Solar Module Prices Face Upward Pressure Ahead of ALMM Deadline – mvapulse.com

⚡ Quick Read
The Indian renewable energy landscape is bracing for a significant shift as the December 31, 2026, deadline for Approved List of Models and Manufacturers (ALMM) List-II compliance approaches. Developers are currently accelerating project commissioning timelines to ensure their assets meet regulatory requirements, a move that is creating a ripple effect across the supply chain. This rush to procure components is tightening the availability of high-efficiency TOPCon modules and placing immense pressure on the already constrained domestic solar cell manufacturing sector.
Market analysts and industry executives indicate that the surge in demand is likely to trigger an upward trend in solar module prices. Simultaneously, regulatory developments continue to shape project execution. The Uttar Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Commission (UPERC) has recently permitted developers to execute 20.2 MW of projects under Component C-2 of the PM-KUSUM program through special purpose vehicles (SPVs). Furthermore, the Commission approved 14 power purchase agreements (PPAs) for 31 MW of solar projects under the feeder-level solarization program, with discovered tariffs ranging from ₹2.87 ($0.0301)/kWh to ₹2.99 ($0.0313)/kWh.
In the manufacturing sector, financial performance reflects the current market volatility. Saatvik Green Energy, a Haryana-based module manufacturer, reported a revenue of ₹5.11 billion (~$53.56 million) for Q1 of the financial year 2027, marking a 44.2% year-over-year decline compared to the ₹9.16 billion recorded in the same period last year.
For EPC contractors and solar developers, the current environment necessitates a proactive approach to procurement. The combination of ALMM-II compliance deadlines and limited domestic cell capacity suggests that project costs may rise in the coming months. Developers should factor in potential delays in module delivery and budget for higher capital expenditure. Securing supply chains early and diversifying procurement sources will be critical for maintaining project viability and meeting commissioning milestones.
As the industry moves toward the end of 2026, the focus will remain on how domestic manufacturers scale production to meet the ALMM-II requirements. The broader India renewable energy sector continues to demonstrate resilience, supported by consistent policy frameworks like PM-KUSUM and competitive tariff discovery. Stakeholders must remain vigilant regarding supply chain bottlenecks and regulatory updates that could influence project economics in the near term.
Aditya Pathre is the Founder of MVApulse and covers India’s renewable energy sector, including solar, wind, battery energy storage systems (BESS), green hydrogen, transmission infrastructure, renewable energy policy and competitive bidding. His reporting focuses on project developments, market trends, government policies and energy transition across India.
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