Single-Image Method Optimizes Urban Solar Panel Orientation – IndexBox

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Effective power management starts at the power source, and for solar panels that means capturing as many impinging photons as possible, according to EE Times. In open settings with a full or nearly full view of the sky, pointing panels toward maximum sun exposure and using mechanical tracking where feasible is relatively straightforward in principle.
Dense urban settings present a different and harder problem, EE Times reports, because nearby buildings, shadows, reflections from glass and structures, and other local conditions directly affect the light path. The challenge is especially acute for smaller fixed panels used in localized, non-grid-connected applications such as small charging stations, signage and kiosks, where simply aiming at the sun’s maximum is often not the best real-world solution.
Tools exist to assess an intended setting and maximize solar collection there, but illumination, or irradiance, is typically evaluated using 3D models that fail to capture small nearby structures affecting the light path and net irradiance. Alongside efforts to improve panel efficiency, power conversion and management electronics, and the overall power path, improving up-front energy capture is therefore seen as worthwhile.
A research team in the Engineering School at Columbia University in New York has devised a system in which a single spherical photograph taken at a target site can determine the year-round optimal orientation and angling of a panel, according to EE Times. The approach accounts for the sun’s angle, nearby shading, diffuse light from a partially visible sky, reflection off windows and building facades, and other characteristics of the urban canyon.
The researchers claimed the system can boost solar capture by 10% to as high as 30%, a meaningful gain that comes at no cost. The technology uses shadows and lines in the image to determine camera orientation, then segments the image to assess how various elements in the frame will contribute to overall power generation.
Standard methods can produce large errors because they fail to account for variations in the brightness of the sky section visible to a panel throughout the day and year, as well as light reflected off surrounding buildings. The team found that such reflections account for roughly 12% of a panel’s total annual energy on average.
The research showed that a single spherical image can identify the best fixed orientation for a panel. The underlying insight is that a photograph taken from a panel’s location encodes substantial information: shadows reveal the sun’s direction, and straight architectural lines indicate the direction of gravity.
That information is used to establish the image’s orientation relative to the planet. A segmentation algorithm identifies the portion of sky visible to the panel, while the appearance of surrounding buildings provides cues about their spatial layout and construction materials.
The laptop-based system then forecasts how the sun will move through the visible sky across the day and year, estimates how much light will bounce off surrounding buildings onto the panel, and draws on historical weather data to extend the forecast to cloudy and overcast conditions rather than only clear days.
The team used a physically based renderer to simulate scene irradiance as a function of the sun’s position. At one simulated location over the course of a day, scene irradiance varied smoothly with time despite the many objects casting shadows and producing reflections within the canyon.
Based on those observations, the researchers developed a neural network to predict a panel’s scene irradiance from a single image. The network contains a vision transformer backbone and a multilayer perceptron head that outputs scene irradiance for any sun position.
A common rule of thumb holds that the best fixed panel orientation points toward the equator with a zenith angle equal to the panel’s latitude, assuming a clear view of the sky, which is rarely the case in urban settings. The researchers instead showed that a single spherical image taken near an existing panel can identify the best fixed orientation, which may differ substantially from that rule. They also validated the approach using actual irradiance measurements in urban canyons.
The work is detailed in a 23-page paper titled Forecasting solar energy using a single image, published in Solar Energy, according to EE Times. The paper covers the problem, solution concept, alternatives, situation analysis, discussion of 3D geometries, urban canyon realities and optical considerations, among other topics. The formal posting is behind a paywall, while an open version is posted at arXiv, a free, open-access, non-profit repository that hosts scholarly preprints before formal peer review and journal publication.
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