Poland’s rapidly growing solar sector is expected to become a major driver of economic growth and job creation over the next 15 years, according to a new study examining the macroeconomic and environmental impact of photovoltaic deployment across the country.
The research, titled ‘On economic and environmental effects of expanding PV deployment in Poland’, was developed using data from Poland’s Central Statistical Office and the Energy Transition Observatory, a strategic initiative led by AGH University of Krakow, the Ministry of Climate and Environment, and the National Centre for Nuclear Research.
Researchers used an extended input output model to analyse the impact of photovoltaic investments and operations under multiple development scenarios running through to 2040. The study examined how expanding solar infrastructure could influence domestic production, employment, value creation and carbon emissions across the Polish economy.
The findings suggest that continued investment in solar PV will provide a stable economic stimulus while strengthening Poland’s energy transition efforts.
According to the study, the solar sector could support between 20,000 and 40,000 full time jobs annually from 2026 to 2040, depending on the pace of deployment. Employment opportunities are expected across manufacturing, transport, chemicals, electricity supply, equipment maintenance and installation services.
Researchers noted that the projected jobs growth is particularly significant for Poland as the country continues to rely heavily on coal for electricity generation. The solar industry could provide alternative employment opportunities for workers displaced from the coal sector as the country accelerates its transition to cleaner energy sources.
The study highlights that photovoltaic technologies are already among the most widely adopted renewable energy solutions in Poland. Falling installation costs, advances in energy storage and grid management technologies, and government support programmes are helping accelerate adoption.
Researchers also pointed to energy security as a key factor behind the country’s growing interest in solar power. Expanding PV capacity could reduce Poland’s dependence on fossil fuel imports while diversifying the national energy mix.
Beyond the economic benefits, the study also examined the carbon footprint associated with different PV deployment scenarios. Researchers said measuring emissions linked to both the construction and operational phases of solar projects is critical for assessing the broader environmental impact of Poland’s energy transition.
The report is believed to be the first detailed assessment of the sectoral economic and environmental effects of solar PV expansion in Poland. It combines historical market data from 2021 to 2025 with expert forecasts covering the period from 2026 to 2040.
Researchers said the findings could help policymakers design more effective industrial and energy policies to maximise the benefits of the transition to renewable energy while ensuring a fair transition for affected workers and industries.
The study also comes as European Union member states finalise their National Energy and Climate Plans under the EU’s Clean Energy for All Europeans framework. Researchers noted that future analysis should align Poland’s long term energy scenarios with updated EU climate and energy targets.
Author: Bryan Groenendaal
April 18, 2026
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