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A report from Renewables First indicates that Pakistan’s adoption of solar energy continues to expand, with households, farms, and businesses turning to distributed solar to reduce dependence on the national grid.
According to the think tank’s latest edition of its flagship report, Pakistan Electricity Review 2026, the country had deployed an estimated 51 GW of solar capacity as of March 2026, while solar module imports reached 54 GW by the end of that same month.
The report finds that electrification is accelerating through distributed solar installations, even as grid-based indicators show stagnation. Electricity generated by utility-scale sources reached 135 TWh in fiscal year 2025 (July 2024 to June 2025), a 2% year-on-year decline and the fourth consecutive drop from a peak of 154 TWh in fiscal year 2022.
Distributed solar—including net-metering, behind-the-meter, and off-grid systems—generated 51 TWh in FY25, pushing Pakistan’s total electricity generation to a record 186 TWh. The report states that this 51 TWh is equivalent to roughly 46% of grid-supplied electricity over the same period.
During a webinar launching the report, Renewables First Associate – Energy Insights, Nabiya Imran, explained that new growth in electricity is increasingly met by distributed solar outside the grid. She noted that demand that was once entirely on the grid has migrated to behind-the-meter and net-metered distributed solar.
The report adds that grid sales—electricity purchased by consumers from the state-owned central utility network—reached 111 TWh in FY25, a 1.7% increase year-on-year but below the FY22 peak. It clarifies that this does not reflect falling electricity demand, but rather that a growing share of consumption is met through distributed solar, with underlying electricity use continuing to rise while bypassing the grid.
Imran described two parallel systems currently operating in Pakistan: the centralized grid structured around unidirectional power flows and thermal dependence, and consumers investing in distributed solar driven by high electricity tariffs and cheaper solar panel costs. She said there is a mismatch between these systems, and bridging it would help reduce fossil fuel dependence and improve macroeconomic resilience.
Imran also noted that clean technologies such as solar, batteries, and electric vehicles present an opportunity to localize manufacturing, supporting broader economic development.
In the report’s foreword, Sohaib Malik, Senior Fellow – Energy Transitions at Renewables First, wrote that while policymakers are beginning to recognize challenges facing the centralized model, most stakeholders do not yet fully appreciate the shift due to incomplete and imprecise datasets.
The report warns that distributed solar is eroding utility revenues faster than thermal capacity can be rationalized, moving the sector toward an inflection point without sufficient policy frameworks. It states that the inflection point will depend on how quickly planning and policy adapt to decentralized, bi-directional electricity flows, and that a shift from capacity expansion to system optimization—including flexibility, storage, and demand-side management—will be critical to improving efficiency and reducing costs.
This report provides a comprehensive view of the solar cells and light-emitting diodes industry in Pakistan, tracking demand, supply, and trade flows across the national value chain. It explains how demand across key channels and end-use segments shapes consumption patterns, while also mapping the role of input availability, production efficiency, and regulatory standards on supply.
Beyond headline metrics, the study benchmarks prices, margins, and trade routes so you can see where value is created and how it moves between domestic suppliers and international partners. The analysis is designed to support strategic planning, market entry, portfolio prioritization, and risk management in the solar cells and light-emitting diodes landscape in Pakistan.
The report combines market sizing with trade intelligence and price analytics for Pakistan. It covers both historical performance and the forward outlook to 2035, allowing you to compare cycles, structural shifts, and policy impacts.
This report provides a consistent view of market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for Pakistan. The profile highlights demand structure and trade position, enabling benchmarking against regional and global peers.
The analysis is built on a multi-source framework that combines official statistics, trade records, company disclosures, and expert validation. Data are standardized, reconciled, and cross-checked to ensure consistency across time series.
All data are normalized to a common product definition and mapped to a consistent set of codes. This ensures that comparisons across time are aligned and actionable.
The forecast horizon extends to 2035 and is based on a structured model that links solar cells and light-emitting diodes demand and supply to macroeconomic indicators, trade patterns, and sector-specific drivers. The model captures both cyclical and structural factors and reflects known policy and technology shifts in Pakistan.
Each projection is built from national historical patterns and the broader regional context, allowing the report to show where growth is concentrated and where risks are elevated.
Prices are analyzed in detail, including export and import unit values, regional spreads, and changes in trade costs. The report highlights how seasonality, freight rates, exchange rates, and supply disruptions influence pricing and margins.
Key producers, exporters, and distributors are profiled with a focus on their operational scale, geographic footprint, product mix, and market positioning. This helps identify competitive pressure points, partnership opportunities, and routes to differentiation.
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, wholesalers, investors, and advisors who need a clear, data-driven picture of solar cells and light-emitting diodes dynamics in Pakistan.
The market size aggregates consumption and trade data, presented in both value and volume terms.
The projections combine historical trends with macroeconomic indicators, trade dynamics, and sector-specific drivers.
Yes, it includes export and import unit values, regional spreads, and a pricing outlook to 2035.
The report benchmarks market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for Pakistan.
Yes, it highlights demand hotspots, trade routes, pricing trends, and competitive context.
Report Scope and Analytical Framing
Concise View of Market Direction
Market Size, Growth and Scenario Framing
Commercial and Technical Scope
How the Market Splits Into Decision-Relevant Buckets
Where Demand Comes From and How It Behaves
Supply Footprint and Value Capture
Trade Flows and External Dependence
Price Formation and Revenue Logic
Who Wins and Why
How the Domestic Market Works
Commercial Entry and Scaling Priorities
Where the Best Expansion Logic Sits
Leading Players and Strategic Archetypes
How the Report Was Built
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