineC.AyalaS. (2017). Bifacial_radiance
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GrommesE.-M. (2024).Bifacial photovoltaic yield simulation as a function of the albedo, vol. 623 of Energietechnik (VDI Verlag). 10.51202/9783186623065
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GrommesE.-M.BlieskeU. (2022). BifacialSimu: holistic simulation of large-scale bifacial photovoltaic systems. J. Open Source Softw.7, 4443. 10.21105/joss.04443
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GrommesE.-M.SchemannF.KlagF.NowsS.BlieskeU. (2023). Simulation of the irradiance and yield calculation of bifacial PV systems in the United States and Germany by combining ray tracing and view factor model. EPJ Photovolt.14, 11. 10.1051/epjpv/2023003
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LiangT. S.PravettoniM.DelineC.SteinJ. S.KopecekR.SinghJ. P.et al (2019). A review of crystalline silicon bifacial photovoltaic performance characterisation and simulation. Energy and Environ. Sci.12, 116148. 10.1039/C8EE02184H
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NREL (2023). “Bifacialvf,” in NREL open source projects (National Renewable Energy Laboratory).
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Ortiz-RiveraE. I.PengF. Z. (2005). “Analytical model for a photovoltaic module using the electrical characteristics provided by the manufacturer data sheet,” in 2005 IEEE Annual Power Electronics Specialists Conference (PESC) (IEEE), 20872091. 10.1109/PESC.2005.1581920
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PV Performance Modeling Collaborative PVMC (2023). “Ray tracing models for backside irradiance,” in PV performance modeling collaborative (Sandia National Laboratories).
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RobinsonD.StoneA. (2004). “Irradiation modelling made simple: the cumulative sky approach and its applications,” in PLEA 2004 – passive and low energy architecture, 1922.
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TsutsuiJ.SatoY.KurokawaK. (2006). “Modeling the performance of several photovoltaic modules,” in 2006 IEEE 4th World Conference on Photovoltaic Energy ConferenceWaikoloa, HI, USA, 07-12 May 2006, (IEEE), 22582261. 10.1109/wcpec.2006.279622
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ZiarH.SönmezF. F.IsabellaO.ZemanM. (2020). A comprehensive albedo model for solar energy applications: geometric spectral albedo. Appl. Energy255, 113867. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113867
Keywords
photovoltaic, bifacial photovoltaic (bPV), simulation, solar energy, irradiance, albedo
Citation
Grommes E-M, Koch M, Hadji-Minaglou J-R, Voos H and Blieske U (2025) Towards precision in bifacial photovoltaic system simulation: a model selection approach with validation. Front. Energy Res. 13:1527681. doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2025.1527681
Received
13 November 2024
Accepted
06 February 2025
Published
04 March 2025
Volume
13 – 2025
Edited by
Atul A. Sagade, University of Tarapacá, Chile
Reviewed by
Ahmed Alami Merrouni, Mohamed Premier University, Morocco
Yongli Lu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, United States
Updates
Check for updates
Copyright
© 2025 Grommes, Koch, Hadji-Minaglou, Voos and Blieske.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Eva-Maria Grommes,
Disclaimer
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
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India’s solar module overcapacity to persist through 2030 as capacity reaches 233GW – pv-tech.org

India’s solar module manufacturing capacity has reached approximately 233GW, but factories are operating at an estimated 35–40% utilisation as module manufacturing expansion continues to outpace demand, according to a joint report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) and JMK Research & Analytics.
The report, ‘Assessing overcapacity risk in India’s solar PV manufacturing market’, estimates that approximately 135GW of additional module capacity backed by firm investment commitments and near-certain commissioning schedules is in the pipeline.

Utilisation is already below the 50–65% level that industry stakeholders identify as generally required for sustainable operations. The report warns that continued capacity additions could put further pressure on utilisation, margins and investment returns, increasing the risk of stranded assets, particularly among standalone manufacturers.
As of June 2026, module nameplate capacity was nearly seven times greater than cell capacity and 116 times that of ingot-wafer capacity, leaving domestic supply of upstream segments such as cells, wafers and polysilicon underdeveloped and the domestic supply chain dependent on imported inputs, predominantly from China.
The manufacturing build-out comes as India’s renewable energy market continues to expand. The country reached 288GW of cumulative renewable energy operational capacity by June 2026, with solar accounting for 56% of the total.
However, the report says the growth in solar deployment is unlikely to absorb the module capacity already commissioned or announced.
JMK Research models two potential manufacturing scenarios for FY2030. The first is based on capacity backed by confirmed investments and credible commissioning timelines, while the second includes all capacity announced by Indian manufacturers.
Under both scenarios, module capacity remains ahead of demand. Under the second scenario, nameplate module capacity is forecast to be more than five times annual solar PV demand.
Cell manufacturing is expected to reach marginal overcapacity under the confirmed-investment scenario, while wafer-ingot capacity would almost reach the demand threshold. Polysilicon remains the most difficult upstream segment to develop, with domestic capacity unlikely to expand meaningfully beyond production-linked incentive (PLI) commitments by FY2030.
The imbalance has been driven in part by the economics of module manufacturing. According to the IEEFA and JMK Research report, module facilities require approximately INR1.5–1.7 billion/gigawatt (US$16–18 million/gigawatt) and can be commissioned in 8–15 months.
Meanwhile, cell manufacturing requires INR5–7 billion/gigawatt (US$53–74 million/gigawatt), and integrated ingot-wafer facilities require upwards of INR7–10 billion/gigawatt (US$74–106 million/gigawatt), with commissioning timelines of 18–24 months.
Module manufacturing also involves less process complexity and lower technology and capital requirements, while cells and wafers require greater process expertise and longer investment cycles.
Policy sequencing reinforced the downstream concentration. The Approved List of Models and Manufacturers (ALMM) List-I for modules became operational in March 2021 and remained the only binding domestic content requirement for nearly five years. ALMM List-II for cells was notified in July 2025 and became operational from June 2026, while List-III for wafers is proposed for June 2028.
This created a stronger early demand for domestically-produced modules while cells continued to compete with lower-cost imports, directing investment towards the former segment.
Integrated manufacturers have also been able to absorb part of their module output through captive downstream operations, reducing the effectively addressable market for standalone manufacturers.
Solar manufacturing expansion is also occurring against a weaker near-term renewable energy tendering environment.
Despite India’s annual renewable energy bidding target of 50GW, tenders were issued for approximately 24GW of renewable energy capacity in FY2026, compared with nearly 45GW in FY2025. This represents a decline of around 47%.
The report attributes the slowdown to project realisation challenges including land acquisition delays, grid connectivity constraints and delays in power supply agreement (PSA) execution.
Open-access and residential solar demand has continued to grow, but the contraction in utility-scale tenders is significant because utility-scale projects have traditionally represented the largest share of the market.
The report identifies data centres, exports and green hydrogen and ammonia as the main potential sources of incremental solar module demand through 2030.
Together, these segments could create approximately 17–22GW of additional solar demand by 2030, according to JMK Research.
Data centres could provide an annual solar demand opportunity of around 2–3GW by 2030. Information technology-sector load is projected to increase from approximately 1.5GWac in 2025 to 7–8GWac by 2030, with annual electricity consumption rising from around 13TWh currently to 40–57TWh by the end of the decade.
Green hydrogen is identified as the largest single avenue for additional demand because of the dedicated renewable capacity required for production.
The report nevertheless says these emerging demand segments are unlikely to fully absorb the planned scale of manufacturing expansion, leaving export markets critical to improving utilisation.
India’s module exports remain heavily concentrated in the US. The country exported approximately 4.5GW of modules in FY2026, with the US accounting for around 97% of total export volume.
Outside the US, exports stood at around 128MW, with Bangladesh, the UAE and Kenya among the smaller secondary markets. Indian module exports to the US peaked at approximately US$1.94 billion in FY2024 before falling 44–47% over the following two years.
The decline follows a sharp tightening of US trade policy. Preliminary determinations announced by the US Department of Commerce (DOC) in February and April 2026 resulted in combined duty exposure exceeding 200% for most Indian manufacturers. Final determinations, originally scheduled for July 2026, have been deferred to October 2026, while final anti-dumping/countervailing duties (AD/CVD) orders are scheduled by late October 2026. The eventual duty position remains uncertain and will depend in part on the outcome of ongoing India-US trade negotiations.
The European Union therefore represents the most structured medium-term diversification opportunity [subscription required], with measures including the Net-Zero Industry Act (NZIA), Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR) and Forced Labour Regulation (FLR) placing greater emphasis on supply-chain resilience, sourcing transparency and sustainability.
Opportunities are also emerging in the Middle East [subscription required] and Africa, where projects developed by international and Indian engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors could provide additional export markets.
Market diversification alone will not resolve India’s export challenge, with domestic manufacturers still facing cost and technology gaps relative to China.
The price gap between Indian and Chinese modules has narrowed by roughly 28.6% from its earlier 2024 level. Further additions in cell and wafer manufacturing could reduce import dependence and improve competitiveness, although Chinese manufacturers are expected to retain a scale and integration advantage in the near to medium term.
Chinese manufacturers also remain ahead on module efficiency and next-generation technologies. Mainstream Chinese tunnel oxide passivated contact (TOPCon) modules operate at the upper end of the 24% efficiency band, with capacity transitioning to heterojunction (HJT). Leading Indian TOPCon-based manufacturers currently operate in the 22–23% range.
The report estimates that supportive EU policies, upstream investment and continued narrowing of the cost gap could enable Indian manufacturers to capture around 8GW of additional export demand opportunity.
The supply-demand imbalance is expected to increase pressure on smaller downstream manufacturers and accelerate consolidation.
The report identifies small-scale downstream-only manufacturers, companies operating predominantly passivated emitter and rear cell (PERC)-based lines and manufacturers without a credible upstream integration roadmap as the most vulnerable.
Together, these categories account for 45–50GW of module capacity that is prone to consolidation and disruption, based on stakeholder consultations and JMK Research’s analysis.
The risk is particularly significant for legacy PERC manufacturers as TOPCon accounts for over 70% of India’s module manufacturing capacity.
The cell segment faces a different issue: merchant supply remains limited despite significant capacity additions. Nearly 33GW of the 35GW of cell manufacturing capacity is tied to integrated companies for captive consumption, leaving only 2GW available to the merchant market.
This creates a structurally constrained merchant cell market and could put further pressure on standalone module manufacturers that do not have captive cell production.
The report expects the Indian manufacturing base to gradually move upstream, with cell capacity scaling under ALMM List-II and wafer capacity expected to follow from 2028 onwards.
Polysilicon capacity is likely to expand meaningfully only after 2030, with near-term development limited to a select group of PLI awardees with the financial and technical capability to build facilities.
India’s membership of the US-led Pax Silica coalition in February 2026 could also help diversify silicon-based manufacturing inputs away from China and provide greater supply-chain assurance for upstream investment.
Manufacturers are also exploring production closer to overseas demand centres in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. Local manufacturing could help companies navigate import duties and local-content requirements while reducing exposure to Chinese pricing pressure.
Domestic solar PV manufacturers remained profitable, with operating profitability at approximately 25% in FY2025, but the report expects profitability to decline as competition and excess capacity put pressure on selling prices.
Tier 1 manufacturers are better positioned to manage utilisation because they can shift production towards domestic demand compliant with ALMM List II. Smaller, non-integrated assemblers are expected to face sharper declines.
The availability of ALMM List II-compliant domestic cells is an immediate constraint for module manufacturers without captive cell production. The exemption for net-metering and open-access renewable energy projects until 31 December 2026 gives domestic cell manufacturers additional time to scale capacity while easing immediate utilisation pressure on standalone module manufacturers.
IEEFA and JMK Research recommend shifting policy support towards addressing the structural gaps across India’s PV manufacturing value chain.
The report calls for future PLI iterations to provide more targeted incentives for upstream manufacturing, including polysilicon, wafer-ingot and cell production, rather than making support dependent on full vertical integration.
It also recommends stronger industry-research collaboration to accelerate technologies including HJT and perovskite-silicon tandem cells, supported by shared pilot-line infrastructure and industry-academia partnerships.
Targeted and time-bound export support, export credit, concessional working capital and manufacturing-linked export infrastructure near major ports are also recommended.
On the demand side, the report calls for faster transmission and right-of-way (RoW) clearances to reduce delays in renewable project development. It also recommends a dedicated framework to repower ageing solar assets, including measures to retain existing grid connectivity and land-use approvals following equipment replacement.
India’s solar installed capacity is expected to increase to 280–300GW by 2030, but the report says this growth is unlikely to fully absorb the manufacturing capacity already established.
The resulting module overcapacity is therefore expected to persist through 2030.
India’s renewable energy transition, from solar PV and energy storage to grid integration, will be a key topic of discussion at the Renewable Energy India (REI) Expo, co-located with the Energy Storage Summit India (ESS India), in Greater Noida on 22-24 October 2026. For the full agenda and booking details, click here.

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Crushed solar cells went into a tank of nothing but water and air, and 90 minutes later almost all the silver in them was riding the froth on top in a scoop weighing an eightieth of the feed – EcoPortal.net

The Pulse
A retired solar panel does not look like an ore body.
Dark blue squares, an aluminum frame, a sheet of glass, and a junction box on the back.
Printed across the face of every one of those squares is a grid of fine silver lines.
Silver is the highest value material in the whole assembly.
Almost all of it goes into a landfill.
Not because it cannot be recovered, but because recovering it costs more than throwing it away.
The standard route to silver in a dead panel is acid leaching, which means chemicals going in and hazardous liquid waste coming out.
Both cost money, and the disposal side of it costs money twice.
Flotation works on a different property entirely. Some particle surfaces repel water and some do not, and a bubble will stick to the ones that repel it.
Grind the material fine, add water, blow air through it, and put in small amounts of reagents that make the target surfaces shed water.
The particles you want attach to bubbles and ride to the surface as froth, which gets scraped off. Everything else stays in the tank.
None of that is new. Mines have separated ore this way for a century, which is exactly why the interesting question was whether it works on a panel.
The feed came from about 1,000 pounds of end of life panels, roughly 23 residential modules.
Stripping those down yielded about 49 pounds of ground solar cells, and that is what the pilot ran on.
The run went for about 90 minutes, continuously, which is the part that had not been done before.
A batch test stops and restarts. It can hold a recovery rate for a few minutes because nothing is moving through it.
A continuous circuit has feed entering while product leaves, and it has to hold that rate while everything moves.
That gap between a beaker and a working circuit is where most promising recycling chemistry quietly dies.
Recovery came out at close to 100 percent of the silver in the feed.
What it went into was a concentrate weighing 1.25 percent of the material that entered, about one eightieth of the feed.
Concentrating the same amount of metal into an eightieth of the mass means the product carries more than 80 times the silver content of what went in.
That is the number that matters commercially, because a refiner buys grade rather than tonnage.
An earlier round of the same work, run in batches, had already cleared 97 percent in a matter of minutes.
The team sits at the University of Newcastle in Australia, in a center set up for critical minerals and urban mining, which is where the flotation expertise already lived.
The team’s own preliminary costing puts the flotation route at three to five times cheaper than acid leaching.
The work is out as a preprint and has not been through peer review, which is the first thing to say about it.
The second is the scale. Forty nine pounds is a demonstration, and the distance from there to a plant handling thousands of tons a year is measured in feed systems, reagent handling and offtake agreements rather than in chemistry.
A concentrate also is not metal. Somebody still has to refine it, and the pilot does not include that step or its cost.
Silver is also the top of the value stack and a very small share of the mass. Glass and silicon are the bulk, and the plastic layer holding them together is still the expensive problem nobody has solved.
Work on the silicon side is moving too, with retired wafers coming out of a mild acid clean enough for battery anodes.
None of that is settled either, and none of it is in this pilot.
Recycling a panel in Australia currently runs somewhere around seven to ten dollars.
Sending it to a landfill costs a few dollars. That difference is the reason most panels never reach a recycler at all.
The country is expecting more than a million metric tons of retired panels by the middle of the next decade, holding an estimated 300 to 500 metric tons of silver.
At today’s prices that is a serious pile of metal sitting in a waste stream, and it is not a rounding error.
Nothing here makes recycling cheap. It moves one line in the ledger, and that line happens to be the most valuable one.
Which is what the pilot claims and no more, and it is enough to matter if the next run is a hundred times bigger.
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Japan’s Amada raising local solar generation portfolio to 6.4 MW – renewablesnow.com

Japan’s Amada raising local solar generation portfolio to 6.4 MW  renewablesnow.com
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Control strategy evaluation for reactive power management in grid-connected photovoltaic systems under varying solar conditions | Scientific Reports – Nature

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Scientific Reports volume 15, Article number: 24697 (2025)
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19 Citations
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Solar energy is environmentally friendly and one of the most significant renewable energy sources. This energy is a leading renewable energy source, contributing significantly to sustainable development goals. In grid-connected photovoltaic (PV) systems, reactive power management is essential for maintaining voltage stability and ensuring reliable operation. However, the influence of fluctuating solar irradiation (G) on reactive power (Q) behavior is often underrepresented in conventional inverter control strategies. This research addresses this gap by modeling the dependence of reactive power on solar irradiance using a data-driven curve-fitting approach. The methodology involves the acquisition of real-world operational data, preprocessing, selection of an appropriate analytical model, and validation of its performance. The findings indicate that reactive power increases under low irradiance conditions, primarily due to inverter behavior and grid voltage support requirements. The resulting analytical expression offers a practical framework for integrating irradiance-dependent reactive power control into inverter firmware or grid management software. The model performed with high accuracy with an R2 of 0.9955. This contribution enhances the ability of PV systems to respond dynamically to environmental changes, improving grid compatibility, operational efficiency, and voltage regulation in modern distributed energy networks.
The increasing global demand for clean, sustainable energy has accelerated the integration of renewable energy sources into power systems, with PV solar technology playing a pivotal role due to its scalability, declining costs, and minimal environmental impact. The global shift toward sustainable and renewable energy has accelerated the deployment of PV systems, which now play a critical role in modern power networks. As the share of solar energy in the electricity mix increases, maintaining stable grid operation becomes increasingly complex. One of the most pressing technical challenges associated with large-scale PV integration is the management of reactive power, essential for voltage regulation and overall system stability1,2,3. In grid-connected PV systems, inverters are responsible for both converting direct current (DC) output from PV modules into AC power and for supplying or absorbing reactive power as needed by the grid. However, most inverter control strategies focus on active power optimization and voltage-based reactive power response, without accounting for how variations in solar irradiance influence reactive power requirements2,3,4. This oversight becomes especially critical during periods of low or rapidly changing irradiance, where voltage regulation needs are highest. The novel contribution of this research lies in offering an irradiance-dependent analytical model for reactive power behavior, derived from real-world PV system data. Unlike previous studies that rely on complex simulations or assume static reactive power behavior, this model is lightweight, accurate.
Most research focuses on power factor control or active power generation, but and developing a sustainable analytical expression solely based on solar irradiance for reactive power might be less explored. The objective of the work would be to develop a practical, reliable model that grid operators or engineers can use to predict and manage the reactive power output of grid-connected PV systems as a function of solar irradiance, thus improving grid performance and stability5,6. By accurately predicting reactive power based on solar irradiance, the model can help improve the dynamic operation of PV inverters, which is crucial for reducing energy losses and optimizing grid integration strategies. The developing a sustainable analytical expression between solar irradiation and reactive power was found by the curve fitting method. Solar PV systems can be categorized based on their connection type, functionality, and application7.
Grid-Connected PV Systems, these systems are directly connected to the utility grid and can export excess electricity, operates independently of the grid, relying on battery storage to supply electricity when solar generation is insufficient9. A grid-connected PV system and an off-grid solar PV system serve different purposes and have distinct operational characteristics8,9,10. Below is a comparison based on key factors:
Connection to the Grid
Grid-Connected PV System: Remains connected to the utility grid and can export excess power.
Off-Grid PV System: Operates independently without any connection to the grid.
Power Supply Reliability
Grid-Connected: Reliable since the grid serves as a backup when solar generation is insufficient.
Off-Grid: Requires batteries or backup generators to provide power when solar output is low (e.g., at night or during cloudy days).
Energy Storage Requirement
Grid-Connected: Typically does not need batteries, as excess power is fed into the grid11.
Off-Grid: Requires battery storage to ensure continuous power supply.
System Components
Grid-Connected: Solar panels, inverters, and grid connection equipment.
Off-Grid: Solar panels, charge controllers, batteries, and inverters.
Cost Consideration
Grid-Connected: Lower initial cost as there is no need for batteries.
Off-Grid: Higher cost due to the need for battery storage and additional infrastructure.
Energy Independence
Grid-Connected: Dependent on the grid; power outages may still affect users.
Off-Grid: Provides complete energy independence but requires careful system design to meet energy demands.
Efficiency
Grid-Connected: Higher efficiency as energy can be directly used or exported12,13.
Off-Grid: Lower efficiency due to energy losses in battery storage and conversion.
Suitability
Grid-Connected: Ideal for urban areas with stable grid supply.
Off-Grid: Suitable for remote locations where grid access is unavailable or unreliable.
The developing a sustainable analytical expression between solar irradiation and reactive power was found by the curve fitting method. Reactive power is crucial in grid-connected PV solar systems because it helps maintain grid stability, ensures voltage control, improves power quality and enables compliance with grid regulations, ultimately optimizing the efficiency and reliability of solar power integration into the electrical grid. In14, a comparative study of reactive power control methods for photovoltaic inverters in low-voltage networks was analyzed. Reactive power management also plays a role in minimizing transmission losses. By optimizing the power factor and voltage levels, the efficiency of energy transmission from the solar PV system to the grid can be improved, reducing energy waste. Additionally, reactive power compensation helps improve the power factor of the system15,16.
The connection point between the PV system and the grid plays a vital role in determining the overall performance, security and stability of both the PV system and the wider power grid. This interface governs the flow of active and reactive power, facilitates synchronization with grid parameters, and serves as the location where control, protection, and monitoring systems operate. Any disturbances or abnormalities occurring at this point—such as harmonic injection, voltage deviations, or improper protection coordination can propagate throughout the distribution network, affecting power quality and potentially compromising grid reliability. As such, a thorough understanding and careful design of the interconnection point are essential to ensure seamless integration of PV systems while maintaining compliance with grid codes and operational standards.
Power factor is a measure of how efficiently electrical power is being used. A poor power factor (often caused by insufficient reactive power) can lead to increased energy losses and inefficiencies in the grid infrastructure.
By optimizing the power factor and voltage levels, the efficiency of energy transmission from the solar PV system to the grid can be improved and reducing energy waste17.
Grid stability depends on maintaining a balance between reactive power and active power. Solar PV systems typically produce active power that can cause voltage variations if not balanced with reactive power. Proper management of reactive power ensures stable grid operation and reduces the likelihood of voltage sags or surges. Reactive power helps regulate voltage levels within acceptable limits. In18,19, the reactive power control and regulation of the three-phase inverter is investigated, while in20, the performance of the 8.2 kWp grid-connected photovoltaic system is investigated.
Solar PV systems can inject active power into the grid which affects voltage PV systems has been studied. On partially cloudy days solar irradiation can vary quickly as clouds move across the sky. This causes rapid fluctuations in active power generation. The ability to supply reactive power and control voltage levels in grid-connected PV systems is increasingly important as PV penetration in the grid grows. A grid-connected PV solar system and an off-grid PV solar system differ significantly in terms of design, functionality, and application. A grid-connected PV system is directly linked to the utility grid, allowing it to draw or supply electricity as needed.
This system primarily relies on solar power but can access grid electricity when solar generation is insufficient. Excess energy generated by the solar panels can be fed back into the grid, often through net metering or feed-in tariff programs, reducing electricity costs. Since grid-connected systems do not require battery storage, they have lower initial costs and maintenance requirements21. However, they are dependent on grid availability and backup. In contrast, an off-grid PV system operates independently of the grid and requires battery storage to supply electricity during periods of low solar generation, such as nighttime or cloudy days22.
Several studies have examined the relationship between PV generation and environmental conditions, focusing mainly on active power fluctuations due to irradiance and temperature changes23. Fewer works have MPPT and active power control24,25. However, as PV penetration increases, reactive power control has emerged as a critical capability for supporting voltage stability and grid compliance26. Modern grid codes, such as IEEE 1547 and EN 50549, mandate that inverters in distributed generation systems provide reactive power support under varying voltage and frequency conditions27. In response, research has explored various inverter-based reactive power control strategies, including fixed power factor control, Volt-VAR control, and dynamic VAR support based on local grid conditions28,29,30.
In a grid-connected photovoltaic PV system, the point of interconnection with the utility grid is critical, as various dynamic events may occur at this interface, potentially impacting power quality, system stability, and the bidirectional flow of energy. where various dynamic phenomena such as harmonic distortion, voltage fluctuations, and coordination challenges in protection schemes can arise, potentially compromising power quality and system reliability. The increasing integration of PV systems into distribution networks has introduced new challenges to power system operation and reliability.
While grid-connected PV systems offer significant environmental and economic benefits, their interconnection with the utility grid can give rise to a range of technical issues. Specifically, at the point of common coupling (PCC), dynamic events such as harmonic distortion, voltage fluctuations, and complications in protection coordination are frequently observed. These phenomena can degrade power quality, disrupt voltage regulation, and impair the effectiveness of conventional protection schemes. As the penetration of distributed generation continues to rise, understanding and mitigating these impacts is essential for ensuring stable and reliable grid operation.
In a grid-connected PV system, the solar inverter serves as a critical component at the point of interconnection with the utility grid. Its primary function is to convert the DC generated by the PV modules into alternating current (AC) compatible with grid standards in terms of voltage, frequency, and waveform. Beyond basic power conversion, the inverter is responsible for synchronizing the output with the grid, ensuring proper phase alignment and stable frequency. It also plays a key role in power quality management by minimizing harmonic distortion and maintaining voltage stability.
Modern grid-tied inverters incorporate advanced functionalities such as maximum power point tracking (MPPT), anti-islanding protection, reactive power support, and real-time monitoring. Additionally, the inverter contributes to protection coordination by interfacing with grid protection devices and complying with grid codes to ensure safe and efficient operation under normal and fault conditions. As the gateway between the PV array and the utility grid, the inverter’s performance directly impacts the reliability and efficiency of the entire system.
The principle diagram of a grid-connected PV solar energy system plays a crucial role in understanding, designing, and analyzing the system’s functionality. This diagram serves not only as a blueprint for system installation but also as a foundational tool for troubleshooting, performance assessment, and compliance with safety and grid standards29. By illustrating power flow and control mechanisms, it supports efficient system optimization and helps ensure that the PV system operates reliably, sustainably, and in coordination with the larger electrical infrastructure. The principle diagram of the grid-connected PV solar system is given in Fig. 1.
Principle diagram of grid connected PV solar system.
The principle diagram of a grid-connected PV solar system, showing key components like solar panels, a boost converter, an inverter, a meter and the grid connection. Solar irradiation exhibits a clear variation throughout the day, primarily due to the position of the sun relative to the earth’s surface16. As the sun rises, solar irradiance gradually increases from zero.
As it climbs higher in the sky, the irradiance continues to increase, reaching its peak around midday. After the peak irradiation around noon, solar irradiation begins to decrease as the sun starts its descent. The sun’s angle becomes less direct, increasing the atmosphere’s impact in reducing the energy reaching the surface. During low solar irradiation periods (early morning, late afternoon, cloudy days), PV generation decreases significantly31,32. As the sun approaches the horizon, the solar irradiation continues to drop until it reaches zero at sunset. The sunlight passes through more atmospheric layers, scattering much of the energy before it reaches the surface. The reactive power in a grid-connected solar PV system can exhibit variations throughout the day, much like solar irradiation.
Many grid codes and regulations require that grid-connected generators, including solar PV systems contribute to maintaining grid stability through reactive power support. Compliance with these regulations ensures that the grid can handle the variable and distributed nature of renewable energy sources like solar power. Inverters are responsible for converting the DC electricity generated by the PV modules into AC electricity that is compatible with the electrical grid or the loads in a home or building. This conversion is critical because most electrical grids operate on AC power.
Increasing the efficiency of energy transmission from a solar PV system to the grid and minimizing losses is crucial for maximizing energy yield and improving system performance. Advanced MPPT algorithms ensure the PV system operates at its optimal power output under varying irradiance conditions33,34,35. Additionally, Using high-efficiency transformers with low iron and copper losses improves energy transfer. High-performance circuit breakers and protection devices reduce power dissipation. That sounds like an interesting and complex topic! You’re delving into how reactive power varies with changes in irradiance in PV systems, especially focusing on inverter control mechanisms in grid-connected settings. In a grid-connected PV system, the inverter plays a crucial role in converting the DC from the solar panels to alternating current (AC) that can be fed into the grid. Inverters often have control mechanisms to manage various system parameters, including reactive power, which is crucial for grid stability34. The relationship between Irradiance and reactive power is as given below.
Reactive power is essential for maintaining voltage levels in the grid, even though it doesn’t directly contribute to active power generation.
Reactive power can vary with changing irradiance levels because the output of the PV system depends on the incident solar radiation.
As irradiance increases, the active power produced by the PV system rises, but the inverter may adjust the amount of reactive power to maintain grid stability, voltage regulation, and minimize harmonic distortion
In grid-connected PV systems, inverter control mechanisms play a crucial role in ensuring the efficient operation and integration of solar power into the electricity grid.
These mechanisms enable the inverter to convert DC power from the solar panels into AC power, while also managing the interaction between the system and the grid to meet technical, regulatory, and safety requirements. Some key control mechanisms involved are:
Power Factor Control: Inverters often operate at a predefined power factor, but they can also dynamically adjust it based on grid conditions.
Volt-VAR Control: Many modern inverters use volt-ampere reactive control, which adjusts reactive power in response to voltage fluctuations, helping stabilize grid voltage.
Constant Reactive Power: Some inverters are set to provide constant reactive power (independent of active power) or adjust reactive power based on voltage measurements. Inverters are often required to either provide or absorb reactive power in certain grid conditions. By doing so, they help manage voltage levels and improve grid stability, especially in regions with high penetration of renewable energy.
Solar inverter control mechanisms in grid-connected photovoltaic systems are essential for ensuring that the solar power system operates efficiently, safely, and in compliance with grid standards. These mechanisms allow the system to dynamically adjust to varying conditions, support grid stability, and ensure high-quality power delivery. Inverters also play a critical role in maintaining the voltage and frequency of the AC power. They ensure that the power output matches the voltage and frequency of the electrical grid to avoid disruptions. This is particularly important when the PV system is connected to the grid, as the inverter must synchronize the generated AC power with the grid’s existing voltage and frequency.
A static synchronous compensator (STATCOM) is a type of flexible AC transmission system (FACTS) device used for reactive power compensation in power systems. In a grid-connected solar system, incorporating a STATCOM can significantly enhance the system’s performance and reliability. STATCOM-based reactive power compensation has a wide range of applications in grid-connected solar systems. Solar energy systems, especially large-scale installations, can produce or consume reactive power. STATCOMs can provide reactive power support when the solar system produces excess real power or absorb reactive power when needed. This helps maintain the power factor close to unity and improves the overall power quality. Reactive power compensation is essential for the smooth and efficient operation of grid-connected solar PV systems. It helps maintain voltage stability, improves power quality, enhances system reliability, optimizes efficiency, meets regulatory requirements, and provides economic benefits14,16. By addressing the challenges associated with reactive power, solar PV systems can operate more effectively and contribute positively to the overall power grid.
The change in reactive power in a grid-connected PV system is influenced by various factors such as including solar irradiance, the control strategies of the inverters and the grid’s reactive power requirements. Reactive power is essential for voltage regulation, and its availability from the PV system depends on the system’s operating conditions. Inverters are equipped with MPPT algorithms that ensure the system is always operating at the maximum power point of the PV modules. This maximizes energy generation by adjusting the load to match the optimal power point given the current irradiance and temperature conditions. MPPT is particularly important because solar power generation is nonlinear and sensitive to environmental changes.
In grid-connected PV systems, the requirement for reactive power control arises from the need to maintain voltage stability and power quality within the electrical grid. As solar irradiance varies due to changes in weather conditions and time of day, the active power output of PV systems fluctuates significantly. These fluctuations can cause voltage deviations and instability at the point of common coupling (PCC) if not properly managed. To mitigate these issues, modern grid codes and utility standards often mandate that PV inverters not only supply active power but also participate in voltage regulation by providing or absorbing reactive power. This becomes especially critical in distribution networks with a high penetration of renewable sources, where voltage rise and reverse power flow can occur during periods of low load and high generation. Therefore, reactive power control strategies must be dynamic and responsive to real-time solar conditions, ensuring that the PV system supports the grid by modulating its reactive power contribution accordingly, thereby enhancing overall system reliability and operational efficiency. The reactive power QPV(t) is controlled to maintain grid voltage at the PCC. It must satisfy:
where; SPV is apparent power rating of the inverter, QPV(t) is reactive power injected or absorbed and PPV(t) is active power. Inverters have a maximum apparent power (S), so reactive power (Q) is limited by the available capacity after supplying active power. We can set a limit condition:
is found as. Although PV panels themselves generate only direct current (DC) active power, the inverter plays a crucial role in controlling and injecting reactive power based on grid needs and its control strategy. Here’s how the inverter influences reactive powe Inverter’s role in reactive power control. A solar inverter also called a grid-tied or grid-following inverter) converts DC power from the PV modules into alternating current (AC) power. Beyond this basic role, modern inverters particularly smart inverters are capable of:
Injecting reactive power (capacitive behavior)
Absorbing reactive power (inductive behavior)
Operating at different power factors (not just unity)
This is achieved through control algorithms that adjust the inverter’s output current phase angle relative to the voltage at the point of common coupling PCC. Inverter behavior is determined by its reactive power control mode, including:
Constant Power Factor Mode: Maintains a fixed ratio between P and Q.
Constant Q Mode: Delivers a fixed amount of reactive power regardless of voltage.
Volt-Var Control Mode: Dynamically adjusts Q based on local voltage levels (most common for voltage regulation).
In Volt-Var control, the inverter uses a programmed curve (defined by standards (like IEEE 1547) to inject or absorb reactive power depending on the voltage at the PCC. Solar inverters respond to:
Voltage sags/swells by adjusting Q
Grid faults (via fault ride-through settings) by injecting reactive power to support voltage recovery
Frequency deviations (in advanced inverters) with coordinated active/reactive power responses
Solar inverters do not generate reactive power inherently, but they synthesize it through power electronics and control. Their influence on reactive power in a grid-connected PV system depends on:
Inverter capacity and DC power availability
Control algorithms (e.g., Volt-Var)
Grid voltage and frequency conditions
Compliance with grid codes or utility requirements
In a grid-connected PV system, the inverter continuously monitors the voltage at its point of common coupling (PCC). Based on this measured voltage and a predefined control curve—typically a Volt-Var characteristic the inverter determines whether it needs to inject or absorb reactive power. This mechanism helps regulate grid voltage locally, supporting system stability especially in weak or heavily loaded distribution networks. The control logic embedded in the inverter performs real-time voltage measurements and uses them to compute the required reactive power.
This enables PV systems to supply reactive power when voltage is too high or absorb reactive power when voltage is too low. On partially cloudy days, solar irradiance can fluctuate rapidly causing corresponding changes in the active power output of the PV system. In response, inverters may dynamically adjust their reactive power output to stabilize voltage fluctuations caused by these changes. This study offers a mathematical approach to predict reactive power in PV systems based on solar irradiance, contributing to more efficient grid integration of renewable energy sources. Understanding how reactive power varies with solar conditions helps in the planning and optimization of grid-connected PV systems, ensuring better grid stability and reducing energy losses.
Despite the growing deployment of grid-connected PV systems, managing voltage stability and reactive power fluctuations remains a significant challenge especially under rapidly changing irradiance conditions. Traditional inverter control strategies often fail to optimally regulate reactive power in real-time, which can lead to voltage deviations and grid instability, particularly in systems with high solar penetration. This study presents a novel irradiance-dependent reactive power model integrated with inverter control logic, distinguishing itself by directly linking solar irradiance variations with dynamic reactive power behavior. Unlike existing works that either focus on steady-state conditions or assume constant inverter performance, this research models the real-time interaction between irradiance, inverter response, and grid voltage regulation. The proposed approach can be practically implemented in inverter firmware or grid management software, offering actionable insights for smart grid applications and voltage support mechanisms in high-renewable scenarios. The control strategies and system configurations for curve fitting-based reactive power control are summarized in Table 1.
Solar systems are connected to the grid through inverters, which convert DC power generated by the PV panels into AC power suitable for the grid and the aim of improving the sustainability of these types of developments. Modern inverters can also manage reactive power to help with voltage regulation and power factor correction. While the primary function of the inverter is to convert DC to AC, many inverters are designed to also manage reactive power. The capability to provide or absorb reactive power is often independent of the solar irradiation level as long as the inverter is operating within its capacity. Additionally, reactive power support can be influenced by the grid requirements and inverter settings. For instance, during periods of high solar irradiation the inverter might be programmed to absorb or supply reactive power to help stabilize the voltage on the grid. However, this control is often set by the utility or grid operator rather than being a direct function of the amount of solar irradiatio PV panels should be oriented towards the equator (south in the northern hemisphere, north in the southern hemisphere) for maximum exposure. If the system is grid-connected, it needs to comply with utility requirements for net metering to sell back excess power. The nonlinear variation of reactive power due to solar irradiation is difficult to determine, especially in the sunrise and sunset time interval. At the same time, it is quite difficult to develop an exact for such variations.
Solar irradiation (also called solar insolation) refers to the power per unit area received from the Sun in the form of electromagnetic irradiation. Standard Test Conditions (STC) play a critical role in the evaluation and comparison of photovoltaic systems by providing a consistent and controlled framework under which the performance of solar modules is measured. These conditions ensure that all manufacturers and researchers assess PV modules under the same environmental parameters, allowing for reliable benchmarking and performance predictions. Without STC, it would be challenging to distinguish whether differences in output are due to module quality or varying environmental factors. As such, STC serve as a foundational reference point for both design optimization and system sizing in real-world applications, even though actual operating conditions may differ significantly. It’s a key input that directly affects PV system performance.
Units: Typically measured in W/m2 (watts per square meter)
Measurement Device: Pyranometer or reference cell
Purpose of Measurement:
Typical Values:
Clear, sunny day: ~ 1000 W/m2 at STC.
Cloudy day: 100–400 W/m2
Night: ~ 0 W/m2
In a grid-connected photovoltaic solar system, the measurement of solar irradiation is carried out using devices capable of capturing the intensity of sunlight incident on the solar modules, ensuring accurate monitoring of environmental conditions affecting energy production. Reactive power is measured through instrumentation designed to monitor electrical parameters within the system, typically integrated into energy metering equipment or inverter-based monitoring systems that assess power flow characteristics between the PV array and the electrical grid.
The measurement of solar irradiation and reactive power is fundamental to the performance and stability of a grid-connected solar PV system. Accurate solar irradiation data allows for the precise estimation of energy generation potential, enabling optimal system design, forecasting, and real-time performance monitoring. It directly influences decisions regarding panel orientation, tracking systems, and expected energy yield. On the other hand, measuring reactive power is essential for maintaining power quality and voltage stability within the grid. The principal diagram for the measurement of solar irradiation and reactive power in the grid-connected solar PV system is shown in Fig. 2.
Measurement of solar irradiance and reactive power in grid-connected solar PV system.
Data acquisition in a grid-connected solar PV system involves the continuous collection and monitoring of electrical and environmental parameters to understand system behavior, particularly the relationship between solar irradiance and reactive power. This process typically includes the use of sensors to measure solar irradiance and devices that capture electrical outputs such as voltage, current, and reactive power from the inverter. The collected data is transmitted and recorded through data loggers or centralized control systems, allowing for real-time analysis and historical performance tracking. In systems where on-site measurement is not possible, data acquisition can also be achieved through online monitoring platforms provided by inverter manufacturers or through public databases that offer solar irradiance and PV performance datasets. This data is crucial for developing control strategies, validating models, and optimizing grid interaction, as it reflects how environmental variations impact power generation and reactive power behavior. Accurate data acquisition enables system operators and researchers to ensure efficient energy conversion, maintain voltage stability, and comply with grid regulations.
In a grid-connected solar PV system’s two critical parameters to measure are solar irradiance and reactive power. A solar irradiance meter is a device used to measure the amount of solar irradiance received on a specific surface over a given period. It quantifies the power per unit area, typically expressed in watts per square meter (W/m2). Solar irradiance meters are crucial for evaluating the efficiency of solar panels, monitoring solar energy systems and conducting environmental and meteorological studies. These devices typically employ sensors such as pyrometers or photodiodes to detect and measure solar energy. By providing real-time data, they offer valuable insights for researchers, engineers and solar power technicians to monitor and optimize system performance. An equivalent circuit for measuring reactive power in a grid-connected PV solar energy system based on solar irradiation is essential because it provides a simplified yet accurate representation of the system’s behavior under varying conditions.
Reactive power is a concept that arises in alternating current electrical systems. It’s typically denoted in volt-ampere-reactive (VAR). Reactive power is crucial in grid-connected systems because it affects voltage stability of analyzers can measure reactive power, active power, apparent power and power factor. These devices are usually installed at the inverter output to get an accurate reading of the power flow. Reactive power refers to the power oscillating between the source and load in an AC system due to inductive or capacitive elements.
In grid-connected photovoltaic systems, reactive power is exclusively controlled and delivered by the inverter. PV modules generate only DC active power, while the inverter converts this into AC and manages all reactive power functions required for grid stability and voltage regulation. Solar irradiation directly affects the voltage, current, and power output of a PV system.
The equivalent circuit is essential for analyzing and measuring reactive power in relation to solar irradiation in a grid-connected PV solar system. It serves as a simplified electrical model that represents the behavior of the PV array and its interaction with the power grid under varying solar conditions. By using this model, it becomes possible to simulate and predict how changes in solar irradiation affect both the generation of active power and the system’s reactive power behavior. The equivalent circuit helps in identifying how components such as inverters respond to dynamic environmental conditions, allowing for the design of control strategies that ensure compliance with grid codes. PV solar energy system is shown in Fig. 3.
Equivalent circuit for measuring reactive power according to solar irradiation in a grid-connected PV solar system.
An equivalent circuit reduces the complexity of a PV system by representing key components like PV arrays, inverters and grid connections as simple electrical elements resistors, capacitors, inductors and current/voltage sources. This makes it easier to understand and analyze the reactive power dynamics. The grid load used in the grid-connected PV solar energy system is as given below. (4 MW ohmic load, 120 kV/25 kV 47 MVA transformer, 30 MW and 2 MVAr inductive load, 120 kV 250 MVA utility load). Using an equivalent circuit to measure reactive power in a grid-connected PV solar system offers several advantages. Characteristics, which help technical staff and researchers analyze the behavior of reactive power under varying solar irradiation conditions.
Reactive power control in grid-connected PV systems is managed exclusively by the inverter. While PV modules generate active power based on the available solar irradiance, they are passive devices and have no inherent capability to produce or regulate reactive power. The inverter, as the active interface between the PV array and the electrical grid, is solely responsible for injecting or absorbing reactive power as required by grid voltage conditions. This function is critical for maintaining voltage stability, particularly in low-voltage networks with high PV penetration. The ability of inverters to provide dynamic reactive power support, independent of active power. The integration of PV systems into electrical distribution networks has prompted extensive research on their operational impacts, particularly in relation to power quality and voltage regulation. Numerous studies have addressed the role of inverters in facilitating the interface between PV modules and the grid, with a specific focus on maximum power point.
The characteristics of the SUNPOWER SPR-305-WHT solar panel are important for evaluating its suitability and performance in grid-connected PV systems. This panel is known for its high efficiency, primarily due to the use of monocrystalline back-contact solar cells, which reduce electrical losses and maximize energy conversion. Its high power output in a relatively compact size makes it ideal for installations where space is limited but high energy yield is required. Additionally, the panel exhibits strong performance under low-light and partial shading conditions, enhancing overall energy production throughout the day and across varying weather conditions. Its durability and long-term reliability, supported by robust materials and a strong warranty, contribute to lower maintenance costs and a longer service life. Understanding these characteristics is essential for accurate system design, energy yield forecasting, and achieving long-term return on investment in solar energy projects. The features of the solar panels used in the solar PV facility are given in Table 2.
In grid-tied PV systems, PV modules and inverters serve distinct but interdependent functions. PV modules are responsible for converting solar irradiance into direct current (DC) electricity through the photovoltaic effect. Their performance is governed primarily by environmental factors such as irradiance and temperature, and they operate passively without any capability to influence or respond to grid conditions. In contrast, inverters actively manage the interface between the PV array and the electrical grid. They convert the DC output of the PV modules into alternating current (AC) and are solely responsible for controlling reactive power flow. This includes supplying or absorbing reactive power to support grid voltage levels, a capability that PV modules themselves do not possess. Therefore, while the PV modules determine how much active power is available based on solar input, it is the inverter that regulates power quality and contributes to grid stability through dynamic control mechanisms.
While these approaches offer effective solutions under stable operating conditions, they often overlook the influence of solar irradiance variability on the inverter’s reactive power behavior. In a grid-connected PV system, the inverter serves as the active interface between the photovoltaic array and the utility grid, converting the direct current electricity generated by the PV modules into alternating current suitable for grid injection. While the PV modules are responsible for energy generation based on solar irradiance, they operate passively and have no role in grid interaction or power quality management. In contrast, the inverter is solely responsible for regulating both active and reactive power output. Reactive power essential for maintaining voltage stability and complying with grid codes is handled exclusively by the inverter. Modern inverters are equipped with control algorithms, such as fixed power factor, Volt-VAR, or dynamic droop-based methods, that enable them to adjust reactive power output in real time in response to voltage variations at the PCC. These functions operate independently of the active power output from the PV modules, allowing the inverter to continue supporting grid voltage even under low irradiance or curtailed generation conditions. This study focuses on modeling the behavior of reactive power as a function of solar irradiance, capturing how inverters respond to environmental changes to meet voltage regulation demands.
The observed correlation between solar irradiance and reactive power output is a direct consequence of the inverter’s embedded control mechanisms, which are designed to respond to grid voltage conditions. Under low irradiance, active power generation is reduced, and grid voltage may tend to drop especially in distribution networks with high PV penetration and limited voltage regulation infrastructure. In response, inverters activate Volt-VAR or droop control modes, supplying additional reactive power to stabilize voltage at the PCC. Conversely, at high irradiance levels, the active power output increases and local voltage typically rises, prompting the inverter to reduce or absorb reactive power to avoid overvoltage conditions.
This dynamic behavior explains the inverse relationship observed in the model: reactive power increases as irradiance decreases, not due to the PV modules themselves, but as a functional response of the inverter to maintain voltage stability. The derived analytical correlation holds significant importance in grid-connected PV solar systems, as it encapsulates both environmental inputs, such as solar irradiance, and the internal control logic of the system. This dual representation enables a more accurate and dynamic understanding of the system’s behavior under varying operating conditions. By integrating real-time environmental data with the system’s inherent control responses, the correlation becomes highly suitable for predictive control strategies and embedded system implementation.
This is particularly relevant for voltage regulation, where the inverter’s control mechanism plays a central role. The inverter must respond quickly and accurately to fluctuations in generation and load demands to maintain voltage stability within acceptable limits. Through the analytical correlation, the control system can anticipate and adapt to changes in solar input, enabling the inverter to regulate voltage more effectively and ensuring consistent power quality and reliable grid interaction.The derived analytical correlation thus reflects not only environmental input (irradiance) but also the system’s internal control logic, making it suitable for predictive control or embedded implementation. Voltage control by the inverter control mechanism is shown in Fig. 4.
Voltage control by the inverter control mechanism.
This diagram depicts a typical Volt-VAr control curve implemented in smart inverters. The curve defines the inverter’s reactive power output as a function of the local voltage at the point of common coupling. Within a specified voltage range, the inverter adjusts its reactive power injection or absorption to maintain grid voltage stability. Outside this range, the inverter either supplies maximum capacitive reactive power (when voltage is low) or absorbs maximum inductive reactive power (when voltage is high). There is a strong correlation between inverter control mechanisms and grid voltage dynamics. Advanced inverter controls (especially droop-based, VSG, and grid-forming types) actively contribute to voltage regulation, improve grid stability, and enhance resilience in weak or renewable-dominated grids.
To develop a more realistic and reliable model of an on-grid photovoltaic PV system, it is essential to incorporate voltage levels, inverter setpoints, and reactive power control modes in a unified and dynamic framework. These elements work in concert to ensure the PV system operates efficiently, supports grid stability, and meets regulatory requirements. Voltage levels define the operational context of the PV system whether it’s connected at low voltage (residential or small commercial), medium voltage (larger commercial or community systems), or high voltage (utility-scale). Each level introduces different challenges in terms of voltage regulation and fault response. For instance, systems connected to low-voltage networks are more susceptible to voltage fluctuations caused by high PV penetration and lower network impedance. Accurate modeling requires capturing these nuances, including line impedances, transformer characteristics, and short-circuit ratios. Inverter setpoints provide the reference targets that dictate how the inverter behaves under normal and abnormal conditions.
These include voltage setpoints at the point of PCC, active power limits based on solar irradiance and inverter rating, and reactive power or power factor targets. These setpoints are not static; they should be allowed to respond dynamically to grid conditions. For example, if grid voltage rises beyond nominal, the inverter should shift its operating point to absorb reactive power, helping to bring voltage back within acceptable limits. This dynamic interaction must be embedded into the control logic of the model. Such a system can simulate real-world behaviors like voltage rise in weak grids, the impact of cloud transients on power flow, and the effectiveness of inverter controls in mitigating these effects. This holistic approach is essential for designing future-ready PV systems that are both grid-friendly and reliable under dynamic operating conditions. A reliable PV grid integration model must integrate:
Accurate voltage level and network impedance profiles.
Well-defined inverter set points for voltage and power outputs.
Flexible reactive power control modes like Volt-Var.
Compliance with dynamic conditions (faults, irradiance variability).
Reactive power control modes, such as constant power factor, fixed reactive power, Volt-Var, and adaptive strategies, directly influence voltage regulation and grid support capabilities. Among these, Volt-Var control is particularly critical in realistic modeling as it allows the inverter to autonomously vary reactive power in response to voltage deviations. This mode can be defined using a piecewise-linear curve that maps inverter reactive power output to local voltage measurements, with defined deadbands and limits to prevent instability or overreaction.
By integrating all these components into a single model where voltage levels determine network behavior, inverter setpoints establish operational boundaries, and reactive power control actively maintains voltage stability the model becomes not only realistic but also robust.
Modern power electronic inverters, which interface PV systems with the electrical grid, offer the capability to mitigate voltage instability through reactive power control. Inverter-based control strategies such as Volt-Var control (reactive power as a function of terminal voltage), constant power factor mode, and adaptive voltage regulation enable these systems to contribute not only active power but also voltage support. Despite the development of these strategies, many simulation models used in system planning and analysis continue to treat inverter control behavior simplistically, often ignoring the interplay between voltage dynamics, setpoint variability, and real-time control responsiveness. This study addresses the research gap in comprehensive modeling by developing a detailed simulation framework that integrates grid voltage levels, inverter setpoints for both active and reactive power, and dynamic reactive power control strategies. By accurately modeling these interactions, the proposed framework provides a more reliable tool for evaluating the impact of PV systems on voltage regulation and grid performance.
The Sun Power SPR-305-WHT is a high-efficiency solar panel model designed for grid-connected PV systems. Its high efficiency, strong performance under a variety of conditions and long-term durability make it a top choice for residential and commercial solar installations. It also offers a good balance of power output and the panel is designed to withstand harsh environmental conditions. In addition, many companies in the photovoltaic industry have set their own targets for achieving sustainability and reducing their carbon footprint.
Data acquisition systems play a crucial role in capturing real-time irradiance levels, DC/AC power output, voltage, current, and power factor. This data is essential for analyzing how changes in irradiance affect the system’s reactive power exchange with the grid. By continuously collecting and processing this information, operators can implement adaptive inverter control strategies that ensure voltage stability, comply with grid codes, and enhance the overall efficiency of the PV system. In essence, the integration of data acquisition allows for the dynamic assessment of the irradiance–reactive power relationship, supporting both operational reliability and advanced grid-support functionalities. Solar irradiation directly affects the active power (P) generation of a PV system. Higher irradiation results in higher DC power from the PV array, which the inverter converts into AC power. Reactive Power change according to solar irradiation in Grid-connected PV Systems is given in Tables 2 and 3.
Solar energy is environmentally friendly and one of the most significant renewable energy sources, playing a vital role in sustainable energy development. In grid-connected PV systems, the relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power is critical not only for optimizing system performance but also for ensuring grid stability. However, this relationship is often overlooked in inverter control design, particularly under variable irradiance conditions. The lack of accurate models linking reactive power behavior to changing solar input limits the effectiveness of reactive power management strategies.
This study addresses this gap by investigating the dependence of reactive power on solar irradiation in grid-connected PV systems. The main objective is to develop an analytical model that captures this relationship using curve-fitting techniques applied to empirical data. The methodology involves systematic data collection, preprocessing, model selection, and performance evaluation. Results reveal that reactive power tends to increase under low irradiance conditions due to inverter response mechanisms and grid voltage regulation requirements. The proposed model can be integrated into inverter firmware or grid management tools to improve real-time reactive power control and enhance the stability and efficiency of PV-integrated power systems. This study fills these gaps by developing a simple yet accurate analytical model that directly relates solar irradiance to reactive power output, using curve-fitting techniques based on real-world data. The model is transparent, computationally lightweight, and suitable for implementation in inverter firmware or grid planning software. It enables proactive reactive power support under variable irradiance an operational advantage not addressed by most current strategies.
In conclusion, an equivalent circuit is a valuable tool that helps engineers design analyze and optimize the reactive power management of grid-connected PV systems. It simplifies the study of complex interactions between the inverter PV array and grid making it an essential approach for improving system performance and reliability. In a grid-connected PV solar system reactive power management is crucial to maintaining voltage stability and power quality in the grid. Solar irradiance plays a significant role in determining the amount of active power generated by a PV system but the relationship between reactive power and solar irradiance is managed through the inverter’s control algorithms.
Modern grid codes (e.g., IEEE 1547, EN 50549) increasingly require PV inverters to support grid voltage regulation via reactive power control, especially at high solar penetration levels. Inverters are designed to meet these requirements, whereas PV modules are not involved in any compliance or grid-interactive functionalities. During midday when irradiance exceeds 800 W/m2, the model predicts minimal Q injection, shifting voltage support to capacitor banks. At dawn and dusk, the model anticipates elevated Q demands from PV inverters, enabling pre-emptive dispatch of reactive support from central sources or setting priority flags in Volt-VAR coordination schemes. By embedding the irradiance–reactive power relationship directly into inverter firmware or grid simulation platforms, the proposed model offers a practical enhancement to both real-time control and strategic planning. Its transparency and ease of implementation distinguish it from more complex, black-box approaches such as neural networks or dynamic simulations.
Solar irradiation affects the amount of active power generated by the PV system but reactive power management is more influenced by the grid requirements and inverter settings. Inverters play a crucial role in regulating reactive power to maintain stability on the solar grid, and this function is designed to complement the power generation capabilities of the solar PV system, independent of variations in solar irradiation29,30. The increase in reactive power values at low solar irradiance is typically a result of the inverter’s response to changing operational conditions, including voltage regulation needs, power factor adjustments, and grid demands. Understanding these dynamics is important for optimizing the performance of grid-connected PV systems and ensuring effective grid support.
In a grid-connected PV system, solar irradiation and reactive power usually vary inversely. In the morning when solar irradiance is low the change in reactive power in a grid-connected PV system often exhibits nonlinear behavior. This phenomenon is primarily due to the relationship between the inverter’s operation and the characteristics of power generation under low-light. This phenomenon can often be visualized as a nonlinear curve of reactive power output against time during the morning period. The curve may appear to have small oscillations, sharp spikes, or gradual changes, reflecting the nonlinear nature of the inverter response to increasing irradiance.
The relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power in a grid-connected solar PV system is a key factor in ensuring efficient energy management and grid stability. As solar irradiation directly influences the amount of active power generated by the PV panels, it also affects the inverter’s capacity to manage reactive power. Under high irradiance conditions, the inverter may prioritize active power output, potentially limiting its ability to supply or absorb reactive power. Conversely, during low irradiance periods, more inverter capacity may be available to support reactive power compensation. Understanding this dynamic relationship is crucial for designing control strategies that balance energy production with power quality requirements. It also aids in voltage regulation, power factor correction, and compliance with grid codes. Ultimately, this interplay determines how effectively the PV system can support grid demands while maximizing energy harvest, making it a critical area of focus for both system designers and grid operators. The graph given in Fig. 5 was drawn using the values in Table 1.
Relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power in grid- connected solar PV system.
The variation of solar irradiation significantly influences reactive power in grid-connected PV systems. During high solar irradiation periods, inverters prioritize active power and leading to reduced reactive power capacity. In contrast, during low solar radiation inverters can provide more reactive power support, helping stabilize grid voltage. The proper management of these variations through advanced inverter control, grid code compliance, and system optimization is crucial for ensuring the stable and efficient operation of grid-connected PV systems. A local reactive load is incorporated into the system to evaluate the reactive power control capability of the inverter in maintaining a unity power factor at the AC busbar. By introducing this reactive load, the system’s ability to compensate for reactive power demand is tested, ensuring that the net reactive power at the point of common coupling remains close to zero. This regulation is essential for achieving a unity power factor, which minimizes power losses, improves voltage stability, and ensures efficient operation of the grid-connected photovoltaic system. The inverter dynamically adjusts its reactive power output in response to the reactive load, thereby validating its control algorithm and confirming compliance with grid support requirements.
Solar energy is one of the most prominent renewable energy sources and plays a crucial role in achieving sustainable development. In grid-connected PV systems, maintaining voltage stability requires effective control of reactive power, which is influenced by variable solar irradiation throughout the day. However, conventional inverter control strategies often do not account for the dynamic relationship between irradiation and reactive power demand, limiting system performance and grid compatibility. This study aims to model the dependence of reactive power on solar irradiation in PV systems by deriving an analytical equation using curve-fitting techniques.
The methodology involves data collection under real operating conditions, preprocessing, model selection, and performance validation. The results demonstrate that reactive power tends to increase under low solar irradiance, a behavior primarily attributed to inverter operation and the need to maintain voltage levels in compliance with grid requirements. The proposed model provides a practical tool for improving inverter control algorithms and can be integrated into inverter firmware or grid management software. By capturing the irradiance-dependent behavior of reactive power, this work contributes to enhancing the efficiency, reliability, and voltage support capabilities of PV systems in modern smart grids.
The influence of the solar inverter on reactive power in a grid-connected PV system is critically important for maintaining voltage stability, enhancing grid reliability, and ensuring compliance with grid codes. As PV generation increases across distribution networks, the conventional centralized approach to voltage regulation becomes less effective. In this context, the inverter serves as the primary tool through which reactive power is managed locally. Reactive power is essential for controlling voltage levels within acceptable limits. Unlike traditional rotating machines, solar PV panels do not inherently produce reactive power. It is the inverter, through its electronic control capabilities, that enables the injection or absorption of reactive power as needed by the grid. This is typically achieved through algorithms that respond to real-time voltage measurements at the point of common coupling, allowing the inverter to adjust its output in accordance with control strategies such as Volt-Var or constant power factor regulation.
The dynamic nature of solar generation further amplifies the inverter’s role. Since PV output fluctuates with irradiance, the inverter must manage its limited apparent power capacity between delivering active power and supplying reactive support. This trade-off becomes especially important during peak solar output, when the inverter may prioritize active power and limit reactive contribution, or during low-generation periods, when more capacity is available for voltage support. Moreover, as inverters become more advanced—integrating communication, forecasting, and coordination with utility systems they serve not just as passive converters, but as intelligent agents contributing to overall grid stability. The inverter’s ability to modulate reactive power in response to grid needs makes it indispensable in distributed generation environments, where decentralized voltage support is a prerequisite for resilient and efficient operation. In summary, the solar inverter’s influence on reactive power in a grid-connected PV system is foundational to the modern power system’s ability to accommodate high levels of renewable energy while maintaining stable, high-quality voltage profiles throughout the network.
The grid-connected PV system plays a vital role in promoting sustainable energy by enabling the direct integration of solar power into the electrical grid, thereby reducing dependency on fossil fuels and enhancing energy security. It allows for efficient utilization of solar energy at both residential and utility scales while supporting grid stability through active and reactive power management. Within this system, the three-level inverter is of particular importance due to its ability to improve power quality and conversion efficiency. Unlike conventional two-level inverters, a three-level inverter produces output waveforms that are closer to a pure sine wave, which significantly reduces harmonic distortion and electromagnetic interference.
This not only enhances the performance and lifespan of connected equipment but also lowers filtering requirements and switching losses. Furthermore, the three-level topology allows better voltage control and improved thermal performance, making it especially suitable for medium- to high-power PV applications. The combination of grid integration and advanced inverter technology ensures that solar PV systems operate more reliably, efficiently, and in accordance with modern grid standards. Figure 6 shows the grid-connected PV system and three-level inverter.
The grid connected PV system and three level inverter.
Grid-connected PV systems are critical to the transition toward sustainable energy infrastructure, enabling the direct integration of solar power into the utility grid. These systems reduce reliance on fossil fuels, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and enhance the overall energy mix with distributed generation. A key component enabling this integration is the inverter, which converts the DC output of solar panels into AC current suitable for grid use. Among various inverter topologies, the three-level inverter—typically based on the neutral-point clamped (NPC) architecture offers significant advantages in grid-connected applications.
In grid-connected PV systems utilizing three-level inverters, the choice of modulation strategy plays a critical role in determining inverter performance, output quality, and overall system efficiency. Traditional Pulse Width Modulation (PWM) techniques are widely used for controlling inverter switches to generate sinusoidal output voltages. However, for multilevel topologies such as the Neutral Point Clamped (NPC) three-level inverter, more advanced methods like Space Vector Pulse Width Modulation (SVPWM) offer substantial benefits. SVPWM maximizes the DC bus voltage utilization, reduces switching losses, and generates output voltages with significantly lower total harmonic distortion (THD) compared to conventional sinusoidal PWM.
This results in improved power quality at the grid interface and better dynamic performance, particularly under fluctuating solar irradiance conditions. Moreover, SVPWM allows more precise control of both active and reactive power, facilitating compliance with grid codes and supporting ancillary services such as voltage regulation and fault ride-through. Its efficient use of the available voltage vectors enables smoother transitions between switching states, which is particularly beneficial in high-power applications where switching losses and electromagnetic interference must be minimized. Therefore, integrating SVPWM in three-level inverters enhances the overall effectiveness of grid-connected PV systems by optimizing switching behavior and ensuring high-quality, stable power delivery to the utility grid.
The analytical model developed in this study linking solar irradiance directly to reactive power output—offers a practical and lightweight solution for integration into modern inverter control systems. Due to its low computational complexity and real-time compatibility, the model can be embedded into inverter firmware to dynamically adjust reactive power support based on current environmental conditions, enhancing voltage stability during irradiance fluctuations. Additionally, the model can be incorporated into grid management software or distribution system simulation tools to improve planning and coordination of distributed PV resources. This allows system operators to better anticipate reactive power requirements across varying solar conditions and optimize voltage profiles in low-voltage networks with high PV penetration.
A Perturb and Observe (P&O) based Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) control strategy is implemented in conjunction with a boost DC-DC converter to ensure that the PV array operates continuously at or near its maximum power point (MPP). The P&O algorithm achieves this by periodically perturbing the operating voltage of the PV array and observing the resulting change in power output. If the power increases, the perturbation continues in the same direction; if it decreases, the direction of the perturbation is reversed. This iterative process enables dynamic adaptation to changing environmental conditions, such as irradiance and temperature, thereby optimizing energy extraction from the PV system. The boost converter plays a critical role by adjusting the voltage level between the PV array and the load or grid interface, allowing effective tracking of the MPP under varying operating conditions.
This study presents a fuzzy logic-based control approach for managing both active and reactive power in a grid-connected photovoltaic system that employs a three-level neutral-point-clamped (NPC) inverter. The fuzzy logic controller dynamically adjusts the inverter’s output to optimize power exchange with the grid, ensuring efficient energy utilization and compliance with grid support requirements. By using a three-level NPC inverter, the system benefits from improved voltage quality, reduced harmonic distortion, and enhanced control over power flow, contributing to the stable integration of photovoltaic generation into the electrical grid.
The variation of reactive power all day long in grid-connected PV systems is closely linked to changes in solar irradiance and the operational characteristics of inverters. Understanding this variation is crucial for effective grid integration, voltage regulation, and system performance optimization. Accurate modeling and analysis of reactive power variation can help ensure stable and efficient operation of PV systems within the grid. Cloud cover can cause sudden changes in solar irradiance which in turn affects the active power output and requires the inverter to adjust reactive power accordingly.
The relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power is vital for ensuring the stable and efficient operation of grid-connected PV systems. It affects voltage regulation, system performance, grid integration, and compliance with regulations. By effectively managing this relationship, PV systems can contribute to a more reliable and efficient power grid, optimize performance, and achieve economic benefits. Curve fitting is a statistical technique used to find the best-fitting curve or mathematical function that represents a set of data points. This method is widely used in various fields, including data analysis, modeling and forecasting. The goal of curve fitting is to create a mathematical model that approximates the underlying relationship between variables in a dataset. This model can then be used to make predictions, analyze trends, or understand the relationship between variables. Curve fitting method is a powerful technique for modeling relationships between variables and making predictions. MATLAB toolboxes and add-ons are as follows:
Curve Fitting Toolbox: This toolbox is essential for users who need advanced fitting capabilities, model validation, and graphical analysis. It provides automated fitting workflows, tools to specify custom models, and integrated diagnostics.
Optimization Toolbox: This toolbox is used in conjunction with lsqcurvefit to solve nonlinear least-squares problems. It offers optimization algorithms that can be used to minimize the residual sum of squares in curve fitting and other optimization problems.
Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox: This toolbox provides additional functions for statistical analysis, model validation, and performance metrics. It is particularly useful for tasks such as cross-validation and goodness-of-fit measures such as R2, RMSE, AIC and BIC to check the generalization of the model.
The choice of model and fitting method depends on the nature of the data and the specific goals of the analysis. By following a structured approach and using appropriate tools, you can effectively fit curves to data and gain valuable insights. Curve fitting is a powerful technique for modeling relationships between variables and making predictions. The choice of model and fitting method depends on the nature of the data and the specific goals of the analysis. By following a structured approach and using appropriate tools, one can effectively fit curves to data and gain valuable insights. MATLAB provides a comprehensive environment for curve fitting, from simple linear models to complex nonlinear and custom models, with extensive visualization and analysis tools to ensure the model selected is appropriate and effective. The integration of specialized toolboxes and external software enhances MATLAB’s capabilities in handling various curve fitting challenges.
Choose an appropriate mathematical function that best represents the relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power. Common functions used for curve fitting include linear, polynomial, exponential, logarithmic, and power functions. Solar irradiation is generally higher around solar noon when the sun is at its highest point in the sky. Early in the morning and late in the afternoon, the sun is lower and its rays are less direct, leading to lower irradiation levels. Additionally, cloud cover, atmospheric humidity and other weather conditions can significantly impact solar irradiation. Clouds can block or scatter sunlight reducing the amount of direct and diffuse irradiation reaching the ground.
In grid-connected PV systems, solar inverters are increasingly required to support reactive power management, especially under conditions of fluctuating solar irradiance caused by cloud cover. When clouds pass over a PV array, the output of active power drops rapidly due to the reduction in sunlight. However, the inverter can still operate within its apparent power limits to provide or absorb reactive power, supporting voltage regulation at the point of interconnection. This capability is critical for maintaining grid stability, especially in distribution networks with high PV penetration, where voltage fluctuations due to variable generation can be pronounced. Advanced inverters equipped with dynamic Volt-VAR control can autonomously adjust their reactive power output in response to local voltage changes, even when active power generation is reduced due to cloud transients. Furthermore, these inverters can maintain a pre-set power factor or follow a utility-specified reactive power profile, contributing to grid support functions such as voltage ride-through and stabilization. Thus, the inverter’s ability to decouple reactive power support from active power availability under cloudy conditions enhances the resilience and controllability of PV systems integrated into modern power grids.
The solar irradiation curve for all hours of a clear, cloudless day is a fundamental reference for understanding the daily energy availability from the sun. It provides a detailed profile of how solar energy varies from sunrise to sunset, typically forming a smooth, bell-shaped curve that peaks at solar noon. This curve is essential for predicting the performance of grid-connected PV systems, as it directly influences the amount of electricity that can be generated throughout the day. By analyzing this curve, system designers can optimize the sizing of PV modules, inverters, and energy storage components to match expected energy output with demand. It also serves as a baseline for comparing real-world performance under varying weather conditions and for evaluating the impact of shading or soiling. Furthermore, this consistent and predictable pattern is valuable for planning grid operations, scheduling energy dispatch, and implementing predictive control strategies that enhance the reliability and efficiency of solar energy integration into the power grid. The solar irradiation curve for all hours of a clear and cloudless day is as given in Fig. 7.
Solar irradiation curve for all hours of a clear, cloudless day.
The solar radiation curve for a clear, cloudless day typically follows a smooth, bell-shaped pattern over the course of daylight hours. This curve represents the intensity of solar energy (typically measured in watts per square meter, W/m2) reaching the Earth’s surface and is a function of the sun’s position in the sky. The data values for the change in solar irradiation throughout the day are provided below. Data values regarding the change in reactive power all day long are also provided below.
G=[38.40 42.21 46.72 51.91 55.51 59.21 66.43 71.62 77.47 83.20 95.10 104.62 108.43 117.74 130.42 144.13 157.64 163.23 170.71 175.75 186.97 195.16 209.14 219.79 228.91 234.86 239.96 242.13 247.62 254.92 263.80 275.36 278.55 287.64 294.83 307.38 319.94 327.02 335.63 347.79 359.13 367.43 380.94 393.78 401.86 413.92 417.59 427.75 435.75 444.93 453.95 461.76 467.92 475.72 483.27 489.71 498.95 515.69 520.17 527.82 540.23 556.07 570.56 581.72 597.34 611.70 623.24 639.58 648.10 657.46 665.70 680.75 695.58 704.71 715.22 729.67 748.59 760.97 771.39 783.78 796.92 802.76 904.59 817.75 828.19 836.54 841.79 853.74 860.36 871.56 880.97 889.14 906.74 918.11 929.65]
As solar irradiation changes all day long the output of the PV panels varies. Although PV systems primarily produce real power (active power), the associated inverter systems can also provide or absorb reactive power. The inverter’s ability to manage reactive power depends on the solar output and the configuration of the inverter. Data values regarding the change in reactive power throughout the day are given below.
Q=[2553.91 2373.65 2200.38 2200.39 1946.72 1863.59 1730.23 1652.26 1577.91 1516.03 1414.73 1352.18 1330.68 1284.73 1234.63 1190.81 1155.95 1143.25 1127.43 1117.47 1096.82 1082.93 1060.80 1045.13 1032.33 1024.25 1017.56 1014.69 1007.63 998.57 987.84 974.89 971.34 961.98 954.92 943.76 934.03 929.22 924.07 918.12 913.98 911.81 909.77 909.44 909.96 911.66 912.36 914.70 916.87 919.62 922.48 925.00 926.97 929.38 931.58 933.30 935.46 938.21 938.66 939.10 938.93 937.09 937.09 930.48 924.63 918.41 913.09 905.48 901.65 897.67 894.45 889.48 885.98 884.63 883.88 884.31 887.37 890.78 894.38 899.36 905.25 908.00 940.16 915.15 920.03 923.76 925.99 930.61 932.85 936.03 938.04 939.26 940.13 939.41 937.70]
The change in reactive power throughout the day in a grid-connected solar system is influenced by the interplay of solar irradiance, inverter capabilities and settings grid voltage, load demands and regulatory requirements. Effective management of reactive power is crucial for maintaining grid stability and optimizing the performance of the PV system. The curve fitting method was used to find developing a sustainable analytical expression between solar irradiation and reactive power in the grid-connected solar system.
This study addresses this gap by developing an analytical model that captures the dependence of reactive power on solar irradiance. Using curve-fitting methods applied to empirical data, the model reflects how inverters adjust reactive power output in response to changing environmental conditions. The goal is to improve reactive power management strategies and support firmware-level or grid-integrated solutions. Practical steps in model selection in MATLAB. This program provides several tools to help with model selection and fitting:
The curve fitting toolbox: includes functions like fit, which allows you to try different types of models (e.g., polynomial, Gaussian, exponential) and evaluate their fit using various statistics.
Custom models: With fittype, you can define custom models tailored to your data.
Validation: MATLAB allows you to visualize the residuals and calculate goodness-of-fit metrics like R2, RMSE, etc.
Model function selection is critical because the model you choose directly affects not just the accuracy of your fit but also the interpretability of your results and the model’s ability to generalize to new data. A well-selected model should balance accuracy with simplicity, avoid overfitting or underfitting, and ideally provide clear insights into the data’s underlying process. Testing different models, using appropriate validation techniques, and analyzing the fit quality with tools available in MATLAB help ensure that your model serves both descriptive and predictive purposes. This makes the selection of a good model one of the most important steps in the curve fitting process. It sounds like you’re describing a mathematical model that captures the relationship between solar radiation and reactive power using a combination of known mathematical functions. Specifically, you’re combining:
Logarithmic functions,
Trigonometric functions,
Inverse functions.
This kind of composite function might arise in physical systems where multiple factors interact in complex ways, such as in electrical engineering, where reactive power (often related to power factor) can be influenced by varying environmental factors like solar radiation. I’ll explain how these components could fit together in such a model, and suggest a possible form for g(x). The g(x) function is a combination of known mathematical functions.
where; C1, C2, and C3 are constants that would need to be determined from empirical data, x represents the solar irradiation (or some variable associated with it), the logarithmic term log (x) models a non-linear relationship between the solar irradiation and reactive power that might arise due to saturation effects or logarithmic responses, the trigonometric term cos(x) captures oscillatory or cyclical behavior, which is often useful in modeling periodic phenomena and the inverse term 1/x might capture asymptotic behavior or diminishing returns, where the effect of solar irradiation on reactive power decreases after a certain threshold. The finding of constants C1, C2 and C3 by the curve fitting method is shown in Appendix A. In grid-tied PV systems, the availability of reactive power affects the efficiency of power transfer. By understanding the relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power, operators can optimize power flow, reduce losses, and enhance overall system efficiency. In grid-tied PV systems the availability of reactive power affects the efficiency of power transfer.
By understanding the relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power, operators can optimize power flow, reduce losses, and enhance overall system efficiency. The developed expression facilitates efficient reactive power management, optimizing grid stability while minimizing energy losses. Since solar irradiation is variable and directly impacts the active and reactive power output of PV systems, an analytical expression aids in forecasting energy contributions to the grid. This is particularly valuable for scheduling generation, integrating energy storage systems, and planning grid expansion. The analytical expression of reactive power depending on solar irradiation is expressed as follows.
We calculated how well the model matches the data using the R-squared (R2) value, which shows how much of the variation in the data is explained by the model. An R2 value close to 1 means the model fits the data very well. In this case, the R2 value is 0.9955, which means the model explains more than 99.5% of the variation in the data. This suggests that the model provides an excellent fit and closely represents the observed values. A analytical expression of reactive power in grid-connected PV solar systems is crucial for several reasons, particularly in the context of varying solar irradiation. Consistency was observed between the measurement data and theoretical values.
Understanding the analytical expression of reactive power in relation to solar irradiation enables better management of grid stability, improves system performance, ensures regulatory compliance, and optimizes economic benefits. It is a key aspect of modern grid-connected PV systems ensuring that they contribute effectively to both energy production and grid support. Modern PV inverters are equipped with reactive power control capabilities. The inverter can be programmed to provide or absorb reactive power based on grid requirements or voltage levels. The inverter’s reactive power output can vary depending on the real power being generated and the grid’s needs. The relationship between solar irradiance and reactive power can be inversely proportional under certain conditions. This inverse relationship is essential to understand for grid stability and efficient power management, as reactive power plays a significant role in maintaining voltage levels in the grid.
The variation between solar irradiation and reactive power in a grid-connected PV system is a critical aspect that influences both system performance and grid stability. As solar irradiation fluctuates throughout the day due to changing weather conditions, the amount of active power generated by the PV array also varies. This, in turn, affects the inverter’s capacity to manage reactive power, as the inverter has a limited apparent power capacity that must be divided between active and reactive components. During periods of high solar irradiation, most of the inverter’s capacity is used for active power generation, reducing its ability to supply or absorb reactive power. Conversely, under low irradiation conditions, the inverter may have more available capacity for reactive power support. Understanding this variation is essential for dynamic voltage regulation, maintaining power factor within acceptable limits, and ensuring compliance with grid codes. It also helps in designing intelligent control strategies that allow the PV system to adapt to real-time changes in environmental conditions while supporting the overall stability and reliability of the electrical grid. The relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power in the grid-connected solar system is shown in Fig. 8.
Variation between solar irradiation and reactive power in a grid connected PV system.
In the morning when the irradiation is low, the change in reactive power is nonlinear. During low irradiance periods, reactive power might fluctuate, leading to nonlinear variations in reactive power output. The goal is to find a closed-form expression or an algorithm that describes the reactive power as a function of irradiance and other system parameters. This expression helps predict the system’s behavior under different environmental conditions. Significant fluctuations in reactive power in a grid-connected PV system at high irradiation levels occur due to various factors related to the design of PV inverters, grid dynamics and control strategies. These fluctuations can impact the stability and performance of the grid and understanding the underlying reasons can help optimize the system for better efficiency and reliability.
Optimizing the inverter’s response time to voltage deviations ensures smoother reactive power output, even during high solar irradiation. The relationship between reactive power values and solar irradiance in a grid-connected PV system is essential to understand for optimizing system performance. By measuring and deriving analytical expressions for reactive power as it correlates with solar irradiance, we can better predict and control the reactive power output of the PV system based on real-time irradiance levels. Inverters must comply with grid codes that govern how distributed energy resources like PV systems should behave. This includes regulating voltage, providing reactive power, and disconnecting the PV system in case of grid faults.
In a grid-connected solar PV system, the reactive power values vary with solar irradiance in a non-linear fashion, particularly noticeable at sunrise and sunset. During these times, irradiance levels are low and rapidly changing, which causes non-linear fluctuations in reactive power values as the PV system transitions between lower and higher power states. Absolute error is the difference between the measured results and the analytical results. By calculating the absolute errors, you can determine how close the developed expression is to the values under varying conditions. This step is important to determine the reliability of your model in predicting reactive power based on solar radiation. Relative errors are the ratio of the absolute error to the true value and are expressed as a percentage. It highlights the performance of the developed model under different operating conditions. It helps to understand whether the deviations are significant or insignificant according to the scale of the measured values. Including these error metrics in our study not only validates the analytical model but also emphasizes the practicality and novelty of our approach in optimizing reactive power management in grid-connected PV systems.
Highlighting these findings in article will emphasize the uniqueness of our study, particularly in how the derived analytical expressions offer a novel, irradiance-based approach to managing reactive power in grid-connected PV systems. This approach could provide valuable insights for future grid-integrated renewable energy models. When PV systems are optimized to manage reactive power based on real-time conditions, like fluctuating solar irradiance, they can either supply or absorb reactive power as needed reducing dependency on other reactive power sources. This not only minimizes transmission losses but also enhances overall grid. This can result in cost savings and enhanced economic performance of the solar installations. As more PV systems are integrated into the grid, understanding and managing the interaction between solar irradiation and reactive power becomes increasingly important. Sudden changes in solar irradiation (due to clouds passing over or other weather conditions) can lead to rapid changes in PV output and, consequently, reactive power requirements.
The amount of solar irradiance directly affects the power output of PV systems. While active power primarily depends on irradiance and system efficiency, reactive power is influenced by grid voltage, power factor settings, and inverter control strategies. In grid-connected PV systems, inverters regulate reactive power to maintain grid stability, compensate for voltage fluctuations, or comply with grid codes. The reactive power output can vary non-linearly with changes in irradiance and grid conditions. Modern inverters also provide monitoring capabilities, allowing operators or users to track the performance of the PV system in real-time. They can send and receive data about system performance, including energy production, fault detection, and sometimes even provide remote control. Inverters regulate the voltage and frequency of the AC output to ensure compatibility with the grid. Measuring solar irradiance and reactive power in a grid-connected PV system is critical for understanding its performance and operational efficiency. Analytical methods or software tools like MATLAB/Simulink can be used to estimate reactive power based on known system parameters and operating conditions. Many regions require grid-tied PV systems to adhere to specific reactive power support criteria to ensure grid compatibility.
An analytical expression helps in quantifying and meeting these regulatory requirements, making PV systems more compliant and easier to integrate. Operation of equipment such as inverters, which convert DC power from PV panels into AC power for grid connection, depends on managing both active and reactive power. Variations in solar irradiation impact the load on inverters and their efficiency in maintaining grid stability. Additionally, fluctuations in reactive power can impact the overall power quality of the grid. This includes issues like voltage regulation, power factor correction and mitigation of harmonics components. Solar irradiation variations influence the reactive power demand from the grid, particularly in scenarios where the PV system is a significant portion of the generation capacity.
When irradiation levels are high, typically during peak sunlight hours, the PV panels generate more electricity. In this scenario, the power factor tends to be higher because the real power output closely matches the apparent power drawn from the grid. Whereas, when irradiation levels are low, such as during cloudy weather or nighttime, the PV panels produce less electricity. In these conditions, the power factor may decrease because the real power output diminishes compared to the apparent power drawn from the grid. This may be due to reduced efficiency or increased reactive power flow.
Reactive power is crucial for maintaining voltage stability in the grid. Solar irradiation directly affects the amount of active power (real power) generated by the PV system. The variation in solar irradiation leads to fluctuations in active power output, which in turn can affect the reactive power requirements of the grid-connected system. The relationship between solar irradiation and reactive power in grid-connected PV systems underscores the need for careful planning, monitoring, and control to ensure reliable grid operation and optimize power quality. It was observed that the graphs of Fig. 4 found as a result of the measurement and Fig. 6 found analytically changed inversely. Reactive power demand tends to increase during both morning and evening hours when solar irradiation is low, especially in systems that rely heavily on solar PV for power generation. Conventional sources or compensating devices are often required to balance this reactive power demand and maintain voltage stability of the grid.
As solar irradiation begins to increase, PV systems start generating power, but initially, their contribution is small. Many PV inverters do not supply reactive power; instead, they prioritize active power generation. In the evening, the load demand (especially residential) generally increases. Many loads like lighting and appliances introduce more reactive power demand, potentially causing voltage dips. Harmonic components in solar energy systems result in reduced energy quality and distortion of the sinusoidal waveform of voltage and current. To provide quality electrical energy, the power factor in PV solar systems must be close to unity. Grid operators and utility companies need to manage the balance between reactive and active power to ensure stable and reliable operation of the grid.
Matlab programming is widely used for modeling, simulation and analysis in engineering and scientific fields. In this case, the authors likely used Matlab programming for developing a model that simulates the behavior of a grid-connected PV system, especially its interaction with grid parameters like voltage and reactive power. Inverters can provide reactive power support to the grid, helping maintain voltage stability. Reactive power doesn’t contribute to active energy but is crucial for managing voltage levels and ensuring the efficient transmission of active power. Inverters can be programmed to either inject or absorb reactive power based on grid needs, helping avoid overvoltage or under voltage situations.
Variations in solar irradiation directly affect the dynamic behavior of the PV system, necessitating robust control strategies to manage reactive power flow and voltage levels. Continuous research and innovation are essential for addressing these concerns and advancing the environmental sustainability of solar PV technology.
Fluctuations in reactive power can indeed impact the overall power quality of grid-tied solar systems. Power quality refers to how effectively electrical power is delivered to meet the demands of the load without causing instability or inefficiency in the grid. Reactive power is a critical component in maintaining stable voltage levels, and fluctuations in reactive power can have several consequences that affect power quality. Some of the work that can be done in the future; this expression is improved by incorporating additional environmental factors such as temperature changes, shading effects and the influence of dynamic weather conditions. Furthermore, future work can focus on validating the proposed model under various grid conditions such as varying grid voltages and frequency fluctuations to increase its applicability in real-world scenarios. In addition, the integration of this analytical expression into advanced control strategies for reactive power compensation can be investigated to optimize the stability and efficiency of grid-connected PV systems.
This work has significant implications for sustainable energy solutions, as it enables enhanced grid performance with renewable sources and minimizes the dependence on fossil-fuel-based power generation. By facilitating the stable integration of solar power, this research supports the global push toward a cleaner, more resilient energy landscape. This work provides a foundation for improving the understanding and control of reactive power in PV systems, advancing the integration of renewable energy into modern power grids.
Future research should aim to implement the proposed control strategies on real-time digital simulation platforms or hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) systems to assess their performance in practical settings. Evaluating latency, responsiveness, and stability under real grid conditions would offer deeper insights into operational viability. Additionally, aligning these strategies with updated smart inverter standards, such as IEEE 1547-2018, can ensure compliance and enhance interoperability within modern power systems. There is also value in exploring adaptive or AI-based control techniques that dynamically respond to rapid fluctuations in solar irradiance and grid disturbances. Further work should examine how these strategies influence the hosting capacity of distribution networks and their contribution to overall grid stability, especially in scenarios with high PV penetration and limited reactive power support from traditional sources.
Data associated with the study can be obtained from the corresponding author upon request.
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Electric and Energy Department, OSB Vocational School, Mardin Artuklu University, Mardin, Turkey
Suleyman Adak
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The Bumboat, Reimagined for Private Dining and Events: Pyxis Launches Solar-Assisted Pyxis L for Singapore River Cruise – Yahoo Finance

The Bumboat, Reimagined for Private Dining and Events: Pyxis Launches Solar-Assisted Pyxis L for Singapore River Cruise  Yahoo Finance
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'A punitive tax': Alberta to impose $14 solar recycling fee, as industry group warns of $1M hit to projects – Calgary Herald

Business Renewables Centre-Canada director says fee is five times higher than next highest country’s solar recycling fee
Alberta will ban solar panels from landfills and impose a $14 recycling fee on every new panel supplied in the province beginning Oct. 1, launching what the province calls the first recycling program of its kind in Canada.
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The program will ensure panels are diverted from landfills and recycled at the end of their useful lives, the province says, while supporting an emerging recycling industry and shielding taxpayers from future cleanup costs.
“We will not wait until mountains of dead solar panels are piling up in our landfills before acting,” Environment and Protected Areas Minister Grant Hunter said in a news release. “We are putting the system in place now to recover valuable materials, attract private investment and build a new recycling industry here in Alberta,”
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The $14 fee will apply only to new panels supplied in Alberta after the program takes effect, with no retroactive charges for panels already installed.
The money will be used to cover the collection, transportation and recycling of panels when they reach the end of their useful lives, according to the province.
By 2045, more than 95 per cent of solar panels currently installed in Alberta are expected to reach the end of their lives, generating as much as 72,700 tonnes of material.
Solar panels contain valuable glass, aluminum, silicon, silver, copper and other metals, which can be recovered and used in new products.
Affordability and Utilities Minister RJ Sigurdson said planning for their eventual disposal now will help prevent those costs from falling on taxpayers in the future.
“By planning ahead to ensure expired panels are properly collected and materials are reused where possible, we’re protecting taxpayers from future cleanup costs and keeping power affordable and sustainable for generations to come,” Sigurdson said in a statement.
The Alberta Recycling Management Authority will oversee the program.
“As Alberta’s renewable energy sector grows, recycling solar panels is the logical next step in building a stronger circular economy: maximizing resource use, reducing waste and delivering long-term value for Albertans,” added Ed Gugenheimer, CEO of the Alberta Recycling Management Authority.
But renewable energy advocates say Alberta has set its fee far too high, warning it could add about $1 million to the cost of an average utility-scale solar project and erode the province’s competitiveness for private investment.
The Business Renewables Centre-Canada, a non-profit whose membership consists of renewable energy developers and large corporations looking to purchase renewable energy to address their emissions from energy, says it supports establishing a solar recycling program but argues Alberta’s $14 fee is disproportionately high.
Jorden Dye, director of BRC-Canada, said the organization and its members are “disappointed to see the government saddle the industry with another disproportionate burden,” describing the fee as a “punitive tax.”
An analysis by BRC-Canada found Alberta’s fee is more than double the charge in any other jurisdiction it examined, and does not account for the salvage value of materials recovered from panels.
“The next highest solar fee in the world is Germany at $5 per panel, and they actually account for the salvage value,” Dye said.
“Alberta is charging 139 per cent higher than that, and not accounting for any of the value that you get back from recycling these (solar panels).”
BRC-Canada estimates the fee will add approximately $1 million in upfront costs to an average 38-megawatt solar project in Alberta.
Dye said the industry supports recycling solar panels and planning for their eventual disposal. His concern is the cost Alberta has attached to doing so.
“The idea of being a leader on solar recycling is actually really exciting for us,” he said.
“The problem is that this (recycling program) is being put in at such a prohibitively expensive cost compared to other jurisdictions.”
He also questioned what he described as a lack of transparency around how the $14 fee was calculated and why the province needs to impose it now.
Most of Alberta’s utility-scale and rooftop solar capacity has been built within the past decade, Dye said, while panels typically have life spans of 25 to 35 years. As a result, he argues the province had more time to develop its recycling system before substantial volumes of panels begin reaching the end of their lives.
“Alberta’s solar projects that have been installed in the past 10 years are 10 to 15 years away from seeing the start of large amounts of solar panels needing to be recycled,” he said.
“In Alberta, we had time to get this right.”
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Delhi To Provide Free 3 kW Rooftop Solar Systems To 2.30 Lakh Households By 2027 – SolarQuarter

Delhi To Provide Free 3 kW Rooftop Solar Systems To 2.30 Lakh Households By 2027  SolarQuarter
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Gov’t weighs policy options as solar adoption grows – thebftonline.com

Ghana may need to review the policy and financial arrangements governing excess electricity generated by households and businesses as solar adoption expands,
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Ghana’s efforts to rebuild cocoa production will depend heavily on whether farmers can earn enough from the crop to justify rehabilitating and replanting their farms, the Managing Director of Cocoa Marketing Company (Ghana) Limited, Wisdom Kofi Dogbey, has said.
Enterprise Insurance emerged as the most decorated company at the 6th Chartered Insurance Institute of Ghana (CIIG) Awards held  in Accra,
Priority Insurance Ltd. has demonstrated its commitment to prompt claims settlement with the payment of GH¢1,324,737.12 to the Central Regional Health Directorate following extensive losses sustained during a flood incident on 19th August, 2026 at the Regional Medical Stores, Cape Coast.
SIC Life Insurance Ltd has paid a Group Life Insurance claim to the beneficiaries of deceased staff members of the National Petroleum Authority (NPA),
The OAA 2002 Year Group has supported 18 children as they prepare to return to school for the new academic year under its annual Back-to-School Drive.
BOSTenergies Limited is looking to build on a sharp improvement in its financial position to strengthen operations and expand its contribution to the country’s energy security after recording a 72 percent rise in profit in 2025.
Infinity970, in partnership with Breathe Cities and the Clean Air Fund, has ramped up its regional clean-air advocacy campaign by engaging over 200 commercial drivers, market traders, and residents at Labadi Station in the La Dade-Kotopon Municipality.
Ghana has achieved more than 85 percent coverage under its national HPV vaccination rollout, a milestone highlighted as MSD reaffirms its commitment to supporting the country’s health-system strengthening and universal health coverage (UHC) priorities.
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India Solar Panel Recycling Market Size, Share,Trends, Growth Analysis Report, 2030 – marketsandmarkets.com

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The India Solar Panel Recycling Market was valued at $20.2 Million in 2025 and projected to reach to $49.5 Million by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of 19.6%. India’s solar panel recycling market is poised for significant growth as the country’s renewable energy capacity continues to expand exponentially.

India Solar Panel Recycling Market Trends and Insights

  • This growth trajectory reflects India’s commitment to sustainable energy practices and the rising volume of end-of-life solar panels requiring proper recycling infrastructure.
  • India’s expanding renewable energy capacity has created urgent demand for efficient recycling solutions to recover valuable materials and minimize environmental impact. The Indian market is driven by regulatory frameworks promoting circular economy principles and increasing awareness of e-waste management.
  • India’s solar panel recycling sector is attracting investments in advanced recovery technologies and skilled workforce development.
  • By 2030, India is expected to establish itself as a key player in the Asia Pacific recycling ecosystem, supported by government incentives and corporate sustainability commitments. India’s market growth outpaces global averages, reflecting the country’s strategic position in renewable energy adoption and the urgent need to manage solar waste responsibly.
  • India’s recycling infrastructure development will be critical to supporting the nation’s ambitious clean energy targets while creating economic opportunities in the circular economy..

India’s solar panel recycling market is projected to grow from USD 20.2 million in 2025 to USD 49.5 million by 2030, representing a robust 19.6% CAGR driven by increasing solar installations and regulatory compliance requirements.
India’s aggressive renewable energy targets have led to a significant surge in solar panel installations, creating an urgent need for established recycling infrastructure to handle end-of-life panels and recover valuable materials.
India’s commitment to sustainable energy practices and circular economy principles is driving investments in solar panel recycling technologies, creating opportunities for both domestic and international market participants.
The growing volume of decommissioned solar panels in India presents substantial opportunities for recovering silicon, glass, aluminum, and other valuable materials, supporting both environmental goals and economic value creation.

  • With installations reaching record levels, the volume of end-of-life solar panels requiring proper recycling will accelerate, creating substantial demand for specialized recycling infrastructure and services.
  • Government initiatives promoting circular economy practices and environmental regulations will further catalyze market development. The forecast period through 2030 will witness increased investment in recycling technologies, establishment of dedicated recycling facilities, and development of skilled workforce capabilities across India.
  • Rising awareness among solar operators about material recovery value and regulatory compliance will drive adoption of professional recycling services, positioning India as a key growth market in the global solar panel recycling industry..

4 segment dimensions are covered across the global market.
First Solar is a publicly traded United States-based solar energy company founded in 1999, specializing in photovoltaic technology and renewable energy solutions.
The Retrofit Companies, Inc. is a privately held United States company founded in 1992 that provides retrofit and building improvement services.
Veolia is a publicly traded French multinational company founded in 1853 with 203,100 employees, providing environmental services including waste management, water treatment, and energy recovery.
India’s solar panel recycling market is valued at USD 20.2 million in 2025 and is expected to grow significantly over the forecast period.
India’s solar panel recycling market is projected to reach USD 49.5 million by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 19.6%.
India’s market growth is driven by expanding solar energy capacity, regulatory support for circular economy practices, increasing e-waste awareness, and government sustainability initiatives.
India’s market is growing at 19.6% CAGR, which exceeds the global average of 19.5%, reflecting India’s accelerated renewable energy adoption and waste management priorities.
India’s market presents opportunities in advanced recycling technology deployment, infrastructure development, workforce training, and material recovery operations to support the growing demand for sustainable solar waste management.
The study involved four major activities in estimating the market size of the solar panel recycling market. Exhaustive secondary research was done to collect information on the market, the peer market, and the parent market. The next step was to validate these findings, assumptions, and sizing with industry experts across the value chain through primary research. Both, the top-down and bottom-up approaches were employed to estimate the complete market size. Thereafter, the market breakdown and data triangulation procedures were used to estimate the market size of segments and subsegments.
In the secondary research process, various secondary sources have been referred to for identifying and collecting information for this study. These secondary sources include annual reports, press releases, investor presentations of companies, white papers, certified publications, trade directories, certified publications, articles from recognized authors, gold standard and silver standard websites, and databases.
Secondary research has been used to obtain key information about the value chain of the industry, monetary chain of the market, the total pool of key solar panel recycling, market classification, and segmentation according to industry trends to the bottom-most level and regional markets. It was also used to obtain information about the key developments from a market-oriented perspective.
The solar panel recycling market comprises several stakeholders in the value chain, which include raw material suppliers, manufacturers, and end users. Various primary sources from the supply and demand sides of the solar panel recycling market have been interviewed to obtain qualitative and quantitative information. The primary interviewees from the demand side include key opinion leaders in end-use sectors. The primary sources from the supply side include manufacturers, associations, and institutions involved in the solar panel recycling industry.
Interviews were conducted with experts to gather insights such as market statistics, data on revenue collected from products and services, market breakdowns, market size estimations, market forecasting, and data triangulation. Primary research also helped in understanding the various trends related to type, shelf life, process, material, and region. Stakeholders from the demand side, such as CIOs, CTOs, and CSOs, were interviewed to understand buyers’ perspectives on suppliers, products, component providers, and their current usage of solar panel recycling and the future outlook of their business, which will affect the overall market.
The breakdown of profiles of the interviews with experts is illustrated in the figure below:
Note: Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3 companies are classified based on their market revenue in 2024, available in the public domain, product portfolios, and geographical presence.
Other designations include sales representatives, production heads, and technicians.
To know about the assumptions considered for the study, download the pdf brochure
The top-down approach was used to estimate and validate the size of various submarkets for solar panel recycling for each region. The research methodology used to estimate the market size included the following steps:
After arriving at the total market size from the estimation process above, the overall market has been split into several segments and subsegments. To complete the overall market engineering process and arrive at the exact statistics for all segments and subsegments, the data triangulation and market breakdown procedures have been employed, wherever applicable. The data has been triangulated by studying various factors and trends from both, the demand and supply sides. Along with this, the market size has been validated by using both, the top-down and bottom-up approaches and interviews with experts. Hence, for every data segment, there have been three sources—top-down approach, bottom-up approach, and interviews with experts. The data was assumed correct when the values arrived at from the three sources matched.
The solar panel recycling is an industry focused on recovering valuable materials from end-of-life or damaged photovoltaic (PV) panels. The continuous growth of solar power installations worldwide has led to a rising number of panels needing recycling, reaching the end of their 25–30-year lifespan. The industry uses specific methods to separate and repurpose silicon, glass, aluminum, copper, and silver elements found in panels. Recycling solar panels reduces landfill waste while decreasing raw material consumption and promotes circular economic systems. The implementation of solar waste management regulations by authorities combined with environmental organizations has led to increased market activity. Advances in mechanical, thermal, and chemical recycling technologies are enhancing material recovery rates and making recycling more affordable.
 
Full forecast, segment splits, and company analysis for all Solar Panel Recycling Market.
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Alpitronic unveils 1 MW EV charging system – pv magazine Global

Italian electric vehicle (EV) charging equipment manufacturer Alpitronic has introduced the HYC1000, a distributed fast-charging system with up to 1 MW of total output power.
The system consists of a central power cabinet connected to separate charging dispensers. The cabinet can supply up to eight DC outputs and simultaneously charge as many as eight vehicles, with available power dynamically distributed among the charging points in increments of 62.5 kW.
The HYC1000 system incorporates eight of the company’s second-generation silicon carbide (SiC) power stacks. Each stack provides 125 kW and up to 400 A, with efficiency exceeding 98%, according to Alpitronic.
Alpitronic showcased the charging system at the ICNC26 event at Tempelhofer Feld in Berlin on Wednesday, where it was used for a live fast-charging demonstration with the new Mercedes-AMG GT 4-Door Coupé.
During the demonstration, charging power quickly exceeded 500 kW before reaching more than 600 kW. The charger display showed 612 kW during the session and later around 620 kW.
Johannes Nab, a Mercedes-AMG developer responsible for the vehicle’s battery management systems, said the car was designed not only for driving performance but also to achieve high charging rates. Its 800 V high-voltage battery uses directly cooled cells and technology inspired by Formula 1, which is intended to enable high-power charging under a wide range of conditions.
“We do not only reach that peak for a short period of time, we can maintain high power for several minutes,” he said during the demonstration, referring to the vehicle’s battery cooling system.
Mercedes-AMG says the vehicle can charge from 10% to 80% state of charge (SOC) in around 11 minutes. Based on the vehicle’s energy consumption, the automaker says 10 minutes of charging at 600 kW can add more than 460 km of range under the Worldwide Harmonized Light Vehicles Test Procedure (WLTP).
The HYC1000 operates across a DC voltage range of 150 V to 1,000 V and provides a maximum DC current of 600 A per output. It accepts a nominal alternating current (AC) voltage of 400 V or 480 V and has a rated AC input current of 1,600 A. Alpitronic specifies a power factor above 0.99 at full load and total harmonic current distortion below 5%.
Alpitronic offers three types of dispensers for the system. Its Megawatt Charging System (MCS) Dispenser supports MCS charging at up to 1,500 A, alongside optional Combined Charging System Type 2 (CCS2) charging at up to 600 A. The EV Dispenser can be equipped with up to two CCS2 connectors and supports simultaneous charging at up to 600 A, while the HP Dispenser features a single liquid-cooled CCS2 connector and can deliver more than 1,000 A. The latter can operate at 800 A without derating, according to the manufacturer.
The power cabinet measures 2,200 mm x 1,567 mm x 1,244 mm and weighs up to 2,000 kg. It is rated IP54 for protection against dust and water ingress and IK10 for impact resistance. It can operate at temperatures ranging from -30 C to 55 C, with derating above 40 C. The cabinet is designed for indoor and outdoor installation and can operate at elevations of up to 2,500 meters.
Alpitronic said the distributed architecture is designed to enable charging-site operators to share installed power dynamically between charging points, rather than assigning fixed power electronics to individual dispensers. The company is targeting applications including highway charging hubs, commercial vehicle fleets and destination charging.
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Digital public infrastructure and the future of renewable energy: insights from India Energy Stack – PV Tech

Like many other areas with a growing proportion of renewables, India is facing the challenge of managing an increasingly decentralised electricity system. Shantanu Roy and Sheikh Madiha Syed examine the India Energy Stack, a government initiative to provide the digital infrastructure needed to underpin the next phase of the country’s energy transition.
Digital public infrastructure and the future of renewable energy: insights from India Energy Stack  

Like many other areas with a growing proportion of renewables, India is facing the challenge of managing an increasingly decentralised electricity system. Shantanu Roy and Sheikh Madiha Syed examine the India Energy Stack, a government initiative to provide the digital infrastructure needed to underpin the next phase of the country’s energy transition. 
India’s renewable energy (RE) transition is progressing at an unprecedented speed and scale. As one of the world’s leading RE markets, India now ranks third globally in RE installed capacity. 
This growth is largely driven by policy support, declining technology costs and rising private sector participation. 
Towards a cleaner energy future, the country has committed to achieving 500GW of non-fossil fuel capacity by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2070. In line with this, the first phase of India’s RE transition has been largely defined by large-scale capacity additions. 
India added approximately 45GW of installed solar capacity in the last financial year, showing an increment of over 40% in just one year. Rooftop solar installed capacity also increased over 47%, from approximately 17GW to 25GW, during the same period. 
However, the next phase of the RE transition must be shaped by a more complex scenario: how will India integrate and manage an increasingly decentralised, distributed and dynamic electricity system? 
This complexity stems from the continuous expansion of India’s distributed RE (DRE) systems. For instance, rooftop solar, with supportive schemes such as Pradhan Mantri Surya Ghar: Muft Bijli Yojana (India’s flagship scheme to solarise 10 million households), has seen significant growth across segments. 
Small-scale solar plants on agricultural lands have also seen a sharp increase under the Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan Yojana (PM-KUSUM; India’s agricultural solarisation scheme). Innovative solar applications, such as building integrated photovoltaic (PV), agrivoltaics and rail- or road-integrated PV, are also gaining interest among prospective developers and consumers. 
Further, the rise in electric vehicles (EVs) and battery storage deployment is changing the country’s consumption patterns. More consumers are becoming ‘prosumers’ with the flexibility to generate and store energy and interact with the grid in different ways (e.g., importing or exporting electricity). 
Hence, India’s electricity system is now shifting from unidirectional, centralised networks to multi-directional, decentralised and data-intensive systems involving millions of distributed assets across the country. Managing such dynamic systems will need an approach vastly different from how India managed its earlier centralised system. Real-time coordination, seamless interaction among multiple stakeholders and higher visibility are vital.  
India has taken some digitalisation initiatives, such as smart metering; however, the overall digital ecosystem remains insufficient to handle the complexities and challenges of managing the upcoming dynamic system. This highlights the need for digital infrastructure that evolves alongside its physical counterpart to enable the next phase of India’s RE growth. 
Taking cognisance, the Indian government announced its plans to develop the India Energy Stack (IES) in 2025. IES will act as a digital public infrastructure (DPI), providing a standardised platform that enables secure data exchange, digital identities for energy assets and open interfaces to connect consumers, distribution utilities, markets, technology providers and innovators across the electricity value chain. 
IES is not just a technological initiative; it is also a large-scale and systems-level transformation of India’s power sector that will showcase the country’s ability to integrate its DREs into energy markets with high efficiency while enabling new market structures. 
Currently, India’s power sector works through multiple legacy systems across distribution utilities (commonly referred to as DISCOMs in India), regulators and operators. Most of these systems, such as billing platforms, metering systems and grid operation systems, function largely in isolation. Exchange between stakeholders is constrained by system incompatibilities and data asymmetry. 
The absence of standardised digital identifiers for energy assets and consumers is a major limitation. DREs, including rooftop solar systems, EV charging systems and batteries, are generally recorded in distribution utility-specific systems. There is no common and unified framework that can identify and track such assets across platforms. The result is limited traceability and transactional ability involving various stakeholders. 
Further, distribution utilities generally lack real-time visibility into DREs, while consumers lack access to granular energy data, which impacts the development of multiple services, including decentralised trading, demand response and energy optimisation. With DRE adoption increasing rapidly, these challenges will translate into operational complexities. For instance,  
as rooftop solar and storage penetration increase, bidirectional flows, local congestion and generation variability emerge, all of which require data-driven, coordinated system management. 
Under these circumstances, an interoperable and standardised digital framework that enables digital asset identification, smooth data exchange and seamless interaction among stakeholders becomes essential for India. 
In the absence of such a framework, India’s power sector will face inefficiencies, such as high integration costs, suboptimal dispatch and innovation constraints. It will also limit DRE integration and participation by prosumers and aggregators. 
DPI can be explained as the basic digital infrastructure that delivers identity, payment services and data exchanges as public utilities. According to the World Bank, DPI refers to common digital components that deliver sectoral services and enable various stakeholders to engage under standard rules. 
India has already used this model successfully for identity and payments. The Aadhaar digital identity system provides every individual in the country with a 12-digit number that serves as identification for biometric data and other demographic characteristics. 
With over 1 billion individuals using the platform, it is considered the world’s largest digital identification system. The country also implemented the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) in 2016.  
Using UPI, mobile applications enable instant bank-to-bank transfers through common technical protocols. With billions of monthly transactions, UPI is among the world’s leading real-time payment platforms. 
These systems share a common design logic. The government builds the core infrastructure while private firms deliver services through open standards. India is now applying this model to the power sector through IES.
Designed as a federated digital architecture, IES is intended to facilitate cooperation and interoperability among various participants in the electricity supply chain  
It defines common interaction standards, protocols and data models that allow all currently operating systems to share information and communicate reliably and consistently. Identity and addressability are central to the architecture of the electricity system, enabling a common framework to identify actors and assets within the ecosystem, including utilities, generation companies, regulators, aggregators, suppliers and consumers.  
To implement an identity and addressability model and allow cross-platform identification, IES creates a set of globally unique identifiers to correlate and identify each entity and all physical and virtual grid assets (e.g., electric meters, transformers, DREs and EV charging stations). This will enhance tracking of an asset’s lifecycle and improve its interoperability. Closely connected to this identity framework are registries and trust infrastructure, which serve as authenticated repositories of recorded data. 
With IES, participants receive verifiable energy credentials that provide secure digital proof of compliance and eligibility (certification). These machine-readable and cryptographically signed credentials reduce manual verification, lower fraud risks and speed up market access. 
Further, IES enables real-time data transfer through established protocols, formats and Application Programming Interfaces (APIs), improving coordination among grid operators, utilities, market platforms and distributed generation assets. As DREs expand, these interoperable data systems also support AI-driven forecasting, demand prediction, and grid optimisation. 
The anticipated growth of decentralised participation will increase transaction volumes across the electricity system.  
In response, IES envisions AI-powered software to manage high-volume, real-time energy transactions and enable scalable coordination among decentralised energy markets. 
The interaction layers enable participants to discover and transact with one another through open, standardised protocols, supporting applications such as peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading, distributed flexibility market mechanisms, EV charging, and prosumer participation. This architecture follows the Beckn protocol— an open digital network approach showing how decentralised markets can operate on shared discovery and transaction standards rather than through centralised platforms. 
IES also incorporates digital twins, simulation environments and privacy preserving observability tools to improve grid planning, renewable integration and data-driven decision-making. 
The digital architecture of IES does not operate in isolation; its value lies in enabling new ways for people to participate and coordinate as the electricity system becomes more decentralised. As DREs increase, the ability to connect these assets becomes essential. Distribution utilities often lack clear insight into behind-the-meter assets, which limits their ability  
to predict demand and manage grid conditions. By merging digital identities, asset  
registries and real-time data exchange, IES can provide continuous visibility of DREs, help utilities coordinate supply and demand more effectively, and maintain grid stability. 
These digital layers can also change consumer behaviour. Using verifiable identities and data related to assets, households, farmers and even companies, they can become prosumers of energy by generating, storing and essentially selling any surplus power. 
Instead of just consuming electricity, these stakeholders can help balance the grid by leveraging flexibility in electricity demand, storage capacity, and surplus generation.  
All these factors are leading towards the development of P2P electricity trading, allowing producers and consumers to engage directly through digital means. At the India AI Impact Summit 2026, a live demonstration showcased P2P energy trading under IES, where a farmer sold surplus solar power directly to a small commercial consumer through a secure digital platform with real-time matching and settlement. 
Further, P2P energy transactions do not always involve straightforward buying and selling. They can include, for example, exchanges and the allocation of energy, depending on certain conditions, within regulated limits. 
In addition to individual transactions, this infrastructure enables the creation of virtual power plants (VPPs) and DRE aggregation. Aggregators can consolidate many smaller assets, such as rooftop solar systems, batteries and flexible loads, into a single, coordinated asset. This aggregation of various resources allows participation in grid services, supports system balancing and enhances responsiveness to demand. 
Although IES presents a comprehensive digital architecture, its impact depends on how effectively it is implemented across diverse and complex power systems.  
Acknowledging this, India’s Ministry of Power (MoP) has adopted a phased approach that involves piloting before scaling up to the national level. In this regard, MoP has launched a 12-month proof of concept (PoC), piloting IES with distribution utilities in Delhi, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Mumbai, with the demonstration timeline set for FY2026-27. 
The PoC stage will go beyond an application use-case test, as it involves multiple layers of validation for IES deployment. It will assess interoperability, data governance process and interactions among the various stakeholders through digital platforms. 
Equally important for IES implementation will be stakeholder engagement and ecosystem development. Utilities will be at the centre of implementing digital systems across the nation’s grids, whereas regulators will need to create the necessary data  
access and consent frameworks. Technology suppliers and system integrators will be responsible for developing interoperable systems that comply with relevant standards. Capacity building is also planned under this initiative to provide utilities with the necessary training to implement IES.
The benefits of IES extend beyond enabling a digital energy ecosystem. IES can also help create a large energy innovation ecosystem that could enable new business models, services, technology providers and market participants. 
With open APIs, interoperable platforms and standardised frameworks, IES can effectively lower the entry barrier for small-scale entrepreneurs, startups, service providers and innovators to build technology solutions for asset optimisation, trading platforms, energy analytics, consumer applications, transaction management, AI-driven tools, etc. 
With the rise in the number of prosumers and decentralised energy markets, IES can create many opportunities for advanced market mechanisms such as P2P energy trading, aggregation platforms and VPPs. 
IES can also support the development of consumer-centric energy services that enable consumers to make informed decisions about energy generation, consumption and market participation.  
These services can also improve transparency and user experience. These developments under IES mark a transition from a utility-centric model to a consumer-centric model that is open, transparent and operates in real time. 
India’s power sector transformation with IES mirrors a larger global shift. The growth of DREs, EVs and decentralised storage is increasing the complexity of grid operations in many parts of the world. 
In developed countries leading the renewable energy race, high DRE penetration poses multiple challenges linked to market integration and grid management.  
In developing countries, the challenge is not just to increase energy access but also to simultaneously integrate RE into their evolving power system. The growing need for interoperable digital infrastructure and real-time coordination, however, is common across all countries. 
Most countries rely on utility-specific platforms and systems, resulting in a fragmented digital approach. While these systems worked before, they would not be efficient going forward. As DREs increase, these systems would not enable interoperability or the development of advanced energy services. 
In this context, India’s approach of building IES as a DPI framework represents a differentiated and replicable model.  
Importantly, India’s DPI approach has already shown relevance internationally. UPI is being integrated in various countries such as the UAE, Sri Lanka, Singapore and France, with cross-border interoperability and real-time transactions.  
India’s digital identity initiatives are being deployed in multiple countries across Latin America and Africa, through platforms such as MOSIP. These examples clearly demonstrate India’s expertise in developing globally replicable and adaptable DPI frameworks. 
Through the same approach, India aims to create a shared digital backbone for its energy system to support rising RE integration and efficient communication between stakeholders and applications.  
This forward-looking approach will enable scalability through standardisation, promote innovation through multi-party participation and reduce entry barriers for prosumers and aggregators. 
For developing countries, this approach presents a clear pathway to building a future-ready energy system. For developed countries, it provides a clear blueprint for building digital ecosystems that seamlessly and efficiently support large-scale DRE integration. 
While each country will have its own set of implementation strategies and challenges, the main principles of IES, namely digital identification, interoperability and transparency, will work across the world to support countries as they continue to evolve their energy system. 
While the potential of IES is undeniable, implementing it on a scale requires addressing critical challenges. Data governance will be key to IES’s success. 
Considerations such as data ownership, privacy, access and consent will be complex, as energy systems become more data-driven and involve multiple stakeholders. Thus, it would be important to protect consumer interests while enabling data sharing. 
India’s power sector works across multiple actors and ministries at the central and state levels. For IES to work, efficient institutional coordination between these stakeholders would be vital. Strong governance and collaboration will be needed to align these actors with common systems, standards, and protocols. 
Ensuring effective cybersecurity is another challenge. As digital systems become part of grid management and energy markets, it is critical to ensure resilience against cyber threats. Such resilience should be built within system designs, monitoring mechanisms and response frameworks. 
Further, the use of AI-driven systems and agents to facilitate financial transactions introduces new challenges. Vulnerabilities linked to AI-based decision-making, transactional integrity and the misuse of automated systems can create serious concerns if not addressed systematically. 
Ensuring sufficient safeguards, fail-safe mechanisms, auditability, and transparency in every transaction can help maintain trust and system reliability. 
Participating distribution utilities face another challenge, i.e., capacity building, not just of systems but also of their personnel. Upgrading legacy systems and providing training to manage advanced digital systems and tools will be key. 
India’s next RE transition phase will be one in which digital and physical infrastructure will have equal weight. The country has already demonstrated its ability to scale RE and to build large-scale DPI. The next phase will be India’s buildout of a dedicated DPI for its energy transition. 
IES is an ambitious effort by India to build the digital backbone of its power sector. With trusted digital identities, data exchange and open interfaces, IES has the potential to improve grid efficiency, unlock innovative market mechanisms, accelerate DRE adoption and enable greater stakeholder participation. IES also represents the transition of the country’s electricity system from a centralised, static system to a decentralised, dynamic and digitally coordinated one. 
With its successful implementation, IES could be a pillar of India’s long-term energy goals while also serving as a replicable, scalable model for multiple countries on similar energy transition journeys. As electricity systems worldwide become data-driven and decentralised, the IES model of DPI integration into the power sector may serve as a much-needed catalyst for the global energy transition.
Shantanu Roy is sector coordinator for renewables and energy conservation at the Center for Study of Science, Technology and Policy (CSTEP), a leading research think tank based in India. With over 17 years of experience spanning renewables, thermal power and oil and gas, he collaborates with government and industry to accelerate renewable energy adoption in India. 
Sheikh Madiha Syed is a senior analyst in the Renewables team at CSTEP. With over three years of experience in the renewable energy sector, she contributes to research and policy initiatives aimed at advancing the deployment of clean energy solutions in India.

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RESIDENTIAL SOLAR POWER IN THE ADIRONDACKS Does It Make Sense? A Free Public Forum – WAMC

RESIDENTIAL SOLAR POWER
IN THE ADIRONDACKS
Does It Make Sense?
A Free Public Forum
Sunday, September 27 • 7–9 PM
Adirondack History Museum
7590 Court Street • Elizabethtown, NY
Is solar power practical in the Adirondacks? How much does a system cost, how long does it take to pay for itself, and what are the advantages—and limitations—of producing your own electricity in the North Country?
A free public information forum, “Solar Power in the Adirondacks: Economics and Practical Considerations,” will be held on Sunday, September 27, at the Adirondack History Museum Theater.
The program will bring together Scott Egglefield, co-owner of a family-run solar installation company operating since the 1970s, and two local homeowners with firsthand experience installing and operating residential solar systems. Gerry Zahavi installed most of his grid-tied system himself, with the final electrical connection and utility inspection handled professionally. Jeff Allott will discuss his off-grid, battery-based system, which stores solar-generated electricity for use when the sun is not shining. The forum will look beyond the basic question of whether solar panels work in the Adirondacks and focus on the questions homeowners face when considering solar, including:
• What does a residential solar system really cost?
• How much electricity can solar produce in the Adirondack climate?
• How do snow, shade, roof orientation and short winter days affect production?
• How long does it take for a system to pay for itself?
• What tax credits and other incentives are available?
• What is involved in connecting a solar system to the electrical grid?
• What portions of an installation can a knowledgeable homeowner realistically undertake?
• When are batteries worthwhile?
• What are the advantages and disadvantages of grid-tied versus battery-based systems?
• What maintenance and equipment replacement should owners anticipate over the life of a system?
The panelists will discuss actual experience with solar in the Adirondacks, including installation decisions, costs, electrical production and lessons learned. The program is intended as an educational forum. There will be ample opportunity for audience questions and discussion.
Anyone who already has solar, is considering installing it, or simply wants to understand whether residential solar makes economic and practical sense in the Adirondacks is encouraged

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Minnesota has $1.4 million left in solar battery rebates worth up to $7,000 – The Cool Down

© 2025 THE COOL DOWN COMPANY. All Rights Reserved. Do not sell or share my personal information. Reach us at hello@thecooldown.com.
The state rebate applies to customers outside Xcel Energy’s service area.
Photo Credit: iStock
Minnesota households considering a home battery still have time to take advantage of a major state incentive.
More than $1.4 million remains in Minnesota’s rebate pool for solar-connected battery storage, so qualifying applicants can still claim as much as $7,000 before the money is gone.
Under the state’s Energy Storage Incentive Program, rebates are calculated at $250 per kilowatt-hour of battery capacity, with a maximum payout of $7,000, according to a Minnesota Department of Commerce news release cited by KIMT.
Eligible customers outside Xcel Energy’s service area can apply until funding is depleted. Qualifying solar-paired batteries cannot exceed 50 kilowatt-hours.
Applicants can include homeowners as well as businesses, schools, and government entities served by non-Xcel utilities. People with existing solar systems can add a battery, and those starting fresh can install storage alongside a new system.
If you’re comparing options, it may be worth exploring EnergySage. For households not ready for a full-scale setup, Pila is another option.
With battery storage, solar panels can generate electricity during the day and store it for later use, whether after dark or during pricier hours.
Using stored power at those times can trim electric bills and help households get more out of the energy they produce at home.
FROM OUR PARTNER
Want to go solar but not sure who to trust? EnergySage has your back with free and transparent quotes from fully vetted providers in your area.
To get started, just answer a few questions about your home — no phone number required. Within a day or two, EnergySage will email you the best options for your needs, and their expert advisers can help you compare quotes and pick a winner.
Solar panels can save you more than $50k over their 25-year lifespan, and EnergySage can help you save as much as $10k on installation. Which begs the question — isn’t that worth an email or two?
When paired with the right energy management system, a battery can keep electricity available during outages.
The program has distributed more than $600,000 since 2024.
Depending on the utility, customers may also be able to combine solar and storage with “peak shaving” offerings or time-of-use pricing, which can make a project more financially viable.
Anyone interested should start by identifying the utility that serves the property.
The state rebate applies to customers outside Xcel Energy’s service area, while Xcel customers are directed to a separate battery incentive administered by the company.
The Department of Commerce advises shoppers to compare several qualified solar or battery installers to see whether storage matches their needs and goals. It also recommends asking the utility about additional battery rebates or rate options that could be stacked with state aid.
Officials said there is no one-size-fits-all answer since the choice depends on a customer’s energy priorities.
“We know these systems can be a significant investment, and this program can help make that option more accessible to Minnesotans who decide it’s right for them,” Minnesota Department of Commerce Temporary Commissioner Julia Dreier said.
Minnesota’s remaining battery money is part of a wider mix of solar and storage incentives, many of which can disappear once deadlines pass or funding runs out. Programs in Oregon, Texas, and beyond show that the final cost can depend on timing and the rules set by local utilities.
• In Oregon, homeowners may need to move fast for up to $7,500 in rebates.
• Austin Energy has boosted solar rebates to $4,000, improving the math for homeowners.
• In Victoria, Australia, 500,000 solar rebates have helped households save more than $1 billion.
For Minnesotans weighing a battery purchase, these stories are a reminder to compare programs and act before rebate pools dry up. They can also help when it comes to conversations with installers and utilities, as it’s vital to know which questions to ask.
Get TCD’s free newsletters for easy tips, smart advice, and a chance to earn $5,000 toward home upgrades. To see more stories like this one, change your Google preferences here.
© 2025 THE COOL DOWN COMPANY. All Rights Reserved. Do not sell or share my personal information. Reach us at hello@thecooldown.com.

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Texas Solar Developments: SunRoper Construction Starts, Sunraycer Secures Financing for Solar-Plus-Storage – News and Statistics – IndexBox

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Two utility-scale solar PV developments in Texas have moved forward, with construction underway on a 347MW facility and financial closure achieved for a pair of solar-plus-storage projects.
US independent power producer OCI Energy and Israeli IPP Areva Power have commenced site work on the 347MW SunRoper solar PV project in Wharton County, Texas. Commercial operation is slated for December 2027. The facility is supported by a long-term power purchase agreement with an undisclosed Fortune 100 company and is expected to contribute substantial new generation capacity to the Houston metropolitan area, a major US demand hub. ING is providing financing for SunRoper, with WHC serving as the construction contractor. OCI Energy’s president noted that the venture illustrates how collaborative efforts can address Texas’s rising electricity needs through investments in essential energy infrastructure. OCI Energy operates as the US arm of Korean chemicals manufacturer OCI Holdings. Construction financing for SunRoper was finalized in February 2026 by OCI, Areva, and ING, with participation from US bank BHI and Israel’s Bank of Hapoalim.
The two IPPs have worked together in Texas’s solar sector since 2021, when Areva purchased the 270MW SUNRAY project in Ulvade County from OCI Energy. In May 2026, Areva took a 50% interest in OCI Energy’s La Salle solar project in Texas. That 670MW facility is projected to reach commercial operation in 2028, at which point it would become the largest single-site solar installation in OCI’s portfolio.
Sunraycer, an IPP headquartered in Maryland, has secured financing for two Texas solar-plus-storage developments totaling 310MW of solar PV and 250MWh of battery storage. Monarch Private Capital, an investment firm specializing in federal tax credit-related projects, supplied the funds as tax equity for both installations, though specific amounts were not revealed. The developments are the 127MW/100MWh Midpoint solar project in Hill County and the 183MW/150MWh Gaia project in Navarro County. Both are partially underpinned by Environmental Attribute Purchase Agreements with tech company Meta, signed in May 2025, and achieved full-scale operation in the first half of 2026. A Monarch partner stated that completing Midpoint and Gaia marks a key step in the firm’s goal of funding energy infrastructure that offers strong investor returns and lasting societal benefits. Sunraycer’s chief executive praised Monarch’s tax equity expertise as crucial to bringing the projects online. In April 2025, Sunraycer had arranged $475 million in project financing for Gaia and Midpoint. Additionally, the company is advancing the 400MW Lupinus project in Texas, which is backed by a power purchase agreement with Google.
Interactive table based on the Store Companies dataset for this report.
Report Scope and Analytical Framing
Concise View of Market Direction
Market Size, Growth and Scenario Framing
Commercial and Technical Scope
How the Market Splits Into Decision-Relevant Buckets
Where Demand Comes From and How It Behaves
Supply Footprint, Trade and Value Capture
Trade Flows and External Dependence
Price Formation and Revenue Logic
Who Wins and Why
Where Growth and Supply Concentrate
Commercial Entry and Scaling Priorities
Where the Best Expansion Logic Sits
Leading Players and Strategic Archetypes
Detailed View of the Most Important National Markets
How the Report Was Built
Largest solar manufacturer globally
Leading monocrystalline silicon producer
Major module and cell producer
High-efficiency cell and module maker
Global manufacturer and project developer
Major player in US and EU markets
Integrated PV product manufacturer
Leading thin-film CdTe manufacturer
World's largest solar cell producer
ABC cell technology leader
Major LED component and display maker
Pioneer and major supplier of LED chips
Historically leading innovator in LED technology
Leading European optoelectronics supplier
High-power LED and automotive lighting
One of world's largest LED chip producers
Major LED packaging and component supplier
Leading Taiwanese LED chip manufacturer
Innovator in WICOP and SunLike technologies
LED components for automotive and IT
IBC cell technology leader
Solar project developer and manufacturer
Integrated PV manufacturer
Historically significant in both fields
Rapidly growing cell and module producer
Solar manufacturing arm of Chint Group
Module manufacturer with US focus
Leading Indian solar manufacturer
LED packaging and lighting solutions
Major LED packaging company
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IndexBox, Inc.
2093 Philadelphia Pike #1441
Claymont, DE 19703, USA
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