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The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s most recent short-term outlook highlights renewable energy’s growing grid penetration, particularly during the summer.
EIA’s short-term outlook illustrates the declining role that coal will play in the years ahead, while solar resources grow to meet the demand — particularly in summer. The output of other resources will remain more constant.
Total gas-fired generation is expected to grow from 1,702 billion kWh in 2025 to 1,704 billion kWh this year and 1,774 billion kWh in 2027, according to EIA’s data. Coal will decline from 733 billion kWh in 2025 to 658 billion kWh in 2027. Nuclear will remain relatively constant, with production a little under 800 billion kWh.
EIA expects wind generation will grow from 464 billion kWh in 2025 to 526 billion kWh in 2027. Solar will grow from 293 billion kWh to 415 billion kWh, EIA said.
Renewables growing contributions will be most evident in the summer, EIA said.
Last year, summer solar generation surpassed wind generation for the first time, “and that trend continues in our forecast,” the agency said. “In the summer of 2027, we expect solar generation will grow by 22% to reach 178 BkWh, surpassing wind generation by almost 30%, although we still expect wind will generate more electricity than solar for the whole year.”
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Also, PJM’s last two base capacity auctions show a growing shortfall compared to its reserve margin targets, according to the grid operator’s market monitor. Prices will continue rising until large data center loads are addressed, it said.
Consumption rose for all other sectors, however, making 2025 a record year for U.S. gas consumption.
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Also, PJM’s last two base capacity auctions show a growing shortfall compared to its reserve margin targets, according to the grid operator’s market monitor. Prices will continue rising until large data center loads are addressed, it said.
Consumption rose for all other sectors, however, making 2025 a record year for U.S. gas consumption.
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