4 November 2026. Source: Renew Economy.
Energy researcher Auke Hoekstra has documented nearly two decades of the International Energy Agency consistently underestimating annual solar photovoltaic output. His chart shows actual production growing almost vertically while IEA World Energy Outlook forecasts assumed flat growth each year. In 2008 the agency predicted a 2030 output figure that Chinese factories now produce every couple of days.
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