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Mexico’s Energy Ministry, Sener, has outlined a renewable energy development pipeline containing 42 solar photovoltaic projects with a combined capacity of 6,856.4 MW, alongside 13 wind projects totaling 4,027.5 MW. Government data indicates that the state-owned utility Federal Electricity Commission, or CFE, participates in about 70% of this portfolio.
An additional 9,050 MW of generation capacity is awaiting allocation, according to the government. This includes 4,445 MW of solar PV, 2,159 MW of wind, 1,694 MW of cogeneration, and 752 MW spanning geothermal, solar thermal and hydrogen projects. Sener anticipates wrapping up the allocation process by the close of 2026.
These numbers reflect a reduction compared with those shared in June, when Sener listed 50 solar projects amounting to 7,859 MW and 17 wind projects amounting to 4,701 MW. Whether the shifts stem from changes to project scope, development status or other portfolio revisions remains unexplained by the ministry.
Under CFE’s mixed-development model, the initial call for proposals in June led to the selection of 37 renewable energy projects with a total of 7,411 MW, of which roughly 6,710 MW was solar PV. That selection covered a particular set of projects and cannot be directly compared with Sener’s wider development pipeline.
CFE additionally anticipates that 58 renewable energy plants, with a combined 10,406.5 MW, will be operational by 2030. This includes utility-owned facilities as well as projects built through mixed-development arrangements. How this target connects to the 55 renewable energy projects presently in the development pipeline has not been clarified by the government.
Sener projects that MXN 794.11 billion, or $42.9 billion, will go toward electricity generation projects from 2025 through 2030. Within that sum, MXN 452.54 billion is designated for mixed-development projects, MXN 199.11 billion for private-sector projects and MXN 142.46 billion for projects CFE develops directly. A breakdown of investment specifically for solar PV or energy storage was not supplied by the ministry.
The Rafael Galvan Maldonado solar complex in Puerto Penasco, Sonora, is among the highlighted projects. Its first two phases, inaugurated across 2023 and 2024, hold a combined solar capacity of 420 MW. Another 580 MW is expected from Phases III and IV, which would lift the complex’s total PV capacity to 1 GW.
A recent progress update shows that construction of the 300 MW third phase has passed 27% completion. Roughly 563,000 solar panels will be installed, along with a battery energy storage system rated at 103 MW/309 MWh. Commercial operations are slated to start in December 2027, and the 280 MW fourth phase is due to come online in March 2028.
Battery storage capacity of 72 MW is already part of the first two phases. Figures CFE presented in June indicate that the four phases together will reach 246 MW of battery power capacity, with investment in the complex surpassing $1.4 billion.
Sener’s most recent presentation, however, lacks a comprehensive breakdown of planned battery storage projects, including energy capacities in MWh, investments by technology or commissioning timelines.
Mexico’s 2025-2030 Sectoral Energy Program directs CFE to install 2,216 MW of battery storage capacity in support of expanding solar and wind generation. That number reflects planned capacity, not installations already in operation.
In a separate move, Sener has left open a call for proposals for strategic standalone battery storage projects tied to CFE. The process seeks 935 MW of storage capacity with a three-hour discharge duration, equal to 2,805 MWh. The registration deadline has reportedly been pushed to Oct. 30. This target reflects capacity sought through procurement rather than confirmed project awards.
The government’s renewable energy assessment also points to the Techos Solares para el Bienestar, or Solar Roofs for Well-being, program, which has reached 5,168 households in Baja California. From March 2025 to May 2026, CFE linked 5,140 residential PV systems to the grid in Mexicali and San Felipe, supported by an initial investment of MXN 190 million.
According to Sener, this renewable energy expansion supports Mexico’s goal of raising the renewables share of national electricity generation from 24% to at least 38% by 2030.
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the Solar Panels market in Mexico, covering market size, growth trajectory, demand structure, supply capability, trade flows, pricing, competitive landscape, and forecast to 2035.
The study is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, exporters, investors, procurement teams, advisors, and strategy teams that need a consistent, data-driven view of market dynamics and a transparent analytical definition of the product scope.
This report covers photovoltaic (PV) solar panels, which are devices that convert sunlight directly into electricity. It encompasses the global market for finished modules, including all major product technologies and form factors designed for a wide range of end-use applications.
The report combines the standard market-statistics backbone with strategic chapters that are useful for commercial planning, sourcing decisions, market entry, competitor monitoring, and portfolio prioritization.
The market is segmented into decision-relevant buckets so that demand drivers, pricing logic, supply constraints, and competitive positions can be compared across the same analytical frame.
The market data is classified and analyzed according to international trade codes, primarily under the Harmonized System (HS) headings for photovoltaic cells and electric generating sets. This ensures consistent tracking of trade flows for assembled solar modules and relevant apparatus across global markets.
Coverage focuses on Mexico and includes demand, supply capability where present, trade flows, pricing, competition, and outlook.
The report combines official statistics, trade records, company disclosures, product-level evidence, and analyst validation. Data are standardized, reconciled, and cross-checked to keep market sizing, trade flows, pricing, and forecasts comparable across countries and time periods.
All indicators are mapped to a consistent product definition and reviewed against the segmentation framework used in the Table of Contents.
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Market Size, Growth and Scenario Framing
Commercial and Technical Scope
How the Market Splits Into Decision-Relevant Buckets
Where Demand Comes From and How It Behaves
Supply Footprint and Value Capture
Trade Flows and External Dependence
Price Formation and Revenue Logic
Who Wins and Why
How the Domestic Market Works
Commercial Entry and Scaling Priorities
Where the Best Expansion Logic Sits
Leading Players and Strategic Archetypes
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